Expires:202304061800;;330231
FPUS51 KBTV 061031
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
627 AM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023
VTZ018-061800-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
627 AM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023
.TODAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the upper
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance
of rain 30 percent.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight, then clearing. Lows in
the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 40. West winds 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 35 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s.
.SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Highs in the mid 40s. Lows in
the upper 20s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs around 60.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
$$
Expires:202304061100;;330205
ASUS41 KBTV 061030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU APR 06 2023
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-061100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 53 48 83 S10 29.96R TC 12
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 37 35 92 S8 30.04F WCI 31 TC 3
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 36 34 92 CALM 30.00R TC 2
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 37 34 89 MISG 30.03F TC 3
LYNDONVILLE* N/A 34 34 99 CALM 30.06R TC 1
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 49 49 100 CALM 30.02S TC 10
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 45 44 97 SE8 30.04R TC 7
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 37 35 92 CALM 30.09S TC 3
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 54 52 95 S6 29.96R TC 12
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 38 37 93 S5 30.02R TC 4
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 48 43 82 CALM 30.05R TC 9
LAKE EDEN* N/A 36 N/A N/A SW1 N/A TC 2
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 48 N/A N/A SW38G51 N/A TC 9
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 45 43 93 S9 N/A TC 7
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 45 43 93 S23 N/A TC 7
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 50 46 87 SE8 N/A TC 10
$$
Expires:No;;330247
FXUS61 KBTV 061031
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
631 AM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Today will be mild with temperatures reaching well into the 40s and
even 60s across the region. A cold front will cross from west to
east during the day, bringing the chances for rain showers, as well
as ushering a colder and drier airmass. Friday will be dry, but
cooler and blustery with gusty northwest winds. The cooler weather
will persist through Saturday, then we'll see a warming trend
through next week, along with continued dry conditions.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 626 AM EDT Thursday...No significant changes were needed
with this update. As expected, we've had a little bit of a break
from the precipitation this morning, but additional showers are
now developing along the St Lawrence Valley down toward the east
end of Lake Ontario, ahead of the approaching cold front. Have
made some slight adjustments to PoPs and weather to match the
latest radar trends. Also incorporated the latest temperature
data; note that KMSS is still sitting at 33F and likely won't
warm until front goes through. Areas east of the Greens remain
in the lower to mid 30s as well, but generally above freezing
except perhaps a few isolated colder pockets in the Northeast
Kingdom. Overall the forecast remain in good shape, so no other
changes were needed.
Previous discussion...A cold front lies poised to our west
early this morning, and it will continue to push eastward, crossing
our area during the daylight hours. Although steadier rain has
exited to our east this morning, scattered showers remain possible
as the front moves through. South winds out ahead of the front will
allow temperatures to warm well into the 50s and even 60s,
especially in Vermont where the frontal passage won't occur until
this afternoon. Northern New York will stay a bit cooler since the
front will move through there first, but still expect highs to get
into the lower to mid 50s. We'll start the day with mostly cloudy
skies, but expect clouds to thin and scatter out through the
afternoon and evening hours.
Cooler and drier air will spill in behind the front, with high
pressure building in from the west. Any showers will end by this
evening, leaving just partly to mostly clear skies overnight. Lows
will be seasonable, generally in the mid 20s to mid 30s.
Friday will be cooler and brisk as cold air advection continues on
gusty northwest winds. Steepening low level lapse rates will result
in efficient mixing of winds, so anticipate gusts of 25 to 35 mph
areawide. The incoming airmass is quite dry (PWATs will be less than
0.25 inch), and afternoon relative humidity will likely drop into
the 25 to 35 percent range. Highs will be several degrees below
normal, generally in the mid 30s to mid 40s, with some locations in
the southern Champlain and Connecticut River Valleys approaching 50.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 358 AM EDT Thursday...Should any light rain fall on Friday,
it'll likely come to an end by Friday night as dry air filters in
behind the cold front. This should lead to plenty of sunshine for
the North Country on Saturday, albeit a little cool with highs
topping out in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Winds will still be blowing
around 20 mph Saturday morning in a few locations but winds will
abate quickly as surface high pressure moves overhead. The air mass
will moderate slightly Saturday night as the core of coldest
temperatures shifts eastward but another night of below normal
temperatures with lows in the upper teens to mid 20s appears to be
on tap.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 358 AM EDT Thursday...A pronounced warming trend will
take center stage Sunday through the upcoming work week with
temperatures returning to seasonal normals on Sunday and could
be upwards of 20 degrees above normal by Thursday. Deep layer
ridging is expected to become well established by early next
week which will help usher in this above normal air mass.
Previous models runs had shown a weak frontal boundary trying to
sag south as the deep layer ridging briefly gets suppressed to
the south but the latest suite of deterministic data shows this
now appears unlikely with the front washing out as the deep
layer ridging never gets suppressed southward. We've trended
PoPs to 10 percent or lower given the latest model trends.
Looking back at temperatures, although temps are expected to be
well above normal, it doesn't appear any records are in jeopardy
just yet but it'll be interesting to see how the
Thursday/Friday time works out as some guidance is hinting at
even warmer than advertised temperatures. Another area of focus
towards the end of next week will be the potential for a
"dewpoint bomb". With a plethora of dry air in place, deep
mixing during the afternoon hours could drop relative humidity
values into the lower 20 percent range or even the upper teens.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...A variety of flight conditions across the
region early this morning, but overall expect MVFR to prevail at
most terminals through 14z Thursday, with LIFR at KMSS and
possibly at KSLK during that time frame. Rain showers will
persist through 10z, especially at KRUT and KMPV, and can't rule
out isolated thunder at these sites. Showers wane after 10z, but
additional activity will be possible after 18z Thu, mainly at
KRUT and KMPV. Ceilings gradually lift after 14z, with all sites
to be VFR by 20z. South to southwest winds will remain around 10
kt through 12z, except gusty to 30 kt at KRUT and KBTV. Winds
will gradually turn more toward the west from west to east after
12z, generally around 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt.
Outlook...
Friday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Clay
LONG TERM...Clay
AVIATION...Hastings
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