Expires:202209052000;;267888
FPUS51 KBTV 050952
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
549 AM EDT Mon Sep 5 2022


VTZ018-052000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
549 AM EDT Mon Sep 5 2022

.TODAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Light and
variable winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of showers, mainly until midnight.
Lows in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain
50 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Light and
variable winds. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Light and
variable winds. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Light and
variable winds. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. 

$$


Expires:202209051100;;269514
ASUS41 KBTV 051030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON SEP 05 2022

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-051100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    58  55  90 N5        30.17R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    58  54  86 CALM      30.21R FOG              
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    57  54  89 CALM      30.17S                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    56  56 100 CALM      30.17R                  
RUTLAND*       LGT RAIN  55  55 100 CALM      30.17S                  
SPRINGFIELD    LGT RAIN  64  59  83 CALM      30.16R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    55  54  96 CALM      30.17S                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    56  53  92 CALM      30.19R FOG              
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  60  32  34 CALM      30.15S                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     57 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     57 N/A N/A NE1         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     59 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     57  52  82 N10         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     59  54  82 NW10        N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;267873
FXUS61 KBTV 050951 CCA
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
357 AM EDT Mon Sep 5 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Another cloudy, cool day is expected with chances for rain as low 
pressure moves along a surface front located south of Vermont. Best 
chances of rain remain over southern Vermont today. Dry conditions 
and a warming trend return Tuesday and will persist through the week 
into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 356 AM EDT Monday...Radar returns are spreading northward as a
surge of warm and moist air overruns a surface boundary located just
south of Vermont. Latest model trends continue to brings chances of
rain farther northward, albeit with light amounts less than 0.25 
inches of rain likely north of central Vermont, 0.25-0.5" across 
Addison/Orange counties, and tapering up across southern Vermont 
with 0.75-1.25" of rain possible for Rutland/Windsor counties. A few 
showers could produce periods of moderate rain given PWATs in excess 
of 1.5 inches. Periods of fog will also be possible given the cooler 
regime and proximity of the surface boundary with best chances 
across central/southern Vermont during lighter periods of 
precipitation. Trajectory of the wave and increasing amplitude of 
the upper level trough will keep chances of rain on a southeast to 
northwest gradient across the North Country with little to no 
precipitation expected for the Saint Lawrence Valley. Otherwise, 
temperatures will be running cool again with highs generally in the 
60s.

A rapid drop in PWATs and decreasing mid level RH is expected as the
low pressure begins to deepen as in moves off the New England coast
later Tuesday. Partially clearing skies and continued lighter winds
will support some warmer temperatures with highs trending into the
upper 60s to low 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 356 AM EDT Monday...Upper trough stubbornly lingers across
Southern New England extending SW into the OH Rvr Vly while upper
level ridge is across Great Lakes into Ontario. At the surface, weak
high pressure is elongated across SE Canada. Surface front where the
best moisture pooling and focus for any lift Monday will be further
south, thus for the most part best shower threat should be south of
CWA, but close proximity with upper trough need to at least bring
slight chance to southern FA during this period.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 356 AM EDT Monday...Northern stream shortwave in north-central
Canada pushes ESE thus moving the upper ridge across our area Wed
ngt-Thu and then as that trough pushes east of our longitude then a
repositioning of the upper ridge across the NECONUS through
Saturday...building as well. This will allow plenty of sunshine,
more dryness and above normal temperatures but without the humidity.

General consensus among the models is upper ridge begins to 
slide east of the area with a northern stream shortwave and cold
front approaching late Sunday-Sunday night thus will introduce 
chance of showers Sunday. However, models show a healthy 
tropical system east of the upper ridge and this could delay the
progress of the ridge until the tropical system ejects ENE.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 00Z Tuesday...Main takeaway for aviators will be for
widespread MVFR/IFR conditions due to lower CIGs associated with
passage of low pressure south of the North Country. Some
limitations to VIS will also be possible given the cooler regime
and more fall-like system - fog could form at terminals,
especially MPV/RUT/VSF/EFK limiting visibility to MVFR/IFR at
times. Precipitation chances have increased in latest model runs
for Vermont terminals, so expect some periods of rain after 12Z
for most locations and after 09Z for RUT/VSF. Precipitation
intensity will drive visibility restrictions; ironically a
moderately heavier shower would provide enough mixing to
increase visibility to MVFR while periods of light rain will
favor periods of IFR since mist could be a prevalent issue for 
southern Vermont terminals given winds less than 10kts and
little other mechanisms for turbulent mixing in the boundary
layer.


Outlook...

Tuesday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Patchy BR.
Wednesday: VFR. Patchy BR.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Boyd
NEAR TERM...Boyd
SHORT TERM...SLW
LONG TERM...SLW
AVIATION...Boyd

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