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SKIVT-L  August 2003, Week 3

SKIVT-L August 2003, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 21 Aug 2003 06:50:08 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (261 lines)

Expires:200308212000;;106568
FPUS51 KBTV 210722
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
320 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2003



VTZ003-004-006>008-016>018-212000-
CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-EASTERN
FRANKLIN VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...ISLAND POND VT...
MONTPELIER VT...NEWPORT VT...RICHFORD VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...
STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
320 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2003

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND HOT. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WIND
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT SOUTH
WIND.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
LATE MORNING ON. HIGH 80 TO 85. WEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 55 TO 60.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND COOLER. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOW 40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 50 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH IN THE MID
70S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 210711
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
311 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2003

ANOTHER HOT ONE AS THE RIDGE OVER THE NORTHEAST US GETS ONE
MORE DAY IN. LOW 90S STILL A GOOD BET IN THE CHAMPLAIN AND SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEYS AND PARTS OF SRN VT.

BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE. PREFRONTAL TROUGH AND INITIAL WINDSHIFT
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...AND CLOSELY FOLLOWED
BY COLD FRONT. TIMING FOR PRECIP...AROUND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY
12Z...CHAMPLAIN VALLEY 15-18Z...AND INTO SOUTHERN VT LATER IN THE
DAY. THE BEST UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL BE TO THE NORTH...AND FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA IT WILL BE TOO EARLY TO COINCIDE WITH MAX
HEATING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL BE LIMITED TO SOUTHERN
VERMONT WHERE ARRIVAL OF FRONT WILL COINCIDE WITH MAX DAYTIME HEATING
AND BEST CAPES.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT COLD UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE
NORTHEAST. WITH FRONT TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
WEST...NORTH WINDS WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AIR TO REGION. 00Z MAV
GUIDANCE...WHICH HAS BEEN HARD TO BEAT LATELY...SHOWS HIGHS IN THE
60S...WHICH IS STRONG DEPARTURE FROM WE'VE BEEN FORECASTING.
ADJUSTED SATURDAY MAX TEMPS DOWN. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...LOW LEVEL COLD
TEMPS CONTINUE TO SPILL SOUTHWARD INTO THE FORECAST AREA. GFS 850 HPA
TEMPS SHOW 0 DEG CELSIUS OVER MOST OF VT BY SUNDAY MORNING. LOWERED
SATURDAY NIGHT TEMPS ACCORDINGLY.

EARLY NEXT WEEK THE PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL US SHIFTS EAST
TO WARM UP THE FORECAST AREA AGAIN.

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND YEAR SET FOR THURSDAY AUGUST 21:

BURLINGTON...93/1945
MT MANSFIELD...73/1976
ST. JOHNSBURY...96/1916
MASSENA...91/1995
MONTPELIER...90/1979

.BTV...NONE.

HANSON





FXUS61 KBTV 210046
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
846 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2003

UPDATED FCST TO REMOVE PCPN FM NE VT.

UPR RDG AXIS W OF FA AND NW FLOW MID LVL JET RSLTG IN SOME MID/HI
CLDS SPILLING INTO N ZNS.  THIS MSTR FCST TO RETREAT N AND E OVRNGT
AS RDG BLDS EWD SO MOCLR FCST LOOKS RSNBL.  AS AMS WARMS EACH DAY...
LT NGT FOG BCMG LESS WDSPRD AND THIS TREND SHD CONT TNGT.  MINS TNGT
MSTLY 55-65.

HOT DAY THU AS CORE OF WRMST H8 AIR (TMPS 18+) POISED OVR RGN SHD
SUPPRT SOME L90S IN VLYS.  ATMOS WELL CAPPED SO CONVECTIVE THREAT
IS NIL.

NXT CHC FOR RW/TRW WL BE LT THU NGT W ZNS AND REST OF FA DURG FRI AS
VORT TROF AND ASSCD FNT MVS THRU.

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND YEAR SET FOR THURSDAY AUGUST 21:

BURLINGTON...93/1945
MT MANSFIELD...73/1976
ST. JOHNSBURY...96/1916
MASSENA...91/1995
MONTPELIER...90/1979

.BTV...NONE.

KJC





FXUS61 KBTV 202053
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
453 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2003

IN THE SHORT TERM...COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP SHOWING SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER QUEBEC MOVING SEWD. MODELS SUGGEST NORTHEAST VERMONT
WILL SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY TONIGHT...SO WILL MENTION
SOME SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST THERE. THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
SHOULD SEE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH SOME HIGH THIN CIRRUS
CLOUDS. THICKER CLOUD COVER OVER QUEBEC AND NORTHEAST VERMONT
SHOULD LIFT NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD NORTHEAST OVER THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND
THURSDAY AND THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A HOT DAY ON THURSDAY...
WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 90S IN MOST LOCATIONS. RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE TIED OR BROKEN ON THURSDAY...AS
MOST RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY ARE IN THE LOWER 90S.

MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND OF BRINGING THE COLD FRONT THROUGH EARLIER
IN THE DAY ACROSS THE REGION...SO WILL DROP MENTION OF PRECIP IN
NORTHERN ZONES FRIDAY NIGHT...EXCEPT FOR SOUTHERN VERMONT. WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE ST LAWRENCE VLY
AND THE ADIRONDACKS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE
POPS FOR FRIDAY.

GFS MAV MOS TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN THE BEST THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...
SO HAVE GONE WITH THEM FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.

EXTENDED...HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND
BRINGING IN MUCH COOLER AIR FOR AUGUST...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S
AND LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 40S.  LOOKS LIKE DRY WEATHER FROM SATURDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND YEAR SET FOR THURSDAY AUGUST 21:

BURLINGTON...93/1945
MT MANSFIELD...73/1976
ST. JOHNSBURY...96/1916
MASSENA...91/1995
MONTPELIER...90/1979

.BTV...NONE.

WGH




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

175
ASUS51 KBTV 211005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-211100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     63  62  97 CALM      30.06S FOG
MONTPELIER     FOG       60  60 100 CALM      30.13R VSB 1/4
MORRISVILLE    FOG       62  62 100 CALM      30.09S VSB 1/4
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     63  63 100 CALM      30.07R
RUTLAND        CLEAR     61  57  88 SE8       30.10S
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       62  62 100 CALM      30.10R VSB 1/4
BENNINGTON     FOG       56  56 100 CALM      30.11S VSB 3/4
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-EASTERN
 FRANKLIN VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...ISLAND POND VT...
 MONTPELIER VT...NEWPORT VT...RICHFORD VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...
 STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
 320 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2003

 .TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND HOT. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WIND
 5 TO 10 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT SOUTH
 WIND.
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
 LATE MORNING ON. HIGH 80 TO 85. WEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. CHANCE OF
 RAIN 50 PERCENT.
 .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 55 TO 60.
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND COOLER. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
 .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOW 40S.
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 50 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH IN THE MID
 70S.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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