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SKIVT-L  August 2003, Week 3

SKIVT-L August 2003, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 16 Aug 2003 06:50:07 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (253 lines)

Expires:200308162000;;015977
FPUS51 KBTV 160902
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
440 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-016>018-162000-
CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-EASTERN
FRANKLIN VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...ISLAND POND VT...
MONTPELIER VT...NEWPORT VT...RICHFORD VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...
STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
440 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2003

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. HIGH 80 TO 85. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10
MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. CALM WIND.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 75 TO 80. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH NEAR 80.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
80S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S AND HIGH IN THE MID
80S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING
THE DAY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 160924
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
515 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2003

S/WV AND COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH TODAY...BUT MOST NOTABLE
CHARACTERISTIC OF THIS SYSTEM ON CURRENT SATL AND RADAR IMAGERY IS
THE GENERAL LACK OF CLOUD COVER AND THE WIDELY SCTD NATURE OF ANY
SHOWERS.  SPC MENTIONED SHOWERS BEING HELD TO A MINIMUM AT THIS TIME
BY A MID LVL THERMAL CAP IN ONTARIO.  IMAGINE CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE DIURNALLY AND AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES TOWARD COOLER H7 TEMPS AND POOLED LOW LVL MSTR WITH DWPTS NEAR
70....SO WENT WITH LKLY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EVERYWHERE.
DURATION OF PCPN NOW APPEARS TO BE LIMITED TO ONLY ABOUT A 6 HOUR
WINDOW AS THE SYSTEMS MOVES FROM THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AT 12Z TO
SERN VT BY ABOUT 00Z.

TODAY'S H5 TROF WILL BECOME POSITIVELY TILTED OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. WITH THE MSTR CNVGC SUPPRESSED SEWRD AND THE THICKNESSES
NOT FALLING TOO MUCH...ADJUSTED FORECAST FOR MONDAY THRU THURSDAY
TO INCLUDE FEWER CLOUDS AND HIGHER TEMPS THAN ADVERTISED BY GUIDANCE
AND PREVIOUS FORECASTS.  STILL CONCUR NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WOULD
BE FRIDAY...SO...EXPECTING A NICE STRETCH OF SEASONABLE...BUT NOT
TOO HUMID...AUGUST WEATHER NEXT WEEK.

.BTV...NONE.

BELL







FXUS61 KBTV 160122
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
919 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2003

WL UPDATE FORECAST TO REMOVE THIS EVENING...AND TIME THE CLOUDS.
PCPN TIMING LOOKS GOOD. WL ALSO TWEAK TNGTS TEMPS UP A FEW DEGREES
ESPCLY IN THE CHAMPLN VLY.

QUICK GLANCE AT 00Z SOUNDINGS INDC RELATIVELY DRY AT ALY BUT
MOIST AT BUF REFLECTING INFLUX OF MOIST/UNSTBL AIR. LI ARND -1 ALY
AND ARND -5 BUF AS CONDS DESTABILIZE...WITH A SLIGHT CAP NOTED ON
THE ALY SOUNDING. JET MAX NOTED MOVG ACRS QUE WITH LR PTN SUPPORTING
TNGTS CNVTN. NEXT JET MAX CNTRL CAN-NRN MN INDCS DIGGING NATURE OF
TROF ASOCD WITH SFC CDFNT.

CNVTN N OF LK HURRON HAS CONTINUED IN PREFNTL TROF FROM CENTRL-WRN
QUE-N OF SSM. GNRLY WND GSTS OF 30 KTS NOTED WITH THESE STORMS AT
CANADIAN SFC STATIONS. ANOTHER BATCH OF CNVTN IN THE ERN OH VLY MOVG
E SHUD STAY JUST S OF OUR AREA. BY 06Z THESE 2 AREAS WL BE APRCHNG
WRN PTNS OF OUR CWA. THUS TSTMS AFTR MIDNITE IN NRN NY AND WELL AFTR
MIDN IN VERMONT LKS REASONABLE.

AXIS OF MAX SFC DEW PTS FM ERN GRTLKS NE UP THE ST LAW VLY INTO WRN
QUE...PROVIDING FUEL FOR THE NRN BATCH OF TSTMS. MAX TEMP AXIS JUST
TO THE NW OF THIS MOIST AXIS FROM MI-NRN LK HUR INTO WRN QUE.
GREATEST INSTBLTY UPR GRTLKS RGN TO WRN QUE. MODELS BRING RH ACRS ALL
OF NRN NY BY 09Z AND TWD MRNG IN WRN VT WITH PRE-FNTL TROF. MODELS
SLIDE CDFNT SE ACRS AREA DURG SAT WITH DRIER AIR ENTERING WRN PTN OF
AREA SAT EVE. CURRENT FORECAST COVERS THIS PROGRESSIVE SCENERIO.


.BTV...NONE.

SFH





FXUS61 KBTV 151725
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
120 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2003

CRNT: PLENTY OF SS AND ABV NORMAL TMPS ACRS FA WITH REASONABLE TD
(L-M60S) COMPARED TO THE PAST FEW WEEKS. OUR CD FNT AND S/W ARE STL
WELL NW ACRS MANITOBA BUT WL MV QIUCKLY OVRNGT AS FLOW BCMS HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED ONCE AGAIN.

SHORT TERM (TNGT-SAT): OUR THINKING...NOT MUCH CHANGE FM THE LAST
SVRL DAYS. CD FNT IS LOCATED ALG CNDN-US BDR AT 12Z SAT AND THEN
BEGINS TO SLOW AS IT MVS INTO SRN/ERN NEW ENGLAND. GFS STL THE
OUTLIER WITH A SFC WAVE DVLPG ACRS FA ALG FNTL BNDRY...THUS
SLOWING PROGRESS OF FNT ACRS OUR FA.

MOISTURE CONVERGENCE/DEWPOINT POOLING AHD OF CD FNT LATE FRI NGT/
SAT MRNG FOR SHRA AND PSBL EMBEDDED IN NRN ZONES AS FA IN GNRL AREA
OF COUPLED JET ALG WITH DECENT S/WG WITH BETTER CHC OF SCT TSRA IN
SRN FA LATE SAT MRNG/AFTN.

MOST OF SHRA ACTVTY ASSOC WITH FNT EXITING BY LATE AFTN/EVE BUT ULVL
S/W LKLY TO GENERATE SCT -SHRA FOR A FEW HRS AFTWARDS.

CRNT FCST LOOKS PRETTY GUD WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS IF ANY XPCTD.

LONGER TERM (SUN-FRI): ALTHOUGH A POS TILT MEAN UPR TROF WILL BE
HANGING ARD CLOSE TO SE NEW ENG...THE FIRST HALF OF NXT WK SHLD
REMAIN DRY WITH SFC HIGH PARKED ACRS FA. SUNNY SKIES WITH SEASONABLE
DAYTIME TMPS AND COOL...CLR...PTCHY FOG NGTS. SLOWLY MODERATING TMPS
(DAY/NGT) AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.

THE MAIN WX MAKER MAY BE A NRN STREAM S/W THAT MVS ALG THE CNDN BDR
AND MVS ACRS FA THU NGT/FRI AND HAVE INTRODUCED SHRA BASED ON THIS
SCENARIO.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW














   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

550
ASUS51 KBTV 161005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-161100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     72  66  81 S9        29.76F
MONTPELIER     PTCLDY    71  64  78 SW9       29.85F
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    71  64  78 VRB6      29.79F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     61  60  97 CALM      29.78F
RUTLAND        PTCLDY    70  66  88 CALM      29.85S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    63  63 100 CALM      29.84F FOG
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    67  66  97 CALM      29.87F FOG
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-EASTERN
 FRANKLIN VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...ISLAND POND VT...
 MONTPELIER VT...NEWPORT VT...RICHFORD VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...
 STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
 440 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2003

 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
 LIKELY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. HIGH 80 TO 85. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10
 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. CALM WIND.
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 75 TO 80. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
 .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S.
 .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
 .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 50S.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH NEAR 80.
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
 80S.
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S AND HIGH IN THE MID
 80S.
 .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING
 THE DAY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
December 2008, Week 4
December 2008, Week 3
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December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
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November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 3
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January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
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December 2005, Week 2
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
March 2004, Week 5
March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
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February 2004, Week 1
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January 2004, Week 1
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March 2003, Week 3
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February 2003, Week 3
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 5
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
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June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
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December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
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November 2001, Week 1
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October 2001, Week 3
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October 2001, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
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March 2000, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
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May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
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January 1999, Week 3
January 1999, Week 2
January 1999, Week 1
December 1998, Week 5
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