Expires:201805152000;;980901
FPUS51 KBTV 150649
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
246 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
VTZ006-152000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
246 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
.TODAY...Occasional showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph, becoming northwest this afternoon. Chance of rain
90 percent.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers until midnight. Patchy
fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds around
10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable. Chance of rain
30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Light and variable winds,
becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain
60 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s.
$$
Expires:201805151100;;989868
ASUS41 KBTV 151030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-151100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 66 56 70 S8 29.74F
MONTPELIER MOCLDY 53 51 93 CALM 29.81F
MORRISVILLE FAIR 49 47 93 CALM 29.77F
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 49 47 93 MISG 29.78S
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 49 46 88 CALM 29.80F
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 64 56 75 S9 29.79R
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 56 51 84 SE8 29.81S
SPRINGFIELD FAIR 51 50 96 CALM 29.83R
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 62 54 74 S5 29.75R
NEWPORT* FAIR 51 47 88 CALM 29.77F
BENNINGTON FAIR 54 52 93 CALM 29.83R
ISLAND POND* N/A 43 N/A N/A E2 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 46 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 50 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 55 N/A N/A SW22 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 55 50 82 SW9G15 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 59 48 67 S20 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 59 54 82 SW8 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;983607
FXUS61 KBTV 150808
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
408 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front across southern Quebec and Ontario will settle
southward across the North Country today. Combined with a mid-level
disturbance approaching from the Great Lakes, periods of showers are
expected across the region today, with a chance of thunderstorms,
mainly across south-central Vermont. Cooler and drier conditions
return tonight with light north winds. Will see areas of fog tonight
as skies become mostly clear. Dry and seasonable weather conditions
are expected Wednesday through Friday. Additional rain is expected
to accompany a warm front during the day Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 338 AM EDT Tuesday...At 0730Z, a cold front extended from
north of Quebec City wswwd into the northern Great Lakes region.
Strong 300mb jet extends along and north of the front, with
right entrance region enhancing upper tropospheric divergence
and helping to drive convective storms early this AM across Lake
Erie and southeastern Ontario into srn lower Michigan.
It's a relatively warm pre-dawn period across the North Country.
South of the frontal bndry, south winds and mid-upper level
clouds overspreading the region from WSW-ENE are keeping
temperatures mainly in the 50s, though better mixing in the
Champlain Valley has BTV at 67F at 0730Z.
Overall expectation for today is that mid-upr level forcing
across the ern Great Lakes will shift enewd into our region this
morning, driving widespread clouds and numerous showers crossing
the nrn half of the CWA during the 12-18Z period...mainly
across nrn NY and nrn VT. There is some modest moistening of the
low- mid levels with PW values climbing to 1.2-1.4" per 00Z
NAM. Raised PoPs to 80-90% for light to moderate
showers...should see QPF mainly in the 0.25-0.50" range.
A bit further south, surface-based instability axis develops
with daytime heating from central PA newd into western New
England. South-central VT is on the northern fringe of the
instability, with SBCAPE values reaching 400-600 J/kg across
Rutland/Windsor counties around 18Z per NAM and 3km NAM- Nest.
As surface boundary settles southward across the North Country
this afternoon, will see increasing likelihood of some embedded
convective elements across across Windsor/Rutland/Orange
counties 18-22Z time frame. While activity is not expected to
become severe, dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning and brief
heavy rainfall will be possible. Included mention of this in the
morning Hazardous Weather Outlook for Rutland/Windsor/Orange
counties. Further north, will generally see showers ending once
front pushes thru the area around 18Z.
Abundant clouds will keep temperatures near seasonal averages
for mid-May, with highs today generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.
Light northerly flow and ridge axis building into nrn NY and VT
will bring drier air tonight with dewpoints dropping back into
the 40s. With the expected 0.25-0.50" rainfall today and
clearing skies/light winds tonight, anticipate areas of fog,
especially in the favored valleys. Overnight lows mainly in the
low-mid 40s, except as low as the mid 30s across the nrn
Adirondacks and far nern VT.
Once fog dissipates, should see mostly sunny conditions on
Wednesday with a return of southerly winds 10-15 mph.
Temperatures will moderate back into the low-mid 70s for highs.
PoPs NIL overnight thru Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 338 AM EDT Tuesday...High pressure remains over the area for
Wednesday night into Thursday as dry weather continues. Seasonal
temperatures are expected with lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s
and highs in the mid 60s to the lower 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 338 AM EDT Tuesday...Thursday night into Friday will
continue to see dry weather with high pressure remaining over
the northeast United States. Models have slowed a bit as deeper
moisture looks to begin moving into the region Friday night into
early Saturday morning. Periods of rain showers are expected
across most of the region Saturday afternoon and into Sunday.
Plenty of cloud cover...precipitation...and deeper moisture will
result in daytime temperatures slightly below normal
temperatures for the weekend. Higher precipitable water values
are expected in this flow pattern and the idea of fairly
widespread rainfall totals of a half inch to an inch continues
to looks good. Deeper moisture pushes east Sunday night into
Monday for a return toward drier weather next week.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 12Z Wednesday...Will see a gradual increase in mid-
level VFR cloudiness (9-12kft) across the region through
sunrise. Thereafter, will see region of light to moderate rain
showers move across the TAF sites between 12-18Z, with periods
of MVFR ceilings and vsby possible. There is also a chance of a
thunderstorm, mainly for KRUT between 16-20Z where surface-based
instability will be greatest. Frontal zone shifts sewd across
the area with nwly wind shift expected 17-19Z (18Z at BTV).
Overall wind speeds will not be strong...generally 5-10kts thru
the daylight hrs. Diminishing winds with weak high pressure
building in tonight. With clearing skies and wet ground,
anticipate areas of fog 02-12Z tonight. Currently carrying
3-4SM BR at SLK/MPV/RUT after 02Z Wednesday...and will need to
monitor for possible BR or FG at the remaining TAF locations as
well.
Outlook...
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR/MVFR conditions possible. Likely SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...Verasamy
LONG TERM...Verasamy
AVIATION...Banacos
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