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July 2016, Week 4

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Subject:
From:
"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Wed, 27 Jul 2016 06:50:01 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
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text/plain (176 lines)
Expires:201607272000;;535505
FPUS51 KBTV 270822
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
420 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016


VTZ006-272000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
420 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 80. 

$$


Expires:201607271100;;540780
ASUS41 KBTV 271030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-271100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      64  59  83 CALM      29.92S                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       57  57 100 CALM      30.00R VSB 3/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       58  57  97 CALM      29.97R VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     59  58  96 MISG      29.94S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       57  56  97 CALM      29.98S VSB<1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      61  61 100 CALM      29.94R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      60  58  92 SE8       29.96S                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      59  57  93 CALM      29.96R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      62  60  96 CALM      29.91S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      58  58  98 S3        29.95S                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      59  57  93 CALM      29.98R FOG              
SUTTON*          N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     59 N/A N/A NW15        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     68  63  83 SE9         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     70  64  83 S13         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     66  64  94 S3          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;534661
FXUS61 KBTV 270808
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
408 AM EDT Wed Jul 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Today will be the warmest day of the week with highs in the 80s to
around 90. A weak disturbance will pass just to our north and may
help kick off a few showers or thunderstorms near the Canadian
border. Better chances for showers and storms arrives on Thursday
as a trough of low pressure moves into the region. Other than a
few showers over the southern areas on Friday...the weekend is
shaping up to be dry with seasonal temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 408 AM EDT Wednesday...Overall should be a relatively quiet
day across the area. We start with a little fog in favored areas
before sunshine develops all areas. The idea of today being the
warmest day of the week looks to be on track with highs in the 80s
to lower 90s. Weak forcing will exist just north of the Canadian
border later in the day and that could result in a few showers or
thunderstorms...but most of the area will stay dry today.

Tonight - Any lingering convection comes to an end early with lows
generally in the 60s. We may be looking at fog developing later
tonight in the typical locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 408 AM EDT Wednesday...Thursday continues to look like the
best day for convection as a more well defined shortwave trough
moves into the region. Like the idea of a chance for thunderstorms
all areas that is already in the current forecast and will
continue with that idea. Deep layer shear is weak and instability
is not that impressive. Thus not anticipating any strong or severe
storms at this time. High temperatures will be in the 80s. Look
for the showers and storms to gradually weaken Thursday night.
Convective potential decreases on Friday and wants to be more
focused down across southern New England with our southern areas
on the fringe of the showers or storms. So most of the area has a
good chance of not seeing anything with high temperatures right
around seasonal normals.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 408 AM EDT Wednesday...Trends in the data continue to
support the idea of a dry west to northwest flow aloft across the
area for the weekend. Will therefore keep Saturday and Sunday dry
with high temperatures right around seasonal normals. Ridging
aloft tries to build in for early next week and this should result
in a warming trend with highs in the 80s for much of the area by
Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Through 06z Thursday...Other than periods of LIFR/VLIFR
conditions at KSLK and KMPV through 13z...VFR conditions are
expected everywhere in the area. There may be a few showers up
near the Canadian Border between 21z and 03z. Winds will generally
be under 10 knots through the period.

Outlook 06z Thursday through Sunday...

06z Thu - 00z Sat: VFR with MVFR/IFR possible in isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms during the daytime Thursday
and Friday.

00z Sat - 00z Mon: VFR.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Evenson/KGM

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