Expires:202210102000;;175844
FPUS51 KBTV 100806
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
402 AM EDT Mon Oct 10 2022
VTZ018-102000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
402 AM EDT Mon Oct 10 2022
.TODAY...Patchy frost this morning. Mostly cloudy with a chance
of rain showers this morning, then partly sunny with a slight
chance of rain showers this afternoon. Highs in the lower 50s.
Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy frost after midnight. Lows in the
mid 30s. Light and variable winds.
.TUESDAY...Patchy frost in the morning. Sunny. Highs in the upper
50s. Light and variable winds, becoming southwest around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50.
.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain, breezy. Highs in the lower
60s. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 90 percent.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
$$
Expires:202210101100;;182191
ASUS41 KBTV 101030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2022
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-101100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 42 40 92 CALM 30.13S
MONTPELIER LGT RAIN 37 33 85 CALM 30.15S
MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 35 33 92 CALM 30.14S
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 35 34 96 MISG 30.13R
LYNDONVILLE* DRIZZLE 32 31 99 CALM 30.14S
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 40 40 100 CALM 30.12S
RUTLAND* LGT RAIN 42 41 96 CALM 30.13R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 40 38 93 CALM 30.14S
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 39 38 95 CALM 30.14R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 32 31 94 CALM 30.13F
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 44 41 89 CALM 30.11S
ISLAND POND* N/A 28 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 30 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 34 N/A N/A SW18 N/A WCI 23
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 45 41 87 E2 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 43 41 93 E5 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;177999
FXUS61 KBTV 100837
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
437 AM EDT Mon Oct 10 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Scattered showers are expected today, mainly in southern areas,
as a weak front wavers around the region. Will see a warming
trend for mid week, then unsettled weather and potentially
strong winds arrive late in the work week associated with a
strong frontal passage.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 402 AM EDT Monday...Weak shortwave energy moving overhead
along with west southwesterly flow off Lake Ontario has led to
some light rain showers across the region this morning. A
stationary front draped just south of our forecast area will
slowly drift southward today, and showers will also drift
southward with the front as upper level shortwave pushes east of
our area. High temperatures today will be cool, only reaching
the upper 40s to lower 50s. Precipitation will be light. Skies
will clear overnight as drier air works into the region with
surface and upper level ridges both building into our area.
Could see some patchy frost as lows dip into the upper 20s to
upper 30s, warmest close to Lake Champlain. Tuesday will be
quiet and mostly sunny with aforementioned ridges building into
our area. High temperatures will reach the upper 50s to lower
60s, very close to seasonal normals for this time of year.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 402 AM EDT Monday...Surface high pressure cresting over
the forecast area late Tuesday afternoon will begin to shift
eastward off the Atlantic seaboard Tuesday night into Wednesday
with dry conditions persisting. Despite clear skies continuing
through much of Tuesday night, increasing south-southwesterly
low/mid-level flow will allow for warmer temps than the previous
nights, especially west of the Green Mountains where lows will
range through the 40s. East of the Greens, however, where winds
will likely remain more decoupled, lows will range from the mid
30s north to around 40 south. A pleasantly warm but breezy and
increasingly cloudy day follows for Wednesday with highs a good
5-10 degrees above normal in the mid/upper 60s. Winds will gust
in the to 15-25 mph range, especially in the St. Lawrence and
Champlain Valleys.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 402 AM EDT Monday...Heading into the latter part of the
work week and weekend, more impactful weather continues to look
likely with confidence growing that our region will experience
the first real fall-like system with gusty to strong winds and a
period of moderate to heavy rain along and ahead of a cold
front passage. The overall synoptic pattern features a
developing full latitude trough over the central CONUS Wednesday
night which will deepen and spread east Thursday and Friday,
eventually closing off over the Great Lakes over the weekend.
Strong convergence along the associated cold front coinciding
with a potent 40-60kt 925-850mb southerly jet will enhance the
potential for a period of moderate to heavy rain Thursday
afternoon into the overnight, with medium range guidance
additionally highlighting the potential for wind gusts in the
broad valleys up to 40 mph or higher during the daylight hours
Thursday. It's too early still to pinpoint exact QPF amounts,
but consensus points to a widespread 1-2", with higher amounts
possible in the southwest upslope regions.
Post-frontal passage on Friday, drier and cooler conditions
develop for much of the weekend as the upper low cuts off over
the Great Lakes and a mid-level dry slot moves over the
Northeast. Temps return to normal with highs mainly in the 50s
and lows back into the 30s.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...Variable cloudiness across the region in
place with some showers making it into our southern St Lawrence
valley, southern Vermont and Northern Adirondacks area. Still
seeing some areas of fog despite the cloud cover with light
winds and abundant low level moisture in place after some rain
fell across the region on Sunday. Pockets of 2000-3000 ft agl
ceilings will likely shift east across KSLK, KBTV, KMPV and KRUT
around 08Z through 15Z. West to northwest winds about 5 knots
are expected during the daylight hours, and then skies trending
clear after 18Z.
Outlook...
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance RA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely RA.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Definite
RA.
Friday: VFR/MVFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Neiles
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.
To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html
|
