Expires:202103132100;;901786
FPUS51 KBTV 131129
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
626 AM EST Sat Mar 13 2021
VTZ018-132100-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
626 AM EST Sat Mar 13 2021
.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Snow accumulation around an inch possible. Lows in the
lower 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Total snow accumulation around an inch possible. Windy with highs
in the upper 20s. Temperature falling to around 16 in the
afternoon. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Windy with
lows around 3 above. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up
to 45 mph. Wind chill values as low as 21 below.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny and blustery. Highs 12 to 18. Northwest
winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill values as
low as 21 below.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows zero to 5 above zero.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Windy with highs around 40. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Windy with lows in the lower 20s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Windy with highs in the upper 20s.
$$
Expires:202103131200;;901894
ASUS41 KBTV 131130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2021
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-131200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON PTCLDY 22 10 60 NW8 30.27R WCI 12
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 19 12 74 W13 30.20R WCI 6
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 20 10 65 NW7 30.21R WCI 11
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 21 12 68 MISG 30.14R
LYNDONVILLE* LGT SNOW 19 12 75 W13G23 30.15R WCI 6
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 21 10 61 N7 30.25R WCI 13
RUTLAND* CLEAR 22 10 60 NW5 30.22R WCI 16
SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 25 7 46 NW10G26 30.19R WCI 15
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 21 8 57 W7 30.30R WCI 12
NEWPORT* LGT SNOW 19 12 76 W12G25 30.18R WCI 6
BENNINGTON CLEAR 24 7 48 NW6 30.23R WCI 17
LAKE EDEN* N/A 16 N/A N/A S3 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 23 14 68 W9G18 N/A WCI 13
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 25 12 58 NW17 N/A WCI 11
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 27 12 54 NW8 N/A WCI 18
$$
Expires:No;;894962
FXUS61 KBTV 130859
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
359 AM EST Sat Mar 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Seasonably cold and brisk conditions will be the rule across the
North Country through Monday as northwesterly winds prevail. An
embedded upper level disturbance will bring scattered snow
shower activity to the North Country tonight into Sunday
morning. Snowfall accumulations will generally be less than an
inch in valley locations, but several inches of snow are
possible across the northern Green Mountains. The coldest
temperatures of this stretch are expected on Monday, with
rapidly moderating temperatures forecast for Tuesday and
Wednesday next week. Present indications suggest generally dry
weather for much of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 322 AM EST Saturday...Lingering low clouds and flurries
will rapidly dissipate early this evening as shortwave trough
translates east of VT as low-level drying continues. Low-level
CAA has been strong overnight, with temperatures falling back
into the teens across much of northern NY and into the low-mid
20s across VT at 08Z. Will see gusty NW winds gradually diminish
later this morning with increasing sunshine expected (and mostly
sunny conditions from late morning through afternoon). High
temperatures will be notably cooler than recent days, generally
in the low- mid 30s, except upper 20s across the northern
Adirondacks.
Next embedded shortwave trough in northwest flow arrives tonight
with strong 700-500mb height falls noted. Should see widespread
light snow shower activity develop after 03Z Sunday, and
persist through the overnight hours. Orographic ascent and
developing shallow daytime instability should allow scattered snow
showers to persist thru Sunday across the higher terrain,
especially for the central and northern Green Mtns. Should see
snowfall amts of 0.5"-1" across valley locations, with snow-to-
liquid ratios a fluffy 20:1. Orographic ascent brings 1-3"
snowfall to the higher terrain, and possibly locally higher for
the summits from Mt. Mansfield to Jay Peak (3-5") by late
afternoon on Sunday. Abundant clouds will keep overnight lows
in the low- mid 20s, except a few upper teens across the
Northern Adirondacks and far nern VT.
Brisk NW winds will be the main story on Sunday, with next surge
of low-level CAA and steep lapse rates promoting strong low-
level mixing. Widespread NW winds 15-25 mph expected for the
daylight hours Sunday, with gusts up to 35 mph, especially on
the ern slopes of the Adirondacks and Green Mtns. High
temperatures on Sunday generally in the upper 20s to lower 30s,
with a few mid 30s possible across s-central VT. Sunny breaks
are possible in valley locations later in the day.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EST Saturday...The back side of the upper trough
pulls east Sunday night with northern mountain snow showers
gradually ending by Monday morning as sprawling 1030+ hPa
surface high builds into the region. Given persistent and gusty
gradient northwest flow have leaned just a tad warmer than
blended guidance for overnight lows - generally offering +/-
single digits to near 10F in the Champlain Valley/southern VT.
Then partly to mostly sunny and unseasonably cold for Monday, though
winds will trend light with aforementioned high nearly overhead. I'm
going to go out on a limb and suggest this will be the coldest day
until next November or December as highs struggle into the mid teens
to lower 20s, and lows Tuesday morning mainly +/- single digits -
tough to do for mid-March.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 300 AM EST Saturday...The general trends from Tuesday
onward into later next week suggest an overall quiet weather
pattern as temperatures moderate considerably. Latest guidance
supports the idea that two separate and moderating southern
Canada high pressure systems will build southward and
essentially act to shunt any north/northeastward progression of
central US systems attempting to ride toward the region.
Consensus is now solid that a weakening feature will ride into
the area later Tuesday night into the first half of Wednesday,
then some lingering uncertainty during the Thursday/Friday time
frame on how far northeast another low pressure system makes it
into our area. For now I've offered decaying slight chance PoPs
for some light snow shower activity for the first system, then
capped values mainly from 25-35% for Thu/Fri. As mentioned
above, temperatures will moderate quickly after Monday, topping
out in the 30s to around 40 on Tuesday, and in the 40s to around
50 for Wed/Thu. Toward the back end of the week there is some
evidence of a mainly dry frontal passage associated with the
second high pressure system off to our north, allowing
temperatures to cool back into the 30s by Fri/Sat.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 12Z Saturday...Second axis of snow shower activity
moving swd from southern Quebec will bring periods of 2-4SM
in light snow shower activity through 09Z at BTV/PBG/MPV/SLK.
Otherwise BKN-OVC VFR ceilings will prevail through the
overnight before scattering out after sunrise. NW winds will
remain strong, with gusts generally 20-30kt through 12-15Z this
morning. Should see winds NW 10-12kt with gusts to 20kt during
the late morning through afternoon hours on Saturday, along with
VFR conditions areawide. Additional light snow showers are
possible Saturday night, mainly after 03Z, and may result in
intervals of MVFR or IFR conditions.
Outlook...
Sunday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. Chance SHSN.
Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Wednesday: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Banacos
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