560
FPUS51 KBTV 291018 AAA
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
620 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

VTZ001-002-005-009-NYZ028-035-292000-
UPDATED
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ESSEX-FRANKLIN-GRAND ISLE-
NORTHEAST CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...TICONDEROGA
620 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY
BY NOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S. CALM WIND.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 80.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S.
.FRIDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY AND TURNING COOLER. LOW IN THE MID 50S AND
HIGH IN THE MID 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 50 TO 55 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-292000-
UPDATED
CALEDONIA-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
620 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY BY
NOON. HIGH NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF DENSE FOG. LOW IN THE MID 40S.
CALM WIND.
.THURSDAY...EARLY MORNING FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE
UPPER 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.
.FRIDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER. LOW 50 TO 55 AND HIGH IN THE
MID 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW NEAR 40 AND HIGH NEAR 70.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 50 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

$$

VTZ011-012-292000-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
620 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND
10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FOG. LOW IN THE MID 40S. CALM WIND.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 80.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 60.
.FRIDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH 65
TO 70.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH 70 TO 75.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 50 TO 55 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

$$

NYZ026-027-292000-
UPDATED
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
620 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S. CALM WIND.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 80.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH
IN THE MID 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR LOW IN THE 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH IN THE MID
70S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-292000-
UPDATED
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHWEST CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...STAR LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE
620 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY BY
NOON. HIGH IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF DENSE FOG. LOW NEAR 40. CALM WIND.
.THURSDAY...SOME EARLY MORNING FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN
THE MID 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH
IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE 30S AND HIGH NEAR 70.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 40S AND HIGH 70 TO 75.

$$











   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

   [smwthr.gif]

Texas Emergency Information: [2]HERE Emergency Managers go: [3]HERE

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 290532
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
130 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

AGAIN...MORE WELCOMED RAINS TUE AFTN/EVE ACRS GOOD PTN OF FA WITH THE
XCPTN OF SRN VT INCLDG MID/LWR CT RVR VLY THAT SEEMS MOST HAMPERED BY
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

CRNT/SHORT TERM: LOTS OF FOG UPON ARRIVING AT WORK AS CAA HADN/T
BEGUN BUT LOOKING UPSTREAM THE PROCESS APPEARS TO BE BEGINNING...
THUS FOG MAY ACTUALLY DISSIPATE AS THE ERLY MRNG PROGRESSES.

CONTD LGT CAA AT MID/LLVLS ALG WITH DRIER AIR TDY WL ALLOW FOR DECENT
WX ACRS FA WITH TYPICAL FAIR WX CU/SC...ESP IN MTNS.

SFC HIGH CRESTING ACRS FA TNGT WL ALLOW FOR XCPTNL RAD COOLING BUT
LOTS OF LLVL MOISTURE WL ACCNT FOR AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN FOG PRONE
VLYS AND EVEN SOME LOCALLY PATCHY DENSE FOG IN CHMPL VLY. LATE
SUMMER/FALL IS FOG SEASON ACRS FA AND THIS HAS HELD TRUE THE PAST
FEW WEEKS AND WL LKLY CONT FOR ANTHR MONTH/TWO.

LONGER TERM: SOME ULVL RIDGING AS WELL AS SOME BACKING ULVL FLOW IN
RESPONSE TO NXT APPRCHG TROF INTO NRN GRT LAKES AND RETURN FLOW FM
DEPARTING SFC HIGH WL INCREASE SSW GRADIENT ACRS FA AND ALLOW FOR
SFC-H8 TMPS TO MODIFY NICELY FM TDYS AND TNGTS COOL LVLS ON THU.

NXT SYSTEM MVS ACRS GRT LAKES THU NGT AND APPROCHES ST LWRNC VLY BY
12Z FRI WITH DECENT SW GRADIENT...THUS TMPS WL BE QUITE MILDER THU
NGT THAN WED NGT.

SVRL CNDN S/W PAST WELL N ACRS QUEBEC WITH SFC CD FNT SLUGGISHLY MVG
ACRS FA FRI WITH SOME -SHRA LINGERING INTO FRI NGT AND PSBLY SAT MRNG
IN CT RVR VLY. MORE POTENT S/W AND LW TROF AXIS DROPS THRU GRT
LAKES FRI NGT AND ACRS FA SAT TO HELP PUSH OUT CD FNT AND DELIVER
MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR THE HOLIDAY WKND. THIS SCENARIO IS
DFRNT THAN PAST FEW DAYS WHICH SHOWED THE ABV FEATURES DIGGING INTO
SRN GRT LAKES RATHER THAN E ACRS FA.

CAA STARTS SAT AND CONTS SAT NGT WITH H10-5 THICKNESSES DROPPING
TO 5430-5460M ACRS FA BY 12Z SUN ON N WNDS. A COLD NGT BUT DECENT
GRADIENT LKLY ENUF TO PREVENT FROST SUN MRNG BUT THAT CUD BE A DFRNT
STORY COME LABOR DAY MRNG WITH SFC HIGH MVG INTO FA.

RISING HGTS...SFC HIGH ACRS FA AND MDL DEPICTION OF LOTS OF DRY AIR
ACRS GRT LAKES UNDER SFC HIGH SHLD YIELD A BRGHT LABOR DAY HOLIDAY
AND A FEW DEGS MILDER WITH FULL SS AND LIGHT GRADIENT.

THEREFORE...WL MAKE SOME CHGS TO LABOR DAY FCST.

WORKS AVBL ARD 2 AM.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW






FXUS61 KBTV 290116
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
915 PM EDT TUE AUG 28 2001

WILL OPT TO UPDATE ZFP TO REMOVE THE "THROUGH THIS EVENING" PERIOD
AND MAKE A FEW CHANGES TO THE "TONIGHT" PERIOD.

CF TO CONT TO SWEEP ACRS FA TONITE AS HI PRESS BUILDS ACRS THE GREAT
LKS REGION. COOLER DEWPTS ARE STILL A WAYS BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT
THEY SHOULD MAKE IT DOWN ACRS MUCH OF THE FA TONITE. THIS AREA OF HI
PRESS TO BUILD ACRS THE FA FROM THE WEST ON WED. TROP FOLD/SHORT WAVE
(AS SEEN IN H2O VAP IMAGERY) TO SWING ACRS THE FA FROM THE WEST EARLY
TONITE. THIS S/W DROPPED FURTHER SOUTH THAN ANTICIPATED YESTERDAY...
BUT LACK OF GOOD HEATING DUE TO CONVECTIVE CLD DEBRIS ACRS THE FA
APPEARS TO HAVE INHIBITED ANY SVR WX TODAY. WK S/W TO MOVE ACRS THE
FA FROM THE NW ON WED.

21Z 40KM RUC SHOWS TEMPS TO GET DOWN INTO THE U50S-M60S TONITE WITH
SFC WINDS OF LESS THAN 10 KTS OUT OF THE W-NW. THESE TEMPS SEEM A TAD
ON THE HI SIDE GIVEN CURRENT MESONET OBS IN THE U50S-L70S ATTM. T1MIN
TEMPS ARE 45-55F TONITE AND LOOK BETTER. FEW TWEAKS TO FIRST PERIOD
TEMPS/WINDS BASED ON THIS AND CURRENT OBS TRENDS. SOME LOW-LVL DRYING
TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE (LEAST ACRS THE NRN TIER ZONES
THOUGH). MID-LVL DRYING TO TAKE PLACE AS WELL ACRS THE FA TONITE. RUC
SHOWS CAPES TO DROP OFF TO NIL BY AROUND 06Z TONITE. LAPS SHOWS CAPES
ARE ALREADY AOB 400 J/KG ACRS THE FA ATTM. RUC ALSO SHOWING
WIDESPREAD PCPN TO END ACRS THE FA BY 06Z AS WELL WITH MAYBE SOME
LINGERING LT PCPN ACRS NRN VT OVRNITE.

GOOD H85 CAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE WITH WEAKER CAA ACRS
THE FA ON WED. LOW-LVLS (AND MID-LVLS) TO BASICALLY BE DRY ACRS THE
FA ON WED. NOTED CENTRAL/ERN FA STILL IN SPC GEN TSTM OUTLOOK FOR THE
REST OF TONITE. 88D MOSAIC/BUFCAN SHOWS LAST OF PCPN MOVING EAST ACRS
VT ATTM.

FOG A GOOD BET ACRS MUCH OF THE FA OVRNITE WITH RECENT RAINFALL. WILL
HANG ONTO SCT/CHC POPS FOR SHRA AND ISOLATED TSRA EARLY TONITE ACRS
ERN/SRN SECTIONS. MUCH OF THE FA SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARING BY MORNING.
NOT TOO SURE ANYMORE ABOUT CU FORMATION FOR WED...BUT WILL LEAVE
PARTLY SUNNY FORECAST ALONE FOR THEN FOR NOW.

WORK ZONES AND FINAL ZFP ALREADY OUT.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY






FXUS61 KBTV 281945
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 PM EDT TUE AUG 28 2001

LEFTOVER CLOUD COVER (FROM EARLY MORNING PRECIP) WHICH ADVECTED OVER
THE AREA PRETTY MUCH DAMPED OUT THE EARLY AFTERNOON CONVECTION.
HOWEVER...BEHIND THIS AREA UNDER THE UPPER COOL POOL CONSIDERABLE
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
ONTARIO AND NORTHERN NEW YORK. DESPITE FORMIDABLE SHEAR...
INSTABILITY REMAINS LIMITED SO SEVERE THREAT IS ON THE LOWER END OF
MARGINAL. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD LAST ONLY AS LONG AS DAYTIME
INSOLATION PERSISTS...SO HAVE ONLY KEPT MENTION INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS. OVERNIGHT...SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES WILL BE
ON THE DECREASE AS WEAK SURFACE RIDGING MOVES TOWARD THE REGION.

ON WEDNESDAY...MODELS LEAVE A LOT OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE HANGING
AROUND THE AREA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...SO HAVE KEPT PARTLY SUNNY
WORDING ALTHOUGH CLOUD COVER SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS
ON. MAX TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID 60S ADIRONDACKS TO THE LOWER 70S
SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT. MOSTLY CLEAR WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN
INCREASING AFTERNOON CLOUDS ON THURSDAY AS SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES
AND ADVECTS DEEPER MOISTURE INTO THE REGION FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES. HAVE FORECAST THURSDAY'S MAX TEMPERATURES TO JUMP ABOUT 10F
FROM WEDNESDAY'S FORECAST MAXES...DESPITE NGM GUIDANCE TO THE
CONTRARY.

MEDIUM RANGE...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONSISTENT THROUGH SUNDAY. POTENT
UPPER TROUGH PUSHES A FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY...THEN THE
COOLEST AIR IN MONTHS VISITS US SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. MAX
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND MINS FROM THE LOWER 30S TO THE MID 40S.
MRF THEN BRIEFLY BRINGS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THROUGH THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.





   This data is from the [4]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://emwin.hcad.org/
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   4. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

953
ASUS51 KBTV 291105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
700 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-291200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 58 55 90 N7 30.00R
MONTPELIER CLEAR 55 53 93 W8 30.02R
MORRISVILLE MOCLDY 54 52 93 CALM 30.00R
ST. JOHNSBURY N/A 55 55 100 CALM 29.96R
RUTLAND CLOUDY 55 55 100 CALM 30.00S VSB<1/4
SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 53 52 96 CALM 29.98R
BENNINGTON FOG 53 53 100 CALM 30.00R VSB 1
$$

______KEY______
VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX - HEAT INDEX



    Our Local Student forecasts have been completed for the School year.
              They will resume again in September. Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
 RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
 620 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2001

 .TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY BY
 NOON. HIGH NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF DENSE FOG. LOW IN THE MID 40S.
 CALM WIND.
 .THURSDAY...EARLY MORNING FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE
 UPPER 70S.

 .EXTENDED FORECAST...
 .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.
 .FRIDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS
 AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER. LOW 50 TO 55 AND HIGH IN THE
 MID 60S.
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.
 .LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW NEAR 40 AND HIGH NEAR 70.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 50 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

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