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June 2014, Week 3

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Subject:
From:
"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Wed, 18 Jun 2014 06:50:02 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (158 lines)
Expires:201406182000;;594594
FPUS51 KBTV 180735
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
335 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2014

VTZ006-182000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
335 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2014
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 
$$

Expires:201406181100;;601838
ASUS41 KBTV 181030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-181100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    64  61  90 NW16G22   29.77R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    65  63  93 NW13      29.77R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    64  60  87 NW12G21   29.73R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     68  63  84 MISG      29.64R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   HVY RAIN  64  60  87 W15G23    29.70R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    68  67  98 W5        29.76R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    66  64  94 W15G22    29.75F                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    67  65  93 VRB3      29.73R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    66  63  88 NW8       29.76R                  
NEWPORT*       DRIZZLE   62  60  91 W13G21    29.71R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    69  64  84 MISG      29.81R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     64 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     50 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     66 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     52 N/A N/A NW30G41     N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     64  63  94 NW5         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  61  88 N22         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     70  63  78 N16         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;596215
FXUS61 KBTV 180811
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
411 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
IT WILL BE ANOTHER WARM DAY TODAY WITH THE CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS 
OR PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS 
THE AREA. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY FROM CANADA 
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS AND DAILY 
HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 70S.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 405 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...WITH PASSAGE OF SURFACE LOW AND MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE EARLY TODAY...SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN VERMONT WILL TAPER 
OFF AND WE WILL BE LEFT WITH VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES. IT WILL BE 
SEASONABLY WARM...BUT NOT QUITE AS WARM AS YESTERDAY. 850 MB TEMPS 
ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND +12C THIS AFTERNOON...A COUPLE OF DEGREES 
LOWER THAN ON TUESDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 
UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S. THERE IS THE CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS DURING 
THE DAY...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK 
COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A 
SECONDARY BOUNDARY AND SHORTWAVE TO FOLLOW THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
INSTABILITY LACKING WITH EXPECTED SBCAPE VALUES GENERALLY LESS
THAN 500 J/KG.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 405 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH THIS 
EVENING AS SHORTWAVE DEPARTS AND COLD FRONT PUSHES FURTHER SOUTH OF 
FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO FILTER 
IN ON NORTHWEST BREEZES...ALTHOUGH CLOUDS MAY HANG AROUND FOR MUCH 
OF THE NIGHT AS MODELS INDICATING SOME LINGERING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE. MIN TEMPS TONIGHT EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN THE 50S.
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LARGE 
CUTOFF LOW OVER EASTERN CANADA AND BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER 
THE GREAT LAKES. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH 
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. EXPECT HIGHS IN 
THE LOWER TO MID 70S ON THURSDAY AND ONLY IN THE UPPER 60S AND 
LOWER 70S FRIDAY. RATHER CHILLY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS MAINLY IN 
THE 40S...WITH SOME UPPER 30S IN THE NORMALLY COLDER PORTIONS OF 
THE ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST KINGDOM.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 405 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...EXTENDED FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR AT
OR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH DRY WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND AND
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS 
WEEKEND. THIS WILL ESSENTIALLY BRING COOLER AIR DOWN FROM 
CANADA...THUS KEEPING HIGH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL 
NORMALS. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS PATTERN AND THERE 
SHOULD BE A GOOD DEAL OF SUN. EVENTUALLY THIS PATTERN TRANSITIONS TO 
A MORE WEST AND SOUTHWEST DIRECTION...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A SLOW 
WARMING TREND AND AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...BULK OF STEADIER RAIN AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS HAS EXITED MOST OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL EXIST THROUGH ABOUT 14Z...BUT VISIBILITIES
WILL REMAIN IN THE VFR CATEGORY. CEILINGS HOWEVER WILL GENERALLY
BE IN THE MVFR AND VFR CATEGORIES WITH PERIODS OF IFR. A DISTINCT
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST TAKES PLACE BETWEEN 13Z AND 15Z AND
WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
WIND SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL ONCE AGAIN EXIST AFTER 18Z THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD...BUT ONCE AGAIN LOOKING AT VFR VISIBILITIES AND MVFR/VFR 
CEILINGS.
OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
06Z THU THRU 12Z THU...GENERALLY VFR WITH A FEW HIGHER TERRAIN
SHOWERS POSSIBLE. EARLY MORNING VLIFR FOG LIKELY AT KSLK/KMPV...
PATCHY ELSEWHERE.
12Z THU THRU 00Z MON...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...EVENSON/LAHIFF

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