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SKIVT-L  September 2002, Week 1

SKIVT-L September 2002, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 6 Sep 2002 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (261 lines)

Expires:200209062000;;953225
FPUS51 KBTV 060703
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2002


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-062000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
300 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2002

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 70 TO 75. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME PATCHY FOG. LOW IN THE 40S. CALM WIND.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND WARMER. HIGH 80 TO 85. LIGHT SOUTHWEST
WIND.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE MID 80S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT. LOW
NEAR 60 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 55 TO 60 AND
HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR
50 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 060514
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
115 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2002

...SUMMER WEATHER TO RETURN AFTER A CHILLY MORNING...

BIG PIX: MS RVR VLY ULVL RDG TO BUILD INTO GRT LAKES/NE DRG THE
WKND AND LKLY KEEP CNDN BKDOOR CD FNT N OF FA. THEREFORE...SUMMER
TMPS INTO NXT WEEK AND CONTD DRY.

CRNT (04Z): SKC...CALM AND COOL...DRY AIRMASS ACCNTG FOR XCLNT
RADTNL COOLING WITH TMPS ALRDY IN M-U30S IN COLDEST VLYS.

SHORT TERM: NW ULVL FLOW DOMINATES FA AS MS RVR VLY ULVL RDG SLOWLY
BUILDS INTO GRT LAKES. SVRL DISTURBANCES ALG THE "RING OF FIRE" WITH
THE FIRST DISTURBANCE OF SOME -SHRA/CLDS N OF GRT LAKES MVS WITHIN
FLOW ACRS THIS AFTN/TNGT WITH SOME MID CLDS BUT NOTHING ELSE. THE
MAIN EFFECT...OTHER THAN "SHADING" THE SUN IS PLAYING WITH AFTN
HIGHS ACRS NRN NY AND AFFECTING ANTHR PSBL GOOD RADTNL COOLING NGT
ACRS FA. IN FACT...WIDE RANGES IN TMPS ACRS FA ARE LKLY TNGT.

ULVL RDG BUILDS AND ULVL FLOW BECOMES MORE WNW...DISTURBANCES SHLD
STAY N OF CNDN BDR. MEANWHILE...SFC HIGH MVS ACRS FA TDY AND S OF FA
FOR WKND ACCNTG FOR WRM RETURN FLOW WITH H8 TMPS BACK INTO M10S SAT.

MID TERM: ALTHOUGH ALL MDLS APPEAR TO HAVE COME AROUND TO PRVS GFS
(AVN/MRF) SOLNS. IT NOW APPEARS ETA IS STRONGER AND FURTHER E WITH
H5 RDG COMPARED TO GFS...KEEPING ANY SIGN OF BKDOOR FNT N OF CNDN
BDR THRU ENTIRE WKND. MEANWHILE...GFS HAS RDG AXIS SHIFTED ENUF W
THAT NRN QUEBEC/LABRADOR TROF DROPS A BIT SW ALLOWING FOR A WEAK
BKDOOR FNT TO DROP ACRS NRN NH/ME AND PSBLY NE VT WITH A CHC -SHRA
SUN AFTN/NGT BFR H5 RDG REBUILDS ACRS FA WITH MORE DRY...SUMMERLIKE
HEAT. CNDN SEF TAKES THE MID-GRND WITH BKDOOR FNT LKLY ACRS ERN
QUEBEC/NRN ME BUT NOT AS PRONOUNCED AS GFS.

IN THE END...DROUGHTS ARE FORMED AND MAINTAINED BY MISSING ANY
OPPORTUNITY FOR -SHRA AND FEEL THIS WL BE THE CASE HERE. ALBEIT IF
GFS SOLN OCCURS...WE'RE TALKING ABT SCT -SHRA AND NOTHING SGNFCT.
THUS...PERHAPS A FEW MORE CLDS AND A FEW DEGS COOLER ACRS NE VT
SUN/MON. OTHERWISE...H5 RDG REBUILDS ACRS FA WITH H8 TMPS M-U10S
SUN/MON/TUE.

LONG TERM: ERLY NXT WEEK...THE BLOCKING PATTERN ACRS LABRADOR LIFTS
ALLOWING THIS UPR LOW TO MV E...THUS H5 RDG FLATTENS AND SHIFTS E
AS WELL AND ALLOWS NRN STREAM S/W TO MV INTO GRT LAKES AND EVENTUALLY
NE LATE TUES/ERLY WED WITH A CD FNT.

THEREAFTER...ECMWF AND CNDN SEF HINT AT PSBL PHASING OF NRN
STREAM ALG WITH WHAT ALL MDLS FCST HAS A PSBL TROPICAL SYSTEM
THAT INITIALLY DVLPS UNDER H5 LOW OFF SE USA.

STL MANY ??? AND FAR OUT IN TIME BUT SOME SORT OF TROPICAL CONNECTION
TYPE RAINFALL WUD BE WHAT THE HYDROLOGIST/METEOROLOGIST ORDERED FOR
THIS DROUGHT.

ATTM...LEANING TOWARD INTRO CHC LATE DAY -SHRA/-TSRA TO NY TUES/TUES
NGT AND REST OF FA TUES NGT/WED AND LV THU ALONE FOR NOW.

WORKS AVBL ARD 230 AM.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW






FXUS61 KBTV 060042
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
842 PM EDT THU SEP 5 2002

CRNT FCST ON TRACK SO NO UPDT ANTICIPATED.

HI PRES OVR GT LKS TO BLD SEWD THRU FRI.  SKC...LGT WNDS AND DRY AMS
WL RSLT IN XCNT RAD COOLG CONDS AND CHILLY NGT.  WDSPRD 30S LKLY IN
COLDER SPOTS OF ADRNDCKS/NE KINGDM WITH A FEW SPOTS PSBLY FLIRTING
WITH 32.  SOME FROST LKLY BUT NOT LKLY WDSPRD ENUF FOR ADVSY/WRNG
CRITERIA.  CRNT SPS COVERS SITN WELL.

FOR FRI...18Z ETA/AVN SHW AREA OF MID LVL MSTR MVG ACRS RGN DURG
AFTN AS SFC HI MVS S OF RGN WITH WK WAA DVLPG ALG WIHT WK S/WV
RIDING OVR RDG.  THIS MAY BRING MORE AFTN CLDS THAN CRNT FCST INDCTS
BUT WL ALLOW MID SHFT TO EXAMINE 00Z MDL SUITE TO DETERMINE IF MORE
CLDS NEEDED.

SUMMER RETURNS DURG THE WEEKEND AS UPR RDG BLDS ACRS GT LKS AND WLYS
RETREAT NWD INTO CNDA.  H8 TMPS WRMG TO 16+ SAT/SUN WITH ETA SHWG
+20 SUN WHICH WUD SUPPRT 90+ IF CORRECT.  REGARDLESS...TMPS WELL
INTO 80S LOOKS LIKE A GOOD BET.

.BTV...NONE.

KJC






FXUS61 KBTV 052017
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
410 PM EDT THU SEP 5 2002

HIGH PRESSURE WL DOMINATE FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK, RESULTING IN
MAINLY DRY WX THRU THE PERIOD. CHILLY TO START...BUT TEMPS REBOUND
QUICKLY THIS WEEKEND AND REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THRU MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

MAIN WX PROBLEM IN SHORT TERM IS MIN TEMPS TONITE. SKIES HAVE
CLEARED ACRS RGN AS DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO ADVECT IN. HIGH PRES
OVR GRTLKS WL BLD EAST ACRS FA TONITE. THIS WL ALLOW FOR WNDS TO
SUBSIDE. IDEAL RAD COOLING CONDITIONS OVRNGT. EXPCT LOWS IN
TRADITIONALLY COOLER SPOTS TO BE MAINLY IN 30S...WITH L-M 40S
CHMPLN/ST LWR VLYS. SPOTTY FROST PSBL. DO NOT FEEL IT WL BE ENOUGH
TO WARRANT ADVISORY ATTM...BUT IT WL NEED TO BE WATCHED THIS EVENING.
SPS HAS BEEN ISSUED HIGHLIGHTING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
FROST TONITE.

HIGH PRES RESIDES OVR FA FRIDAY...THEN SETTLES SOUTH OF RGN
OVR WEEKEND. WNW FLOW ALOFT WITH H5 RIDGE AXIS OVER MIDDLE OF
COUNTRY. THIS WL ALLOW FOR MODERATION IN TEMPS. NEAR NORMAL
READINGS EXPECTED FRI...WITH TEMPS THEN WARMING INTO THE 80S SAT...
AND WELL INTO 80S TO NEAR 90 SUNDAY.

NEXT WEEK: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS FOR MUCH OF WEEK. MAINLY DRY AS
WELL. WITH WNW FLOW CONTINUING ALOFT HOWEVER...THERE ALWAYS REMAINS
POSSIBLITY OF IMPULSES DRAGGING BACKDOOR FRONT THRU FA. ONE
SYSTEM WL MOVE THRU AREA MONDAY. HAVE MENTIONED CHC
SHRA/TSRA. THIS BOUNDARY MOVES EAST OF RGN TUES...ALLOWING FOR
RETURN OF VERY WARM TEMPS. FRONTAL SYSTEM WL APPRCH THURS...
BRINGING NEXT CHC PCPN.

.BTV...NONE.





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

238
ASUS51 KBTV 061005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2002

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-061100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     45  43  93 CALM      30.17R
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     47  41  80 CALM      30.19R
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     42  40  92 SE3       30.18S
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     41  40  96 CALM      30.16R
RUTLAND        CLEAR     43  39  87 CALM      30.17R
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       41  41 100 CALM      30.17R VSB 1
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     41  40  96 CALM      30.18R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



    Our Local Student forecasts have been completed for the School year.
              They will resume again in September. Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 300 AM EDT FRI SEP 6 2002

 .TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 70 TO 75. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME PATCHY FOG. LOW IN THE 40S. CALM WIND.
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND WARMER. HIGH 80 TO 85. LIGHT SOUTHWEST
 WIND.
 .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S.
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.
 .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.
 .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE MID 80S.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT. LOW
 NEAR 60 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.
 .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 55 TO 60 AND
 HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
 .THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR
 50 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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April 2011, Week 3
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March 2011, Week 4
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January 2011, Week 1
December 2010, Week 5
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December 2010, Week 3
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December 2010, Week 1
November 2010, Week 5
November 2010, Week 4
November 2010, Week 3
November 2010, Week 2
November 2010, Week 1
October 2010, Week 5
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October 2010, Week 3
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September 2010, Week 1
August 2010, Week 5
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August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
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July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
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June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
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February 2010, Week 1
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October 2009, Week 3
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October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
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February 2002, Week 1
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