Expires:200302202100;;358242
FPUS51 KBTV 200952
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
452 AM EST THU FEB 20 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-202100-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
452 AM EST THU FEB 20 2003

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY BY MID TO
LATE MORNING. HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 20 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...OR SNOW. LOW IN THE MID
20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...OR SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW
FROM EARLY AFTERNOON ON...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
FALLING INTO THE LOWER 20S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOW ZERO TO 5 ABOVE AND HIGH IN THE MID TEENS.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOW ZERO TO 5 BELOW AND HIGH IN THE UPPER TEENS.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW ZERO TO 5 BELOW AND HIGH IN THE MID
TEENS.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 201040
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
540 AM EST THU FEB 20 2003

RATHER QUIET WX THE NEXT 2 DAYS AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO
THE REGION...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.

HOWEVER...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM POISED TO MOVE NE FROM THE TENNESSEE
VLY ON SATURDAY. 00Z MODELS ARE NOW FASTER IN BRINGING IN PRECIP. BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION...WITH SNOW LIKELY. HOWEVER...
MODELS DIFFER ON THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM WITH THE ETA FURTHER NORTH
AND WEST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WHILE THE GFS IS FURTHER SOUTH WITH THIS
SYSTEM. GIVEN THESE DIFFERENCES...WILL MENTION A MIXTURE OF SNOW...
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THEN CHANGING
BACK TO ALL SNOW ON SUNDAY AS THE COLDER AIR RETURNS. NCEP PREFERS
THE ETA MODEL WHICH IS FURTHER NORTH WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER...
GIVEN THE COLD AIR OVER QUEBEC SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...DO NOT
FEEL THAT THE ETA LOW POSITION WILL BE FURTHER TO THE NORTH...AND
THAT THE GFS MODEL MAY HAVE THE RIGHT IDEA IN A FURTHER SOUTH TRACK
WIT THE SFC LOW. EVEN THE GFS MODEL SUSGGEST SOME MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION AS 1000-500 MB THICKNESS
VALUES RISE ABOVE 5400 M. BASICALLY...PRECIP TYPE FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY RESTS ON TRACK OF THE SFC LOW. A RATHER LOW
CONFIDENCE FCST GIVEN THAT MODELS HAVE FLIP FLOPPED WITH THEIR
VARIOUS SOLUTIONS WITH THIS SYSTEM.

HAVE GONE WITH LIKELY POPS FOR SATURDAY...AND RAISED POPS TO
CATEGORICAL FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

EXTENDED...00Z GFS RUN NOW FASTER IN BRINGING IN SNOW TO THE
REGION LATE MONDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY NIGHT...SO HAVE
UPDATED THE FCST TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH





FXUS61 KBTV 200257
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
956 PM EST WED FEB 19 2003

COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE DIFFUSE WITH TIME OVER THE
NORTHEAST.  AS A RESULT...THREAT FOR ANY FLURRIES HAS ALL BUT ENDED
TONIGHT.  THUS WILL REMOVE FROM THE FORECAST.  STILL PLENTY OF CLOUD
COVER AND BASED ON SATELLITE TRENDS...MORE SIGNIFICANT CLEARING
SHOULD NOT TAKE PLACE UNTIL DAYBREAK.  LIKE THE IDEA OF BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY TOWARD MORNING IN THE FORECAST AND WILL LEAVE AS IS.
WITH THE CLOUDS AND SOME GRADIENT CONTINUING OVERNIGHT...
TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A HARD TIME FALLING SIGNIFICANTLY.  THE HIGH
PRESSURE THAT IS BUILDING IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT HAS ORIGINS IN
THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY...SO NO COLD PUSH IS EXPECTED.  DEW
POINTS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20S...SO WILL ADJUST THE OVERNIGHT LOWS
TO REFLECT THIS.  WILL MENTION LOWS IN THE 20S FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND
MID 20S TO THE LOWER 30S FOR THE LARGER VALLEYS.  NO CHANGES NEEDED
TO THE LATER PERIODS.

UPDATED ZONES ALREADY SENT.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.









FXUS61 KBTV 191946
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
246 PM EST WED FEB 19 2003

WK CF TO MOVE ACRS THE FA EARLY TONITE. HI PRESS RIDGE TO BUILD ACRS
THE GREAT LKS REGION TONITE AND THE FA ON THU/THU NITE. STORM SYS TO
MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON THU NITE/FRI...AS A CF DROPS DOWN
SLOWLY ACRS SRN CANADA. THIS STORM SYS TO MOVE TO THE NORTH OF THE FA
ON SAT. COASTAL STORM DEVELOPMENT STILL LOOKS TO OCCUR SOMETIME OVER
THE WEEKEND.

H85 CAA TO AFFECT THE FA TONITE AND EARLY ON THU...THEN WAA FOR LATE
ON THU THRU EARLY ON FRI NITE...AND WK CAA FOR MUCH OF LATE ON FRI
THRU SAT. LOW-LVL MSTR ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA ON THU.
SOME LOW-LVL MSTR TO LINGER ACRS THE FA EARLY TONITE...THEN RETURN
ACRS THE NRN TIER ZONES ON FRI AND INCREASE ACRS MUCH OF THE REST OF
THE FA BY SAT. LOW-LVL (AND MID-LVL) LAPSE RATES TO BE HI ACRS THE
NRN TIER ZONES EARLY TONITE. MID-LVL MSTR TO INCREASE ACRS THE FA ON
SAT AS WELL. PW VALUES LOOK TO BE AROUND 0.3" TONITE AND 0.3-0.5" ON
SAT ACRS THE FA.

BUFCAN/88D MOSAIC SHOWS JUST A FEW LT RETURNS ACRS THE FA AND SRN
CANADA ATTM. SOME LT PCPN EXPECTED TO LINGER ACRS THE FA EARLY TONITE
WITH WK CFROPA...THEN SOME CLEARING BY MORNING. BEST CLD-FREE DAY IN
THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD APPEARS TO BE ON THU...WITH MAYBE A FEW MORE
CLDS AROUND ON FRI AS THE 1ST WK SYS/CF APPROACHES THE FA THEN. PCPN
MAY NOW BE DELAYED BEYOND THE DAYLIGHT HRS OF SAT...BUT WILL HOLD
ONTO A CONTINUITY FCST FOR THE WEEKEND FOR NOW AND LET LATER SHIFTS
ADJUST WITH HOPEFULLY MORE CONSISTENT MODEL DATA. T1MIN TEMPS ARE
15-20F ACRS THE FA TONITE AND ON THU NITE...AND T1MAX TEMPS ARE
35-40F ON THU/FRI.

INTO THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...HI PRESS LOOKS TO AFFECT THE
FA ON MON AND WED (DRY WX FCST FOR THEN) WITH THE NEXT WK STORM SYS
SLIDING TO THE SOUTH OF THE FA NOW ON TUE (CHC FOR -SN THEN).

WRK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 4 PM.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY




   This  data  is  from  the  [3]IWIN  (Interactive  Weather  Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

155
ASUS51 KBTV 200205
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
900 PM EST WED FEB 19 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-200300-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    37  31  78 S8        30.01R
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    38  27  64 SW12      30.00R
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    39  28  64 VRB6      29.98R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     36  30  79 VRB6      29.96R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    37  27  65 CALM      30.02S
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    30  29  96 CALM      30.04F FOG
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    38  26  62 S5        30.05S
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 452 AM EST THU FEB 20 2003

 .TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY BY MID TO
 LATE MORNING. HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 20 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND
 10 MPH.
 .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S.
 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE
 AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
 .SATURDAY NIGHT...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...OR SNOW. LOW IN THE MID
 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
 .SUNDAY...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...OR SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW
 FROM EARLY AFTERNOON ON...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
 FALLING INTO THE LOWER 20S.
 .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
 SNOW. LOW ZERO TO 5 ABOVE AND HIGH IN THE MID TEENS.
 .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
 CLOUDY. LOW ZERO TO 5 BELOW AND HIGH IN THE UPPER TEENS.
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW ZERO TO 5 BELOW AND HIGH IN THE MID
 TEENS.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html