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SKIVT-L  April 2004, Week 4

SKIVT-L April 2004, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 26 Apr 2004 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (284 lines)

Expires:200404262201;;655197
FPUS51 KBTV 260733
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
333 AM EDT MON APR 26 2004


VTZ003-004-006>008-016>018-262201-
CALEDONIA-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN FRANKLIN-ESSEX-
LAMOILLE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...
NEWPORT...RICHFORD...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE...UNDERHILL
333 AM EDT MON APR 26 2004

.TODAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM THIS
MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
BREEZY SOUTH WINDS EARLY AT 15 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15
MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. VALLEY RAIN SHOWERS AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AN
INCH OR LESS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15
MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 40. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN 30
PERCENT.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 260648
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
248 AM EDT MON APR 26 2004

WELL DEFINED REGION OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE MOVING ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.  WARM AXIS OF AIR AROUND 850
MB...AS OBSERVED BY +8C TO +12C BETWEEN KBUF AND KPIT ON 00Z UPPER
AIR ANALYSIS...TO SPREAD INTO REGION BY 12Z.  THIS IS REFLECTED IN
BUFKIT FORECAST SOUNDINGS WITH WEAK AREA OF ELEVATED CAPE ON
SOUNDINGS AND IN AWIPS PLAN VIEW FORECASTS OF SHOWALTER INDEX AS
VALUES GET TO AROUND ZERO.  LIGHTNING HAS BEEN OBSERVED WITH
CONVECTION OVER WESTERN NEW YORK AND THIS SHOULD PROPAGATE ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 09Z AND 15Z.  THUS WILL MENTION THE
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDER DURING THIS TIME PERIOD ALONG WITH THE
LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS.  POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION WILL THEN COME
TO AN END WITH DRIER WEATHER MOVING IN OVERNIGHT.

MAIN UPPER TROUGH...CURRENTLY OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST...DOES NOT
MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL TUESDAY.  COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL
DEVELOP DURING THE DAY AND THIS WILL RESULT IN STEEPENING LOW LEVEL
LAPSE RATES FROM THE SURFACE TO AROUND 500 MB.  AS A RESULT...
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS SHOULD DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND
WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO AROUND 2000 FEET...THERE COULD EVEN BE
SOME SMALL HAIL OR GRAUPEL ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS.
WILL MENTION AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AT THIS POINT FOR THE LATE
MORNING/AFTERNOON HOURS.

LOW LEVEL NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THE 30 KNOT
RANGE.  THIS COMBINED WITH WITH A SATURATED ENVIRONMENT TO AROUND
10000 FEET AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGESTS UPSLOPE
PRECIPITATION AND WILL CONTINUE IDEA FOR SCATTERED PRECIPITATION AT
THIS TIME WITH SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS AND RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS AT THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS ON WEDNESDAY AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.  DRYING TREND SHOULD BEGIN...BUT LOOKING
AT THE COLDEST HIGHS OF THE WEEK ON WEDNESDAY.  A WARMING TREND WILL
BEGIN ON THURSDAY AS FLOW ALOFT BECOMES SOUTHWESTERLY AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM.  FEEL 850 MB WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL GO
MAINLY INTO WARMING THE ATMOSPHERE AND NOT INTO LIFT...SO AM
INCLINED TO NOT MENTION ANY PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY.  REST OF
FORECAST PERIODS REMAIN UNCHANGED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

EVENSON





FXUS61 KBTV 260057
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
857 PM EDT SUN APR 25 2004

OVERALL FCST IN GOOD SHAPE AND WL ONLY MAKE MINOR CHANGES TO PRECIP
WORDING AND ADJUST TEMPS SLIGHTLY. PERU NY THIS EVENING REPORTED
SOME SLEET MIXING WITH RAIN. CRNT MOSAIC RADAR TRENDS SHOWS BACK EDGE
OF PRECIP FROM A MSS-LOW-UCA LINE ATTM...MVING NE AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
EXPECT STEADY -RA TO END ACRS NNY ZNS BY 10PM...MIDNIGHT IN THE
CPV...AND BTWN 1-2AM ACRS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ZNS. HOWEVER...LATEST
BUFCAN RADAR IMAGES SHOW MORE -RW DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHERN CANADA AND
CENTRAL GREAT LKS....WITH MOVEMENT TOWARD OUR FA. THEREFORE WL CONT
TO MENTION CHC POPS WESTERN/CENTRAL ZNS. PRECIP WL BE LAST TO END
ACRS SOUTHERN ZNS...THEREFORE WL MENTION CAT POPS.

WL ALSO MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO TEMPS BASED ON TEMP/DWPT SPREADS
BTWN 5-15 DEGREES ATTM. EXPECTED U30S SLV TO L40S CPV AND NEAR 40
ELSEWHERE. OTHERWISE...REST OF FCST LOOKS FINE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

TABER





FXUS61 KBTV 251725
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
115 PM EDT SUN APR 25 2004

.SHORT TERM DISCUSSION (TNGT-WED NGT)...

PRETTY MUCH "ON CUE" WITH CLDS INCRSG/THCKNG AND SHRA APPRCHG WRN FA
WITH SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION AS WELL. THE MAIN WX MAKER FOR FA IS
THIS INITIAL WAA/OVERRUNNING SURGE OF MOISTURE THEN SCT -SHRA ALG/AHD
OF SFC FNT MVG ACRS FA MON MRNG-AFTN.

SOME VRY MINOR S/W RIDGING BTWN THIS FIRST SYSTEM AND THE
REESTABLISHED GRT LAKES TROF AS STG CNDN S/W DROPPING INTO THE TROF
MON NGT BFR MVG E ACRS FA LATE TUES/TUES NGT. A SCNDRY CD FNT MVG
THRU TUES AFTN WITH DECENT CAA AND THEN ULVL TROF SLIDING ACRS FA
TUES NGT WITH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND MIXED -SHSN/-SHRA.

TROF AXIS MVG ACRS VT WED MRNG FOR STL THREAT OF MRNG -SHRA/-SHSN...
ESP NRN VT AND ADRNDKS BFR RISING HGTS AND SFC RIDGING MVS INTO FA
DRG DAY.

WED NGT...ULVL FLOW RATHER FLAT WITH A RETURN FLOW ESTABLISHING ARD
THE BRF RIDGING OF WED AFTN. ATTM...MAIN THREAT APPEARS TO BE CLDS
AND PERHAPS A SPRINKLE BUT NOTHING MORE.

&&

.LONG TERM DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL SYS TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON THU...THEN SLOWLY
MEANDER ACRS THE FA ON FRI THRU SUN. HARD TO TIME ANY PCPN IN THIS
TIME-FRAME...SO WILL MERELY GO WITH LOW CHC POPS FROM LATER ON THU
THRU NEXT SUN FOR NOW...ALTHOUGH IT PROLLY WON/T RAIN ALL THE TIME.
FEW TWEAKS TO TEMPS IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD BASED ON THE LATEST
GUIDANCE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM....SLW
LONGER TERM...WEM































   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

203
ASUS51 KBTV 261011
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON APR 26 2004

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-261100-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  42  39  89 S12G22    29.91F
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  37  35  92 S10       29.99F
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  39  37  92 S8        29.95F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     38  37  97 VRB5      29.98F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    39  36  87 SE17G25   29.95F
SPRINGFIELD    LGT RAIN  39  38  96 S6        30.03F
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  47  42  83 VRB7      29.95F



                                   Not Found

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April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
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January 2009, Week 2
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December 2008, Week 3
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October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 2
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June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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May 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 2
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October 2005, Week 3
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
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August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 3
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August 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 2
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
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