Expires:202304021800;;097603
FPUS51 KBTV 021020
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
616 AM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023
VTZ018-021800-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
616 AM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023
.TODAY...Partly sunny this morning, then clearing. Highs in the
lower 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph,
decreasing to 30 mph this afternoon.
.TONIGHT...Clear until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy.
Lows around 19. Northwest winds around 10 mph until midnight,
becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 40s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Highs in the upper
40s. Lows in the lower 40s. Chance of rain 90 percent.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the mid 40s.
$$
Expires:202304021100;;097886
ASUS41 KBTV 021030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN APR 02 2023
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-021100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 29 16 58 N21G37 29.81R WCI 16
MONTPELIER FLURRIES 28 18 66 NW25G37 29.73R WCI 13
MORRISVILLE LGT SNOW 29 19 66 N16G28 29.74R WCI 17
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 33 21 61 MISG 29.64R
LYNDONVILLE* FLURRIES 29 22 75 NW20G29 29.66R WCI 16
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 31 20 62 N16G25 29.76R WCI 20
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 33 25 72 NW23 29.68R WCI 21
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 36 25 64 NW8G21 29.68R WCI 30
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 29 11 46 NW8G21 29.82R WCI 21
NEWPORT* MOCLDY 27 16 63 NW18G26 29.72R WCI 13
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 36 24 62 N7G17 29.70R WCI 30
LAKE EDEN* N/A 27 N/A N/A NW3 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 7 N/A N/A CALM N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 32 21 64 N31 N/A WCI 17
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 32 21 64 NW23G36 N/A WCI 19
$$
Expires:No;;090199
FXUS61 KBTV 020758
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
358 AM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Cool, breezy, and dry for today into tonight. A clipper system
will bring scattered shower activity Monday afternoon with a
cold front washing out over the area. Mild weather is expected
much of the week with the next widespread precipitation expected
Wednesday into Thursday. Somewhat cooler conditions with dry
high pressure will start off the upcoming weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 314 AM EDT Sunday...Sunny and cool today, with breezy northwest
winds. Top of the mixed layer forecast this afternoon suggests sub-
zero dewpoints are possible this afternoon, and also noting these
conditions presently over northern Quebec Province. Initially,
temperatures will struggle to warm against the 15 to 25 mph
northwest winds, but these winds slacken in the afternoon. This
should allow us to slightly moderate and given how dry it is, have
nudged forecast highs towards the mid 30s to upper 30s. Winds will
trend calm, and allow some radiational cooling, but high clouds
shift overhead shortly after midnight. So anticipate temperatures in
the teens in the Adirondacks and much of eastern Vermont, with 20s
in the broader valleys.
A clipper system will race eastwards on Monday. Its warm front
translates east during the morning. Low pressure tracks from
Montreal to Quebec City in the afternoon with the cold front
dragging through during the evening before ultimately washing out to
our south. The frontal forcing and synoptic scale forcing for ascent
are decent for such a compact system, but the strength of dry air
will prevent appreciable precipitation. Efficient warm advection
ahead of the clipper system will bring temperatures into the upper
40s to mid 50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 357 AM EDT Sunday...For Monday night, a mid-level shortwave
trough is expected to pass to our north and east across southern
Quebec. An attendant surface cold front will push south across nrn
NY and VT, eventually settling near the VT/MA border and in the
Capital District of New York Tuesday morning. A narrow axis of
0.5-0.75" PW values is expected to accompany the front, and overall
the limited moisture and absence of deeper layer forcing (as mid-
level trough stays north) will keep any precipitation light.
Indicated PoPs 30-50% during the first half of Monday night for
frontal rain showers, decreasing late as bndry pushes to our south.
Looking for rainfall amts generally 0.10" or less. Snow levels
gradually decrease to near 2000' overnight Monday night, so could
see some light accumulation with -SW across the higher summits of
the Adirondacks and southern Green Mtns. Low temperatures Monday
night generally in the mid-to-upper 30s, except lower 30s across the
Adirondacks and Vermont's Northeast Kingdom. Light north winds and
sfc ridging encroaching southward from Quebec into far nrn NY and VT
on Tuesday will result in partial clearing but a seasonably cool
day. 850mb temperatures of -1C to -3C support daytime highs Tuesday
from the upper 40s along the intl border, to near 51F at BTV, and
into the lower 50s across the valleys of central and south-central
Vermont. Only a slight chance of a rain shower (20% PoP) across
Rutland and Windsor counties as sfc stationary bndry is expected to
be south of the forecast area.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 357 AM EDT Sunday...Good consistency between Canadian/ECMWF/GFS
and run-to-run consistency for the mid-late week period. Still
expecting a deep trough and vigorous cyclogenesis across the central
Plains and upper MS River valley Tuesday night into Wednesday. For
NY and northern New England, we'll gradually see stationary bndry
lift back northward as the eastern extension of a warm front later
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Anticipate increasing cloud cover
Tuesday night, and developing warm frontal precipitation late
Tuesday night into Wednesday. May see air mass initially cold enough
for a rain/snow mix, especially across central/ern VT during the
pre-dawn hours Wednesday. Can't rule out a light snow accumulation.
Strengthening S-SW winds, moderately strong in the Champlain Valley
(gusts up to 35 mph), will allow temperatures to warm well into the
50s in the Champlain Valley, and lower 60s across St. Lawrence
County by Wednesday afternoon. May see some continued cooler air
remaining in place east of the Green Mtns. That said, looking for
increasing chances for rain Wednesday (PoPs 80-90%) as best QG
forcing arrives later in the day.
Cold front gradually pushes ewd across our region Wednesday
night into Thursday morning, with a developing clearing and
drying trend. Should remain mild Thursday with highs 55-60F.
However, WNWLY flow and low-level CAA will result in cooler
conditions for Friday with highs potentially only in the mid 40s
with a brisk nwly wind.
Surface high pressure should build
ewd from the Great Lakes into NY and New England Friday night into
Saturday with diminishing wind and continued dry wx conditions.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Surface cold front continues to shift
south, with ceilings between 1500 and 2800 ft agl, with some
pockets of VFR conditions. A few light showers linger in
central New York state and the southern half of Vermont, but
should exit over the course of the next couple hours. Ceilings
will rise and clouds will scatter over the next 6 hours with
northwest winds at 9 to 15 knots and gusts 20 to 28 knots. After
15z, winds begin to slacken, and trend light and variable after
00z. High clouds roll in from the west and winds become
southerly beyond 06z Monday.
Outlook...
Monday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. Chance SHRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Definite SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with gusts
to 30 kt. Chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Haynes
NEAR TERM...Haynes
SHORT TERM...Banacos
LONG TERM...Banacos
AVIATION...Haynes
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