Expires:201606022000;;849206
FPUS51 KBTV 020810
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
409 AM EDT THU JUN 2 2016
VTZ006-022000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
409 AM EDT THU JUN 2 2016
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 80 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
$$
Expires:201606021100;;854579
ASUS41 KBTV 021030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU JUN 02 2016
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-021100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 67 53 61 S10 30.09S
MONTPELIER FAIR 56 49 77 S5 30.21S
MORRISVILLE FAIR 60 49 66 S6 30.16S
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 58 48 69 MISG 30.17S
LYNDONVILLE* MOCLDY 56 48 74 SE6 30.20F
RUTLAND* FAIR 61 51 70 SE10 30.16S
SPRINGFIELD MOCLDY 53 51 93 CALM 30.21R
HIGHGATE* FAIR 66 54 65 S14G23 30.05F
NEWPORT* FAIR 58 49 70 S9 30.16S
BENNINGTON FAIR 61 51 70 CALM 30.16R
SUTTON* N/A 54 N/A N/A MISG N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 50 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 55 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 50 N/A N/A W16 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 66 57 72 SE23 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 64 57 77 S24 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 64 55 72 S20 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;850583
FXUS61 KBTV 020838
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
438 AM EDT THU JUN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
Ridge of high pressure slides east of the North Country this
morning followed by a weak cold front that will cross the area
this evening into the first half of Friday with scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms. High pressure and mainly dry weather
then return Friday night before a trend toward cooler, more
unsettled weather arrives from Sunday onward into the early
portions of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 438 AM EDT Thursday...Scattered rain showers will move into
the St Lawrence valley this morning, ahead of a cold front
approaching from the west. Pressure gradient increasing as front
closes in, resulting in increasing southerly winds and a low level
jet that will help produce gusty winds at the surface.
Increasing clouds, southerly flow with influx of warming air
ahead of the front and 925mb temperatures around 20C will see
surface max temperatures reach the 70s to around 80. Warm
temperatures, increasing moisture with PWATS greater than 1.5
inches possible will help showers produce brief period of moderate
rainfall. NAM and GFS indicating a touch of instability, mainly in
the St Lawrence valley today. Therefore expect any thunderstorms
to be isolated.
Heading into tonight, mostly cloudy conditions and the
aforementioned cold front will pick up eastward momentum. Expect
the front to be weakening as it traverse across the North Country
tonight, exiting Northern NY Friday morning. Winds will shift
southwest to west in the wake of the front. Overnight lows will
generally range from 50F to the low 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 406 AM EDT Thursday...A weakening frontal system will be
over Vermont on Friday, so will go with low chance pops for
showers and thunderstorms from central and eastern Vermont
southward on Friday. A weak ridge of high pressure will build into
the region Friday night and Saturday, and will linger over the
region Saturday night. ECMWF and GFS models showing some timing
differences late Saturday night, with the GFS bringing in showers
to the region by daybreak on Sunday. The ECMWF model keeps a dry
forecast Saturday night. Have opted to go with the slower ECMWF
model solution and keep Saturday night dry.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 406 AM EDT Thursday...ECMWF and GFS models in good
agreement through the period, as models showing a closed upper low
and upper trough over the Great Lakes and southern Canada through
the period. This will give a chance of showers to the region from
Sunday through Wednesday. Superblend pops have a good handle on
this, so have stuck with them. Temperatures look to be near or
slightly below normal through the period.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/...
Through 06z Friday...VFR conditions continue through most of
Thursday with MVFR conditions possible in showers developing ahead
of a cold front approaching from the west. This front will bring a
threat of showers for all sites with thunderstorms possible for
the western New York TAF sites. Expect showers to affect KMSS/KSLK
mid to late morning and be slow to progress eastward, with chance
of showers/VCSH reaching the Champlain Valley after 18Z, then
KMPV/KRUT after 00Z/Fri. Front looks to weaken as it moves across
the North Country tonight decreasing potential for showers.
This morning a low level jet will funnel up the Saint Lawrence
with winds 30-40kts between 1500-2000ft resulting in low level
wind shear at KMSS. Southerly winds increase after sunrise,
becoming gusty in the afternoon. Gusts as high as 20-25kts will
develop across most TAF sites during through the evening hours.
Gusts subside after sunset.
Outlook 06z Friday through Monday...
06Z Friday through 00Z Saturday...VFR/MVFR with showers/isolated
T-storms possible for the eastern TAF locations. VFR expected for
northern New York.
00Z Saturday through 12z Sunday...VFR/high pressure. Potential
LIFR mist/fog each evening.
Sunday onward...MVFR to perhaps local IFR with rain and stratus.
&&
.MARINE...
As of 438 AM EDT Thursday...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY MORNING...
Winds and waves will continue to increase this morning, posing a
potential hazard to small craft. Tightening pressure gradient is
developing ahead of approaching weak cold front. This will result
in wind speeds of 15 to 25 knots out of the south this morning,
with gusts around 30 knots developing midday, outside of any rain
shower or possible thunderstorm activity. Choppy to occasionally
rough lake conditions are expected after sunrise, especially on
the broad lake and in bays/inlets with open southerly exposures.
Wave heights around 1 to 3 feet with locally values to 4 feet in
the broad lake north of Willsboro and Shelburne Points are
expected today.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KGM/Loconto
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...KGM
MARINE...KGM
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