Expires:200210142000;;679887
FPUS51 KBTV 140735
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
335 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2002


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-142000-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
335 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2002

.TODAY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER TEENS TO THE MID 20S. NORTH WIND
5 TO 10 MPH EARLY...THEN BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WIND
EARLY...THEN A SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY...THEN INCREASING CLOUDS TOWARD
MORNING. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
BREEZY WITH A HIGH IN THE 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE DAY. HIGH
IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE MID
TO UPPER 40S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
50S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 140630
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
230 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2002

DRIER AIR...ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDING IN
FROM THE WEST...WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION TODAY.
DESPITE STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES LATER TODAY...THE DRIER AIR
WILL LIMIT THE VERTICAL EXTENT TO ANY CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT.  THUS
MOST AREAS WILL SEE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT.  COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE FOR TODAY AS WELL WHICH WILL LIMIT THE
AMOUNT OF WARMING DESPITE THE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE.  LOOKING FOR HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE 40S TO AROUND 50.

CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD MAKE FOR THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE
FALL SO FAR WITH READINGS INTO THE TEENS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND IN
THE 20S ELSEWHERE.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED RIGHT OVER THE
AREA...THEN SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE EAST ON TUESDAY.  THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR A SOUTHERLY GRADIENT TO DEVELOP.  LOW LEVEL THICKNESS TRENDS
SUGGEST HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL BE ABOUT 4 TO 6 DEGREES
WARMER THAN TODAY.  THIS WILL PUT ALL AREAS IN THE MID 40S TO THE
LOWER 50 DEGREE RANGE.  PLENTY OF SUNSHINE SHOULD CONTINUE WITH
MAYBE SOME HIGH CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY.

CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AS GULF COAST
SHORTWAVE TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CAROLINAS.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP MOISTURE TO BE PICKED UP IN THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND TRANSPORTED NORTHWARD.  FEEL ENOUGH DRY AIR
WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THAT NO
PRECIPITATION SHOULD FALL.

GOING FORECAST OF RAIN LIKELY FOR WEDNESDAY LOOKS REAL GOOD AS
SURFACE LOW INTENSIFIES WHILE MOVING TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
WILL MENTION THE BEST LIKELIHOOD FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON
WEDNESDAY AND WILL ALSO MENTION BREEZY CONDITIONS.  HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 40S.  WILL EXTEND THE RAIN
LIKELY INTO THE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME PERIOD AND THEN ADD A CHANCE OF
RAIN DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY AS LOW IS STILL IN THE VICINITY OF
MAINE.  GIVEN THE SOURCE OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM...ORIGINATING
IN THE TROPICS...AND WITH INCREASING EASTERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW/PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES GREATER THAN AN INCH...POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAINS WOULD EXIST.  THIS SITUATION WILL DEFINITELY HAVE TO BE
MONITORED.  WILL CONTINUE WITH THE DRY FORECAST FOR THE FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY TIME PERIOD.

WORK ZONES IN ALBWRKCWF BY 300 PM.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.









FXUS61 KBTV 140133
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
933 PM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN VT AT TIME...WITH RAIN IN THE PROCESS OF
ENDING ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VLY. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWING CLEARING
ACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE VLY IN NY STATE. EXPECT THIS CLEARING TO
WORK EASTWARD OVERNIGHT...WITH THE RAIN COMING TO AN END ACROSS VT
ZONES BY MIDNIGHT. 18Z MODEL RUNS OF THE ETA AND THE GFS (FORMERLY
THE AVN) SHOW STRONG SUBSIDENCE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FCST AREA
BETWEEN 06Z-12Z. WITH THIS IN MIND WILL WILL CHANGE COLUMBUS DAY
FCST FROM PARTLY SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY ACROSS THE FCST AREA...AS
18Z MODEL RUNS SHOW FAIRLY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION.
HAVE ALSO CUT WIND SPEEDS IN THE ZONES OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

WILL ISSUE AN UPDATE TO THE ZONES TO COVER THE ABOVE CHANGES FOR
THE OVERNIGHT AND COLUMBUS DAY PERIODS. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO
THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH






FXUS61 KBTV 131833 CCA
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED ISSUANCE TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
233 PM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

COLD FRONT KNOCKING ON THE DOOR AT MASSENA...WITH FAIRLY SOLID BAND
OF SHOWERS RUNNING NORTH/SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT.  WIND SHIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT SHOWING UP NICELY ON KTYX RADAR.  FRONT AND
SHOWERS ARE MOVING PRETTY QUICKLY...AND SHOULD BE TO CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
BY EARLY EVENING. WILL START OFF WITH A REST OF TODAY PERIOD TO COVER
SHOWERS AND BREEZY SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF FRONT...THEN ONLY LINGERING
EARLY RAIN SHOWER CHANCES TONIGHT FOR THE VERMONT SIDE.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROP OFF BEHIND FRONT...BUT SOME LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO REMAIN ESPECIALLY IN ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST KINGDOM
OF VT...SO KIND OF A MIXED BAG OF CLOUDS.  FOR TOMORROW...CLOUDS
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH...AND LAST TO LEAVE IN NORTHEAST VERMONT.
SKIES CLEAR OUT MONDAY NIGHT...AND CALM WINDS WITH HI PRESSURE WILL
LET TEMPERATURES RADIATE DOWN TO BELOW FREEZING EVERYWHERE.
ADIRONDACKS SHOULD HIT THE TEENS.

WEDNESDAY STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR COASTAL LOW SPREADING SOME RAIN OVER
AREA...SO KEPT LIKELY POPS.

WITH UPPER TROUGH SETTLING IN OVER THE NORTHEAST US...TEMPERATURES
COOL TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS.

.BTV...NONE.

HANSON






FXUS61 KBTV 131833
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1040 AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

COLD FRONT KNOCKING ON THE DOOR AT MASSENA...WITH FAIRLY SOLID BAND
OF SHOWERS RUNNING NORTH/SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT.  WIND SHIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT SHOWING UP NICELY ON KTYX RADAR.  FRONT AND
SHOWERS ARE MOVING PRETTY QUICKLY...AND SHOULD BE TO CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
BY EARLY EVENING. WILL START OFF WITH A REST OF TODAY PERIOD TO COVER
SHOWERS AND BREEZY SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF FRONT...THEN ONLY LINGERING
EARLY RAIN SHOWER CHANCES TONIGHT FOR THE VERMONT SIDE.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROP OFF BEHIND FRONT...BUT SOME LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO REMAIN ESPECIALLY IN ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST KINGDOM
OF VT...SO KIND OF A MIXED BAG OF CLOUDS.  FOR TOMORROW...CLOUDS
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH...AND LAST TO LEAVE IN NORTHEAST VERMONT.
SKIES CLEAR OUT MONDAY NIGHT...AND CALM WINDS WITH HI PRESSURE WILL
LET TEMPERATURES RADIATE DOWN TO BELOW FREEZING EVERYWHERE.
ADIRONDACKS SHOULD HIT THE TEENS.

WEDNESDAY STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR COASTAL LOW SPREADING SOME RAIN OVER
AREA...SO KEPT LIKELY POPS.

WITH UPPER TROUGH SETTLING IN OVER THE NORTHEAST US...TEMPERATURES
COOL TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS.

.BTV...NONE.

HANSON





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

874
ASUS51 KBTV 140705
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2002

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-140800-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      45  28  51 NW13      30.20R
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    41  32  70 NW8       30.18R
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    43  31  62 NW9G18    30.18R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     45  35  68 VRB6      30.14R
RUTLAND        FAIR      45  27  49 NW9       30.19R
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      46  29  51 VRB6      30.16R
BENNINGTON     FAIR      45  35  68 NW12      30.19R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                        5pm Sunday October 13, 2002
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Heather Vieira
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Tonight: A strong cold front has made its way across Vermont today,
   bringing lots of clouds cover and plenty of showers into the region.
   These showers will remain in the area until midnight, with some
   locales receiving heavy downpours. Behind the cold front, temperatures
   will drop into the mid 30s. Winds will shift from the Southwest to the
   Northwest at 5-10 mph.

   Tomorrow: Columbus Day will be much cooler with temperatures only
   reaching the upper 40s. The sun will be out though, making it a good
   day to view the colorful leaves across the area.

   Tomorrow Night: A very chilly evening across the area. Temperatures
   will be below freezing across the region. Plan on dressing warmly if
   you venture out this evening, because the temperatures will be between
   25-30 degrees, with some valleys with even colder readings.

   Tuesday: Mostly sunny and cool. Highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s
   throughout the Northeast Kingdom. Lows once again will plummit towards
   the freezing mark, with temperatures in the lower 30s.

                             Extended Forecast

   Wednesday: Clouds associated with a warm front will roll into the area
   bringing a good chance rain showers. Highs will be in the upper 40s
   and lows in the mid 30s. There is a chance of a few flurries in some
   of the higher elevations. It will be a good night to stay inside and
   enjoy "Magnificant Moose" slide show at the Glover Public Library.

   Thursday: Clouds will linger around the region keeping temperatures
   slightly warmer. Highs will be in the 50s and lows in the mid 30s.

   Friday: Cloudy skies will once again dominate our weather. Highs in
   the upper 40s and lows in the upper 30s. It won't be a bad night for
   the Lyndon Institute football game at Essex.

                            Forecast Discussion

   Sunday will be the end of the showers for the next few days as the
   cold front rapidly leaves Vermont. Behind it, temperatures will drop
   significantly, making it feel more like winter than fall. Monday and
   Tuesday will be very chilly, with some areas seeing early morning
   temperatures in the lower to mid 20s. The cold temperatures will cause
   the majority of the trees to turn colors if they haven't already.
   Wednesday will bring the next system, a strong low pressure system
   will cause some more showers throughout the Northeast Kingdom. The
   only downfall, is that the sun will be remain hidden be hind the
   clouds. If you want to enjoy some shunshine, bundle up and head
   outside Monday or Tuesday.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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