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SKIVT-L  October 2002, Week 3

SKIVT-L October 2002, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 15 Oct 2002 06:50:05 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (289 lines)

Expires:200210152000;;705966
FPUS51 KBTV 150825 CCA
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
324 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...CORRECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT POP IN NC/NE VERMONT...


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-152000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
324 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 50. LIGHT WIND EARLY...THEN A SOUTH
WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY...THEN INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL RAIN...DEVELOPING LATE IN THE
MORNING. HIGH IN THE MID 40S. EAST WIND AT 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. LOW IN THE LOWER
40S. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
MORNING. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN SHOWERS AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME HOURS. HIGH
IN THE UPPER 30S TO THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE MID
TO UPPER 40S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
40S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 150622
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
222 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TODAY
ALLOWING FOR A SOUTHERLY GRADIENT TO DEVELOP.  LOW LEVEL THICKNESS
TRENDS SUGGEST HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD BE 3 TO 6 DEGREES
WARMER THAN YESTERDAY.  THUS LOOKING AT HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
THE MID 50S TODAY.  SHOULD BE PLENTY OF SUN AS FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW LITTLE IF ANY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...THUS CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT
SHOULD BE LIMITED.  SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVE IN THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON THE AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE.

CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT...ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.  THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO
WELL ADVERTISED DEEPENING SURFACE LOW ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD
TONIGHT.  SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF COAST
STATES...WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TONIGHT AND THIS WILL BE THE TRIGGER
FOR THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT.  THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND THEN
EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO MAINE.  STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION AT 850 MB TO
TAKE PLACE OVER THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  AT THE SAME TIME...850 MB AND 700 MB FRONTOGENESIS
IS MAXIMIZED OVER THE AREA AS WELL.  THUS WOULD EXPECT WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
RISE TO OVER AN INCH AND FEEL ANY POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN WOULD
COME WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  WILL CONTINUE WITH MENTION OF OCCASIONAL RAIN
FOR WEDNESDAY...BUT UP THE CHANCES TO 100 PERCENT.  WILL MENTION
RAIN...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  STILL FEEL THERE
WILL BE SOME LINGERING MOISTURE AROUND THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING
AND WILL CONTINUE THE IDEA OF A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN...BUT JUST
MENTION FOR THE MORNING HOURS.

THE NORTHEAST WILL REMAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF A LARGE UPPER TROUGH
ON FRIDAY.  WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE JUST
SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.  COLDER AIR ALOFT WILL
BE IN PLACE AT THE POINT...WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO.
CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND GOING FORECAST HAS ALREADY ELUDED TO THIS.  TIMING OF
THIS EVENT LOOKS LIKE IT WOULD BE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND
CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE NIGHT.  WILL THEREFORE MENTION A
CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN SHOWERS AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD.  LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES...1000-850MB...FALL TO SNOW
THRESHOLDS AFTER 06Z...BUT BULK OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE OUT OF
THE AREA.  THIS LENDS CREDENCE TO DIFFERENTIATING PRECIPITATION TYPE
FOR THE VALLEYS AND MOUNTAINS.

NO CHANGES MADE TO THE CLOUD AND PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR THE
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY TIME PERIOD AS FORECAST OF DRY WEATHER LOOKS
GOOD AT THIS POINT.

WORK ZONES IN ALBWRKCWF BY 300 AM.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.







FXUS61 KBTV 150036
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
836 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2002

A "3C" (CLEAR/CALM/COLD) AND "TWO BLANKET" NIGHT ACRS FA
AS TMPS DROP TO COLDEST LVLS THIS SEASON.

IN THE CHMPL VLY AND SOME SRN VLYS, IT WL BE THE FIRST FREEZE
OF THE SEASON (NORMALLY AROUND 10/1). LCL FROST/FREEZE PROGRAM
EXPIRES 9/20 BUT DOESN'T PREVENT HEADLINING ZONES AFTERWARDS...
THUS HAVE HEADLINED ALL ZONE GROUPINGS.

WORKS AVBL AND ZONES AVBL SHORTLY.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW






FXUS61 KBTV 141854
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
254 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2002

HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN ACROSS FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...
AND COLD TEMPERATURES ADVERTISED OVER PAST COUPLE DAYS SET TO
DELIVER A WIDESPREAD FREEZE.  UNDERCUT GFS TEMPERATURES A COUPLE
DEGREES EVERYWHERE...AND A FEW MORE IN THE ADIRONDACKS.  WITH CALM
WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES...ALSO PUT PATCHY FOG IN EVERYWHERE
TONIGHT.

BY TUESDAY...AS HIGH SHIFTS EAST SURFACE WINDS SWITCH AROUND TO
SOUTH...AND WARM AIR ADVECTION AND SUNSHINE WARM AFTERNOON HIGHS
BACK INTO LOWER 50S.  MEANWHILE...SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN
STATES MAKES A LEFT TURN AT THE COAST...AND BEGINS TO MOVE UP THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. AVN STILL CONSISTENT WITH ITS MOVEMENT. RAIN WILL
SPREAD IN TO FORECAST AREA FROM THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY.  WENT WITH
CATEGORICAL POPS EVERYWHERE, WITH DEVELOPING LATE IN MORNING
WORDING EVERYWHERE BUT SOUTHERN ZONES.  FOLLOWED MIDNIGHT SHIFTS
TREND OF LEAVING CHANCE SHOWERS IN THURSDAY. WRAP AROUND PRECIP ON
BACK SIDE OF LOW TYPICALLY HAPPENS AS THE LOW LIFTS OUT. SYSTEM WILL
BRING ENOUGH WARM AIR WITH IT TO KEEP PRECIP ALL RAIN.

NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP IS FRIDAY NIGHT...AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH BASE OF LONGWAVE TROUGH SETTING UP OVER EASTERN
US. TEMPERATURES ON BACK SIDE OF THE LOW SHOULD DROP BELOW FREEZING
OVER ADIRONDACKS AND VERMONTS HIGHER ELEVATION. WORDED AS RAIN
SHOWERS FOR LOWER ELEVATION ZONES...AND RAINSHOWER/SNOWSHOWER IN
ADIRONDACK AND NORTHEAST KINGDOM ZONES.

FURTHER OUT IN EXTENDED...TROUGH IN THE EAST CONTINUES TO KEEP
TEMPS ON THE COOL SIDE.

WORK ZONES ALREADY GONE.

.BTV...NONE.

HANSON





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

951
ASUS51 KBTV 151005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-151100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     28  26  92 CALM      30.29R
MONTPELIER     FOG       25  24  96 CALM      30.31S VSB 1/4
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     23  20  88 CALM      30.31R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     25  23  92 CALM      30.29R
RUTLAND        CLEAR     27  25  93 S3        30.28S
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     25  24  96 CALM      30.31R
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    26  24  92 CALM      30.26F
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                      11 P.M, Monday October 14, 2002
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Paul Gebelein
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Overnight: It will be mostly clear and very chilly. Expect a hard
   freeze in most areas. Lows will be 18 to 24. A few of the colder spots
   such as Burke Hollow could drop into the mid teens. Winds will be
   calm.

   Tuesday: Mostly sunny in the morning, then increasing clouds in the
   afternoon. High temperatures 48 to 54. Winds will be northwest 5 to 10
   mph then shifting southeast late in the day.

   Tuesday Night.: Becoming mostly cloudy as a storm system in the Gulf
   of Mexico will be joining up with a system that is over the Great
   Lakes off the North Carolina coast. Rain will be moving in during the
   morning hours. Lows will be 30 to 35.

   Wednesday: Expect a real soaker as a nor easter will be coming right
   up the coast. Expect rain heavy at times. We could receive over an
   inch of rain from this event. Highs will be 45 to 52.

                             Extended Forecast

   Thursday: Any morning showers will give way to partly sunny skies by
   afternoon. Highs will be 50 to 55.

   Friday: Mostly sunny in the morning then increasing clouds in the
   afternoon. Highs will be near 50.

   Saturday: Cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs will be in the upper
   40's.

                            Forecast Discussion

   After a beautiful Monday, the weather looks even better for Tuesday.
   Skies will be sunny and the wind will be light. This nice weather will
   be ending tomorrow night as a nor easter will be coming up the coast.
   Expect heavy rain that could total over 1 inch. The storm is expected
   to move very quickly and pass right over Cape Cod Wednesday afternoon
   and into the Gulf of Maine Wednesday night. Thursday and Friday look
   tranquil with sunny skies and coll temperatures. Down in the tropics.
   Tropical Depression 14 has developed 190 miles southwest of Grand
   Cayman island. The depression has top winds of 35 miles per hour and
   it is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm tomorrow. The storm
   is expected to move over Cuba on Wednesday. Right now it does not look
   like it will be a factor in our weather.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
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November 2009, Week 1
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October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
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September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
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August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
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July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
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June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 3
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April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 1
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June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 3
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April 2008, Week 1
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March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
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March 2008, Week 1
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October 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 1
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September 2007, Week 1
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