Expires:202207022000;;537028
FPUS51 KBTV 020722
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
316 AM EDT Sat Jul 2 2022
VTZ018-022000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
316 AM EDT Sat Jul 2 2022
.TODAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms this morning, then mostly sunny this afternoon.
Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain
70 percent.
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds around
10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of rain
60 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Lows in the upper 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
$$
Expires:202207021100;;545496
ASUS41 KBTV 021030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT JUL 02 2022
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-021100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 69 66 90 S9 29.79F
MONTPELIER LGT RAIN 66 62 87 SE5 29.87S
MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 66 63 90 SW3 29.81F
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 66 65 96 MISG 29.81R
LYNDONVILLE* LGT RAIN 65 64 96 E5 29.84F
MIDDLEBURY* LGT RAIN 66 66 100 S3 29.84S
RUTLAND* LGT RAIN 68 65 90 SW6 29.87R
SPRINGFIELD LGT RAIN 68 65 90 CALM 29.85S
HIGHGATE* FAIR 67 66 96 S5 29.79S
NEWPORT* FAIR 65 62 91 CALM 29.82S
BENNINGTON LGT RAIN 66 65 96 S3 29.91R FOG
LAKE EDEN* N/A 64 N/A N/A S1 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 59 N/A N/A W23 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 59 59 100 S12 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;537049
FXUS61 KBTV 020724
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
324 AM EDT Sat Jul 2 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and embedded thunder ahead a cold front passage will come to
an end by mid-day with conditions trending dry for this afternoon
and the remainder of the holiday weekend as high pressure builds in.
The next chance for precipitation will come Monday night through
Tuesday with temperatures trending a little below normal.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 324 AM EDT Saturday...Overall forecast is playing out as
expected with showers and embedded thunder becoming more numerous
across central and northern portions of the forecast area early this
morning in advance of a cold front which is still west of the Ottawa
Valley. As the front progresses eastward into northern New York
later this morning, precipitation will be rapidly ending from
northwest to southeast across the forecast area by noon, with sunny
and dry conditions developing for the afternoon. We should see
surface temps warm a bit into the upper 70s to low 80s, owing to
925mb still around +20C, and some slightly gusty winds up to 25 mph
can be expected especially in the St. Lawrence Valley.
For tonight, as high pressure builds into the region behind the
aforementioned front, skies will trend mainly clear across
central/northern portions of the region with some scattered to
broken high clouds moving across central/southern Vermont from
midnight through daybreak. Temps will comfortably cool in the 50s
for most with some mid/upper 40s in the Adirondacks, and while
surface winds will trend to mainly calm, boundary layer winds of 10-
20kts just off the surface will keep the development of fog at bay.
An abundance of sunshine, low humidity, highs in mid/upper 70s, and
northwest winds of 10-15 mph are expected Sunday with high pressure
centered just west of the region.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 324 AM EDT Saturday...A cool start to July 4th is expected.
Surface high pressure will begin to build eastwards with only spotty
cloud cover. So, modest radiational cooling should take place, with
the broader valleys in the 50s, cool hollows and sections of the
Northeast Kingdom and Adirondacks into the mid 40s. A pleasant
afternoon is expected. Afternoon temperatures are expected to warm
into the mid 70s to lower 80s, with high clouds moving in from the
northwest parallel to an advancing warm front. Think most spots will
be rain free, but some hints that a few showers could initiate in
the Northeast Kingdom, in addition to some warm frontal
precipitation moving towards the St. Lawrence River about midnight.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 324 AM EDT Saturday...A warm front will arrive Monday night and
into Tuesday. Synoptic scale forcing for ascent is fairly strong,
with good low-level convergence as a deepening surface low passes
near or over our forecast area, and the right entrance region of an
upper jet at 80 knots should provide some support. Not noting much
in the way of elevated instability at present, but just enough to
suggest a rumble of thunder could take place. It's a bit early, but
with PWATs around 1.25" and the good forcing for ascent associated
with the low, thinking a third to two-thirds of an inch, with
perhaps a strip of rainfall amounts closer to an inch just north of
wherever the low tracks, seems a good early estimate. There are some
timing differences, but overall, thinking precipitation should begin
to exit by Tuesday night. Rain keeps high temperatures in the low to
mid 70s and low temperatures in the 50s.
Since the surface low tracks to our south, we never get a real warm
up, leading to temperatures running just a degree or two below
normal through the midweek. Another system is poised to reach the
region towards the end of the week, with larger timing differences
noted. The deterministic GFS wants to intensify an area of low
pressure to our north, and allow warmer temperatures into the
region. However, with the strong, channeled flow across our region,
think something more akin to the ECMWF/CMC's latest run seems more
likely, which means continued near to just slightly below normal
temperatures and rain chances between 20-30 percent will be in the
late week forecast.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...VFR conditions will generally prevail
through the period with brief MVFR visibility possible in rain
from 06-09Z across northern New York terminals, and 08-12Z
across VT as a cold front shifts through the region. Only
exception will be KRUT where some MVFR ceilings may additionally
develop from 10-15Z. Thereafter, rapid clearing is expected
going into this afternoon with skies trending SKC to
FEW060-100. Variable winds generally less than 7kts overnight
will trend SSW at 5-10kts behind the front with local gusts up
to 22kts at KMSS. Winds abate back to light and variable after
sunset tonight.
Outlook...
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Independence Day: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Haynes
LONG TERM...Haynes
AVIATION...Lahiff
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