Expires:202103092100;;701118
FPUS51 KBTV 091133
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
630 AM EST Tue Mar 9 2021


VTZ018-092100-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
630 AM EST Tue Mar 9 2021

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy this morning, then becoming partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to
40 mph this morning. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. North winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph, becoming southeast after
midnight. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the upper
30s. South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Windy with lows in the lower 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Breezy with highs in the upper 40s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy and windy. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny and windy. Highs in the lower 30s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 20. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. 

$$


Expires:202103091200;;701090
ASUS41 KBTV 091131
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE MAR 09 2021

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-091200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    36  16  44 SW7       30.16R WCI  30          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    29  17  61 CALM      30.17R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    29  19  66 NE3       30.15R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     28  16  60 MISG      30.15R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    27  15  60 CALM      30.15S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    32  21  63 CALM      30.18S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    39  19  44 SW10      30.16S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    26  17  68 CALM      30.19R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    34  15  46 CALM      30.17R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    33  15  49 W3        30.13S                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    28  18  66 CALM      30.19R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     23 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     27 N/A N/A S2          N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A W26         N/A  WCI   6          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  21  60 S13         N/A  WCI  25          

$$


Expires:No;;701344
FXUS61 KBTV 091139
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
639 AM EST Tue Mar 9 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
The long awaited and much anticipated warm-up has finally reached 
the North Country as temperatures are expected to climb into the mid 
30s to mid 40s today and in the upper 40s to mid 50s Thursday and 
Friday. A weak front will push through the region Thursday night 
into Friday morning but it's beginning to appear the front will 
fizzle out as it moves through the region. This should help keep any 
rainfall totals to a minimum which will help mitigate any flood 
potential given the snow melt expected this week. Cooler 
temperatures closer to seasonal normals are expected this weekend 
before temperatures begin warming again next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 634 AM EST Tuesday...Temperatures remained mild overnight
given then southern gradient winds and extensive cloud cover. We
are seeing the back edge of the clouds beginning to move 
through the St. Lawrence Valley at this hour and this back edge 
should continue to advance eastward as the day progresses. A 
noticeable temperature gradient will be noted across our 
forecast area as eastern Vermont could be about 10 degrees 
cooler than parts of northern New York as clearer skies out west
will allow temperatures to warm quite a bit. Overall, the 
forecast appears to be in good shape and only a few small edits 
to the diurnal trends were needed at this time.

Previous Discussion...Temperatures were quite a bit more mild
overnight that originally expected with a thick blanket of cloud
cover helping to insulate the region. Southerly winds in the 5 to 15
mph range acted to keep the surface layer well mixed also helped
temperatures remain on the more mild side. Clearing skies across the
St. Lawrence Valley will allow temperatures out that way to cool off
a few degrees prior to sunrise but otherwise temperatures near or
above freezing are expected at sunrise. This warmer start to the day
should yield warmer temperatures this afternoon than previously
forecasted but cloud cover throughout the day will be the wild card.
While we expect cloud cover to last through the morning hours across
much of the region, models are beginning to hint cloud cover may
break a few hours sooner which could allow temperatures to warm a
few degrees warmer than the mid 30s to lower 40s currently in the
forecast. Nevertheless, the long awaited and much anticipated warm-
up will finally be in full swing today.

Temperatures tonight will be a bit colder than those observed this
morning as we expect decent radiational cooling under light winds
and mostly clear skies. Lows in the mid teens to mid 20s are
expected. Wednesday will see significantly warmer temperatures as we
will be in the heart of the warm air advection. Highs are expected
to climb into lower to mid 50's region-wide with even the higher
summits climbing into the mid to upper 40s. A strengthening pressure
gradient and channeled flow through the Champlain Valley will allow
winds to increase to 20 to 35 mph across the northern Champlain
Valley on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 338 AM EST Tuesday...Tighter pressure gradient becomes
established over much of the area Wednesday night into Thursday. The
south to southwest winds will bring warmer air into the region
during this time period. Far eastern Vermont Wednesday night will
not get the full effects of the pressure gradient and will see lows
in the lower 30s while the remainder of the area should see
temperatures in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Highs on Thursday will be
in the 50s and some record high temperatures could fall on this day.
Moisture should be increasing within the southwest flow aloft and
cannot rule out the possibility for a few showers Wednesday night,
but they should be confined to northern New York. Later in the day
on Thursday is when we should see a bump up in precipitation
chances, again mainly over northern New York.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 338 AM EST Tuesday...Temperatures well above seasonal normals
will continue Thursday night into Friday as southwest flow aloft
persists over the area. However...a cold front will eventually move
through the region and increase precipitation chances Thursday night
into Friday morning. Precipitation amounts still look like they will
be less than a quarter inch. Given all the expected snowmelt and
greater likelihood of some ice breakup on rivers and streams there
will be rises on area waterways. A greater flood threat would exist
if we were to get more precipitation, but it is not looking that way
at this time. Something we will continue to monitor. Otherwise flow
aloft will change to northwest and colder air should return to the
region Friday night into Saturday. A shortwave trough in the
northwest flow aloft will move down into the area late Friday night
into Saturday morning and bring a chance of snow showers to the
area. This feature will quickly exit the area Saturday afternoon and
a more noticeable surge of colder air is expected behind this
feature with temperatures at or slightly below seasonal normal on
Sunday before a slow warming trend starts to take place on Monday.
Cannot rule out a few snow showers on Sunday over north central and
northeast Vermont with dry weather expected for all areas on Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 12Z Wednesday...Widespread VFR conditions are being 
observed across the North Country with ceilings ranging from 
4500 to 6000 ft. We should see a gradual lowering in the 
ceilings through 18Z With MVFR ceilings ranging from 1500 to 
2500 ft being observed at KSLK, KBTV and KMPV through much of 
the late morning and afternoon hours. We continue to see gusts 
of southerly wind within the Champlain Valley terminals. These
winds may abate briefly this morning but are expected to begin
to ramp back up after 15Z. As the day progresses, winds will 
slowly shift from the south, to west and ultimately northwest by
00Z.

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Clay
NEAR TERM...Clay
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Clay

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