Expires:201605312000;;758494
FPUS51 KBTV 311028
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
626 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016
VTZ006-312000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
626 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016
.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN CLEARING. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN
60 PERCENT.
$$
Expires:201605311100;;758511
ASUS41 KBTV 311030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-311100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON FAIR 63 51 65 S3 29.89S
MONTPELIER FAIR 62 49 62 W6 29.94R
MORRISVILLE FAIR 61 49 64 S8 29.90R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 55 53 93 MISG 29.88R
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 63 52 67 CALM 29.91S
RUTLAND* FAIR 61 52 72 CALM 29.94R
SPRINGFIELD FAIR 58 55 90 CALM 29.92R
HIGHGATE* FAIR 64 53 69 S3 29.86F
NEWPORT* FAIR 62 51 67 SW8 29.89S
BENNINGTON FAIR 59 56 89 CALM 29.95S
SUTTON* N/A 57 N/A N/A MISG N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 54 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 55 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 50 N/A N/A NW36 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 64 55 72 SW9 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 66 52 59 W14 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 68 48 49 W7 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;751353
FXUS61 KBTV 310736
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
336 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A weak disturbance passing north of the region this afternoon will
bring scattered clouds and perhaps a few light showers or sprinkles
to northern mountain communities. Otherwise dry and seasonably warm
conditions are expected through Thursday as high pressure builds
across the northeast. A trend toward cloudier, more unsettled
weather returns by Friday, and again from Sunday onward into early
next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EDT Tuesday...Generally quiet weather is expected
over the next 24 hours and a largely persistence forecast was
offered for this morning's package. For today we'll start the day
mainly sunny, then trend partly sunny by afternoon as a shortwave
upper trough passes to our immediate north and into northern Maine
and the maritimes by this evening. The feature has little moisture
to work with, and given a relatively dry boundary layer and
thermal capping near 750 mb I've maintained our prior idea of just
an outside shot of a passing light shower or sprinkle across the
northern mountains later today. Best shot of occurrence across
north central/northeastern VT in closer proximity to upper energy.
Model-averaged 925 mb temperatures support highs in the 70s to
locally in the lower 80s in Champlain/Connecticut River Valley
communities where modestly gusty west-northwest boundary layer
flow will foster adiabatic downsloping effects.
By tonight surface high pressure continues to build into the region
as upper heights rise over time. Any evening cloudiness will trend
mainly clear overnight as west to northwesterly winds become light
after midnight. While confidence is only modest given a full 24
hours of drying, favorable hydrolapse profiles and lighter nocturnal
boundary layer wind fields suggest including at least shot of some
patchy mist and/or fog across the northern mountains in the 200-700
am time frame. Low temperatures a blend of MOS-based and bias-
corrected output which support values ranging through the 40s to
around 50 in milder valley locales.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 336 AM EDT Tuesday...Ridge of high pressure will crest over
the region on Wednesday. This will result in dry conditions, warm
temperatures and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. As 925mb
temperatures increase to the mid teens, surface temperatures will
reach the 70s to low 80s on Wednesday. Areas east of the Greens
may be slightly cooler as models trying to indicate some light
easterly to southeasterly flow may bring some maritime are into
eastern Vermont.
Wednesday night will remain dry and mild with increasing clouds
ahead of low pressure system and associated cold front approaching
from the west. Aforementioned ridge will shift east over the
Canadian maritimes, bringing return southerly flow to the North
Country. Min temperatures will generally be in the 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 336 AM EDT Tuesday...Potential for rain showers and
thunderstorms increase on Thursday as low pressure system nears. A
weak warm front will graze Northern New York, with increasing POPs
throughout the day, while the Champlain Valley and areas east are
expected to remain dry. Max temperatures will be slightly warmer
and dependent on cloud cover, ranging from the 70s to low-mid 80s.
Cold front associated with the low is expected to move across the
region Thursday night through Friday. Depending on timing,
thunderstorms could develop. While bulk of energy exits the North
Country to the south and east late Friday/Friday night, models
indicate another vort at 500mb moving through late Friday
night/early Saturday morning which will keep slight to low chance
POPs over the area.
High pressure arrives for the bulk of the weekend, providing a
break in precip potential, before a long wave mid-level trough
digs southward from the Great Lakes Region. Models show some
differences with regard to evolution, track and timing of this
system. Similarities exist in the surface low becoming a cut-off
low and could lead to a wet first half of the week.
Temperatures throughout the period will remain above normal by
5-10 degrees for this time of year.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
Through 06z Wednesday...VFR through the forecast period. Winds
generally light south to southwesterly 5 to 10 kts overnight
through 12Z, slowly backing to west, then west to northwesterly
after 12Z and occasionally gusty to 20 kts this afternoon before
abating by 00Z. SCT to occasionally BKN cigs mainly in the 045-070
AGL range after 16Z or so as weak upper disturbance swings by to
the north. Other than a brief mountain sprinkle, no precipitation
is expected.
Outlook 06Z Wednesday through Saturday...
06Z Wednesday through 00Z Friday...VFR/high pressure.
00Z Friday through 00Z Saturday...VFR with brief MVFR visibilities
possible in scattered showers as weak frontal boundary swings
through the area.
00Z Saturday onward...mainly VFR/high pressure.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...JMG
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