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SKIVT-L  September 2002, Week 4

SKIVT-L September 2002, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 25 Sep 2002 06:50:06 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (287 lines)

Expires:200209252000;;293617
FPUS51 KBTV 250720
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
320 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-252000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
320 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH PATCHY DENSE FOG UNTIL MID-MORNING. HIGH
65 TO 70. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 40 TO 45. CALM WIND.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 60S TO THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
TOWARD MORNING. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOW IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 30S AND HIGH IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
60S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 250618
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
217 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002

SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW A GRADUAL NORTHWARD PUSH OF HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION EARLY THIS MORNING.  THIS TREND WILL
CONTINUE AS THE DAY WEARS ON TODAY AND WILL MENTION MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES AS CIRRUS SHOULD NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN IMPACT ON THE SUNSHINE.
LOW LEVEL THICKNESS TRENDS SUPPORT ONLY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES OVER YESTERDAY.  THUS WILL GO A DEGREE OR TWO
WARMER THAN YESTERDAY/S HIGH TEMPERATURES.  THIS WILL PUT ALL AREAS
IN THE MID 60 TO LOWER 70 RANGE.  WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT.

WITH A BIT MORE CIRRUS TONIGHT...THIS MAY BE JUST ENOUGH TO LIMIT
THE AMOUNT OF FOG THAT DEVELOPS.  WILL THEREFORE NOT MENTION ANY FOG
AT THIS TIME AS ANY THAT DOES DEVELOP SHOULD BE RATHER LIMITED IN
AREAL COVERAGE.  SLOW INCREASE IN DEW POINTS SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES
OVERNIGHT WILL REMAIN ABOVE ANY LEVELS THAT MAY CAUSE ANY FROST AND
WILL THEREFORE REMOVE THE MENTION OF SCATTERED FROST IN THE FORECAST.

HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OUT OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON
THURSDAY...THUS HELPING TO INCREASE THE SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
OVER THE AREA.  PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD INCREASE AND SOME 850 WARM
AIR ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE.  THUS HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY
SHOULD BE THE SAME OR SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY/S READINGS.

MAIN ISSUE OF THE FORECAST WILL BE WITH WHAT REMAINS OF ISIDORE AND
ITS ABILITY TO SPREAD SO FAR NORTH IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
FEEL SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE A BIT TOO FAST AND WILL MAKE SOME
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TIMING OF THE THREAT OF RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE AREA.  WILL MENTION A FORTY PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN TOWARD
MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTH.  IN AN EFFORT TO KEEP
CONSISTENCY...WILL LEAVE THE FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT FORECAST AS IS WITH
RAIN LIKELY.  STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW ITS ALL GOING TO PLAY
OUT...SO GOING FORECAST SEEMS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE.  COORDINATION
WITH ALBANY AND GRAY SUGGEST WE ARE ALL STILL IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE UPCOMING EVENT WITH EITHER LIKELY OR CATEGORICAL
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ON FRIDAY.

TREND OF COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK LOOKS REAL GOOD AS FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWEST WITH
TIME.  CURRENT 850 MB TEMPERATURE ANALYSIS SHOWS TEMPERATURES LESS
THAN ZERO ACROSS MANITOBA AND SASKATCHEWAN AND THIS IS THE AIR THAT
WILL EVENTUALLY ADVECT INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.  THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.  GOING FORECAST HAS THIS COVERED
WELL...SO NO CHANGES NEEDED TO THE SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY TIME
PERIOD.

WORK ZONES IN ALBWRKCWF BY 300 AM.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.







FXUS61 KBTV 250156
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
955 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002

NO UPDATES NEEDED OVERNIGHT.

TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS RUNNING NECK IN NECK WITH LAST NIGHTS
READINGS AT THIS TIME. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN ALMOST A CARBON COPY OF
LAST NIGHT EXCEPT MAYBE A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER AT KSLK WHICH REACHED
31 THIS MORNING. SO 30S AND LOWER 40S SHOULD DO IT. FOG AGAIN A GOOD
BET.

CIRRUS SHIELD SPREADING NORTHWARD RIDING THE EDGE OF THE RUC DYNAMIC
TROP(2 PVU SFC). IN THE AVN(1.5 PVU) THE EDGE OF THE DT(1.5 PVU)
REACHES BTV AROUND 18Z TOMORROW, SO SOME DIMMING SUN IS POSSIBLE IN
THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY SOUTH. SAT CHANNEL 4-5 DIFFERENCE PRODUCT
FROM UCAR/RAP SHOWING THAT MUCH OF IT IS THIN OVER VA THIS EVENING
SO INITIALLY IT SHOULD BE THIN SO SUNNY OR MOSTLY SUNNY SHOULD DO
IT. WILL LET MID SHIFT DECIDE ON THAT.

STILL LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE ISIDORE TRACK AS IT TRANSITIONS TO
EXTRA-TROPICAL LATER THIS WEEK. 18Z GFS SLOWED FROM THE 12Z RUN AND
SIMILAR TO THE ECMWF. UKMET SLOWER STILL, ETA EVEN SLOWER, AND
NOGAPS LOSES THE SURFACE LOW ENTIRELY BY 72 HOURS. 12Z GFS ENSEMBLES
ALSO SHOW EXTREME VARIABILITY IN THE TIMING FOR LATER THIS WEEK.
STAY TUNED.

.BTV...NONE.

SISSON







FXUS61 KBTV 242008
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
408 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002

IN THE SHORT RANGE: HIGH PRES AREA TO BE OVER THE FCST AREA THRU
THURSDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND CLEAR NIGHTS. "BIG BUBBLE NO
TROUBLE". WILL MENTION AREAS OF PATCHY DENSE FOG DEVELOPING LATE
TONIGHT ACROSS THE FCST AREA...AND AGAIN ON WED NIGHT. TEMPS TO
FALL INTO THE 30S IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND PARTS OF THE ST LAWRENCE
VLY AND THE ADIRONDACKS...WILL ALSO MENTION SOME SCATTERED FROST
POSSIBLE AS WELL...BUT AREAS OF FOG SHOULD HELP TO PREVENT ANY
WIDESPREAD AREAS OF FROST OVERNIGHT.

IN THE LONGER RANGE...FCST AREA TO BE AFFECTED BY THE REMAINS OF
ISIDORE.  WILL GO WITH THE AVN MODEL WITH THE TIMING OF THE PRECIP
FROM THE REMAINS OF ISIDORE...AS THIS MODEL HAS BEEN THE MOST
CONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF ISIDORE.  WILL BRING IN A CHANCE OF
RAIN TO THE FCST AREA LATE THU NIGHT...AND THEN GO WITH RAIN LIKELY
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  HIGH PRES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION LATER
SATURDAY FOR FAIR AND DRY WEATHER THRU TUESDAY.


.BTV...NONE.

WGH





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

202
ASUS51 KBTV 250705
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-250800-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      48  47  96 E3        30.32R
MORRISVILLE    FOG       41  40  96 CALM      30.35S VSB 1/4
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     43  43 100 CALM      30.33S
RUTLAND        FAIR      45  41  87 SE8       30.34R
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       44  43  96 CALM      30.34S VSB 1/2
BENNINGTON     FAIR      42  42 100 CALM      30.33S FOG
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                    12:00PM, Tuesday September 24, 2002
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Jill Gilardi
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Tuesday: This afternoon there will be plenty of sunshine. Temperatures
   will rise into the upper 60s to lower 70s and winds will be light from
   the north.

   Tuesday Night: Winds remain light along with the absence of clouds.
   Starlit skies may draw your attention so I recommend bringing along a
   jacket if you plan on heading outside because temperatures are going
   to cool into the lower 40s. Anticipate patchy fog to develop late,
   lingering into the early morning hours.

   Wednesday: Sunny skies dominate after morning fog burns off.
   Temperatures will rise into the lower 70s and winds will continue
   flowing lightly, switching into the south.

   Wednesday Night: Expect clear skies, calm winds and patchy fog to
   develop into the morning hours. Temperatures will not feel quite as
   cool, dropping into the mid-upper 40s.

                             Extended Forecast

   Thursday: It will be another beautiful day with partly sunny skies.
   Temperatures will be balmy for this time of year, climbing into the
   lower 70s. Clouds will likely increase during the overnight and
   temperatures will cool into the upper 40s.

   Friday: There will be more clouds than sun with a chance for showers.
   Clouds and any rain will inhibit temperatures from warming as high,
   reaching the mid 60s instead of lower 70s.

   Saturday: The clouds and showers stick around and temperatures
   struggle to rise above the lower 60s.

                            Forecast Discussion

   High pressure in the east will be the dominant feature through
   Thursday resulting in clear skies and dry weather. The fair weather
   feature will slide to the east late on Wednesday and Thursday as a
   cold front tracks from The Great Lakes towards New England. In the
   meantime, Tropical Storm Isidore is moving away from the Yucatan
   Peninsula into the Gulf of Mexico, targeting the Gulf Coast by
   Thursday. The moisture associated with Isidore is forecasted to head
   through the Tennessee Valley on Friday and into the Northeast by
   Saturday. It is still too far ahead in the future to give an accurate
   forecast but as of today the cold front, which will head into the east
   on Friday along with the moisture streaming northward from Isidore
   will, combine to bring heavy rains to New England. The timing is still
   uncertain but will continue to be monitored and updated. On Saturday,
   if all ingredients fall into place then The East Burke Fall Festival
   will intern be a washout.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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December 2008, Week 3
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December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 4
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March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 3
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January 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 2
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
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September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
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August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
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May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
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February 2004, Week 5
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February 2004, Week 1
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January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
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January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
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November 2003, Week 3
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November 2003, Week 1
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October 2003, Week 3
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March 2003, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
July 2002, Week 5
July 2002, Week 4
July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
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June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
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February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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March 2000, Week 5
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February 2000, Week 2
February 2000, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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