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May 2000, Week 1

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From:
Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Mon, 1 May 2000 06:50:03 -0400
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888
FPUS51 KBTV 010850 COR
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2000

CORRECTED ZONES:
VERMONT 011-012

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-011500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
330 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2000

.TODAY...BECOMING CLOUDY AND BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH 55 TO 60. SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...TAPERING TO SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT. LOW AROUND 40. WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF MORNING SPRINKLES...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 50S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEARING. LOW AROUND 35.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 60.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW AROUND 40. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH AROUND 70.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-011500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
330 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2000

.TODAY...BECOMING CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGH
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...TAPERING TO SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT. LOW 35 TO 40. WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE
OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...A FEW MORNING SPRINKLES...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH
IN THE LOWER 50S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEARING. LOW 30 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 55 TO 60.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW AROUND 40. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH AROUND 70.

$$

VTZ011-012-011500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-...CORRECTED
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
330 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2000

.TODAY...BECOMING CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGH NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...EVENING RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. LOW
IN THE LOWER 40S. WIND BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEARING. LOW IN THE 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 60.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW AROUND 40. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH AROUND 70.

$$

NYZ026-027-011500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
330 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY AND BECOMING BREEZY. SHOWERS DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON.
HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...EVENING RAIN LIKELY...ENDING AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW AROUND
40. WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF MORNING SPRINKLES...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 50S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEARING. LOW 30 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 60 TO 65.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW AROUND 40. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH AROUND 70.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-011500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
330 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...EVENING RAIN LIKELY...TAPERING TO SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOW
35 TO 40. WIND BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60
PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF MORNING SPRINKLES...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEARING. LOW 25 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 55 TO 60.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW AROUND 40. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH AROUND 70.

$$




   [INLINE]
   _Click Here for [1]FREE SOFTWARE::Live NEWS and EMWIN information HERE
      Live Radar at [2]http://weather.gov _
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 010655
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 AM EDT MON MAY 01 2000

PREVIOUS SHIFTS SET THE TABLE NICELY FOR THIS FORECAST.  REALLY ONLY
MADE A FEW WORDING CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE FOR THE FIRST
PERIOD.  00 UTC MODELS STILL IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT HOW THE
INITIAL COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.  HIGH
CLOUDS ALREADY SPILLING INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK FROM ONTARIO...AND
WILL SPREAD INTO VERMONT BY SUNRISE.  RAIN LOOKS TO BREAK OUT BY
MIDDAY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...DURING THE AFTERNOON IN NORTHERN
VERMONT...AND MAYBE REACHING SOUTHERN VERMONT BY EARLY EVENING.

TONIGHT ALL AREAS GET ABOUT 0.2-0.3 INCHES OF RAIN ACCORDING TO THE
MODEL OUTPUT.  WE WILL KEEP LIKELY POPS IN ALL ZONES OVERNIGHT...WITH
WORDING OF RAIN TAPERING OFF AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON.  THE AVN IS MUCH
STRONGER THAN THE ETA/NGM WITH A SECONDARY BOUNDARY PUSHING INTO
NORTHERN NEW YORK BY 12 UTC TUESDAY MORNING.  AM NOT CONVINCED THAT
THERE WILL BE MUCH MEASURABLE PRECIP TO WRING OUT TUESDAY MORNING...
BUT HAVE KEPT A MENTION OF LINGERING SPRINKLES IN THE NORTHERN ZONES.
BUFKIT DATA CLEARS THE CLOUDS OUT OF NORTHERN NEW YORK BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT WITH CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT PERSISTING WE WILL MAINTAIN
A PARTLY SUNNY/PARTLY CLOUDY FORECAST UNTIL TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN THE
SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN AND SIGNIFICANT CLEARING SHOULD ENSUE.

NO CHANGES TO 3 TO 5 DAY.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.



     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 010102
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
902 PM EDT SUN APR 30 2000

FORECAST PLAYING OUT REAL NICE AND ONLY A COUPLE OF VERY MINOR
CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED.  ESSENTIALLY SOME TIMING CHANGES TO THE
CLOUDS AND WINDS BASED ON THE FACT THAT WE ARE JUST DEALING WITH THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD NOW.  WINDS HAVE STEADILY DIMINISHED...AS
FORECAST...AND ANY NOTICEABLE CLOUD INCREASE WILL BE OVER NORTHERN
NEW YORK.  SATELLITE IMAGERY ALREADY SHOWING MORE CONCENTRATED AREA
OF THICKER MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST ONTARIO.
DRY DEW POINTS...IN THE TEENS SHOULD HELP TEMPERATURES FALL RATHER
RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND GOING FORECAST OF MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES RANGING IN THE 20S TO MID 30S LOOKS REAL GOOD.

REST OF FORECAST ALSO IN REAL GOOD SHAPE AND SEE NO NEED FOR ANY
CHANGES.

WORK ZONES IN ALBADMBTV

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.



     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 301852
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
252 PM EDT SUN APR 30 2000

HI PRESS RIDGE TO BUILD DOWN ACRS THE FA TONITE AS A STORM SYS DROPS
DOWN ACRS ONT. THIS STORM TO MOVE DOWN ACRS NORTHERN NY AND NORTHERN
VT (OR MAYBE A LIL SOUTH OF THERE) ON MON AND THEN INTO EASTERN NEW
ENG ON MON NITE. UPR TROF TO CROSS FA ON MON NITE. PW VALUES APPEAR
TO BE 0.5-0.75". STORM THEN TO MOVE UP INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON
TUE AS A HI PRESS RIDGE BUILDS ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION AND EASTERN
CANADA. ALSO...SECONDARY TROF OF LOW PRESS TO BE SWEEPING ACRS THE FA
ON TUE. THIS SECONDARY SYS WILL HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH
AND MAY ONLY CAUSE SOME CU TO POP ON TUE ACRS THE FA.

FEW DIURNAL CU ON VIS SAT PIX ATTM WILL BE DYING INTO THE EVENING
HOURS WITH WINDS STARTING TO SUBSIDE. HIR CLDS TO MOVE IN ACRS THE FA
AFTER THE RIDGE AXIS MOVES OUT TO THE EAST. BEST CHC FOR ANY
CLOUDINESS OVRNITE TONITE WILL BE IN THE WESTERN ZONES.

H85 WAA TO STRENGTHEN ACRS THE FA THRU 18Z MON-00Z TUE...WITH WK CAA
AFTER THAT. BEST LOW-LVL MOISTURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST ACRS THE
FA BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z MON. ONLY LINGERING MOISTURE BEHIND SFC SYS...
AND UNDER UPR TROF...FOR MON NITE. H85 TEMPS/925 MB WET-BULB TEMPS
SHOULD BE WARM ENUFF BY THE ONSET OF THE PCPN ON MON FOR IT TO BE ALL
SHRA. ETA/MESO-ETA CAPES ONLY 100-200 J/KG AND ARE TO BE LOCATED ACRS
THE EASTERN GREAT LKS REGION ON MON. THETA-E RIDGE AND PRETTY GOOD
AREA OF THETA-E CONVERGENCE TO MOVE ACRS FA BY LATER ON MON...BUT
FEEL ALL THE FA WILL GET WILL BE CONVECTIVE SHRA AND NO THUNDER. WILL
OPT TO BLOW OFF DAY 2 SPC GENERAL TSTM OUTLOOK THAT STRETCHES UP ACRS
PART OF THE FA ON MON. WILL LEAVE LIKELY POPS FOR LATER ON MON AND
MON NITE ALONE.

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...BIG HI PRESS FOR WED. CF TO MOVE ACRS THE
GREAT LKS REGION ON THU. WILL KEEP GOING FORECAST FOR THU OPTIMISTIC
FOR NOW AND HOPE NO CONVECTION MAKES IT FAR ENUFF EAST TO IMPACT THE
FA. CHC OF SHRA FOR FRI AS CF SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION LOOKS GOOD
FOR NOW. TEMPS TO SLOWLY REBOUND TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD.

FYI...OFFICE POLICY STATES THAT WE WILL NOT BE DOING ANY FROST
HEADLINES UNTIL JUNE 1ST.

WORK ZONES ARE OUT. FINAL ZFP AFTER A QUICK LOOK AT THE LATEST OBS
TRENDS AND LAMP DATA.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY



     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://unitednewswire.org/
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


069
ASUS51 KBTV 110805
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2000

VTZ001>014-110900-

.....VERMONT.....


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    32  22  66 S6        30.31R
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     29  19  66 CALM      30.30R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    34  24  67 W7        30.29R
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       25  22  88 CALM      30.27R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    30  23  74 CALM      30.31R
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     27  24  89 S6        30.33R WCI  22
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    31  22  69 SW6       30.33R

......KEY......
FAIR - FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12000 FEET, WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
       OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                       4:00 PM, Sunday April 30, 2000
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Nathan Williams_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Sunday: The clear blue skies from Saturday will persist into Sunday
   morning as a large area of clear air begins to move from the
   Mississippi River valley towards the Atlantic. Our main weather
   concern should be the strong winds from the north which will be close
   to 15 mph. Clouds will start increasing in number towards late
   afternoon. High temperature today will be just above 50.

   Sunday evening: Winds will start dying down after sunset and become
   calm overnight. The sky will be partly cloudy with temperatures near
   freezing.

   Monday: Cloud cover will rapidly change from partly cloudy to
   overcast. Winds start to become faster around 10 mph. High today near
   50.

   Monday evening: The overcast skies, associated with a cold mass of air
   moving in from the west, will start to precipitate rain late Monday
   evening. Rain will be short-lived and heavy at times with total
   accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch. Upper elevations will
   experience snow of 1-2 inches. Temperatures will bottom out at around
   35 in the valleys, closer to 25-30 as you increase altiude.

                             Extended Forecast

   Tuesday: Rain early in the morning begins to diminish by noon.
   Although the rain will stop, winds will begin blowing and top off near
   10 mph. High near 50 with a low near 40.

   Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies and warmer temperatures will be the
   thing to watch out for today. A cold air mass will finally move out
   giving way to higher temperatures later on Wednesday. Early morning
   low will be from 30-35, but the highs will be nice in the lower 60's.

   Thursday: Warm air will continue into Thursday allowing our high to be
   from 60-65. Some clouds begin to form late night Thursday. Early
   morning low temperature will be around 40.

                            Forecast Discussion


   A systematic changing of weather from clear to cloudy, back to clear
   and then cloudy again will be our weather pattern for the next few
   days. Starting out clear and dominated by a ridge of high pressure
   along the east coast, the skies will change to cloudy as a cold front
   passes late Monday into early Tuesday. As that front passes, another
   ridge of high pressure will follow closely behind controlling the
   clear skies on Wednesday and Thursday. Late night Thursday, our
   weather here in the Kingdom shifts gears again with clouds and rain
   later in the week. Be prepared to change rain jackets to spring
   jackets often this week and keep an umbrella in the car to ready
   yourself for a highly varied weather pattern.

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