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July 2022, Week 1

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Thu, 7 Jul 2022 06:50:03 -0400
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Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
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Expires:202207072000;;891931
FPUS51 KBTV 071026
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
622 AM EDT Thu Jul 7 2022


VTZ018-072000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
622 AM EDT Thu Jul 7 2022

.TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Light and variable
winds. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Light and
variable winds. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around
10 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds
around 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds
around 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
in the lower 70s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance
of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. 

$$


Expires:202207071100;;892115
ASUS41 KBTV 071030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU JUL 07 2022

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-071100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    56  53  90 E5        30.04R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       51  47  86 E3        30.11R VSB<1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       49  48  97 CALM      30.08R VSB 1/4          
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       46  45  98 CALM      30.09R VSB 3/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      52  52 100 CALM      30.05R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    54  54 100 S5        30.07R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       54  53  97 CALM      30.07R VSB<1/4          
HIGHGATE*      MOCLDY    57  56  96 CALM      30.05R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      49  46  92 CALM      30.08R                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    56  55  97 CALM      30.05R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     43 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     48 N/A N/A NE1         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     59  55  88 SE6         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;892075
FXUS61 KBTV 071029
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
629 AM EDT Thu Jul 7 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Today will be another pleasant day with partly sunny skies and 
near normal highs. Our next weak system approaches on Thursday 
night into Friday with just some isolated showers. Following 
that, we'll have another beautiful weekend with warm days and 
cool nights.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 623 AM EDT Thursday...No significant changes made with
this update. Patchy fog still being reported along many of the
major river valleys this morning, but it should start to
dissipate as we continue to see increasing sunshine. Cloud cover
is a bit more extensive over Rutland and Windsor Counties than
previously anticipated, so have updated sky cover to match the
latest satellite trends. Otherwise the forecast is in good
shape. 

Previous discussion...High pressure will remain draped 
over the North Country today, leading to a pleasant summer day. 
Fair weather cumulus will bubble up this afternoon, especially 
over the higher terrain, but no rain is expected. Highs will top
out in the mid 70s to around 80.

Our next system approaches late tonight into Friday as a weak 
surface low and its associated front will drift eastward across 
Ontario and Quebec. Flow turns southward overnight ahead of this
feature, keeping overnight temperatures 5-10 degrees warmer 
than the previous night. A few light showers/sprinkles will be 
possible, but overall don't expect much more than just 
increasing clouds. The front will make its way over the 
international border on Friday, weakening as it pushes 
southward. Moisture and forcing with this boundary are minimal, 
but isolated showers will be possible, mainly across our 
northern tier of counties. Any showers that do develop will be 
light with only a few hundredths of precipitation expected. 
Highs will range from the mid 70s in the mountains to the lower 
80s in the Champlain and Connecticut Valleys.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 330 AM EDT Thursday...Drier air will work into the region
on Friday night into Saturday with gradually clearing skies 
after some initial cloudiness Friday night. After minimum 
temperatures bottom out in the 40s to lower 50s, highs on 
Saturday will reach the upper 60s to mid 70s. Have gone with 
drier guidance for dewpoints on Saturday with a dry air mass in 
place and models indicating a deep mixed layer.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 345 AM EDT Thursday...The extended portion of the 
forecast will start off dry and with below normal temperatures, 
then trend warmer and more active headed into next week. Large 
area of surface high pressure ridges into our area from Canada 
and passes over the northeast through the weekend. Saturday will
be the cooler of the two days, with both days only seeing highs
reach the 70s. Saturday night will also be quite cool, with 
lows dipping into the 40s across the higher elevations of 
Northern New York and Vermont. By Monday the surface high will 
slide eastward and our region will be under southwesterly flow, 
leading to a warmer and more humid day than recent days. Highs 
will reach the mid 80s in the Champlain valley. Next system will
cross our region on Tuesday and have showers likely with a 
chance of thunderstorms mentioned with expected surface based 
instability associated with the frontal passage. Looking further
out, another system will potentially bring additional showers 
to the region Thursday night into Friday. Still lots of details 
unclear but as we make our way into next week will have a better
idea of timing and strength of potential thunderstorms Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...Except for IFR/LIFR in patchy fog through 
12z this morning, VFR will prevail at all terminals through the 
TAF period. Have already seen some brief IFR at KMSS and KSLK 
this morning, and expect those two sites, as well as KMPV and 
KEFK, will see periods of IFR/LIFR in fog, especially 08z-12z. 
Otherwise, scattered fair weather cumulus will develop after 
15z, especially over higher terrain terminals. Light and 
variable winds early this morning will remain mainly terrain 
driven through 14z, then turning more to the west/southwest at 
5-10 kt through sunset; light and variable thereafter. 

Outlook...

Friday: VFR. Isolated SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Hastings

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