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SKIVT-L  June 2003, Week 1

SKIVT-L June 2003, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 6 Jun 2003 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (334 lines)

Expires:200306062000;;591304
FPUS51 KBTV 060736
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
335 AM EDT FRI JUN 6 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-017-018-062000-
CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-ESSEX VT-
LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...ISLAND POND VT...
MONTPELIER VT...NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...
STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
335 AM EDT FRI JUN 6 2003

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 70 TO 75. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 50. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH NEAR 70.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW 45
TO 50 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 060542
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
142 AM EDT FRI JUN 06 2003

CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDS CONTINUE OVER FA EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH PERSISTENT SHRA ACTIVITY ONGOING ACROSS NORTHERN
ZONES AS MID LEVEL VORT CENTER CROSSES AREA. LOOK FOR THIS ACTIVITY
TO CONTINUE TO FUNNEL SOUTHWARD ON BACK SIDE OF SYSTEM...BUT
INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE DECREASING TOWARDS MORNING.

TODAY/TONIGHT...BROAD MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER REGION.
WITH 850 HPA TEMPS IN THE 9C RANGE AND SOUNDING PROFILES INDICATING
BNDRY LYR MIXING TO 750 HPA...TEMPS SHOULD REBOUND NICELY UNDER
PARTIAL SUN AFTER SOME MORNING CLOUDINESS. IN GENERAL FAIR CONDS
CONTINUE TONIGHT...BUT SHALLOW SFC FRONT LIMPS SOUTHWARD AND
APPROACHES NORTHERN BORDER COUNTIES TOWARDS EVENING. AS WAS THE
CASE LAST NIGHT...GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME INSTABILITY HERE
BY LATE AFTERNOON. NO SIGNIFICANT METEOROLOGICAL FORCING PRESENT
EXCEPT FOR SFC HEATING...BUT DUE TO PERSISTENCE OF MODEL GUIDANCE
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL NIGHTS...WILL SPLIT OFF THESE BORDER ZONES
AND GO WITH A SLIGHT LATE AFT/EARLY EVE POP.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY...STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY HERE...AS FA
CAUGHT BETWEEN SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM MOVING NE ALONG THE
COAST...AND WEAKENING TROUGHINESS PROGRESSING EASTWARD FROM THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. BELIEVE ETA SOLN OF CONVECTIVELY AMPLIFYING
DOWNSTREAM RIDGING IN ADVANCE OF SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM IS MORE
CORRECT HERE...AND WILL DISCOUNT FLATTER GFS SOLN WHICH SUPPRESSES
LOW FURTHER SOUTH AND EXITS IT SOUTH OF COASTAL NE. THUS WILL
MAINTAIN CONSISTENCY HERE AND CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE LOW CHC POPS
SAT AFT/NT. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON TAP FOR SUNDAY...AS FLOW BACKS
AND RIDGING AMPLIFIES OVER AREA IN RESPONSE TO VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE
ADVANCING EASTWARD FROM CENTRAL U.S.. NEARLY ALL NEW 00Z
GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE NOGAPS AND UKMET HAVE INCREASED THE
FORWARD SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM...AND IT NOW APPEARS THAT PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH AND PRECIPITATION MAY AFFECT WESTERN ZONES BEFORE DAWN MON.
WITH SUCH CONSISTENCY HERE WILL INTRODUCE CHC POPS LATE WEST.

MONDAY ONWARDS...PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AFFECTS EASTERN ZONES DURING
DAY ON MONDAY WITH DECENT CHC POPS...THEN TRUE FRONTAL BNDRY STILL
ON TAP TO CROSS AREA DURING THE NIGHT. WILL NUDGE TEMPS BACK HERE
SOMEWHAT DUE TO MORE PRECIP/CLOUD COVER THAN EARLIER EXPECTED.
AFTERWARDS...NO CHANGES PLANNED AS DRY REGIME SETS UP FOR FOR TUE
WITH SEASONAL TEMPS EXPECTED TO ROUND OUT THE WEEK. NEXT SYSTEM
APPEARS TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EASTBOUND FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S.
BUT SHOULD BRING NEXT CHC OF RAIN BY LATER ON THURSDAY.

.BTV...NONE.

JMG





























FXUS61 KBTV 060159
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
955 PM EDT THU JUN 05 2003

LATEST RADAR STILL SHOWING A GOOD DEAL OF SHWRS ACRS FA...ESPECIALLY
NRN ZONES. SHRTWV MOVG ACRS RGN WL EXIT FA AFT 06Z. EXPECT SHWR
ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH AFTER THAT TIME. WL BE UPDATING ZONES TO MAKE
A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO OVERNIGHT PORTION OF FCST...MAINLY TO KEEP IN
MENTION OF SHWRS A LITTLE PAST MIDNIGHT.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS



























FXUS61 KBTV 051743
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
145 PM EST THU JUN 05 2003

CRNT/NEAR TERM: NMRS SHRA AND FEW ISOLD TSRA IN CHMPL VLY MVG S TO N
AS DAYTIME INSTABILITY...ULVL DFLNC AND S/W MVG ACRS FA AND WL CONT
TO PULL THROUGH OVRNGT WITH WAVERING INSTABILITY. THEREFORE...-SHRA
DIMINISHING AS NGT PROGRESSES.

SHORT TERM (FRI-SAT): HERE WE GO AGAIN...MDLS ARE JUST NOT COMING
INTO SYNC (MDL TO MDL...RUN TO RUN) WITH ANTHR BIG DESCREPANCY FOR
SAT AFTN/NGT/SUN.

FIRST FRI...WEAK FNTL BNDRY MVS ACRS FA IN AFTN WITH MRGNL
INSTABILITY (LI ARD ZERO...CAPES 150-200) FOR SOME CU DVLPMNT BUT
SHLD BE IT.

ETA IS MORE AMPLIFIED WITH DOWNSTREAM RDG...THUS SRN STREAM SYSTEM
MVS FURTHER N THAN INDICATED BY OTHER MDLS AND HAS SFC LOW MVG ACRS
SNE WITH DECENT OVERRUNNING PCPN PATTERN ACRS MUCH OF NE WITH >0.5"
QPF.

THIS APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO CONVECTION NOW OCCURRING ACRS
TX. ETA IS THE ONLY MDL THAT DOES NOT SHOW A BRKDOWN OF DOWNSTREAM
RDG DUE TO CONVECTION...WHILE THE OTHERS DO HAVE A SHALLOWER RDG
WITH SFC LOW MVG S OF SNE AND LTL/ANY PCPN ACRS FA.

PRVS FCST HAD CHC LATE DAY -SHRA/-TSRA DUE TO ULVL SUPPORT MVG ACRS
FA IN VCNTY OF WEAK BNDRY THAT DROPPED DOWN ACRS FA LATE FRI AND
SOME LLVL INSTABILITY.

CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH BUT GIVEN BOTH/SERIES OF SOLNS WUD BRG ABT
SHRA ACTVTY TO FA WL GO WITH SHRA FOR SAT AFTN/NGT.

LONGER TERM (SUN-THU): BROAD TROF IN MIDWEST/MS RVR VLY WL SLOWLY MV
E TOWARD E COAST LATE WKND/ERLY NXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY ZONAL FLOW AND
SOME NICE LATE SPRING/ERLY SUMMER WX.

THE MAIN WX MAKER WL BE DECENT S/W AND ASSOC SFC LOW MVG ACRS QUEBEC
LATE MON-TUE WITH A SFC CD FNT MVG ACRS FA BY TUES. THERE ARE SOME
??? ABT SUN WITH SFC LOW S OF SNE AND UPR SUPPORT MVG ACRS FA...SMLR
TO LAST NGT/TDY BUT WITH LESS GOING FOR IT SO WL KEEP DRY SUN FOR
NOW.

THEREAFTER...FLOW BECOMING A BIT MORE ZONAL FOR SEASONABLE TMPS
WITH CNDN TROF PSBLY DROPPING S INTO MIDWEST TO BACK FLOW SLIGHTLY.
06Z OP GFS BRINGS -SHRA BUT HPC GUIDANCE LEANS DRY AND WL LEAN
TOWARD HPC GUIDANCE BUT LOOK AT 12Z GFS AGAIN.

LATEST...12Z OPS GFS SMLR AND GIVEN BUF/ALY PUTTING CHC INTO GRIDS WL
FOLLOW SUIT WITH MIN POPS.

WORKS AVBL ARD 3 PM.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW




























   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

597
ASUS51 KBTV 061005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI JUN 6 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-061100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    53  51  93 CALM      29.80R FOG
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    50  50 100 CALM      29.82R FOG
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     50  49  96 CALM      29.80R FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     52  50  93 CALM      29.75R
RUTLAND        MOCLDY    55  50  82 S6        29.83R
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    54  51  90 CALM      29.80R
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    55  52  89 SW7       29.86R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-ESSEX VT-
 LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...ISLAND POND VT...
 MONTPELIER VT...NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...
 STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
 335 AM EDT FRI JUN 6 2003

 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 70 TO 75. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 50. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
 CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
 SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
 .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
 LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
 .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
 .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
 CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH NEAR 70.
 .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW 45
 TO 50 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
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June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 3
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March 2002, Week 3
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March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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