Expires:202003072100;;625094
FPUS51 KBTV 071024
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
520 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2020
VTZ006-072100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
520 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2020
.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly
cloudy. Lows around 16. Northwest winds around 10 mph, becoming
west after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of rain
90 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of
rain 90 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Highs in
the upper 30s. Chance of snow 40 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
$$
Expires:202003071200;;627593
ASUS41 KBTV 071130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT MAR 07 2020
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-071200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON FAIR 19 10 68 N13 30.26R WCI 6
MONTPELIER FAIR 18 6 59 N10 30.18R WCI 6
MORRISVILLE FAIR 19 8 62 N13 30.21R WCI 6
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 19 7 59 MISG 30.14R
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 16 8 70 NW14 30.15R WCI 1
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 17 11 75 N12G20 30.22R WCI 5
RUTLAND* FAIR 17 13 84 N9G16 30.15R WCI 6
SPRINGFIELD FAIR 24 4 42 N14G21 30.10R WCI 12
HIGHGATE* FAIR 19 10 67 N10G16 30.30R WCI 7
NEWPORT* FAIR 15 8 75 N13 30.20R WCI 1
BENNINGTON FAIR 21 11 65 N16G24 30.11R WCI 7
ISLAND POND* N/A 14 N/A N/A NW7 N/A WCI 4
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 14 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 16 N/A N/A NE3 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 5 N/A N/A W20G36 N/A WCI -15
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 21 14 73 NW9G15 N/A WCI 11
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 23 14 68 N25 N/A WCI 7
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 25 14 63 NW18G29 N/A WCI 11
$$
Expires:No;;627164
FXUS61 KBTV 071122
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
622 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
A seasonably cool day is on tap with highs in the mid 20s to
low 30s. Conditions will be breezy with mostly clear skies,
today. The North Country quickly warms well above normal with
mid to upper 40s on Sunday and many areas in the 50s on Monday.
Our next weather system arrives on Tuesday with widespread
rainfall possible. Continued off and on chances for
precipitation will continue throughout the next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 609 AM EST Saturday...Mostly clear skies with some remnant
mid-level clouds and a band of upper clouds moving east. Current
temperatures are in the upper teens to near 20. The forecast is
in good shape and made only minor modifications.
Cold air advection will be competing with our increasing solar
angle during the day. Most areas should see highs around 30-32
degrees and a bit warmer in the Connecticut River Valley, where
high temps should reach the upper 30s. 10 to 15 mph winds will
remain throughout much of the day. After 5 PM, these winds
should taper off and begin to turn south to southwesterly as an
upper ridge quickly reestablishes return flow into the North
Country. Thus, lows outside the Northeast Kingdom only fall into
the upper teens to lower 20s. A few cold hollows in the
Northeast Kingdom will still likely hit the single digits.
For Sunday, some upper moisture will be streaming eastward along a
warm conveyor belt of a low in the Intermountain West. This moisture
is above 10000ft agl, and there is considerable dry air beneath it.
Thus, only expecting an increase in high clouds along the International
Border. Could a few snowflakes fall over Jay Peak early Sunday
morning? Certainly plausible (20% PoP). For the rest of the region,
expect to see some virga on radar. Afternoon highs climb into the
40s over the region with some spot 50s in our southern valley regions.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 232 AM EST Saturday...Quiet weather continues for Sunday
night into Monday as we remain on the northern periphery of
strong ridging off the southeastern US seaboard. Some occasional
mid to high level cloud cover will drift west to east across
the area under the anticyclonic flow aloft with higher coverage
expected across northern counties on Monday as a warm front
develops to our north in southern ON/QE. Temperatures will
return to very mild levels with overnight lows on Sunday in the
upper 20s to mid 30s and corresponding highs on Monday ranging
from the upper 40s to lower 50s far north and solidly in the 50s
elsewhere. No precipitation is expected.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 232 AM EST Saturday...A more active stretch of weather
then evolves during the middle and later portions of next week
as a series of low pressure systems affects the Mid-Atlantic and
Northeast. The first system will arrive later Monday night and
especially on Tuesday as it tracks east from the Great Lakes and
into the SLV. Thermal profiles are generally warm enough such
that p-type shouldn't be a concern with mainly light rain and/or
rain showers being offered during this time frame. Some modest
snowmelt is also expected, though rainfall is not expected to be
heavy enough to cause widespread flooding (a third to three
quarters of an inch). However, solid, mainly within-bank rises
are forecast so conditions will be monitored. Mild temperatures
continue with Tuesday highs from the upper 40s to mid 50s.
System then exits east Tuesday night with any lingering showers
tapering off over time and possibly ending as a little light snow,
especially in elevated terrain. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Looking further out the forecast becomes somewhat more uncertain due
to timing differences among the 00Z global model output. Overall a
progressive pattern will continue under fairly fast zonal flow and
seasonably mild temperatures - not uncommon as we begin to pull out
of deep winter and march toward early spring. Several other systems
of weak to modest strength will likely affect the region with on and
off rain/snow shower activity, though PoPs will be capped in the
chance category given aforementioned model discrepancies and
relatively light precipitation.
&&
.AVIATION /11Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 12Z Sunday...Conditions VFR throughout the period with
clouds AOA 10000ft agl. Sustained winds of 5 to 15 knots out of
the north will become more northwesterly. Wind speeds slowly
decrease throughout the day. Around 21Z to 00Z, winds will begin
to become south to southwesterly around 5 knots or less. From
about 05Z to 11Z, 30kt to 40kt winds out of the WNW at 2000ft
agl will likely result in LLWS across all terminals except BTV.
Outlook...
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance RA.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Definite RA,
Definite SHRA.
Tuesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA, Slight
chance SHSN.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Haynes
NEAR TERM...Haynes
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Haynes
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