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June 2018, Week 1

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Date:
Tue, 5 Jun 2018 06:50:02 -0400
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Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
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Expires:201806052000;;456637
FPUS51 KBTV 050654
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
251 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018


VTZ006-052000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
251 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018

.TODAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs around
60. Southwest winds around 10 mph, becoming west this afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph until midnight, becoming
light and variable. 
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A
20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 

$$


Expires:201806051100;;465055
ASUS41 KBTV 051030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE JUN 05 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-051100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    54  46  74 S5        29.61R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    50  44  80 VRB7      29.65R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    49  48  97 CALM      29.62R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     49  47  93 MISG      29.61S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   RAIN      47  46  98 SE5       29.64S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    52  47  84 S8        29.62S                  
RUTLAND*       MOCLDY    52  46  80 SW5       29.64S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    48  47  96 CALM      29.66S                  
HIGHGATE*        N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    48  47  99 CALM      29.61S                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    45  43  93 CALM      29.67R FOG              
ISLAND POND*     N/A     48 N/A N/A E2          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     46 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     50 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     41 N/A N/A W23         N/A  WCI  31          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     55  48  76 SW6         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     54  48  82 S7          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     54  46  76 S5          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;457754
FXUS61 KBTV 050721
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
321 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A slow-moving upper low pressure system centered across southern
Quebec will bring continued cool and unsettled weather conditions
to the North Country today and tonight. It appears the best 
chance for showers will occur this afternoon into tonight, with 
high temperatures only in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Additional
rainfall amounts of a tenth to a quarter inch are generally
expected late today into tonight. Low pressure will shift east 
of the region for Wednesday, bringing gradual clearing and 
slightly warmer conditions. Drier conditions are generally 
expected through the end of the week with daytime high 
temperatures moderating back into the 70s for highs Thursday 
through Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 319 AM EDT Tuesday...Vertically stacked low pressure
system centered across srn Quebec remains the controlling 
weather feature today and tonight, with improving conditions for
Wednesday as system develops into an open wave and shifts ewd. 

The most widespread showers are expected this afternoon into tonight 
as shortwave trough rotates sewd from swrn Quebec across nrn NY and 
VT (on SW and srn periphery of closed, quasi-stationary mid-level 
low over srn Quebec). In the meantime, expecting moist swly low-
level flow to bring mostly cloudy conditions, but just isold showers 
or a few sprinkles thru this morning. The best synoptic forcing for 
UVV occurs 20-06Z, and should result in additional rainfall amts 
between 0.10-0.25" in most locations with shower activity. Activity 
will wane/shift southeast of the area after midnight tonight. Winds 
will shift into the NW and N toward this evening as trough axis 
shifts sewd and thru the forecast area. That said, wind speeds will 
generally be 10 mph or less thru the period. 

Low inversion tonight brings abundant low clouds thru sunrise/mid-
morning on Wednesday. Should see gradual clearing thereafter with 
partly to mostly sunny conditions by afternoon with PBL 
deepening/mixing and high June sun angle. 

In terms of temperatures...not much warmer than yesterday with 
abundant cloudiness keeping today's highs in the 58-63F range (about 
10 degrees below 30-year climo averages). Temperatures should fall 
back into the mid-upr 40s tonight, and then moderate with afternoon 
sun on Wednesday (62-67F for highs). 

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 314 AM EDT Tuesday...The region will remain under
primarily northwesterly flow Wednesday night, with a shortwave
ridge transiting the area. By Thursday morning however, a
surface low will track eastward into Quebec, allowing flow over
the North Country to become southwesterly. We'll undergo some
warm air advection under this setup as the southwesterly flow
pulls in some of the warmer air that has been lingering over the
central US. Clouds will increase throughout the day as we remain
on the southern fringes of the weak Canadian low pressure
system. 925 mb temperatures progged in the low to mid teens with
a fair amount of cloud cover around support highs in the upper
60s to low 70s Thursday. By Thursday afternoon, we'll start to
see some spotty showers near the International Border. Thursday
night, a cold front will move through, triggering some
additional spotty showers and bringing down some cooler air 
from northeastern Canada.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 314 AM EDT Tuesday...The long term forecast remains fairly 
quiet overall with no major systems on the horizon and mainly 
seasonal temperatures expected. The main feature of note over
the northeastern US this weekend will be a stalled east-west 
oriented frontal boundary over southern NY and southern New
England.  South of the boundary will reside a fairly unstable 
air mass and a much better chance for precipitation. However, 
current thinking is that an upper low over Canada will keep the 
front suppressed to our south, preventing the more unstable air 
and precipitation from reaching our forecast area. Have 
continued some low chance PoPs over the southern fringes of the 
forecast area Saturday night to account for any potential 
northward shifts in the boundary, however elsewhere have 
restricted PoPs to slight chance or below through the weekend. 

The beginning of the next work week will feature a building 
omega block over the Continental US with a highly amplified ridge 
over the central US and troughing over both coasts. 
Temperatures over the long term should stay pretty close to 
seasonal averages through early next week. By mid next week 
however, the pattern looks to shift the warmest air from the 
central US further north and east, which would bring above 
normal temperatures to Vermont and New York.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 12Z Wednesday...Slow moving low pressure across srn 
Quebec will bring a variety of aviation weather conditions to 
the North Country TAF sites over the next 24 hrs. Appears the 
remainder of this morning will be primarily dry with VFR 
ceilings, except localized MVFR-IFR at times at MPV/SLK with 
localized upslope effects. HIR TRRN OBSCD at times areawide. A 
mid-level shortwave trough rotates sewd around the parent low 
this afternoon into this evening, bringing increasing chances 
for rain showers at the TAF locations beginning around 18Z at 
KMSS, and after 20Z elsewhere. Carried prevailing -SHRA during 
the afternoon into the evening hrs associated with better large 
scale forcing. Will also see a wind shift, with winds SW 5-10kts
becoming NW-N 5-10kts after 20-21Z. Trend will be toward MVFR 
ceilings with intervals of IFR ceilings during the overnight 
hours tonight with TRRN OBSCD. 

Outlook...

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible early. Slight 
chance SHRA. Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. 
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. 
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight 
chance SHRA. 
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance 
SHRA. 
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. 
Saturday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...RSD
LONG TERM...RSD
AVIATION...Banacos

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