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SKIVT-L  February 2003, Week 3

SKIVT-L February 2003, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Alan Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:50:03 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (270 lines)

Expires:200302162100;;273658
FPUS51 KBTV 160812
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
312 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-162100-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
312 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2003

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND COLD. HIGH ZERO TO 10 ABOVE. LIGHT NORTH
WIND.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 10 BELOW TO 20 BELOW. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS. HIGH IN THE MID
TO UPPER TEENS. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 5 TO 15 ABOVE.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WARMER WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 5 TO 15 ABOVE.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY.
HIGH NEAR 30.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 10 ABOVE AND HIGH 25 TO 30.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW DURING THE NIGHT. LOW 10 TO
15 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW IN THE MID TEENS
AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 160649
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
149 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2003

CURRENTLY...CLEAR SKIES NORTH WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES CENTRAL AND
SOUTH AS HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE EASES NORTHWARD. TEMPS RUNNING
GENERALLY 5 TO 20 BELOW VT AND 20 TO 35 BELOW ACROSS N NY ZONES. MIN
TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE HIGHLY VARIED...WITH AREAS THAT CAN MAINTAIN
CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS THE COLDEST. OTHER AREAS ARE MAINTAINING
A NORTH WIND...ESP ACROSS VT...AND AS HIGHER RH MOVES
OVERHEAD...THIS MAY INHIBIT MINS FROM DROPPING TO EXTREME LEVELS.

TODAY/TONIGHT...VERY QUIET DAY ALBEIT CONTINUED COLD AS MASSIVE 1045
HPA SFC ANTICYCLONE DROPS OVER REGION. LIGHT WINDS AND RISING
THICKNESSES SUGGEST TEMPS MAY CLIMB A FEW DEGREES OVER YESTERDAY'S
MAXES...BUT NOT MUCH AS HIGHER LEVEL RH MAY PRECLUDE MUCH IN THE WAY
OF WARMING. LOWEST LEVEL 1000-950 HPA THICKNESS SCHEMES CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST NORTHERN VALLEYS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE COLDER THAN SURROUNDING
AREAS. BENIGN WX CONTINUES TONIGHT WITH SFC HIGH SLIDING EASTWARD.
ALL AREAS SHOULD FULLY DECOUPLE BUT MIN TEMP FORECAST WILL BE TOUGH
AS HIGHER UPPER LEVEL RH MAY AGAIN INHIBIT READINGS FROM DROPPING
INTO FREE FALL MODE. AT THIS TIME...WILL SUGGEST LOWER READINGS WILL
OCCUR FURTHER NORTH DUE MORE TO LESS HIGH CLOUDINESS THAN LL
THICKNESS SCHEMES ETC..

MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...HIGH CONTINUES TO SLIDE EASTWARD AS MAJOR
COASTAL STORM PASSES SOUTH OF REGION. AT THIS TIME BELIEVE ETA
SUITES OFFER BEST SOLN AND WILL CONTINUE IDEA OF CHANCE POPS FAR
SOUTH AND MAINLY CLOUDS NORTH.  AM NOT CONVINCED ON GFS SOLN OF
BRINGING MEASURABLE QPF AS FAR NORTH AS IT SUGGESTS...MAINLY DUE TO
HIGH DEWPT DEPRESSION VALUES...AND SFC PRESSURES MUCH AS 5-7MB LOWER
THAN OTHER OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE. IT IS ALSO MORE PRONOUNCED WITH
MID LEVEL DIVERGENCE/SHORTWAVE CROSSING AREA DURING THIS PERIOD...SO
WILL DISCOUNT FOR NOW.

AFTERWARDS...NOT MANY CHANGES HERE WITH CONTINUED MODERATION IN
TEMPS...AND CHC SHSN FOR TUE TIMEFRAME THOUGH AS DISCUSSED
EARLIER...THIS SHOULD NOT BE A BIG DEAL. ALL IN ALL A RATHER DULL WX
WEEK WITH MAINLY DRY CONDS...BUT A WELCOMED ONE IN THAT TEMPS WILL
BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS UNTIL THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK.

.BTV...NONE.

JMG







FXUS61 KBTV 160221
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
920 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2003

CRNT FCST IN GOOD SHAPE SO NO UPDATE NECESSARY.

1046 MB ARCTIC HI WL BUILD S TO SRN QUEB BY 12Z SUN.  SKC ACRS FA
BUT WATCHING LDG EDGE OF HI CLDS ADVANCING NWD FM SRN TIER NY.  NRN
EDGE OF THIS CLD SHIELD SHD BEGIN TO ERODE AS IT MVS NWD INTO RDG.
18Z GFS/ETA INDCT HI CLDS MAY REACH INTO CNTRL VT/S ADRNDCKS BY
12Z SUN BUT PRBLY TOO LATE TO IMPACT MIN TMPS.  TMPS ALRDY 5 TO 20
BLO ACRS FA (-26 SLK) AND WITH SKC AND WNDS NR CALM OVRNGT STAGE IS
SET FOR COLDEST NGT IN NEARLY A DECADE IN SOME PLCS. XPCT WDSPRD MINS
OF -25 TO -40 AND PSBLY A FEW SUB -40 TMPS NE KINGDM AND ADRNDCKS.
BTV SHD APCH -25 (RECORD IS -26) WHICH WUD MAKE IT COLDEST NGT SINCE
JAN 94.

THE FOLLOWING IS A LIST OF MIN TMPS BELOW -20 AT BTV SINCE 1990:

1/14/99     -22
1/6/96      -23
1/27/94     -29
1/26/94     -25
2/7/93      -24
2/6/93      -27

FRIGID TMPS TO CONT INTO SUN NGT ALTHO NOT AS COLD...THEN MODERATION
BEGINS MON.  CSTL STORM WHICH WL BE AFFCTG MID ATL RGN AND SNE SUN
NGT INTO MON WL HAV TO BE CLOSELY WATCHED FOR FA MON NGT INTO TUE.
18Z GFS HAS TRENDED FTHR N AND W WITH LOW TRACK AND NOW BRINGS
0.5" QPF AS FAR NW AS VSF AND 0.1"-0.25" FM S CHMPLN VLY TO NE VT
WHICH IS VRY SMLR TO 12Z ETA. 18Z GFS NOT ALONE ON THIS AS 12Z UKMET
ALSO INDCTG SOME ACCUM SNW FOR VT WHILE CNDN GEM TRACK IS CLOSEST TO
COAST AND CONSEQUENTLY MOST AGRESSV WITH POTL SNW STORM FOR FA SHWG
0.4" TO 0.75" QPF ACRS VT.  12Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN IS SHWG FTHR S
TRACK BUT CONSIDERABLE SPREAD EXISTS.  NO CHGS TO LTR FCST PDS BUT
IF THIS TREND CONTS WITH 00Z MDL SUITE...MIDNGT SHIFT WL HAV TO
INCRS AND EXPAND POPS NWD.

.BTV...NONE.

KJC





FXUS61 KBTV 151945
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
245 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2003

HI PRESS RIDGE TO CONT TO BUILD ACRS THE FA TONITE THRU MON. STORM
SYS TO MOVE ACRS THE SE USA TONITE THRU SUN NITE...THEN TO THE SOUTH
AND EAST OF SRN NEW ENG ON MON AND MON NITE. NEXT STORM SYS TO MOVE
ACRS SRN CANADA AND THE GREAT LKS REGION ON TUE/TUE NITE AND THEN
ACRS THE FA ON WED. HI PRESS TO BUILD IN ACRS THE FA FRO THU. UPR
TROF TO MOVE ACRS THE FA ON MON NITE THRU EARLY ON TUE.

STRONG H85 CAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE WITH WEAKER CAA FOR
SUN AND EARLY ON SUN NITE...THEN WK WAA FOR LATE ON SUN NITE THRU MON
NITE. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR ADVECTION TO AFFECT THE FA LATE ON MON AND
INTO MON NITE. LOW-LVL MSTR TO RETURN ACRS THE FA ON MON NITE THRU
MUCH OF WED NITE. MID-LVL MSTR TO AFFECT THE FA ON MON NITE AND TUE.
PW VALUES LOOK TO BE BLO 0.2" ACRS THE FA THRU EARLY ON MON...THEN
AROUND 0.3" AFTER THAT THRU TUE.

WINDS SHOULD SLACKEN INTO THIS EVENING ACRS THE FA AND NOT A FACTOR
FOR THE REST OF THE FIRST THREE PERIODS. THE NEXT FEW DAYS SHOULD SEE
A SLOW INCREASE IN THE CLD COVER ACRS THE FA (FROM SOUTH TO NORTH)...
WITH CHC POPS ACRS SE VT ON MON NITE LOOKING LIKE A GOOD COMPROMISE
BETWEEN THE 12Z ETA/AVN SOLNS FOR THEN. CHC POPS ON TUE AND WED STILL
LOOK A GOOD IDEA AS WELL WITH THOSE NEXT TWO SYSTEMS MOVING THRU THE
FA THEN. AFTER TONITE...THE FA APPEARS TO BE ON THE UPSLIDE IN TERM
OF TEMPS.

INTO THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...THERE LOOKS TO BE A LULL IN
THE ACTION ON FRI BEFORE A STORM AFFECTS THE FA ON SAT. WILL MOVE CHC
OF SN FROM FRI TO SAT FOR NOW.

FYI...AIRCRAFT AND SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE THAT LK CHAMP APPEARS TO
HAVE FINALLY FROZEN OVER.

WRK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 4 PM.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY




   This  data  is  from  the  [3]IWIN  (Interactive  Weather  Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

198
ASUS51 KBTV 160905
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-161000-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY   -11 -25  50 N5        30.75S
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY   -14 -25  58 CALM      30.63R
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY   -14 -27  52 NE7       30.68S
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A    -18 -23  77 CALM      30.66R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    -8 -26  41 CALM      30.63S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    -6 -23  43 N7        30.64F
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    -5 -19  51 SW3       30.61R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 312 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2003

 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND COLD. HIGH ZERO TO 10 ABOVE. LIGHT NORTH
 WIND.
 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 10 BELOW TO 20 BELOW. LIGHT AND
 VARIABLE WIND.
 .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS. HIGH IN THE MID
 TO UPPER TEENS. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND.
 .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 5 TO 15 ABOVE.
 .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WARMER WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
 HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
 .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 5 TO 15 ABOVE.
 .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY.
 HIGH NEAR 30.
 .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 10 ABOVE AND HIGH 25 TO 30.
 .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW DURING THE NIGHT. LOW 10 TO
 15 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW IN THE MID TEENS
 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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August 2010, Week 2
August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
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December 2009, Week 3
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December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
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November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
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August 2007, Week 3
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August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
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June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
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April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 3
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January 2007, Week 1
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November 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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July 2006, Week 1
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