359
FPUS51 KBTV 230855
ZFPVT

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
355 AM EST MON NOV 23 1998

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-232000-
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...BARRE...MONTPELIER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
355 AM EST MON NOV 23 1998

.TODAY...WINDY AND MILD. CLOUDS MIXING WITH SOME SUN. HIGH AROUND 50
HIGHER. SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BECOMING WEST.
.TONIGHT...WINDY. VARIABLE CLOUDS. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO 40.
WEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE AT NIGHT. CHANCE OF
RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...STILL WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WHICH MAY
MIX WITH SNOW HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH 40 TO
45. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.

$$

VTZ001-002-005-009-232000-
GRAND ISLE-FRANKLIN-CHITTENDEN-ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST ALBANS...BURLINGTON...SOUTH BURLINGTON...
WINOOSKI...VERGENNES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
355 AM EST MON NOV 23 1998

.TODAY...WINDY AND MILD. CLOUDS MIXING WITH SOME SUN. HIGH 50 TO 55.
SOUTH WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
.TONIGHT...WINDY. VARIABLE CLOUDS. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. LOW MID 40S.
SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE CHAMPLAIN. CHANCE OF
RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...STILL WINDY. CLOUDS AND SOME SUNNY BREAKS. CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.

$$

VTZ011>014-232000-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-BENNINGTON-WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...RUTLAND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
355 AM EST MON NOV 23 1998

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND BECOMING WINDY. HIGHS 50 TO 55. SOUTH
WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH STRONGER GUSTS.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH DIMINISHING WIND. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. SOUTH WIND BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AND DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 15
MPH.
.TUESDAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. MAYBE A SPRINKLE. HIGHS IN THE MID
AND UPPER 40S.
.OUTLOOK FOR THANKSGIVING DAY...CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S.

$$






                          National Weather Service

     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 230805
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 AM EST MON NOV 23 1998

ETA MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE 40-50 KTS OF WIND AT 3 KFT TODAY.
CURRENTLY ETA INDICATING ABOUT 40 KTS AT 3 KFT WHILE VWP SHOWING
ONLY 25 KTS. INVERSION ALMOST TO THE SURFACE TODAY SHOULD KEEP
STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT FROM REACHING THE GROUND. STILL WITH TIGHT
SOUTHWEST/WEST GRADIENT...BELIEVE EXPOSED AREAS WILL BLOW TO 20 AND
30 KTS. WINDS AT CRF ARE BLOWING IN LOWER 30 KT RANGE THIS MORNING.

LOOKING AT PRECIPITABLE WATERS TIME SECTION...LOOKS AS THOUGH COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH ST LAWRENCE VALLEY 19Z...CHAMPLAIN 21Z...
CONNECTICUT VALLEY 23Z. THEREAFTER...FLOW TURNS MORE WESTERLY...
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.

MAY BE A SPRINKLE AHEAD OF FRONT...PROBABLY BEST TO LEAVE IT OUT
THOUGH SINCE AMOUNTS OVER THIS FORECAST PERIOD SO SCATTERED AND
LIGHT...WOULD HATE TO INCLUDE MENTION OF PRECIPITATION IN ALL THREE
PERIODS.

MODELS CONSISTENT IN INDICATING LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MOISTURE
RETURN. HOWEVER...POTENT SHORT WAVE TO MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
TAIL LINGERING INTO TUESDAY. TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS AREA AS RIDGE
AXIS ONLY MAKES IT INTO CENTRAL/EAST GREAT LAKES.

H8 TEMPERATURES GO FROM +5 TODAY TO -5 LATE TONIGHT AND -8 ON
TUESDAY. WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION AND NORTHWEST FLOW...PRECIPITATION
MAY BE SQUEEZED OUT...ESPECIALLY IN UPSLOPE REGIONS. DOWNSLOPE AREAS
WILL HAVE SOME SUNSHINE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF WEST CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY...ST LAWRENCE...SOUTH CONNECTICUT VALLEY.

LAPSE RATES STEEPEN ON TUESDAY...AS BOUNDARY LAYER TO SURFACE IS
SLOW TO COOL AND NEVER FALLS BELOW FREEZING THROUGH PERIOD.
INSTABILITY (CAPE) INCREASING DURING TUESDAY AND WINDS SHOULD BE IN
WINDY CATEGORY THAT DAY AS DEPTH OF MIXED LAYER INCREASES.

FORECAST SUGGESTIONS...

TODAY...WINDY AND MILD. CLOUDS MIXING WITH SOME SUN. HIGH 50 TO 55
(AROUND 50 HIGHER TERRAIN). SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS (SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BECOMING WEST
THIS AFTERNOON ST LAWRENCE/SOUTH WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
CHAMPLAIN/ SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BECOMING
WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON ADRNKS).

TONIGHT...WINDY. VARIABLE CLOUDS. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. LOW 40 TO 45
(MID 40S CHAMPLAIN/35 TO 40 HIGHER TERRAIN). WEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH
BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE AT NIGHT (SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH BECOMING
NORTHWEST LATE CHAMPLAIN).

TUESDAY...STILL WINDY. CLOUDS AND SOME SUNNY BREAKS (MOSTLY CLOUDY
HIGHER TERRAIN). CHANCE FOR SHOWERS (CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WHICH MAY
MIX WITH SNOW HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/NIX SHOWERS
ST LAWRENCE). HIGH IN THE MID 40S (40 TO 45 HIGHER TERRAIN/UPPER 40S
S VT AND CHAMPLAIN).

DIGIORGI


NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [1]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


943
ASUS51 KALB 231107
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON NOV 23 1998

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>012-231200-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     CLEAR     41   25   53  S14G23  29.98F
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     36   22   56  S12     30.01F
RUTLAND        PTCLDY    34   21   59  SE3     30.03F
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      34   25   69  S3      29.98F
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    28   25   88  CALM    30.07F
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    43   22   43  SW9     29.97F

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$




                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                      9:00AM, Friday November 20, 1998
                      STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Joe Veres_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Today: You will need to take an umbrella with you today as scattered
   rain showers will develop across the region as we head into the
   afternoon hours. Until then, skies will remain mostly cloudy with some
   drizzle. Temperatures will average above normal with afternoon highs
   around 46 in Lyndonville and 44 in Newport. Winds will be out of the
   south around 10 MPH.

   Tonight: Scattered rain showers will still be in the area, so be
   careful if you're heading out tonight. Temperatures will be in the low
   40's during the evening hours but will be dropping into the low 30's
   overnight. This will allow the rain showers to change over to snow
   showers around midnight, but sooner in the mountains. A dusting to an
   inch can be expected in the valleys with closer to two inches in the
   mountains. Winds will eventually become out of the northwest around 15
   MPH.

   Saturday: Skies remaining mostly cloudy with the continuing chance of
   scattered snow showers. Temperatures will be noticeably colder, so
   you'll need a jacket if working outside. Afternoon highs will range
   from 33 in Barton to 37 in St. Johnsbury. Winds will continue out of
   the northwest around 10 MPH so windchills will be in the low 20's.

   Saturday Night: The clouds will slowly begin to break up through the
   overnight hours, however, there is still a chance for a passing snow
   shower. Temperatures will be chilly, with overnight lows in low and
   mid 20's across the Northeast Kingdom.

                             Extended Forecast

   Sunday: Skies becoming partly cloudy with seasonable tempertures.
   Highs will range in the mid and upper 30's, with lows in the mid and
   upper 20's.

   Monday: There will be increasing clouds with the chance of a few
   showers. Temperatures will be moderating with highs in the low to mid
   40's. Lows will be around 30.

   Tueday: More scattered showers and above normal temperatures.
   Afternoon highs will reach the lower 40's once again, and overnight
   lows will be in the low to mid 30's.

                            Forecast Discussion


   Rain showers can be expected today, as a cold front approaches us from
   the west. For those of you traveling south today, the rain showers
   will become steadier during the late afternoon hours. Steady rain can
   be expected this afternoon in Boston and heading south through
   southern New England and down through New York City. Here in the
   Northeast Kingdom, the scattered rain showers will change over to snow
   showers after the cold front moves through. Leftover moisture will
   result in snow showers tomorrow, but Sunday is looking like a nice
   day. Have a good weekend and a great Thanksgiving Break!