Expires:202105092000;;826358
FPUS51 KBTV 090715
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
311 AM EDT Sun May 9 2021
VTZ018-092000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
311 AM EDT Sun May 9 2021
.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Light and variable
winds.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of light rain until
midnight, then a chance of light rain after midnight. Lows in the
lower 40s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of light rain in the morning,
then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower
50s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely or a chance of snow showers.
Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the lower 50s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 50s.
$$
Expires:202105091100;;834584
ASUS41 KBTV 091031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 09 2021
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-091100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON PTCLDY 44 36 73 CALM 29.95R
MONTPELIER PTCLDY 42 36 79 NW9 29.95R
MORRISVILLE PTCLDY 41 38 89 CALM 29.93R
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 37 35 90 CALM 29.95R
RUTLAND* CLEAR 37 37 100 SE6 29.96R
SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 36 34 92 CALM 29.95R
HIGHGATE* FAIR 46 37 73 CALM 29.94R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 44 40 85 CALM 29.91R
BENNINGTON CLEAR 43 38 82 SW12 29.97R
ISLAND POND* N/A 41 N/A N/A NW3 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 37 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 43 N/A N/A S5 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 34 N/A N/A W29 N/A WCI 20
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 46 37 71 NW1 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 45 41 87 N1 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;827802
FXUS61 KBTV 090800
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
400 AM EDT Sun May 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
A mix of sun and clouds will give away to mostly cloudy skies
this afternoon with scattered light rain showers possible.
Additional light rain is likely across southern Vermont
overnight this evening, before additional terrain driven showers
develop on Monday afternoon. Temperatures will continue to be
below normal for daytime highs with values in the upper 50s to
mid 60s, while lows will be in the 40s. A cool and unsettled
pattern continues into Tuesday of this upcoming week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 340 AM EDT Sunday...Water vapor indicating we remain in
cyclonic nw flow aloft with pocket of mid/upper lvl subsidence
overhead, while llvl moisture is trapped acrs northern NY. These
low clouds should dissipate by 15z, but expecting additional
mid/upper lvl clouds to race eastward ahead of next system
located over the midwest. Latest guidance is consistent is
showing best moisture/dynamics sliding to our south in fast
westerly flow aloft. Progressive nature of system, no closed
5h/7h circulations and pws <0.50" wl result in just light rain,
mainly acrs Rutland/Windsor Counties toward 00z this evening.
Have continued with the idea of likely pops for our southern VT
counties with chc pops further north and schc near the
international border. Qpf is a couple hundreths acrs central VT
and up to 0.15 near VSF. Have noted HRRR/NAM 3KM and RAP have
weak instability developing on northern extend of clouds shield
acrs northern dacks with some composite reflectivity returns,
mainly driven by trrn this aftn. Have mention some schc/low chc
pops to cover this potential for a pop up shower, given
instability and steep sfc to 3 km >7.5 C/km. Forcing and overall
deep layer moisture is limited, so this wl result in minimal
areal coverage. Progged 925mb temps warm a degree or two from
yesterday, with values in the 6-7C range, supporting upper 50s
to mid 60s most locations. Tonight, clouds and light rain wl
keep temps mainly in the 40s to near 50f most locations with
highest pops acrs Rutland/Windsor Counties. On Monday, any
lingering moisture quickly exits our fa, associated with
westerly 5h jet of 50 to 70 knots. Meanwhile, potent northern
stream 5h vort wl approach western cwa by 18z, combined with
developing instability from cool pool aloft, expect pop up
showers to develop. High pops wl be acrs the northern dacks into
the Green Mtns of central/northern VT btwn 16z-22z Monday. The
lack of deep layer moisture and limited instability with cape
values in the 200 to 400 j/kg, wl minimize convective updrafts
and overall coverage of showers. Have chc pops with qpf up to
0.10 in the heaviest activity. Temps are once again in the mid
50s to lower 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 340 AM EDT Sunday...Convective rain showers will wane Monday
night as daytime heating is lost and relatively drier air advects in
from the west. However, the upper low will pass overhead the North
Country on Tuesday bringing a return of rain showers, especially in
the afternoon. At the same, cold air advection will continue under
west/northwest flow, keeping temperatures cool. Early morning lows
on Tuesday will be in the mid 30s to low 40s and daytime highs only
in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Winds will be fairly breezy with
sustained wind speeds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts up to 20 mph. Rain
showers will likely linger overnight into Wednesday morning,
becoming terrain driven and transitioning to snow at or above 2000
ft AGL. Overall, rainfall will be light with totals less than one
quarter of an inch. Temperatures will be chilly overnight Tuesday
into Wednesday, and frost is possible across the Adirondacks and
east of the Green Mountains where low temperatures will be near
freezing. Within the Saint Lawrence and Champlain Valleys low
temperatures are expected in the upper 30s to low 40s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 340 AM EDT Sunday...A gradual warming trend will begin on
Wednesday as the upper low finally departs eastward, but not before
swinging one last shortwave through the area late Wednesday. This
will result in a chance of light rain Wednesday afternoon/evening,
especially across the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont. High
temperatures on Wednesday will be in the 50s to low 60s. Dry weather
is then expected thereafter as ridging builds in from the west. At
this time, Thursday looks to be the pick of the week with sunny
skies and highs in the mid to upper 60s. As we head into the end of
the week, model guidance offers a wide variety of solutions.
Therefore, have kept with the previous forecast of chance of rain
and partly cloudy skies each day. Temperatures look to remain near
normal during this time with highs in the 60s and overnight lows in
the 40s.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Taf challenge overnight will be mvfr and
potential ifr at slk/mss associated with low stratus clouds and
some br. Crnt obs have been variable btwn mvfr/vfr but expect as
subsidence inversion develops, cloud layer will approach ifr
conditions toward 08z, especially slk and lower prob at mss.
These mvfr/ifr conditions wl improve by 12z Sunday. Elsewhere,
vfr cigs/vis expected overnight and continue into Sunday. Winds
generally west/northwest 3 to 6 knots, becoming light and
variable on Sunday with intervals of mid/upper lvl clouds
likely.
Outlook...
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Scattered SHRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Scattered SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Hammond
LONG TERM...Hammond
AVIATION...Taber
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