Expires:200306152000;;779118
FPUS51 KBTV 150733
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
333 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2003



VTZ003-004-006>008-010-152000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
333 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2003

.TODAY...AREAS OF EARLY MORNING FOG WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS
MORNING...OTHERWISE PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 65 TO 70. NORTHWEST WIND 10
TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 70 TO 75. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 40 TO 45.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 75 TO 80.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH NEAR 80.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
50S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 45 TO 50 AND
HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 150530
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
130 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2003

CURRENT...SFC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH HAS GIVEN THE REGION A COUPLE
DAYS OF RAIN HAS MOVED OFF THE MARITIME COAST. THE UPPER LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SFC LOW STILL RESIDES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
QUEBEC...AND CONTINUES TO PINWHEEL CLOUDS AND LIGHT SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN VERMONT. NO LIGHTNING/CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH ANY PRECIP OVER THE CWA TODAY...THAT STAYS WELL TO
OUR SOUTH. SFC ANALYSIS AND SAT PICS SHOW RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
STARTING TO MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE NEW ENGLAND REGION...WHICH IS
APPARENT IN THE HOURLY OBS THAT SHOW A WEDGE OF LOWER RH/S WORKING
DOWN ALONG THE ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDER.

SHORT TERM(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE FINALLY WORKS
INTO THE REGION TODAY...AND MOVES SOUTHEAST OFF THE NE COAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE/RH ALREADY OVER THE CWA AND
CLEARING SKIES WORKING IN TOWARDS DAYBREAK...WILL MENTION FOG AT
LEAST THROUGH MID-MORNING. MODELS WANT TO BRING ONE LAST VORT
MAX./SHORT WAVE DOWN MAINLY OVER NC NE VT. MAY CONSIDER LOW POP FOR
THE MORNING HOURS FOR THERE. TEMPS WARM UP PRETTY NICELY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND DURING THIS TIME...AND AS
RESULT OF HIGH MOVING OFF COAST AND ALLOWING WARMER S/SW FLOW OVER
REGION.

EXTENDED(THURSDAY INTO WEEKEND)...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION
GIVES WAY TO A LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT...MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. WITH GULF AIR/MOISTURE OUT
AHEAD OF APPROACHING FRONT...LOOKS LIKE GOOD SETUP FOR TS THURSDAY.
HIGH WORKS IN BRIEFLY BEHIND FRONT...BUT LOW COMING UP COAST MAY
MERGE WITH CURRENT LOW AND MOVE TOWARDS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...
WHICH COULD ALLOW CLOUDS AND RAIN TO LINGER OVER REGION INTO THE
THE WEEKEND.


.BTV...NONE.

JN







FXUS61 KBTV 150530
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
130 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2003

CURRENT...SFC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH HAS GIVEN THE REGION A COUPLE
DAYS OF RAIN HAS MOVED OFF THE MARITIME COAST. THE UPPER LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SFC LOW STILL RESIDES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
QUEBEC...AND CONTINUES TO PINWHEEL CLOUDS AND LIGHT SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN VERMONT. NO LIGHTNING/CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH ANY PRECIP OVER THE CWA TODAY...THAT STAYS WELL TO
OUR SOUTH. SFC ANALYSIS AND SAT PICS SHOW RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
STARTING TO MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE NEW ENGLAND REGION...WHICH IS
APPARENT IN THE HOURLY OBS THAT SHOW A WEDGE OF LOWER RH/S WORKING
DOWN ALONG THE ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDER.

SHORT TERM(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE FINALLY WORKS
INTO THE REGION TODAY...AND MOVES SOUTHEAST OFF THE NE COAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE/RH ALREADY OVER THE CWA AND
CLEARING SKIES WORKING IN TOWARDS DAYBREAK...WILL MENTION FOG AT
LEAST THROUGH MID-MORNING. MODELS WANT TO BRING ONE LAST VORT
MAX./SHORT WAVE DOWN MAINLY OVER NC NE VT. MAY CONSIDER LOW POP FOR
THE MORNING HOURS FOR THERE. TEMPS WARM UP PRETTY NICELY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND DURING THIS TIME...AND AS
RESULT OF HIGH MOVING OFF COAST AND ALLOWING WARMER S/SW FLOW OVER
REGION.

EXTENDED(THURSDAY INTO WEEKEND)...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION
GIVES WAY TO A LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT...MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. WITH GULF AIR/MOISTURE OUT
AHEAD OF APPROACHING FRONT...LOOKS LIKE GOOD SETUP FOR TS THURSDAY.
HIGH WORKS IN BRIEFLY BEHIND FRONT...BUT LOW COMING UP COAST MAY
MERGE WITH CURRENT LOW AND MOVE TOWARDS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...
WHICH COULD ALLOW CLOUDS AND RAIN TO LINGER OVER REGION INTO THE
THE WEEKEND.


.BTV...NONE.

JN






FXUS61 KBTV 142251
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
651 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2003

HAVE SENT UPDATE TO INCLUDE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY FOR THE FIRST PART OF TONIGHT.  UPSLOPE WIND COMPONENT IS
STRENGTHENING AND THIS WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION
ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY.  HAVE SPLIT THE CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY FROM WEST TO EAST AS A RESULT WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN
ENDING BY MIDNIGHT ON THE EAST SIDE AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
FOR THE WEST SIDE.  SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW WELL DEFINED CLEARING
STARTING TO CROSS INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK.  WITH MOST AREAS CLEARING
OUT AFTER MIDNIGHT AND WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH
TO DEVELOP FOG OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA.  WILL MAKE SURE ALL
ZONES HAVE REFERENCE TO AREAS OF FOG VERSUS PATCHY OR NO FOG.  REST
OF FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED.

UPDATED ZONES ALREADY SENT.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.









FXUS61 KBTV 141722
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
122 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2003

CURRENTLY...CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS ENTIRE FA AS SFC AND 850 HPA LOW
SWINGING BY TO THE NORTH AND EAST WITH AMPLE LOW AND MID LEVEL RH
OVER AREA. SPOTTY AREAS OF -RA/DZ ONGOING ESP ACROSS HIGHER TRRN.

TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NT...WILL MAINTAIN A CHC OF EVE SPRINKLES/DZ
EAST OF GREENS AS UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED VORT CROSS AREA.
OTHERWISE DRIER CONDS ADVECT INTO REGION ON LIGHT NW FLOW WITH SKIES
CLEARING ACROSS WESTERN ZONES OVERNIGHT. HAVE INCLUDED SOME PATCHY
FOG...ESP IN FAVORED AREAS OF THE DACKS AND THE NE KINGDOM AS MOIST
GROUND FROM LAST NIGHTS RAINS AND SOME RADIATIONAL EFFECTS SHOULD
ENHANCE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...NW GRADIENT JUST STRONG ENOUGH TO
PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD EVENT. DECENT DAY ON TAP FOR SUN...WITH WARMEST
READINGS ACROSS SLV...AND COOLER NE KINGDOM WHERE STRONG VORT MAX
EMBEDDED IN NW FLOW PROGGED TO SKIRT THE AREA TO THE NE. THUS WILL
KEEP PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY EXCEPT ACROSS NE ZONES WHERE MORE CLOUDS
AND THE RISK OF A LATE DAY SHRA NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. BROAD 1025
HPA ANTICYCLONE ACROSS SOUTHERN ONT/QUEBEC THEN BUILDS SOUTHWARD
INTO THE NE U.S. FOR SUN NT WITH CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS.

MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...SPECTACULAR STRETCH OF SENSIBLE WX SETTING
UP AS AFOREMENTIONED HIGH SETTLES SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. FLOW BACKS TO THE S AND SW DURING THE PERIOD...WITH 850
HPA TEMPS WARMING IN EXCESS OF 10C UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPS AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS FOR A
CHANGE...WITH MANY AREAS ECLIPSING THE 80 DEGREE MARK FOR TUE AND
WED TIME FRAME.

AFTERWARDS...OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS ON BRINGING FRONTAL ZONE INTO AREA BY THU AFTERNOON/EVENING
WITH A GOOD CHC OF SHOWERS/THUNDER...THEN ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT COOL
DOWN AS DEEP UPPER TROUGH IS REESTABLISHED ACROSS NE CONUS.
OPERATIONAL MRF SOLNS ARGUES FOR A DEEP UPPER LOW TO CLOSE OFF OVER
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND DURING FRI/SAT PERIOD...BUT WILL FAVOR A MORE
OPEN TROUGH SOLN AS SUPPORTED BY MEAN ENSEMBLES. NONETHELESS...WITH
RATHER DEEP TROUGHINESS AFFECTING AREA...WILL UNDERCUT OPERATIONAL
GUIDANCE ON TEMPS...WITH COOLER AND MORE UNSETTLED CONDS ACROSS NE
HALF OF CWA.




.BTV...NONE.

JMG






   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

858
ASUS51 KBTV 151005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-151100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    59  58  96 SW8       29.92R FOG
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    54  54 100 CALM      29.94R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    56  55  97 CALM      29.92R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     54  53  97 CALM      29.88S
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    57  55  94 CALM      29.93R VSB<1/4
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       52  52 100 CALM      29.91S VSB<1/4
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    58  58 100 W7        29.94R FOG
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 333 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2003

 .TODAY...AREAS OF EARLY MORNING FOG WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS
 MORNING...OTHERWISE PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 65 TO 70. NORTHWEST WIND 10
 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
 .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 70 TO 75. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
 .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 40 TO 45.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 75 TO 80.
 .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S.
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH NEAR 80.
 .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
 .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
 50S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 45 TO 50 AND
 HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.

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