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| Date: | Tue, 8 Sep 2020 06:50:02 -0400 |
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Expires:202009082000;;700564
FPUS51 KBTV 080657
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
254 AM EDT Tue Sep 8 2020
VTZ006-082000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
254 AM EDT Tue Sep 8 2020
.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Light and variable
winds.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers. A
slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the
upper 70s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Light
and variable winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Light and variable winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s.
$$
Expires:202009081100;;709847
ASUS41 KBTV 081030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE SEP 08 2020
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-081100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON PTCLDY 67 58 72 S8 30.06R
MONTPELIER CLEAR 61 55 81 SW5 30.12R
MORRISVILLE PTCLDY 56 54 93 CALM 30.07R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 57 54 89 MISG 30.07R
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 58 55 88 E5 30.11S
RUTLAND* CLEAR 58 57 97 SE8 30.11R
SPRINGFIELD MOCLDY 56 54 93 CALM 30.11R
HIGHGATE* MOCLDY 61 58 90 CALM 30.06R
NEWPORT* FAIR 59 55 88 S3 30.09R
BENNINGTON CLEAR 57 54 89 S3 30.11R
ISLAND POND* N/A 57 N/A N/A E3 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 48 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 55 N/A N/A E1 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 57 N/A N/A SW26 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 68 61 77 S9G15 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 68 63 83 S16 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 66 61 82 S6 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;700500
FXUS61 KBTV 080653
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
253 AM EDT Tue Sep 8 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
A surface front will remain nearly stationary near the
international border and northern counties through Wednesday
with mild weather continuing along with a few showers and
isolated storms. The front will push south of the region by
Thursday with slightly cooler weather arriving from that point
onward into next weekend. The next chance of of more widespread
showers arrives by Sunday with the approach of another front.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 253 AM EDT Tuesday...The surface front that brough
scattered showers to the SLV yesterday evening has essentially
stalled in the SLV early this morning. This front will waffle
north and south across the northern tier of counties over the
next 36 hours as winds shift to and fro from light
south/southwest to north/norteast. Only limited forcing exists
along the boundary, but enough moisture pooling and low level
convergence that I'll at least maintain slight to lower-end
chance pops for a few showers across our northern NY counties
and far northern VT through the period. Some marginal
instability develops just south of the boundary in these areas
tomorrow so an outside shot of a few storms will be possible. No
severe weather is expected. Clouds and proximity of the frontal
zone will keep high temperatures in the upper 60s/lower 70s
across northern NY and far northern VT today and on Wednesday,
while further south mid 70s to lower 80s will be the rule. Lows
tonight seasonable in the 50s to around 60.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 253 AM EDT Tuesday...The quasi-stationary cold front will
finally push through the North Country late Wednesday Night
into Thursday afternoon. The temperature forecast for Thursday
is going to be tricky with temps in the Champlain Valley either
in the mid 60s or the mid 70s. The latest 3 km NAM output shows
the colder air bleeding down into the Champlain and St. Lawrence
Valleys which would bring noticeably cooler temperatures than
originally expected. Even the GFS has begun to point at these
cooler temperatures with both the Canadian and ECMWF keeping us
on the warmer side. The biggest question mark remains the timing
of the cold front as the lack of appreciable early Thursday
favors a later frontal passage. Nevertheless, the front is
expected to move through the region Thursday with little fanfare
as the lack of instability, moisture and deep ascent should
limit shower coverage across the North Country. In fact, the 00Z
guidance is beginning to trend drier with the frontal passage
and we have begun lowering PoPs accordingly. Thursday night will
be noticeably cooler than Wednesday night with lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s under clearing skies.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 253 AM EDT Tuesday...High pressure will settle across the
North Country Friday morning and will remain entrenched across
the region through Sunday morning. This will bring a continued
period of dry weather but will be accompanied by some cooler
weather. Friday will be the coolest day this week with
temperatures across the region generally in the lower to mid 60s
with a few places across southern Vermont warming into the
upper 60s. With light winds and mostly clear skies, temperatures
are expected to plummet Friday night into the lower to mid 40s
with some upper 30s expected at Saranac Lake and northeastern
Vermont. Patchy frost cannot be ruled out across the northern
Adirondacks and northeastern Vermont and will be something to
watch in the coming day.
The next chance for precipitation will be during the day on Sunday
as another cold front moves through the region. This time, we should
see moisture, a decent shortwave (deep ascent) and some instability
depending on when the front moves through. When you couple this with
freezing levels near 9kft, we have the potential for some stronger
storms to be accompany the frontal passage. In addition to potential
convection, strong gradient winds are expected as we see a deepening
trough to our west and a departing high pressure system to east.
Southerly gusts of 20 to 30 mph look possible during the day on
Sunday prior to the frontal passage. Precipitation with this front
will exit the region Monday morning with another push of colder
temperatures and drier air settling into the region for the first
half of next week. Through the extended period, we will continue to
look at temps near or several degrees below normal.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...VFR conds expected through the forecast
period. Only exception will be a short window of potential MVFR
cigs at KSLK through 10Z. Nearly stationary frontal zone will
remain draped atop or just north of northern terminals through
the period with little wx expected other than perhaps a stray
shower at KSLK and KMSS after 18Z today. Otherwise dry weather
is expected. Winds light south to southwesterly from 4-10 kts
through mid-morning, trending variable to light northerly in
the 3-6 kt range after 15Z with frontal zone in the area.
Outlook...
Wednesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.
Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...Clay
LONG TERM...Clay
AVIATION...JMG
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