Expires:201806052000;;456637
FPUS51 KBTV 050654
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
251 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018
VTZ006-052000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
251 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018
.TODAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs around
60. Southwest winds around 10 mph, becoming west this afternoon.
.TONIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph until midnight, becoming
light and variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A
20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
$$
Expires:201806051100;;465055
ASUS41 KBTV 051030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE JUN 05 2018
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-051100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 54 46 74 S5 29.61R
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 50 44 80 VRB7 29.65R
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 49 48 97 CALM 29.62R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 49 47 93 MISG 29.61S
LYNDONVILLE* RAIN 47 46 98 SE5 29.64S
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 52 47 84 S8 29.62S
RUTLAND* MOCLDY 52 46 80 SW5 29.64S
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 48 47 96 CALM 29.66S
HIGHGATE* N/A N/A N/A N/A MISG N/A
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 48 47 99 CALM 29.61S
BENNINGTON MOCLDY 45 43 93 CALM 29.67R FOG
ISLAND POND* N/A 48 N/A N/A E2 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 46 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 50 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 41 N/A N/A W23 N/A WCI 31
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 55 48 76 SW6 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 54 48 82 S7 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 54 46 76 S5 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;457754
FXUS61 KBTV 050721
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
321 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
A slow-moving upper low pressure system centered across southern
Quebec will bring continued cool and unsettled weather conditions
to the North Country today and tonight. It appears the best
chance for showers will occur this afternoon into tonight, with
high temperatures only in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Additional
rainfall amounts of a tenth to a quarter inch are generally
expected late today into tonight. Low pressure will shift east
of the region for Wednesday, bringing gradual clearing and
slightly warmer conditions. Drier conditions are generally
expected through the end of the week with daytime high
temperatures moderating back into the 70s for highs Thursday
through Sunday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 319 AM EDT Tuesday...Vertically stacked low pressure
system centered across srn Quebec remains the controlling
weather feature today and tonight, with improving conditions for
Wednesday as system develops into an open wave and shifts ewd.
The most widespread showers are expected this afternoon into tonight
as shortwave trough rotates sewd from swrn Quebec across nrn NY and
VT (on SW and srn periphery of closed, quasi-stationary mid-level
low over srn Quebec). In the meantime, expecting moist swly low-
level flow to bring mostly cloudy conditions, but just isold showers
or a few sprinkles thru this morning. The best synoptic forcing for
UVV occurs 20-06Z, and should result in additional rainfall amts
between 0.10-0.25" in most locations with shower activity. Activity
will wane/shift southeast of the area after midnight tonight. Winds
will shift into the NW and N toward this evening as trough axis
shifts sewd and thru the forecast area. That said, wind speeds will
generally be 10 mph or less thru the period.
Low inversion tonight brings abundant low clouds thru sunrise/mid-
morning on Wednesday. Should see gradual clearing thereafter with
partly to mostly sunny conditions by afternoon with PBL
deepening/mixing and high June sun angle.
In terms of temperatures...not much warmer than yesterday with
abundant cloudiness keeping today's highs in the 58-63F range (about
10 degrees below 30-year climo averages). Temperatures should fall
back into the mid-upr 40s tonight, and then moderate with afternoon
sun on Wednesday (62-67F for highs).
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 314 AM EDT Tuesday...The region will remain under
primarily northwesterly flow Wednesday night, with a shortwave
ridge transiting the area. By Thursday morning however, a
surface low will track eastward into Quebec, allowing flow over
the North Country to become southwesterly. We'll undergo some
warm air advection under this setup as the southwesterly flow
pulls in some of the warmer air that has been lingering over the
central US. Clouds will increase throughout the day as we remain
on the southern fringes of the weak Canadian low pressure
system. 925 mb temperatures progged in the low to mid teens with
a fair amount of cloud cover around support highs in the upper
60s to low 70s Thursday. By Thursday afternoon, we'll start to
see some spotty showers near the International Border. Thursday
night, a cold front will move through, triggering some
additional spotty showers and bringing down some cooler air
from northeastern Canada.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 314 AM EDT Tuesday...The long term forecast remains fairly
quiet overall with no major systems on the horizon and mainly
seasonal temperatures expected. The main feature of note over
the northeastern US this weekend will be a stalled east-west
oriented frontal boundary over southern NY and southern New
England. South of the boundary will reside a fairly unstable
air mass and a much better chance for precipitation. However,
current thinking is that an upper low over Canada will keep the
front suppressed to our south, preventing the more unstable air
and precipitation from reaching our forecast area. Have
continued some low chance PoPs over the southern fringes of the
forecast area Saturday night to account for any potential
northward shifts in the boundary, however elsewhere have
restricted PoPs to slight chance or below through the weekend.
The beginning of the next work week will feature a building
omega block over the Continental US with a highly amplified ridge
over the central US and troughing over both coasts.
Temperatures over the long term should stay pretty close to
seasonal averages through early next week. By mid next week
however, the pattern looks to shift the warmest air from the
central US further north and east, which would bring above
normal temperatures to Vermont and New York.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 12Z Wednesday...Slow moving low pressure across srn
Quebec will bring a variety of aviation weather conditions to
the North Country TAF sites over the next 24 hrs. Appears the
remainder of this morning will be primarily dry with VFR
ceilings, except localized MVFR-IFR at times at MPV/SLK with
localized upslope effects. HIR TRRN OBSCD at times areawide. A
mid-level shortwave trough rotates sewd around the parent low
this afternoon into this evening, bringing increasing chances
for rain showers at the TAF locations beginning around 18Z at
KMSS, and after 20Z elsewhere. Carried prevailing -SHRA during
the afternoon into the evening hrs associated with better large
scale forcing. Will also see a wind shift, with winds SW 5-10kts
becoming NW-N 5-10kts after 20-21Z. Trend will be toward MVFR
ceilings with intervals of IFR ceilings during the overnight
hours tonight with TRRN OBSCD.
Outlook...
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible early. Slight
chance SHRA. Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...RSD
LONG TERM...RSD
AVIATION...Banacos
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