Expires:201406212000;;748929
FPUS51 KBTV 211026
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
626 AM EDT SAT JUN 21 2014

VTZ006-212000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
626 AM EDT SAT JUN 21 2014
.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 80. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. 
$$

Expires:201406211100;;749099
ASUS41 KBTV 211030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT JUN 21 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-211100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   47  44  90 CALM      29.99S                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       42  42 100 CALM      30.06S VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    42  41  96 CALM      30.01S FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     43  41  93 MISG      29.98S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      42  40  91 CALM      30.00S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      47  47 100 CALM      29.99R                  
RUTLAND*       PTSUNNY   46  43  87 SE5       30.00F                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOSUNNY   43  42  97 CALM      30.01R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      51  48  90 CALM      29.98S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      42  41  95 CALM      29.99S                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     44  42  93 CALM      30.03R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     41 N/A N/A NW9         N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     55  50  82 SE7         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     54  50  87 SE7         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     52  48  87 SE5         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;749259
FXUS61 KBTV 211046
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
646 AM EDT SAT JUN 21 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...DRY WEATHER AND TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A RETURN TO WARMER
AND MORE HUMID SUMMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON
TUESDAY...WITH A MORE WIDESPREAD THREAT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 645 AM EDT SATURDAY...OVERALL FORECAST HOLDING UP WELL WITH
THE ONLY CHANGES MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND
BLEND WITH TRENDS.
EARLY-MORNING VISIBLE IMAGERY...AREA WEBCAMS AND SFC OBS SHOW
AREAS OF RIVER VALLEY FOG IN CENTRAL VERMONT THIS MORNING. ANY FOG
THAT DEVELOPED WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY AS MIXING GETS GOING UNDER THE
HIGHEST SUN ANGLE OF THE YEAR. THIN CIRRUS HAS SPILLED INTO
VERMONT...BUT THE BULK OF ANY SCT CLOUDINESS TODAY WILL RESULT
FROM A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED JUST NORTH OF MONTREAL DEVELOPING
FAIR WX CUMULUS CLOUDS BY AFTERNOON WITH BASES AROUND 5-6 KFT.
LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO RISE QUICKLY THIS MORNING UNDER THE
STRONG INSOLATION...AND IT SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BE A GREAT DAY FOR
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES TODAY WITH COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS FOR LATE
JUNE AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
PREVIOUS NEAR-TERM DISCUSSION ISSUED AT 342 AM EDT FOLLOWS...
IT'S ESSENTIALLY A PERSISTENCE TYPE FORECAST WITH CONDITIONS
SIMILAR TO THAT YESTERDAY: DRY WITH TEMPERATURES A COUPLE DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE JUNE. A MID- LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW
EVIDENT IN WV IMAGERY OVER NORTH- CENTRAL QUEBEC PROVINCE WILL
DIVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY. ITS ASSOCIATED COLD POOL COMBINED
WITH A SHALLOW LAYER OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL HELP DRIVE AN
INCREASE IN FAIR WX CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH OVERALL COVERAGE BEING
ABOUT THE SAME AS YESTERDAY. STILL HAVE NORTHERLY WINDS
TODAY...AND ALTHOUGH BUFKIT FCST SOUNDINGS ONCE AGAIN REVEAL WELL
MIXED LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES THE MIXED LAYER FLOW IS WEAKER THAN
YESTERDAY WHICH SHOULD LIMIT GUSTS. THERMAL PROFILES ARE A COUPLE
DEGREES WARMER BUT OPTED TO GO A DEGREE OR TWO COLDER THAN MOS FOR
TODAY'S HIGHS WITH THE CLOUDS AROUND. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOW/MID 70S. ALL IN ALL...ANOTHER VERY NICE DAY TO OPEN THE
WEEKEND.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 342 AM EDT SATURDAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATES SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF MAINE LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. SYNOPTICALLY QUIESCENT CONDITIONS THEREAFTER WITH
SIMILAR SENSIBLE WX EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THRU SUNDAY
NIGHT...WITH DAYTIME FAIR WX CUMULUS BURNING OFF BY EVENING TO
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND STRONG NOCTURNAL COOLING. DEWPOINTS WILL BE
SLOWLY RISING AS WELL. THAT SHOULD RESULT IN CROSSOVER
TEMPERATURES BECOMING MORE READILY MET OVERNIGHT AND ALLOW FOR
AREAS OF RIVER VALLEY FOG EACH EVENING. SO I'VE KEPT MENTION OF
PATCHY FOG IN THE FAVORED RIVER VALLEY FOG LOCATIONS EACH EVENING.
850 MB TEMPS RISE TO +8 TO +10C BY SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S
(HIGHEST IN THE VALLEYS AND COOLER IN THE MOUNTAINS). UNDER STRONG
RADIATIONAL COOLING LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
READINGS A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER ON SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE MID-LEVEL PATTERN THEN TURNS MORE ZONAL MONDAY WITH CONDITIONS 
BEGINNING TO FEEL MORE LIKE SUMMER. THE NORTH COUNTRY IS UNDER 
MODEST GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT RISES FOR MONDAY...THOUGH INTERESTINGLY 
THE NAM AND SREF MEAN SHOW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING 
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND THE ADIRONDACKS MONDAY AFTERNOON. THERE 
IS SOME VERY MODEST INSTABILITY (CAPES UNDER 200 J/KG)...BUT I'M 
LEANING TOWARD A DRY FORECAST HOWEVER GIVEN THE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT 
RISES AND NIL SFC CONVERGENCE. HIGHS MONDAY SHOULD TOP OUT INTO THE 
70S TO LOW/MID 80S GIVEN 850 TEMPS OF +12 TO +14C AND MOSTLY SUNNY 
SKIES.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 359 AM EDT SATURDAY...INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID WEATHER IS 
EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY WITH AN ISOLD THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NRN NY. MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ALONG A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. A
RETURN TO DRIER AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. DETAILS FOLLOW.
DEVELOPING SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH THE LOW TO 
MID-TROPOSPHERE WILL BRING WARMER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS MONDAY 
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S...WARMEST IN THE CHAMPLAIN AND ST. LAWRENCE 
VALLEYS. WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES WARMING TO +15 TO +16C...HIGHS ON 
TUESDAY WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 80S UNDER PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. 
SLIGHT MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND A WEAK BOUNDARY NEAR THE ST. 
LAWRENCE VALLEY MAY RESULT IN A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS/TSTMS...MAINLY 
ACROSS NORTHERN NY AND NWRN VT. THE 00Z GFS INDICATES SBCAPE VALUES 
OF 1000-1500 J/KG ACROSS THE REGION WITH DAYTIME HEATING...AND W-SW 
0-6KM BULK SHEAR AROUND 40 KTS. MAY SEE A FEW STRONGER STORMS...AND 
WILL NEED TO MONITOR. WILL INCLUDE MENTION OF SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY 
WINDS FOR THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. 
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN SWLY FLOW AND THE SFC FRONTAL 
BOUNDARY SAGGING SEWD ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL RESULT IN MORE 
WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR THE DAYLIGHT HOURS 
WEDNESDAY. CARRIED THE HIGHEST POPS DURING THIS PERIOD OF 50-70 
PERCENT. TEMPERATURES ARE A BIT UNCERTAIN...BUT ASSUMING SOME 
PARTIAL SUNSHINE SHOULD SEE HIGHS IN THE UPR 70S TO LOWER 80S. MAY 
SEE A FEW STRONGER STORMS ON WEDNESDAY...INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR 
DOWNPOURS (PW VALUES REACH 1.8-1.9" AT 00Z THURSDAY PER 00Z GFS
SOLUTION). SHORTWAVE TROUGH GRADUALLY PULLS AWAY WITH DECREASING
POPS AND TSTM CHANCES DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SHOULD SEE LOWS
55-60F DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SFC ANTICYCLONE SHIFTING EWD FROM
THE GREAT LAKES THU-FRI SHOULD RESULT IN DRIER CONDITIONS WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL LEVELS (UPR 70S TO
LOWER 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS).
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY...VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SCATTERED
CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...ALONG WITH SCT050 DURING THE
14-22Z PERIOD ASSOCIATED WITH FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS...AND
GENERALLY NNW 5-10 KTS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HRS. WINDS LOCALLY NE
5-10 KT AT PBG.
OUTLOOK 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
CONTINUED VFR THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A FEW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A COLD FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY. BRIEF
PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWERS/TSTM ACTIVITY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...LOCONTO
NEAR TERM...LOCONTO
SHORT TERM...LOCONTO
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BANACOS

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