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SKIVT-L  April 2004, Week 4

SKIVT-L April 2004, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 28 Apr 2004 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (284 lines)

Expires:200404282220;;698686
FPUS51 KBTV 280801
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
401 AM EDT WED APR 28 2004


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-016>018-282220-
CALEDONIA-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN FRANKLIN-ESSEX-
LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...
NEWPORT...RANDOLPH...RICHFORD...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE...UNDERHILL
401 AM EDT WED APR 28 2004

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL MID MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 45 TO 50. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY. MUCH WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15
MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND
60. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 280816
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
415 AM EDT WED APR 28 2004

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW REPORTS OF PEA SIZE HAIL THUNDER AND GUSTY WINDS YESTERDAY.

.SHORT TERM....
TODAY...00 UTC UPPER AIR AND MDCARS OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WELL MIXED
DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND RELATIVELY DRY LOW LEVELS. MOISTURE
INCREASES AT 3K FT AT BUF 6K FT AT CWMW AND 9K AT ALY. SOME
-SHRA/SHSN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NE VT THIS MORNING OTHERWISE
THINGS ARE DRYING OUT TODAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL MAX OUT IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S WITH 850MB TEMPS REMAINING BELOW 0C. GRADIENT STILL
STRONG ENOUGH FOR 10 TO 20 MPH.

TONIGHT...A WARM FRONT APPROACHES WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A BRIEF
PERIOD FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER FAR NW NY. WITH DRY
LOW LEVELS IT COULD BE JUST SOME SPRINKLES. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP
UNTIL MIDNIGHT THEN FLATTEN OUT OR RISE TOWARD MORNING ESPECIALLY
WEST OF THE GREEN MTNS.

THU...BECOMING WINDY WITH WARM ADVECTION AS 850MB TEMPS RISE TO AT
LEAST 10C WILL BRING TEMPS INTO THE 70S AND MAYBE TOUCHING 80 IN A
FEW SPOTS. WINDS OVER THE ST. LAW VALLEY/ADIRONDACKS WILL BE GUSTING
TO 40 MPH AND 15 TO 30 MPH AND BREEZY ELSEWHERE.

FRI...MORE OF THE SAME AS THU EXCEPT WINDS SHOULD NOT BE AS STRONG
AND MORE SPOTS AROUND 80 DEGEES.  FRIDAY NIGHT THERE ARE SOME MODEL
DIFFERENCES WITH THE ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH. ETA
FASTER THAN GFS AND 12Z ENSEMBLES SO GOING WITH PREVIOUS TREND AND
OTHER OFFICES/HPC WITH KEEPING IT OUT OF THE AREA FOR NOW. ETA 500MB
HGTS S OF JAMES BAY ARE 190M LOWER THAN GFS.
&&

.LONG TERM...SAT THROUGH TUES.
GFS SHOWS LITTLE IF ANY SUPPORT FOR PRECIP UNTIL SUNDAY.
HEDGING BETS ON SATURDAY WITH THE PARTLY CLOUDY CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND 70S AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN ETA/GFS. IF GFS IS CORRECT THEN
SATURDAY COULD BE A REPEAT OF FRIDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
TEMPS AROUND 80 AGAIN. FRONTAL SYSTEM AND DEEP TROF TO AFFECT THE
AREA SUNDAY ON INTO TUES WITH SHOWERS AND COOLER TEMPS.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SISSON






FXUS61 KBTV 280248
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1045 PM EDT TUE APR 27 2004

.UPDATE...
VARIABLE AMOUNTS OF CLOUD COVER ACRS FA THIS EVENING. SOME RAIN
SHWRS OCCURRING ATTM...MAINLY IN ST LWR VLY. HOWEVER...COVERAGE OF
PCPN ACRS CWA HAS DIMINSHED THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING. SFC WNDS HAVE SHIFTED INTO NW ACRS FA...BUT UPPER LEVEL
TROF LAGGING BEHIND. IT WILL BE MOVG ACRS RGN DURING OVERNIGHT
HOURS...SO EXPECT PRTLY TO MSTLY CLDY SKIES AND CONTD CHC SHWRS AS
GOING FCST INDICATES. COOL ENOUGH ALOFT TO SUPPORT SNOW...BUT LLVL
TEMPS STILL TOO MILD. BY TIME LLVLS COOL...RISK OF PCPN DIMINISHES.
BEST CHC FOR SEEING SOME SNOW SHWRS OVRNGHT WILL BE OVR HIR
TRRN...ESPECIALLY ADRNDKS AND NRN GREENS. MIN TEMP FCSTS FOR TONIGHT
ALSO LOOK REASONABLE...SO NO UPDATE ATTM.

...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...

.SHORT TERM...
FIRST BAND OF SHOWERS LOCATED IN SURFACE TROUGH MOVING ON EAST OUT
OF FORECAST AREA. MORE SHOWERS ALONG SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...
FORMING IN BEST INSTABILITY UNDER COLD POOL ALOFT...SHOULD
CONTINUE THIS EVENING. CAPES OF 200-300 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON...
PRODUCED ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME
THUNDER. HAD A REPORT OF QUARTER INCH HAIL NEAR POTSDAM NY AT 238PM
OUT OF ONE OF THE SHOWERS. LEFT CHANCE PRECIP TONIGHT...ENDING WEST
TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AS THE 500 MB TROUGH SHIFTS EAST.

WILL BE A COOL START TO WED MORNING...THEN THE WARMUP BEGINS AS THE
WESTERLIES SHIFT NORTH AND SURFACE BERMUDA HIGH SETTLES IN...ALMOST
LOOKING LIKE A SUMMERTIME PATTERN. STATIONARY SURFACE FRONT ORIENTED
NE-SW NORTH OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL KEEP THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WARM SECTOR AT WEEKS END. TEMPS LATE IN THE WEEK WARM UP IN
RESPONSE...WITH HIGHS IN 70S. WARM SOUTHWEST WINDS SHUD STAY UP ALL
NIGHT THURS AND FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH LOWS QUITE A BIT WARMER THAN
PREVIOUS NIGHTS.

AFTER TONIGHT WENT WITH DRY FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. GFS
BREAKS OUT SOME QPF MOSTLY OVER THE NY SIDE OF THE FORECAST AREA
LATE FRIDAY.  WITH WESTERLIES SO FAR NORTH AND WEST I DON'T FEEL
LIKE PRECIP WILL FORM SO FAR AWAY FROM DYNAMIC FORCING...SO KEPT US
DRY.

.LONG TERM...
INTO THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...FRONTAL SYS STILL LOOKS LIKE
IT/LL BE TAKING ITS TIME MOVING ACRS THE FA ON SAT THRU MON. WK HI
PRESS PRESS AT THE SFC (AND AN UPR TROF ALOFT) TO MOVE ACRS THE FA
ON NEXT TUE. WILL CONT TO HANG ONTO LOW CHC POPS FOR ANY SHRA ON SAT
THRU MON...AND WILL JUST HANG ONTO SOME MORE CLDS ACRS THE FA INTO
TUE. A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO TEMPS IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD BASED ON THE
LATEST GUIDANCE.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

HANSON/MURRAY







FXUS61 KBTV 271914
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
314 PM EDT TUE APR 27 2004

.SHORT TERM...
FIRST BAND OF SHOWERS LOCATED IN SURFACE TROUGH MOVING ON EAST OUT
OF FORECAST AREA. MORE SHOWERS ALONG SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...
FORMING IN BEST INSTABILITY UNDER COLD POOL ALOFT...SHOULD
CONTINUE THIS EVENING. CAPES OF 200-300 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON...
PRODUCED ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME
THUNDER. HAD A REPORT OF QUARTER INCH HAIL NEAR POTSDAM NY AT 238PM
OUT OF ONE OF THE SHOWERS. LEFT CHANCE PRECIP TONIGHT...ENDING WEST
TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AS THE 500 MB TROUGH SHIFTS EAST.

WILL BE A COOL START TO WED MORNING...THEN THE WARMUP BEGINS AS THE
WESTERLIES SHIFT NORTH AND SURFACE BERMUDA HIGH SETTLES IN...ALMOST
LOOKING LIKE A SUMMERTIME PATTERN. STATIONARY SURFACE FRONT ORIENTED
NE-SW NORTH OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL KEEP THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WARM SECTOR AT WEEKS END. TEMPS LATE IN THE WEEK WARM UP IN
RESPONSE...WITH HIGHS IN 70S. WARM SOUTHWEST WINDS SHUD STAY UP ALL
NIGHT THURS AND FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH LOWS QUITE A BIT WARMER THAN
PREVIOUS NIGHTS.

AFTER TONIGHT WENT WITH DRY FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. GFS
BREAKS OUT SOME QPF MOSTLY OVER THE NY SIDE OF THE FORECAST AREA
LATE FRIDAY.  WITH WESTERLIES SO FAR NORTH AND WEST I DON'T FEEL
LIKE PRECIP WILL FORM SO FAR AWAY FROM DYNAMIC FORCING...SO KEPT US
DRY.

.LONG TERM...
INTO THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...FRONTAL SYS STILL LOOKS LIKE
IT/LL BE TAKING ITS TIME MOVING ACRS THE FA ON SAT THRU MON. WK HI
PRESS PRESS AT THE SFC (AND AN UPR TROF ALOFT) TO MOVE ACRS THE FA
ON NEXT TUE. WILL CONT TO HANG ONTO LOW CHC POPS FOR ANY SHRA ON SAT
THRU MON...AND WILL JUST HANG ONTO SOME MORE CLDS ACRS THE FA INTO
TUE. A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO TEMPS IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD BASED ON THE
LATEST GUIDANCE.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

HANSON/MURRAY




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

566
ASUS51 KBTV 281011
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED APR 28 2004

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-281100-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    38  31  76 W12       29.88R
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  37  31  78 NW14      29.86R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    37  31  78 NW9       29.86R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     36  33  89 CALM      29.81R
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    36  24  62 W9G16     29.90R



                                   Not Found

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May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
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September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
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May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 1
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October 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
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June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
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November 2006, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
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September 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 1
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