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SKIVT-L  September 2002, Week 4

SKIVT-L September 2002, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 23 Sep 2002 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (306 lines)

Expires:200209232000;;263463
FPUS51 KBTV 231034 AAA
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
633 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-232000-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
633 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH THE CHANCE OF A SHOWER THIS MORNING. MOSTLY
CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH 65 TO 70. WIND BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15
MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING LATE. LOW IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. LIGHT WIND.
.TUESDAY...AREAS OF DENSE FOG UNTIL MID MORNING...OTHERWISE PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WIND AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 35 TO 40.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 70.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW AROUND 40.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S AND HIGH IN THE 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 40 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 231046
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
646 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002

UPDATED ZONES SENT OUT TO REFLECT LATEST TRENDS...THAT BEING THE
LACK OF PRECIPITATION. CDFNT MOVG THRU CHMPLN VLY ATTM...IT WL BE
EXITING VT MID MORNING ON SCHEDULE. HOWEVER...PCPN AHEAD OF FRONT
HAS JUST ABT DISSIPATED. JUST A FEW LIGHT SHWRS LEFT ON RADAR IN
CNTRL AND ERN VT. WL LEAVE IN MENTION OF A SHWR (30 POP) THIS AM
FOR LOCATIONS EAST OF CHMPLN VLY. ELSEWHERE JUST CLDS THIS AM GIVING
WAY TO SOME CLRNG LATER ON. LOWERED WNDS A BIT AS WELL.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS






FXUS61 KBTV 230806
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002

CDFNT MOVG THRU WRN PORTION OF FA ATTM. HOWEVER...PCPN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER PAST COUPLE OF HRS AS STG
SHRTWV THAT ACPYD FRONT EARLIER IS LIFTING NORTH OF FA. EASTWARD
PROGRESS OF THE PCPN HAS BEEN EXTREMELY SLOW EARLY THIS MORNING...
WHILE ANOTHER AREA OF SHWRS HAVE DEVELOPED WELL TO EAST OF FA ACRS
ERN NEW ENGLAND. BASED ON PRESENT SCENARIO...PREFER THE SLOWER ETA
SOLUTION IN REGARDS TO TIME OF FROPA AND ARRIVAL OF DRIER AIR. WL
KEEP IN MENTION OF SHWRS ALL MORNING FOR ERN VT...WITH SHWRS ENDING
ELSEWHERE. RISK OF HVY RAINFALL AND TSRA NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO MENTION
IN FCST. EXPECT BRFLY GUSTY NW WNDS BEHIND FRONT. CLRNG WL ARRIVE IN
ST LWR VLY BY AROUND MIDDAY...BUT NOT IN ERN VT UNTIL TONITE. TEMPS
WL NOT BE RISING MUCH FROM THEIR EARLY AM READINGS.

TONITE: SOME CLDS LINGER IN EASTERN SECTIONS...WITH MAINLY CLR SKIES
WEST. RECENT RAINS...ALG WITH LIGHT WNDS AND CLRNG SKIES...WL ALLOW
FOR FOG TO FORM IN MOST AREAS OVERNIGHT. TEMPS MAINLY IN 40S EXCEPT
30S ADRNDKS.

TUE/WED: HIGH PRESSURE WL PREVAIL ACRS RGN. DISTURBANCE MOVG ACRS
GRTLKS TUES WL WEAKEN AS IT HEADS UP INTO ONT/QUE...SO DRY WX BOTH
DAYS ALG WITH PRTLY OR MSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

EXTENDED: HAVE NOT MADE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO PERIOD THURS THRU
SUNDAY...ALTHO LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT BEST CHC FOR SEEING OUR
NEXT PCPN EVENT MAY BE FRI PM INTO SAT AM...INSTEAD OF THU NITE/FRI.
A LOT OF THIS HINGES ON WHAT ISIDORE WINDS UP DOING...AND WHETHER ANY
MSTR ASSOCD WITH IT REACHES THIS FAR NORTH AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL
SYSTEM. IN ANY EVENT...IT LOOKS AS IF IT WL TURN QUITE COOL NEXT
WEEKEND.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS






FXUS61 KBTV 230117
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
917 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002

COLD FRONT THROUGH KBUF AND CYWA AT 00Z. LOTS OF G25-30KTS WITH
FROPA FOR ABOUT AN HOUR. TAQ RUC10 SFC WIND GUST PLOTS SHOWS NARRROW
BAND OF G25-30KTS WITH FROPA AS IT CROSSES NRN NY. THIS IS
REASONABLE GIVEN CURRENT OBS AND WILL ADD TO FORECAST FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD. ALSO CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION PRECEDING FRONT FROM
KART TO KSYR AS UPPER TROF DYNAMICS WORKS ON DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE.
KALY 1.86 INCH(> 200% OF NORMAL) PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES.
BTV HAS RECEIVED 1.00+ INCH IN THE LAST 2 HOURS. COULD BE ANOTHER
INCH PRECEDING FRONT OVERNIGHT AS FRONTOGENESIS AND LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE INCREASE WITH FRONT MOVING INTO THE TROPICAL
PLUME. FRONT SHOULD PASS KMSS APPROXIMATELY 05Z, KBTV BY 08Z, K1V4-
KVSF BY 12Z.


.BTV...NONE.






FXUS61 KBTV 221849
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
249 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002

CF TO MOVE ACRS THE MOST OF THE FA TONITE...THEN TO THE EAST OF THE
FA ON MON. HI PRESS TO BUILD IN ACRS THE FA ON MON NITE THRU THU.
ANOTHER CF TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON THU/THU NITE. UPR
TROF TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON MON NITE...THEN ACRS SRN
CANADA ON TUE/TUE NITE.

GOOD H85 CAA TO DEVELOP ACRS THE FA TONITE...THEN MORE CAA ON MON AND
TUE...WITH WAA ON MON NITE AND WK CAA ON TUE NITE. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR
ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA FROM LATE ON MON THRU TUE NITE
AND AGAIN ON WED NITE THRU THU NITE. PLENTY OF LOW-LVL MSTR TO LINGER
ACRS THE FA FOR MUCH OF TONITE. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR TO CONT AFFECT THE
FA ON MON THRU TUE. LOW-LVL DRYING TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA ON TUE
NITE/WED...THEN LOW-LVLS BASICALLY TO REMAIN DRY ACRS THE FA ON WED
NITE. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR TO AFFECT THE FA AGAIN ON THU/THU NITE.
LOW-LVL LAPSE RATES TO BE HI ACRS THE FA ON MON AND WED AFTERNOONS
AND ON TUE AFTERNOON ACRS NRN NY STATE. DECENT MID-LVL MSTR TO AFFECT
THE FA TONITE. SOME MID-LVL MSTR TO AFFECT VT ON MON/MON NITE.
MID-LVL DRYING TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE ENTIRE FA ON TUE THRU WED. PW
VALUES LOOK TO BE AROUND 1.5" ACRS THE FA FOR MUCH OF TONITE AND THEN
AOB AN INCH ON MON THRU TUE.

NOTED NY STATE IN SPC SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TONITE (GEN TSTMS ACRS THE
REST OF THE FA) AND GEN TSTM OUTLOOK ACRS ERN/SRN VT ON MON/MON NITE.
LAPS SHOWS THAT MUCH OF THE FA IS STILL BASICALLY STABLE ATTM. CAPES
TO DROP WELL BLO 500 J/KG ACRS THE FA TONITE. SAT PIX SHOW THE ST LAW
VLY ENJOYING SOME SUNSHINE ATTM WITH PLENTY OF CLDS ACRS THE REST OF
THE FA. BUFCAN/88D MOSAIC SHOWS AN AREA OF PCPN MOVING UP ACRS THE
CENTRAL AND ERN FA ATTM. STILL NO LTG NOTED ACRS THE FA TODAY. WILL
CONT TO DISCOUNT SPC GUIDANCE AND HANG ONTO MOSTLY LIKELY POPS ACRS
THE FA TONITE.

12Z ETA APPEARS TO STALL OUT THE CF TOO FAR TO THE WEST ACRS NEW ENG
ON MON...WHILE 12Z GFS APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST A TAD TOO FAR EAST WITH
THE CF THEN. HAVE COMPROMISED AND HELD ONTO CHC POPS ACRS ERN/SRN VT
ON MON WITH A FAIR AMT OF CLDS ELSEWHERE. DRIER WX EXPECTED ACRS THE
FA BY TUE/WED AS PCPN WITH UPR TROF SHOULD STAY TO THE NW OF THE FA.

THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...LOOKS UNCERTAIN AT BEST. CF STILL
LOOKS TO START TO APPROACH THE FA FROM THE WEST ON THU AND PASS ON
THRU THE FA ON FRI. HAVE HELD ONTO CHC POPS DURING THIS PERIOD FOR
CONTINUITY SAKE. NEXT WEEKEND MAY SPELL DRY WX (WITH HI PRESS) OR
TROPICAL WX WITH REMNANTS OF "ISIDORE". HAVE PLAYED THE MIDDLE OF THE
ROAD FOR NOW WITH SOME MORE CLDS NEXT WEEKEND. STAY TUNED I GUESS...

WRK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 4 PM.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

038
ASUS51 KBTV 231005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-231100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    62  57  83 NW12      29.96R
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    66  61  84 W5        29.97R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    65  61  87 CALM      29.95R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     67  63  87 CALM      29.91R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    66  61  82 W6        29.94S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    62  61  96 N5        29.94R
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    62  57  83 SW8G18    29.98R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                     12noon, Sunday September 22, 2002
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Heather Vieira
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   This Afternoon: A stationary front is draped across the Vermont and
   New Hampshire boarder this afternoon bringing with it mostly cloudy
   skies and scattered showers. Dewpoints will be in the lower 60s across
   the region, making the air very humid and uncomfortable. Winds will be
   out of the SE at 5-10mph. Todays highs will be in the mid to upper 70s
   across the region.

   Tonight: The wet weather will remain in the area through tonight. Some
   of the showers could become heavy at times. Tonights lows will be
   60-65.

   Monday: Showers will continue during the morning hours across the
   Northeast Kingdom. Expect the majority of the rain to end by Monday
   afternoon. The skies will remain mostly cloudy throughout the rest of
   the day. Highs will be 67-72 across the region.

   Monday Night: Monday night will see clearing skies and much cooler
   temperatures. Lows will find its way into the upper 40s, with some
   cooler spots in the valleys. Also, driving could be difficult with
   some fog developing in areas.

                             Extended Forecast

   Tuesday: Much more fall like conditions with partly sunny skies and
   highs in 60s and lows in the 40s. Today will be a good day to catch
   the Lyndon Institute cross country meet at Danville.

   Wednesday: A perfect fall day with lots of sunshine and pleasant
   temperatures. Highs in the mid to upper 60s and lows in the 40s.

   Thursday: Mostly sunny with some clouds rolling in late in the day.
   Highs in the upper 60s and lows in the upper 40s.

                            Forecast Discussion

   A stationary front will be dominating our weather for the next few
   days. It will keep scattered showers, juicy dewpoints, and cloudy
   skies in the region through Monday. By Monday evening, the showers
   will be out of the area and a high pressure system will build in after
   it. For the majority of the week, temperatures will return to the 60s
   with mostly sunny skies. Wednesday will be a great day to participate
   in the 5th Annual Terry and Ben Claassen Memorial Northeast Kingdom
   Lakes Century Tour. The tropics are very active right now. Hurricane
   Isidore currently has sustained winds of 125 mph. making it a catagory
   three on the Saffir-Simpson scale. It could strengthen to a catagory
   four later today. The center of the storm is currently located just
   north of the Yucatan Pennisula of Mexico. Also, in the tropics there
   is a new depression developing east of the Winward Islands. It could
   strengthen to Tropical Storm Lili within the next 24 hours.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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March 2011, Week 5
March 2011, Week 4
March 2011, Week 3
March 2011, Week 2
March 2011, Week 1
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February 2011, Week 3
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February 2011, Week 1
January 2011, Week 5
January 2011, Week 4
January 2011, Week 3
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January 2011, Week 1
December 2010, Week 5
December 2010, Week 4
December 2010, Week 3
December 2010, Week 2
December 2010, Week 1
November 2010, Week 5
November 2010, Week 4
November 2010, Week 3
November 2010, Week 2
November 2010, Week 1
October 2010, Week 5
October 2010, Week 4
October 2010, Week 3
October 2010, Week 2
October 2010, Week 1
September 2010, Week 5
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September 2010, Week 3
September 2010, Week 2
September 2010, Week 1
August 2010, Week 5
August 2010, Week 4
August 2010, Week 3
August 2010, Week 2
August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
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February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
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December 2009, Week 5
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October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
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August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
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March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 3
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
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May 2006, Week 3
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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March 2001, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 1
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