Expires:200209282000;;348362
FPUS51 KBTV 280714
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-282000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
315 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002

.TODAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY BY MID MORNING. BREEZY. HIGH NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING. SCATTERED FROST
POSSIBLE. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.SUNDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY FOG UNTIL MID-MORNING.
HIGH IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGH IN THE
MID 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S
AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID
60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S
AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 280650
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
250 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002

THE POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE FORECAST CONCERN.

CRNT RADAR TRENDS SHOW PRECIP RAPIDLY ENDING ACRS NE VERMONT. CALLS
FROM OBSERVERS AND LOCAL MTR REPORTS SHOW A WELCOME WIDESPREAD 2
INCH RAINFALL ACRS THE CWA. ONLY MINOR RISES IN THE STREAMS AND
RIVERS ACRS THE REGION SO FAR AND NO REPORTS OF FLOODING. ALSO...
WITH PRECIP ENDING AND NO PROBLEMS WITH FLOODING EXPECTED I WILL
CANCEL FLOOD WATCH WITH THIS PACKAGE.

WATER VAPOR SHOWING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF ISIDORE
RACING ACRS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND INTO EASTERN CANADA THIS
MORNING. LARGE AREA OF SUBSIDENCE FROM WESTERN NY EXTENDING BACK INTO
THE MS RIVER VALLEY. SATL PICS SHOWS CLOUD SHIELD QUICKLY DISSIPATING
ACRS OHIO VALLEY AND ADVANCING INTO THE NE. THE ETA 850-700MB LAYER
RH VALUE OF 60 PERCENT DEPICTS THE CLEARING LINE WELL.

TODAY-TONIGHT...WEAK MID/UPPER LVL TROF DEVELOPS ACRS CWA AS CAA
CONTINUES ON NW FLOW. PROGGED 850MB TEMPS SHOW STRONG NORTH/SOUTH
GRADIENT ACRS FA TODAY WITH NEAR 0C ALONG US/CANADA BORDER TO
7C RUTLAND/WINDSOR COUNTIES. I WL MENTION TEMPS UPPER 50S TO UPPER
60S ACCORDINGLY. 850-700MB RH PROGGS SHOW MOISTURE QUICKLY MOVING
EAST OF CWA THIS MORNING...THEREFORE MS LOOKS REASONABLE. I WL
CONTINUE TO MENTION BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH STRONG SFC GRADIENT AND
LLVL UNI-DIRECTIONAL FLOW. ALSO...BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WINDS CAN
MIX DOWN DRY ADIABATIC FROM 850MB...WHICH SUPPORTS BREEZY WORDING.
TONIGHT...SFC HIGH PRES MOVES ACRS CWA AND WITH MOSTLY CLR
SKIES/LIGHT WINDS EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. I WL MENTION TEMPS
MID/UPPER 20S SLK TO MID 30S CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. HOWEVER...WITH PLENTY
OF LLVL MOISTURE FROM PREVIOUS DAYS RAIN...MAY PREVENT FROST
FORMATION. I WL ISSUE SPS FOR THE AOB FREEZING TEMP POTENTIAL...
ESPECIALLY SINCE THIS WL BE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON. LOCAL POLICY
STATES FROST/FREEZE SEASON ENDS SEPT 20TH...THEREFORE NO HIGHLIGHTS.

SUNDAY-MONDAY...WEAK MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE SLOWLY DEVELOPS ACRS REGION
AS SFC HIGH PRES SHIFTS INTO EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. ETA RH CROSS
SECTION SUGGEST MID LVL MOISTURE DEVELOPING SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF WAA
ACRS THE GREAT LAKES. THESE CLOUDS SHOULD PREVENT TEMPS FROM
DROPPING BELOW FREEZING SUNDAY NITE. MONDAY...WAA CONTINUES AS
850MB TEMPS WARM TO NEAR 10C. I WL MENTION TEMPS IN THE 60S TO NEAR
70. FEEL BEST MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WL STAY NORTH OF CWA MONDAY...
BUT FOR CONTINUITY WL CONTINUE TO MENTION -RW.

EXTENDED...STRONG RIDGE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ACRS OUR REGION
THROUGH MIDWEEK...THEREFORE EXPECT A RETURN TO AOA NORMAL TEMPS.
PROGGED 850MB TEMPS SUGGEST TEMPS WELL INTO THE 70S TUESDAY AND WEDS
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. CRNT FCST HAS THIS COVERED WELL AND WL MAKE
NO CHANGES ATTM.

.BTV...NONE.

TABER






FXUS61 KBTV 280317
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1116 PM EDT FRI SEP 27 2002

SFC LOW RACING EASTWARD ACROSS S-CNTRL VT AND BACK EDGE OF
STEADY RAIN SHIELD APCHG THE CHAMPLAIN VLY. A VERY WIDESPREAD 2+
INCHES OF RAIN HAS OCCURRED ACROSS MOST OF THE FCST AREA. NO
REPORTS OF FLOODING AND RIVERS JUST NOW STARTING TO RESPOND...BUT
WITH ONLY 1 FOOT RISES SO FAR. HAVE DECIDED TO LEAVE FLOOD WATCH IN
PLACE OVERNIGHT SINCE SOME SMALL STREAMS MAY STILL BE ON THE
RISE AND COULD CAUSE SOME LOCAL ROAD OR CULVERT WASHOUTS. ZONES
WERE BROUGHT UP TO DATE CONCERNING THE TIMING OF ENDING THE
RAINFALL.

...DISCUSSION FROM 519 PM FRIDAY...

HIGH PRES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THIS COMBINED
WITH NEARLY CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES
TO PLUMMET INTO THE 30S ACROSS THE FCST AREA...EXCEPT INTO THE 20S
IN THE ADIRONDACKS. WILL MENTION AREAS OF FROST IN THE FCST
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL ALSO PUT IN FOG ACROSS THE ZONES AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

SUNDAY WILL BE FAIR AND DRY...BUT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...MODELS SHOW A
WARM FRONT APPROACHING THE ST LAWRENCE VLY AND THE ADIRONDACKS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MODEL DIFFER A BIT HERE...WITH THE GLOBAL MODEL
SUGGESTING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...WHILE THE ETA KEEPS THIS MAINLY IN
CANADA. GIVEN THE RECENT GOOD PERFORMANCE OF THE GLOBAL MODEL
WITH ISIDORE...WILL GO WITH THE GLOBAL MODEL AND PUT A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN FOR MONDAY AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON WEDNEDAY FOR ANOTHER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

.BTV...FLOOD WATCH OVERNIGHT VTZ001>012 NYZ026>031-NYZ034-035.

WGH/BELL






FXUS61 KBTV 272119
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
519 PM EDT FRI SEP 27 2002

REMAINS OF ISIDORE NOW OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA WITH RAIN EXTENING
BACK TO WESTERN NY AND PA. ALL MODELS NOW IN AGREEMENT THAT RAIN
WILL END AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THE ST LAWRENCE VLY AND LATER ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST AREA. HOWEVER...WILL KEEP THE FLOOD WATCH
UP TONIGHT. SKIES SHOULD BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY BY MIDDAY ACROSS THE
FCST AREA ON SATURDAY...WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS.

HIGH PRES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THIS COMBINED
WITH NEARLY CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES
TO PLUMMET INTO THE 30S ACROSS THE FCST AREA...EXCEPT INTO THE 20S
IN THE ADIRONDACKS. WILL MENTION AREAS OF FROST IN THE FCST
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL ALSO PUT IN FOG ACROSS THE ZONES AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

SUNDAY WILL BE FAIR AND DRY...BUT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...MODELS SHOW A
WARM FRONT APPROACHING THE ST LAWRENCE VLY AND THE ADIRONDACKS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MODEL DIFFER A BIT HERE...WITH THE GLOBAL MODEL
SUGGESTING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...WHILE THE ETA KEEPS THIS MAINLY IN
CANADA. GIVEN THE RECENT GOOD PERFORMANCE OF THE GLOBAL MODEL
WITH ISIDORE...WILL GO WITH THE GLOBAL MODEL AND PUT A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN FOR MONDAY AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON WEDNEDAY FOR ANOTHER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

.BTV...FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT VTZ001>012 NYZ026>031-NYZ034-035.

WGH





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

190
ASUS51 KBTV 281005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-281100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 57 54 89 N6 29.82R
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 54 52 93 NW6 29.81R
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 54 52 93 N10 29.80R
ST. JOHNSBURY N/A 56 52 86 CALM 29.74R
RUTLAND CLOUDY 55 54 94 N10G16 29.80R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 58 53 84 CALM 29.75R
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 57 55 93 NW12 29.80R
$$

______KEY______
VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                     12:00PM, Friday September 27, 2002
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Jill Gilardi
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Friday: This afternoon rain will begin spreading over the region and
   continuing through the overnight. It will be heavy at times, make sure
   you allow plenty of time if you are planning on driving. The clouds
   and rain will keep temperatures in the upper 50s and winds will gust
   from the southeast at 5-10 mph.

   Friday Night: Rain will be heavy at times, accumulating 1-3, with
   higher amounts especially along hilltops. Temperatures will be warm
   for a September night, cooling into the lower 50s and winds will flow
   from the south at less than 10 mph.

   Saturday: The rain ends early in the morning and conditions dry and
   skies become partly sunny. Expect more clouds, however, to form along
   the higher terrain due to moist surface air, rising and cooling. Winds
   will be breezy from the northwest and temperatures will climb into the
   lower 60s.

   Saturday Night: Skies clear, winds die down, forming patchy fog and
   frost to areas prone. It will be chilly, dropping into the mid 30s
   with lower 30s expected in the mountains.

                             Extended Forecast

   Sunday: Will be a perfect day for AMS members to go on the annual hike
   up Mount Washington. Mostly sunny skies will make for great view but
   temperatures at the base will rise to near 60, meaning that a few
   layers may be handy when hiking higher where it is cooler.

   Monday: Anticipate partly cloudy skies and temperatures to rise into
   the lower 60s.

   Tuesday: A southerly flow sets up, raising temperatures into the lower
   70s along with transporting additional moisture into New England
   making for a mixture of sun and clouds.

                            Forecast Discussion

   Tropical Depression Isidore will continue weakening and become a wave
   of low-pressure along a cold front that is advancing from the Great
   Lakes. The center of Isidore is going to race towards the Northeast
   through the afternoon and will be rid of by the morning. The rain
   totals are expected to be between 1-3. Flooding is a potential with
   heavy amounts of rain falling in such a short period of time. The
   weekend looks pleasant overall but cooler than weve experienced all
   week. High pressure will settle over the top of us extending into
   Monday, then shift towards the east and return warm, southerly air,
   bumping up temperatures for mid-week.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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