Expires:200412012200;;311892
FPUS51 KBTV 010858
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EST WED DEC 1 2004


VTZ006>008-010-012200-
CALEDONIA-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...
STOWE
330 AM EST WED DEC 1 2004

.TODAY...SNOW...MIXING WITH SLEET AND RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN
CHANGING TO RAIN BY MIDDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATION 1 TO 3 INCHES. BREEZY
AT TIMES. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY. BREEZY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
20. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 30.
CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 40.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS AROUND
40. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 010734
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
235 AM EST WED DEC 1 2004

...FIRST WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT OF 2004-05 SEASON...

.NEAR TERM DISCUSSION (07Z)...
THE TRICKIEST PART OF FCST IS WHAT'S TAKING PLACE ATTM. THE DISC
BLO IS VALID FOR >90 PCT OF FCST WITH THIS NEAR TERM DISC TRYING
TO PINPOINT A "STARTING POINT".

THE LATEST RDR/SFC OBS AND PRS FALLS SUGGEST LOW TRACK ON TARGET
OF EVER SO SLGTLY N OF FCST TRACK. KMSS IS MY CONCERN AS NOT MUCH
EVAP COOLING TAKING PLACE AND IF THIS TREND HOLDS THAN CHMPL VLY WL
WITNESS SMLR TREND AND MAY NEED TO ADJUST ACCORDINGLY AT PRESS TIME.

&&

.SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION...
SRN JET SYSTEM HAS MVD FM SRN PLAINS/LWR MS RVR VLY INTO OH RVR VLY
ERLY THIS MRNG AND WL MV ACRS THE HEART OF FA TDY. DECENT WRM
AIR/MOISTURE ADVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM AND LOW TRACK BRGS THIS
ACRS FA. NRN JET STREAM NOT SUPPLYING MUCH COLD AIR AS AIRMASS AHD
OF THIS SYSTEM WAS SLGTLY ABV NORMAL TO BEGIN WITH...THUS INITIAL
AIRMASS WL MODIFY AND ALLOW ANY FROZEN PCPN TO CHGOVR TO LIQUID THIS
MRNG AND BACK TO SOLID FORM THIS EVE/TNGT.

ALL MDLS VRY SMLR WITH MANY PARAMETERS WITH SLGT DFRNCS IN THERMAL
PROFILES DUE TO RESOLUTION OF MDLS. IF INITIAL AIRMASS WAS 5-10 DEG
COOLER THAN IT WUD BE ALL SNOW AND RATHER EASY TO FCST BUT INITIAL
CONDS MARGINAL SO CHGOVR TIMING A BIT MORE CONCERNED. ATTM...
INHIERITED GRIDS/FCST THRU EVENT LOOK GOOD AND DON'T SEE ANY
WHOLESCALE CHANGES...BUT PERHAPS A LTL MORE WET RATHER THAN WHITE
BASED ON ABV "NEAR TERM DISC".

FRZN/FRZG AMTS GENERALLY BELOW ADV CRITERIA...THUS NO HEADLINES.

ALSO...HIGH WND CONCERNS WITH DYNAMIC SYSTEM BUT FEEL MORE OF A
CONCERN IN AREAS SE OF FA AS BRUNT OF H8 JET MVG ACRS SE NY/SNE.
THERE WL BE A BRF PERIOD (3-4 HRS) OF LLVL JET >60 KTS BTWN 3-5K
THUS DURATION NOT LONG ENUF FOR HWW AND MARGINAL FOR ADV. FURTHER...
WND DIRECTION MORE S THAN SE OF PAST WKND EVENT. KBTV CLIMO/LCL
STUDIES SUGGEST MORE SE COMPONENT NEEDED FOR GOOD DOWNSLOPING IN
WRN SLOPES. IT WL BE GUSTY AT TIMES BUT NOT A REPEAT OF THIS PAST
SUNDAY!!! SURROUNDING OFFICES CONSIDERING WND ADV AND WL MONITOR
FURTHER FOR PSBL CONSIDERATION.

A FEW VRY WEAK/MINOR SYSTEMS IN FLOW WL FOLLOW INTO THE WKND WITH
-SN/-SHSN.

&&

.AVIATION DISCUSSION (06Z-06Z)...
MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF AREA THRU 08Z-09Z W/ MID CLD COVER
DECREASING AS SFC LOW APPROACHES REGION. IFR DOWN TO VLIFR
CONDITIONS WILL ENSUE AT ALL FORECAST PTS AS RAIN...MIXING WITH
SNOW...WILL LOWER VSBY AS WELL AS BRING CEILING DOWN TO BLW OVC010
AT TIMES. ANY MIX WILL BECOME ALL RAIN AFTER 15Z-16Z BEFORE TAPERING
OFF TO -SHSN FROM 00Z-06Z...TAPERING FROM WEST TO EAST. WINDS WILL
INCR DURING PERIOD WITH STRONG GRADIENT...WITH SOME GUSTS TO
25-30KTS POSSIBLE. HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BE OBSCD.


&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC......SLW
AVIATION....JN



















FXUS61 KBTV 010310
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1010 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2004

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FCST ON TRACK BUT MADE A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO FIRST AND
SECOND PD.  DELAYED ONSET OF PCPN TO LT TNGT FOR ERN ZNS BASED ON
CRNT RADAR TRENDS AND 18Z ETA WHICH INDCTD PCPN DVLPG AFT 09Z.  LOW
LVL THERMAL PROFILE IS MARGINAL INITIALLY SO PCPN MAY BEGIN AS
BRIEF RA/SNW MIX IN SOME LOCNS BUT EVAP COOLG WL CHG IT TO SNOW.
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST CHG TO RA 11-13Z FROM OGS-SLK-BTV SWD...AND
14-17Z NRN ST LAW VLY AND NRN VT E OF GREEN MTNS WITH FAR NE VT
HOLDING ON TO SNOW LONGEST.  BASED ON EXPECTED QPF BEFORE CHGOVER
SNOW ACCUM ARND 4" PSBL NRN HIR TRRN E OF GREEN MTNS WITH 1-2"
ELSW.

OTHER CONCERN IS WIND FOR WRN SLOPES OF GREEN MTNS 12-15Z AS
60-70KT LLJ DESCENDS TO 4-5K FEET.  COULD SEE SOME GUSTS TO 50 MPH
WITH BORDERLINE WIND ADVSY WHICH LATER SHIFT WL NEED TO EXAMINE.
FOR NOW CRNT FCST WL MENTION G45.
&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...
WDSPRD IFR CONDITIONS DVLPG AFT 08Z AS SNW OVERSPREADS RGN.  SNOW WL
CHG TO RAIN 12-15Z WITH IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS THRU WED.  AS COLDER AIR
WRAPS ARND BEHIND DEPARTING STORM PCPN SHOULD CHG BACK TO SNOW AFT
21Z.  S WINDS GUSTING TO 20+ KTS AFT 12Z TUE THEN SHIFTING TO W
WITH GUSTS 30+ KTS 19-22Z.
&&

KJC

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THRU THURSDAY)...
MAIN FCST PROBLEM WILL BE PTYPE LATER TONITE AND WEDNESDAY...AS
WELL AS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS ACRS HIR TRRN...MAINLY ALG WRN
SLOPES OF GREEN MTNS.

HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EAST OF FA ATTM...ALLOWING FOR RETURN
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP. LOW PRESSURE IN TENNESSEE VLY WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST INTO OHIO VLY TONITE AND THEN MOVE INTO WRN NYS WED AM.
MODELS STILL DIFFER A BIT ON EXACT TRACK OF LOW DURING WEDNESDAY.
ETA STILL A BIT FURTHER NORTH THAN GFS AND THIS NRN TRACK IS
PREFERRED. DESPITE THE DIFFERENCES IN TRACK OF SFC LOW...LLVL TEMP
PROFILES ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR. EXPECT PCPN TO OVERSPREAD FA FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST BTWN 06Z-12Z. EXPECT IT TO BEGIN AS SNOW
MOST AREAS...ALTHO LLVL TEMP PROFILES SUGGEST MIXED PCPN PSBL
CHMPLN/ST LWR VLYS FROM THE ONSET. SNOW ACCUMULATION BY AM EXPECTED
TO BE AN INCH OR LESS MOST AREAS.

DURING WED...WITH LOW EXPECTED TO TRACK ACRS NRN TIER OF
ZONES...EXPECT SNOW OR MXD PCPN TO CHANGE TO MOST AREAS BY LATE
MORNING. COLD AIR WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DISLODGE EAST OF THE GREEN
MTNS...ESPEC NE KINGDOM WHERE SNOW OR MIXED PCPN MAY CONTINUE INTO
PM. TOTAL SNOW AMTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES PSBL NE VT BEFORE
CHANGEOVER...BUT GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES IN MOST OTHER AREAS.
AS THE LOW CENTER MOVES EAST OF FA LATE WED...EXPECT RAIN OR MXD
PCPN TO CHANGE BACK TO SNOW ACRS NRN NYS...WITH SOME ADDED ACCUM
PSBL ADRNDKS. HAVE GONE WITH BLEND OF MET/AVN MOS...WITH MAX TEMPS
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 35 TO 45 DEGREES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
STRONG WINDS MAY BE A PROBLEM ACRS HIR TRRN WED AM...ESPECIALLY ALG
WRN SLOPES OF GREEN MTNS WHERE GUSTS MAY EXCEED 50 MPH. THIS EVENT
NOT EXPECTED TO BE OF THE MAGNITUDE OF EVENT THIS PAST
SUNDAY...ALTHO IT WL NEED TO BE MONITORED. NO ADVISORY ATTM.

HAVE CONTINUED WITH SPSBTV TO HIGHLIGHT WINTER WX HAZARDS AND
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WED.

EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE ACRS NRN NY WED
NITE...AND FOR RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHWRS IN VT BEFORE TAPERING
OFF. SOME ADDED SNOW ACCUM PSBL NE KINGDOM...AND PSBLY ALG WRN
SLOPES OF GREENS...ALTHO IT IS NOT SHAPING UP AS A SIGNIFICANT
UPSLOPE EVENT.

A RESPITE FROM ANY PCPN FOR MUCH OF THURS AS WEAK AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE NOSES INTO FA. EXPECT P/C SKIES...WITH CHC FEW SNOW
SHWRS/FLRYS...MAINLY OVR HIR TRRN DURING AM.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
MAIN WEATHER FEATURE DURING EXTENDED PORTIONS OF FCST TO COME
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY INTO FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY AS DECENT NORTHERN
STREAM CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM AFFECTS AREA. FAVORABLE TRACK/DYNAMICS
ACROSS AREA COMBINED WITH COLD BNDRY LYR TEMPS AND DECENT SNOW
GROWTH PROCESSES ALL ARGUE FOR HI CHC TO LIKELY POPS FOR -SN THESE
PERIODS. DUE TO QUICK MOVEMENT OF SYSTEM EXPECTING A GENERAL 1 TO 4
INCH SNOWFALL WITH EVEN VALLEY LOCALES RECEIVING FIRST DECENT
SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON.

AFTERWARDS...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AND SEASONABLY COOL FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS PROGRESSIVE MID LVL FLOW CONTINUES. NORTHERN
STREAM SYSTEM TO AFFECT REGION SAT NT INTO SUN WITH MAINLY CLOUDS AS
PRIMARY DYNAMICS PASS WELL NORTH OF REGION. THEN CONTINUED DRY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH BROAD HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. NEXT
POTENTIAL SYSTEM WOULD ARRIVE LATER TUE NT INTO WED AS MID LVL FLOW
AMPLIFIES AND GULF COASTAL SYSTEM RIDES NORTHEAST INTO REGION.
EXTENDED PORTIONS OF LATEST MEDIUM RANGE OP RUNS HINTING AT SOME
UPSTREAM BLOCKINESS WHICH WOULD FAVOR A SLOWER/COLDER/MORE SOUTHERLY
SFC SOLN...HOWEVER ENSEMBLE DATA SUPPORTS A SFC REFLECTION OFF TO
THE NW OF THE FCST AREA WHICH WOULD LEND CREDENCE TO A
QUICKER/WARMER SCENARIO. THIS LATTER SCENARIO APPEARS REASONABLE PER
THE RECENT PATTERN OVER THE PAST 2 MONTHS WITH INITIAL MID TO UPPER
LVL TROUGHINESS DIGGING WEST OF REGION. HOWEVER DUE TO UNCERTAINTY
AT THIS TIME RANGE WILL BROAD BRUSH WITH CHC RA/SN AND TEMPS WITHIN
3 DEGREES OF SEASONAL.

AVIATION (18Z-18Z)...
MAINLY VFR CONDS EXPECTED OVER COURSE OF NEXT 12 HOURS AS MID TO
UPPER LVL RH THICKENS AND GRADUALLY LOWERS. DEEPER MOISTURE AND
ASSOC PRECIP TO ARRIVE IN EARNEST ACROSS AREA BY 06-10Z TIME FRAME
WITH CONDS DETERIORATING TO IFR/LIFR SHORTLY THEREAFTER. MARGINAL
BNDRY LYR TEMPS ARGUE FOR AT LEAST SOME FROZEN P-TYPE ISSUES IN -SN
OR -RASN MAINLY EAST OF GREEN MTN SPINE AND ACROSS N NY DURING FIRST
3-6 HOURS AFTER PRECIP ONSET. AS SFC TEMPS WARM...PRECIP SHOULD
CHANGE TO ALL RAIN AFTER 15Z WED THOUGH IFR/LIFR VIS/CIGS SHOULD
CONTINUE.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM/AVIATION...JMG













FXUS61 KBTV 302152
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
420 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THRU THURSDAY)...
MAIN FCST PROBLEM WILL BE PTYPE LATER TONITE AND WEDNESDAY...AS
WELL AS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS ACRS HIR TRRN...MAINLY ALG WRN
SLOPES OF GREEN MTNS.

HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EAST OF FA ATTM...ALLOWING FOR RETURN
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP. LOW PRESSURE IN TENNESSEE VLY WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST INTO OHIO VLY TONITE AND THEN MOVE INTO WRN NYS WED AM.
MODELS STILL DIFFER A BIT ON EXACT TRACK OF LOW DURING WEDNESDAY.
ETA STILL A BIT FURTHER NORTH THAN GFS AND THIS NRN TRACK IS
PREFERRED. DESPITE THE DIFFERENCES IN TRACK OF SFC LOW...LLVL TEMP
PROFILES ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR. EXPECT PCPN TO OVERSPREAD FA FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST BTWN 06Z-12Z. EXPECT IT TO BEGIN AS SNOW
MOST AREAS...ALTHO LLVL TEMP PROFILES SUGGEST MIXED PCPN PSBL
CHMPLN/ST LWR VLYS FROM THE ONSET. SNOW ACCUMULATION BY AM EXPECTED
TO BE AN INCH OR LESS MOST AREAS.

DURING WED...WITH LOW EXPECTED TO TRACK ACRS NRN TIER OF
ZONES...EXPECT SNOW OR MXD PCPN TO CHANGE TO MOST AREAS BY LATE
MORNING. COLD AIR WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DISLODGE EAST OF THE GREEN
MTNS...ESPEC NE KINGDOM WHERE SNOW OR MIXED PCPN MAY CONTINUE INTO
PM. TOTAL SNOW AMTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES PSBL NE VT BEFORE
CHANGEOVER...BUT GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES IN MOST OTHER AREAS.
AS THE LOW CENTER MOVES EAST OF FA LATE WED...EXPECT RAIN OR MXD
PCPN TO CHANGE BACK TO SNOW ACRS NRN NYS...WITH SOME ADDED ACCUM
PSBL ADRNDKS. HAVE GONE WITH BLEND OF MET/AVN MOS...WITH MAX TEMPS
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 35 TO 45 DEGREES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
STRONG WINDS MAY BE A PROBLEM ACRS HIR TRRN WED AM...ESPECIALLY ALG
WRN SLOPES OF GREEN MTNS WHERE GUSTS MAY EXCEED 50 MPH. THIS EVENT
NOT EXPECTED TO BE OF THE MAGNITUDE OF EVENT THIS PAST
SUNDAY...ALTHO IT WL NEED TO BE MONITORED. NO ADVISORY ATTM.

HAVE CONTINUED WITH SPSBTV TO HIGHLIGHT WINTER WX HAZARDS AND
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WED.

EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE ACRS NRN NY WED
NITE...AND FOR RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHWRS IN VT BEFORE TAPERING
OFF. SOME ADDED SNOW ACCUM PSBL NE KINGDOM...AND PSBLY ALG WRN
SLOPES OF GREENS...ALTHO IT IS NOT SHAPING UP AS A SIGNIFICANT
UPSLOPE EVENT.

A RESPITE FROM ANY PCPN FOR MUCH OF THURS AS WEAK AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE NOSES INTO FA. EXPECT P/C SKIES...WITH CHC FEW SNOW
SHWRS/FLRYS...MAINLY OVR HIR TRRN DURING AM.
&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
MAIN WEATHER FEATURE DURING EXTENDED PORTIONS OF FCST TO COME
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY INTO FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY AS DECENT NORTHERN
STREAM CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM AFFECTS AREA. FAVORABLE TRACK/DYNAMICS
ACROSS AREA COMBINED WITH COLD BNDRY LYR TEMPS AND DECENT SNOW
GROWTH PROCESSES ALL ARGUE FOR HI CHC TO LIKELY POPS FOR -SN THESE
PERIODS. DUE TO QUICK MOVEMENT OF SYSTEM EXPECTING A GENERAL 1 TO 4
INCH SNOWFALL WITH EVEN VALLEY LOCALES RECEIVING FIRST DECENT
SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON.

AFTERWARDS...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AND SEASONABLY COOL FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS PROGRESSIVE MID LVL FLOW CONTINUES. NORTHERN
STREAM SYSTEM TO AFFECT REGION SAT NT INTO SUN WITH MAINLY CLOUDS AS
PRIMARY DYNAMICS PASS WELL NORTH OF REGION. THEN CONTINUED DRY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH BROAD HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. NEXT
POTENTIAL SYSTEM WOULD ARRIVE LATER TUE NT INTO WED AS MID LVL FLOW
AMPLIFIES AND GULF COASTAL SYSTEM RIDES NORTHEAST INTO REGION.
EXTENDED PORTIONS OF LATEST MEDIUM RANGE OP RUNS HINTING AT SOME
UPSTREAM BLOCKINESS WHICH WOULD FAVOR A SLOWER/COLDER/MORE SOUTHERLY
SFC SOLN...HOWEVER ENSEMBLE DATA SUPPORTS A SFC REFLECTION OFF TO
THE NW OF THE FCST AREA WHICH WOULD LEND CREDENCE TO A
QUICKER/WARMER SCENARIO. THIS LATTER SCENARIO APPEARS REASONABLE PER
THE RECENT PATTERN OVER THE PAST 2 MONTHS WITH INITIAL MID TO UPPER
LVL TROUGHINESS DIGGING WEST OF REGION. HOWEVER DUE TO UNCERTAINTY
AT THIS TIME RANGE WILL BROAD BRUSH WITH CHC RA/SN AND TEMPS WITHIN
3 DEGREES OF SEASONAL.
&&

.AVIATION (18Z-18Z)...
MAINLY VFR CONDS EXPECTED OVER COURSE OF NEXT 12 HOURS AS MID TO
UPPER LVL RH THICKENS AND GRADUALLY LOWERS. DEEPER MOISTURE AND
ASSOC PRECIP TO ARRIVE IN EARNEST ACROSS AREA BY 06-10Z TIME FRAME
WITH CONDS DETERIORATING TO IFR/LIFR SHORTLY THEREAFTER. MARGINAL
BNDRY LYR TEMPS ARGUE FOR AT LEAST SOME FROZEN P-TYPE ISSUES IN -SN
OR -RASN MAINLY EAST OF GREEN MTN SPINE AND ACROSS N NY DURING FIRST
3-6 HOURS AFTER PRECIP ONSET. AS SFC TEMPS WARM...PRECIP SHOULD
CHANGE TO ALL RAIN AFTER 15Z WED THOUGH IFR/LIFR VIS/CIGS SHOULD
CONTINUE.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM/AVIATION...JMG










   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

699
ASUS51 KBTV 281918
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-282000-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  43  40 W10G16    30.00S
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   67  44  43 SW9       30.05S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    67  46  47 VRB6      30.01F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     70  46  42 VRB7      29.98F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    64  45  48 SW9       30.05S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    71  47  42 W9        30.04F
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  48  48 VRB7      30.05F

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
$$
NNNN



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