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SKIVT-L  October 2003, Week 1

SKIVT-L October 2003, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 4 Oct 2003 06:50:13 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (320 lines)

Expires:200310042000;;998849
FPUS51 KBTV 040828
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
429 AM EDT SAT OCT 4 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-016>018-042000-
CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-EASTERN
FRANKLIN VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...ISLAND POND VT...
MONTPELIER VT...NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...RICHFORD VT...
ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
429 AM EDT SAT OCT 4 2003

.TODAY...SHOWERS. BREEZY. HIGH 45 TO 50. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
LOW 35 TO 40. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH 45 TO 50.
SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS.
LOW IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGH IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 25 TO 30.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 30S AND HIGH IN THE MID
50S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT. LOW IN
THE MID 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 040956
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
545 AM EDT SAT OCT 4 2003

HAVE DECIDED TO MAINTAIN THE CONTINITY OF PREVIOUS ZONE FORECASTS.

MOST CAREFUL CONSIDERATION WAS GIVEN TO THE PERIODS TODAY THRU
MONDAY NIGHT.  THE INFLUENCE OF THE SLOW-MOVING COLD UPPER TROF WILL
BE WITH US IN THE FORM OF WIDESPRED RAIN SHOWERS TODAY, PRECEDING
AND WITH A S/WV AND COLD FRONT. INITIALLY LOW DWPTS SUGGEST MAX
TEMPS WILL STAY A BIT COLDER THAN GUIDANCE. THEN, TONIGHT THRU
MONDAY MORNING WE'LL HAVE THE INFLUENCE OF VERY COLD AIR ALOFT AND
INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY DIURNALLY...TO MAINTAIN THE THREAT OF SCTD
SHOWERS OF RAIN...GRADUALLY MIXING OR CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS OVER
ESPECIALLY THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  COLDEST H8 TEMPS ARRIVE LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING, SO THAT IS WHEN VALLEYS MAY SEE
SOME SNOW FLAKES AND MOUNTAINS MAY LOCALLY ACCUMULATE A DUSTING OF
SNOW AS SFC TEMPS FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING.

THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK NOW APPEARS TO BE DRY WEATHER WITH A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING ON TUESDAY...AFTER A SUB-FRZG
RADIATIONAL NIGHT MONDAY NIGHT. WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT COLLABORATE
FORECASTS FOR THE END OF NEXT WEEK, SINCE THERE IS PLENTY OF
UNCERTAINTY ABOUT HOW MUCH OF THE NEXT S/WV FROM THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WILL SHEAR HARMLESSLY EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA AND
HOW MUCH OF THAT S/WV MIGHT DROP INTO THE SERN U.S. AND ATTEMPT TO
UNDERCUT THE DEVELOPING RIDGE IN EASTERN CANADA AND STRONG SFC HIGH
IN NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.BTV...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

BELL









FXUS61 KBTV 040247
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1040 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2003

UPDATED ZFP SENT WITH A FEW MINOR FIRST PERIOD ADJUSTMENTS. LOWERED
MIN TEMPS TONITE IN ERN VT WHERE DECOUPLING HAS ALLOWED FOR TEMPS TO
FALL INTO 30S. RAISED TEMPS A BIT FOR CHMPLN/ST LWR VLYS. EXPECT
CLOUDS TO INCR AND THICKEN OVRNGHT WITH SHWRS PSBL MUCH OF NRN NYS
LATE. RAISED POPS TO LIKELY ST LWR VLY. EXPECT PCPN TO HOLD OFF TILL
AROUND OR AFTER 12Z IN MOST OF VT...AS GOING FCST INDICATES.

.....PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.....

.SHORT TERM...
CLOUDS ON THE INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE REGION AS
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH STARTS TO POKE INTO THE REGION.  AT THE
SURFACE...THE RIDGE HAS SHIFTED EAST OVER ME/NH.

WINDS ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW.  KEPT BREEZY WORDING IN FOR TOMORROW
AS WELL.

PRECIP CHANCES BEGIN IN WESTERN PART OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AFTER
MIDNIGHT OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFT TO THE EAST. BEST CHANCES OVER
NORTHERN NEW YORK BEFORE NOON...AND IN VERMONT AFTER NOON AS PRE-
FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH AREA.  WITH STIFF SOUTHERLY WIND...
TEMPS WILL STAY ABOVE FREEZING HOWEVER...SO SHOULD BE ALL RAIN.  ON
SUNDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION...COOLER
SURFACE AIR STARTS TO TRICKLE IN AND THICKNESS FALLS. KEPT CHCS FOR
RAIN IN SUNDAY AND SLIGHT CHANCE MONDAY IN AGREEMENT WITH
SURROUNDING OFFICES. WITH COLD AIR IN UPPER LOW...WOULDN'T BE HARD
TO GET SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS TO POP UP UNDER THE LOW. SUNDAY
NIGHT COULD BE COOL ENOUGH TO MIX IN A LITTLE SNOW WITH THE
SHOWERS IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MOUNTAINS.

.LONG TERM...
EXTENDED FORECAST (TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...LOOKED AT 00Z MRF
MODEL...06Z GFS MODEL...AND NCEP PRELIMINARY GRAPHICS FOR THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE AREA TO BE LOCATED ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY AND THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING
FAIR AND DRY WEATHER TO THE REGION. ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL
BUILD SLOWLY SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA ON THURSDAY...AND THEN MOVE OFF
THE MAINE COAST BY EARLY FRIDAY EVENING...WITH MORE FAIR AND DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.  GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AREA AND THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY...
WILL KEEP THE DAYTIME PERIOD DRY ON FRIDAY...BUT WILL INTRODUCE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES.

&&

.BTV...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

HANSON...SHORT TERM/WGH...LONG TERM







FXUS61 KBTV 031854
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
254 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2003

.SHORT TERM...
CLOUDS ON THE INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE REGION AS
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH STARTS TO POKE INTO THE REGION.  AT THE
SURFACE...THE RIDGE HAS SHIFTED EAST OVER ME/NH.

WINDS ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW.  KEPT BREEZY WORDING IN FOR TOMORROW
AS WELL.

PRECIP CHANCES BEGIN IN WESTERN PART OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AFTER
MIDNIGHT OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFT TO THE EAST. BEST CHANCES OVER
NORTHERN NEW YORK BEFORE NOON...AND IN VERMONT AFTER NOON AS PRE-
FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH AREA.  WITH STIFF SOUTHERLY WIND...
TEMPS WILL STAY ABOVE FREEZING HOWEVER...SO SHOULD BE ALL RAIN.  ON
SUNDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION...COOLER
SURFACE AIR STARTS TO TRICKLE IN AND THICKNESS FALLS. KEPT CHCS FOR
RAIN IN SUNDAY AND SLIGHT CHANCE MONDAY IN AGREEMENT WITH
SURROUNDING OFFICES. WITH COLD AIR IN UPPER LOW...WOULDN'T BE HARD
TO GET SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS TO POP UP UNDER THE LOW. SUNDAY
NIGHT COULD BE COOL ENOUGH TO MIX IN A LITTLE SNOW WITH THE
SHOWERS IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MOUNTAINS.

.LONG TERM...
EXTENDED FORECAST (TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...LOOKED AT 00Z MRF
MODEL...06Z GFS MODEL...AND NCEP PRELIMINARY GRAPHICS FOR THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE AREA TO BE LOCATED ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY AND THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING
FAIR AND DRY WEATHER TO THE REGION. ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL
BUILD SLOWLY SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA ON THURSDAY...AND THEN MOVE OFF
THE MAINE COAST BY EARLY FRIDAY EVENING...WITH MORE FAIR AND DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.  GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AREA AND THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY...
WILL KEEP THE DAYTIME PERIOD DRY ON FRIDAY...BUT WILL INTRODUCE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

HANSON...SHORT TERM/WGH...LONG TERM




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

644
ASUS51 KBTV 041005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 4 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-041100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    50  33  52 S16G25    29.78F
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    42  34  73 S12       29.87S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    45  35  68 S12G18    29.84F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     45  35  68 VRB3      29.86F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    45  34  65 SE15G22   29.85F
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    36  35  96 CALM      29.93S
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    49  36  61 S16G22    29.85S
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                       5:00PM, Friday October 3, 2003
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Anthony Seibel
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Tonight: Partly cloudy skies will kick off the first weekend in
   October tonight. Lows remain cool to cold in the range of 37-43
   degrees. Light South winds at 10-15mph.

   Saturday: Showers will be moving in by mid-afternoon, with periods of
   steady rain. Gusty South winds at 15-25 mph will make this wet and
   cold day pass slowly. Highs around 45-50 degrees.

   Saturday Night: Skies will be clearing to mostly cloudy with a chance
   of showers. Low 32-38 degrees with light winds from the Southwest.

   Sunday: Mostly cloudy skies continue with a chance of scattered
   showers. Highs 48-55 with overnight lows in the range of 32-38
   degrees.

                             Extended Forecast

   Monday: Mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers. High in the
   upper 40 s with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's.

   Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies with seasonable high temps in the low
   50's. Lows in the mid 30's.

   Wednesday: Again, Partly cloudy with highs in the mid 50's and
   overnight lows in the mid 30's.

                            Forecast Discussion

   The strong shortwave mentioned earlier this week is pushing towards us
   through Western New York as this is being typed. The front will be in
   our area tomorrow afternoon with showers and periods of steady rain.
   No snow is to be expected from this first wave of precipitation. Snow
   showers may be seen in higher elevations overnight sunday, but even
   that is a slight chance. Tuesday looks to be a fairly nice day
   compared to the chilly rains and sleet we witnessed earlier this week,
   with more nice days to come afterward. Drive around and check out
   foliage in your area this weekend, it sure is beautiful from the
   Lyndon State Campus. Keep warm and have a nice weekend.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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June 2011, Week 3
June 2011, Week 2
June 2011, Week 1
May 2011, Week 5
May 2011, Week 4
May 2011, Week 3
May 2011, Week 2
May 2011, Week 1
April 2011, Week 5
April 2011, Week 4
April 2011, Week 3
April 2011, Week 2
April 2011, Week 1
March 2011, Week 5
March 2011, Week 4
March 2011, Week 3
March 2011, Week 2
March 2011, Week 1
February 2011, Week 4
February 2011, Week 3
February 2011, Week 2
February 2011, Week 1
January 2011, Week 5
January 2011, Week 4
January 2011, Week 3
January 2011, Week 2
January 2011, Week 1
December 2010, Week 5
December 2010, Week 4
December 2010, Week 3
December 2010, Week 2
December 2010, Week 1
November 2010, Week 5
November 2010, Week 4
November 2010, Week 3
November 2010, Week 2
November 2010, Week 1
October 2010, Week 5
October 2010, Week 4
October 2010, Week 3
October 2010, Week 2
October 2010, Week 1
September 2010, Week 5
September 2010, Week 4
September 2010, Week 3
September 2010, Week 2
September 2010, Week 1
August 2010, Week 5
August 2010, Week 4
August 2010, Week 3
August 2010, Week 2
August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
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December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
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November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
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February 2008, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
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April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 1
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November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
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October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
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November 2001, Week 1
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October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
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August 2001, Week 3
August 2001, Week 2
August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
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June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
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May 2001, Week 1
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