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SKIVT-L  September 2002, Week 4

SKIVT-L September 2002, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 24 Sep 2002 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (271 lines)

Expires:200209242000;;278292
FPUS51 KBTV 240751
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
350 AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002



VTZ003-004-006>008-010-242000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
350 AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002

.TODAY...AREAS OF DENSE FOG UNTIL MID MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY.
HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.TONIGHT...CLEAR AND CALM WITH PATCHY FOG LATE. LOW 35 TO 40.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT SOUTH WIND.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW FROM THE MID 30S TO THE MID 40S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 70.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...BECOMING CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S AND HIGH IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 30 TO 35 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 240817
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
410 AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002

DRY WX INTO THURS AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE DOMINANT WX FEATURE.
PCPN CHANCES INCREASE FRI DUE APPROACH OF CDFNT FROM WEST AND
PSBL TROPICAL MSTR STREAMING NORTH FROM GULF. DRYING AND CHILLY OVER
THE WEEKEND.

CURRENTLY...HIGH PRES RESULTING IN CLR SKIES ACRS FA. HOWEVER...THE
COMBINATION OF CLR SKIES...LITE WNDS...AND LLVL MSTR FROM RECENT
RAINS IS RESULTING IN SOME FOG. EXPECT THE FOG TO BE RATHER WDSPRD
EARLY THIS AM ACRS RGN. WL MENTION IN ZFP...AS IT MAY TAKE UNTIL
LATER THIS MORNING FOR FOG/LOW CLDS TO DISSIPATE IN SOME LOCATIONS...
ESP ERN VT. ONCE IT DOES BURN OFF...EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. RATHER
VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE MOVG ACRS CNTRL GRTLKS EARLY THIS MORNING IS
PROGGED BY ALL MODELS TO LIFT NEWRD INTO ONT/QUE AND WEAKEN DURING
TDY...THUS NO IMPACT ON BTV CWA OTHER THAN PERHAPS A FEW CLDS NRN
AREAS.

HIGH PRES BCMS RE-ESTABLISHED ACRS RGN TON/WED...THEN SLIDES EAST OF
FA WED NITE. EXPECT MAINLY CLR SKIES THRU THIS PERIOD. SOME PATCHY
FOG CAN BE EXPECTED BOTH NIGHTS.

THURS: WE REMAIN UNDER INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE...ALTHOUGH CENTER
WL BE SLIDING EAST ACRS CANADIAN MARITIMES. RETURN FLOW AROUND THE
HIGH WL RESULT IN AN INCR IN CLDS...BUT DEEPER MSTR AND ANY PCPN
ASSOCD WITH LOW PRES FORMING ALG INVERTED TROF IN MID ATLC RGN IS
EXPECTED TO RMN SOUTH OF FA. LOOK FOR SKIES TO BCM CLDY LATER THU/THU
NITE.

FRI: CDFNT APRCHS FROM GRTLKS. SITUATION COMPLICATED BY ISIDORE.
MODELS DIFFER ON HOW FAR NORTH THE TROPICAL MSTR ASSOCD WITH THIS
FEATURE WL MAKE IT...SO WL JUST CONTINUE WITH CHC RAIN FOR FRI/FRI
NITE. CDFNT SWEEPS ACRS RGN EARLY SATURDAY. CLRNG WITH BLO NORMAL
TEMPS FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS






FXUS61 KBTV 240054
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
854 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2002

MAINLY CLEAR SKIES(SOME CI OVER EASTERN ZONES) OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE TO DROP QUICKLY. ALREADY KSLK IS RUNNING 4-5
DEGREES COOLER THAN GUIDANCE AT 00Z AND 30 DEGREE DIURNAL CHANGE
WOULD PUT THEM AT 30 FOR A MIN TONIGHT. CURRENT FORECAST HAS THIS
COVERED AND WITH 10 DEGREE RANGES IN MOST ZONES SHOULD COVER
EXPECTED MINS IN THE 30S AND 40S, WARMEST NEAR LAKE CHAMPLAIN.
SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG EXPECTED AS WELL AS TEMPS DROP TO OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY RUNNING 45-50. RUC VSBY ALGORITHM
TARGETTING NE KINGDOM WITH M1/4SM AT 09Z.

NO UPDATES NEEDED.

.BTV...NONE.

SISSON






FXUS61 KBTV 231815
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
215 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2002

HI PRESS TO BUILD IN ACRS THE FA TONITE THRU WED NITE...THEN TO THE
EAST OF THE FA ON THU. STORM SYS TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION
TONITE AND THEN ACRS SRN CANADA ON TUE/TUE NITE (DYNAMIX WITH THIS
SYS TO MOVE BY THE FA TO THE NW THEN). CF TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS
REGION ON WED NITE/THU.

H85 CAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE...THEN WK WAA TO DEVELOP ON
TUE WITH WK CAA DEVELOPING ON TUE NITE AND EARLY ON WED. MORE WAA FOR
LATE ON WED THRU THU. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS
THE FA TONITE AND ON WED NITE. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR TO LINGER ACRS THE
FA TONITE...THEN LOW-LVLS TO BASICALLY DRY OUT FOR TUE THRU WED NITE.
SOME LOW-LVL MSTR TO AFFECT THE FA ON THU. LOW-LVL LAPSE RATES TO BE
HI ACRS THE FA EARLY TONITE AND ON TUE/THU AFTERNOONS AND ON WED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MID-LVLS TO BE DRY ACRS THE FA TONITE AND ON
TUE NITE THRU WED NITE. JUST SOME MID-LVL MSTR TO AFFECT THE NRN TIER
ZONES ON TUE AND SOME MID-LVL MSTR TO MOVE IN ACRS THE FA FROM THE
WEST BY LATE ON THU. PW VALUES LOOK TO BE AROUND AN INCH WITH THE
NEXT CF.

SOMEONE APPEARS TO HAVE TURNED ON THE LK MACHINE AND SOME OF THESE
CLDS MAY AFFECT THE FAR WRN ZONES TONITE (PER 12Z ETA BUFR DATA).
OTRW...SAT PIX SHOW VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLDS ACRS THE FA ATTM.
FOG A GOOD BET ACRS PARTS OF THE FA TONITE WITH RECENT RAIN...OTRW
DRY WX EXPECTED ACRS THE FA THRU THU NITE. JUST SOME CLDS EXPECTED TO
BRUSH ACRS THE NRN TIER ON TUE ALONG WITH SOME DIURNAL CU. MAYBE SOME
MORE CLDS TO MOVE IN ACRS THE FA FROM THE WEST BY LATER ON THU AND
INTO THU NITE...BUT ANY PCPN NOW EXPECTED TO STAY TO THE WEST OF THE
FA THEN. T1MIN TEMPS ARE IN THE L30S-L40S OVER THE NEXT TWO NITES
WITH T1MAX TEMPS IN THE U60S-M70S ON TUE/WED.

INTO THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...CFROPA STILL EXPECTED ON FRI
(CHC OF SHRA FOR THEN)...THEN PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY FOR SAT WITH
MAYBE SOME TROPICAL INFLUENCE ALONG THIS CF. SINCE I STILL HAVE
LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO...WILL MERELY CONT TO HANG ONTO
SOME MORE CLDS ACRS THE FA ON SAT. MORE HI PRESS (AND DRY WX)
EXPECTED FOR SUN/MON.

WRK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 4 PM. FYI...FROST/FREEZE
PROGRAM IN BTV/S CWA CAME TO AN END AS OF SEPT 20TH.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

754
ASUS51 KBTV 240905
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
500 AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-241000-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     45  44  97 NE5       30.24S
MONTPELIER     FOG       42  42 100 CALM      30.29R VSB 1/4
MORRISVILLE    FOG       41  41 100 CALM      30.27S VSB 1/4
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     42  42 100 CALM      30.25R
RUTLAND        CLEAR     43  39  87 SE7       30.25R
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    42  42 100 CALM      30.26R
BENNINGTON     FOG       40  39  97 S3        30.23R VSB 1/2
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                         Monday, September 23, 2002
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Paul Gebelein
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Overnight: Skies will be mostly clear with areas of dense fog as
   temperatures will drop close to the dewpoint. Use caution will
   traveling tonight. Low temperatures will 44 to 48. Winds will be calm.

   Tuesday: It will be a beautiful day. Any morning fog will burn off
   yeilding lots of sunshine and it will be pleasent. Highs will be 66 to
   72. Winds will be light and variable.

   Tuesday Night: Mostly clear with areas of valley fog. It will be
   chilly with lows 38 to 42. Winds will be calm.

   Wednesday: It will be another great day to hike Mt Pisgah. Expect
   mostly sunny skies and it will be mild. Highs will be near 70 degrees.
   Winds will be light and variable. Expect clear skies Wednesday night
   with lows in the lower 40's. Winds will be calm.

                             Extended Forecast

   Thursday: Partly sunny skies and it will be a little milder. Highs
   will reach the lower 70's.

   Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers late in the afternoon.
   Highs will be in the mid to upper 60's,

   Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of a few showers. Highs will be
   near 60.

                            Forecast Discussion

   After a wet Sunday, we head into the new work week with some wonderful
   weather. Expect high temperatures near 70 degrees for most of the
   week. A cold front will move into the area late on Friday bringing a
   chance of showers and cooler temperatures. Down in the tropics,
   Tropical Storm Isidore is still packing quite a punch dropping heavy
   amounts of rain and pounding the northern coast of the Yucatan with
   strong winds and large waves. Currently Isidore has top winds of 45
   mph, and the storm is expected to move back into the gulf tommorrow
   and strengthen back into a hurricane. Tropical Storm Lili moved
   through the Windward Islands today bringing heavy rain and wind gusts
   to 70 mph. Currently, she is located 45 miles west of the Grendine
   Islands with top winds of 60 mph. She is expected to move west
   northwest and strengthen into a hurricane within the next 24 to 36
   hours. Have a great night everyone.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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