Expires:201907312000;;894198
FPUS51 KBTV 311047
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
644 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019
VTZ006-312000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
644 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019
.TODAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. A slight chance
of thunderstorms this morning, then a chance of thunderstorms
this afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
Chance of rain 50 percent.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms until midnight. Patchy dense fog. Lows
around 60. Northwest winds around 10 mph until midnight, becoming
light and variable. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.THURSDAY...Patchy dense fog in the morning. Sunny. Highs in the
mid 70s. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Light and variable
winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Light and variable winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
$$
Expires:201907311100;;893843
ASUS41 KBTV 311030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2019
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-311100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 69 66 90 S7 29.98R
MONTPELIER FOG 64 64 100 CALM 30.05R VSB 3/4
MORRISVILLE MOCLDY 65 64 97 CALM 30.00S FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 66 66 100 MISG 29.99R
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 63 62 96 CALM 29.97S
MIDDLEBURY* MOCLDY 65 65 98 CALM 30.00R FOG
RUTLAND* MOCLDY 65 65 100 SE5 30.02S
SPRINGFIELD FOG 66 65 96 CALM 30.02S VSB 1/2
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 72 69 91 S5 29.97R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 65 65 100 S3 30.00S FOG
BENNINGTON FAIR 62 61 96 CALM 30.03S FOG
ISLAND POND* N/A 64 N/A N/A E3 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 63 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 64 N/A N/A CALM N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 61 N/A N/A W22 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 72 68 88 S10G16 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 72 68 88 SW18 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 70 68 94 S3 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;887501
FXUS61 KBTV 310804
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
404 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front sliding southeastward from southern Quebec will
bring redevelopment of scattered showers and thunderstorms
today, with the greatest potential for thunderstorms across
south-central Vermont. Brief heavy rainfall and dangerous
cloud-to-ground lightning can be expected with any thunderstorm
activity. Clearing skies tonight will lead to patchy dense fog
in favored valley locations. Thereafter, high pressure building
eastward from the Great Lakes region will bring lower humidity
levels on light northerly winds, along with seasonable
temperatures to kick off August. Highs on Thursday will reach
the upper 70s to lower 80s, and then moderate into the low-mid
80s for highs on Friday and Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 343 AM EDT Wednesday...Main forecast concern today will
be potential redevelopment of showers and thunderstorms, though
overall intensity and coverage is not expected to be as
significant as what was observed on Tuesday. Best threat of
t-storms should be across s-central/ern VT.
Broad swly flow remains in place across the North Country this
morning in advance of deep-layer shortwave trough axis across
the eastern Great Lakes and sern Ontario. An embedded shortwave
trough in the swly mid-level flow is bringing a cluster of light
to moderate rain showers during the pre-dawn hrs - and a few
embedded thunderstorms - to western and central VT at 0745Z.
This activity should continue newd and exit across far nern VT
after 09Z this morning. Otherwise, conditions are moderately
humid with patchy fog possible thru 12Z.
In addition, a cold front across the St. Lawrence valley will
settle southeastward across nrn NY and VT late this morning into
this afternoon. While not as unstable as yesterday, surface dewpoints
remaining in the mid 60s will contribute to SBCAPE values of
1000-1500 J/kg during the peak heating hours this afternoon,
with afternoon highs in the low-mid 80s in most locations. It
appears that the timing of the front and associated convergence
best favors thunderstorms across s-central/ern VT
(Rutland/Windsor/Orange counties), and have included PoPs up to
60% in these areas for mid afternoon. Further north, can't rule
out more isolated convective storms as the front translates
across the Champlain Valley late morning into early afternoon.
Generally not expecting activity to become severe, but a few
stronger cells are possible with wind gusts to 40-45 mph and
brief heavy rainfall/cloud-to-ground lightning. Surface winds
initially from the S-SW will shift W-NW later today at 5-10 mph.
Prior to the frontal passage, should see localized lake
breezes, with SE winds around PBG late this morning into early
afternoon.
Should see partial clearing overnight as cold front pushes south
and east of the region. Any lingering showers across the eastern
half of VT should exit by 03Z. Gradient flow is rather weak
behind the front, and with limited advection initially,
anticipate some patchy dense fog in favored locations tonight.
May see fog development as early as 02Z, especially in locations
that have observed recent rainfall. Overnight lows generally in
the mid-upper 50s across the Adirondacks and St. Lawrence
Valley, and in the upper 50s to lower 60s from the Champlain
Valley ewd.
Thursday will be a spectacular day to kick off August. North to
northwest winds at 5-10 mph will allow 2-m dewpoints to fall
into the low-mid 50s, making for noticeably drier conditions.
Plenty of sunshine is expected, but cooler 850mb temps will
result in afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. PoPs
NIL.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 311 AM EDT Wednesday...Upper ridging and a weak surface high
will be over the region Thursday night into Friday, leading to quiet
short term period. Skies will be mostly clear with light winds and
slightly above seasonable temperatures. Overnight Thursday lows will
be in the 50s with parts of the Dacks and NEK dipping into the upper
40s. Highs on Friday will be in the lower to mid 80s, but humidity
will be low, leading to a comfortable day.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 311 AM EDT Wednesday...Long term forecast remains the same and
rather uneventful as quiet weather begins the period and the
weekend. A weak front moves along the international border Saturday
afternoon into Saturday night bringing with it a chance of showers,
though the best chance for activity will be north of the border.
Some chances remain for an isolated shower or two across Eastern and
Southern VT on Sun as the upper trough swings through from Canada
but most of the significant activity looks to be south of the CWA.
Moving into next week ridging moves back in to start the week off on
a quiet note before things become more unsettled going into the mid
week with potential showers and thunderstorms.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 12z Thursday...Brief rain showers expected at
SLK/MPV/BTV 06-09Z time frame. May see a brief rumble of thunder
as well, though tstm activity has been absent during the past
couple of hours. May also see some localized MVFR conditions
with BR formation at MPV/SLK/MSS at times, along with ceilings
1-2kft thru 12Z. During the daylight hours, all TAF locations
should return VFR for the morning hours with S-SW winds at
5-10kts. As a cold front approaches from srn Quebec, will see
winds gradually shifting into the west and eventually the
northwest toward sunset on Wednesday. Also anticipate
redevelopment of showers and embedded thunderstorms, mainly
during Wednesday afternoon. The highest probability of
thunderstorm activity is expected across central/s-central VT
(including MPV/RUT TAF locations) between 18-23Z Wednesday. As
winds diminish and skies partially clear out, anticipate locally
dense fog at MPV/SLK during Wednesday night, perhaps starting as
early as 02Z.
Outlook...
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...Verasamy
LONG TERM...Verasamy
AVIATION...Banacos
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