Expires:200412172252;;674092
FPUS51 KBTV 170843
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
342 AM EST FRI DEC 17 2004


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-172252-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
342 AM EST FRI DEC 17 2004

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THIS
MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. MID MORNING HIGHS 25 TO
30...THEN TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE TEENS BY LATE AFTERNOON.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD WITH LOWS ZERO TO 10 BELOW.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15
MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD WITH LOWS 15 TO 20.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10
MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT NORTH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50
PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 10 ABOVE. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COLD WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURES STEADY FROM 10 TO 15. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 5 ABOVE. CHANCE OF
SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND
20. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 10 ABOVE.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND
10 ABOVE. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
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FXUS61 KBTV 170942
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
442 AM EST FRI DEC 17 2004

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
AS ALLUDED TO ON YESTERDAY/S DISCUSSION...AFTER A RATHER QUIESCENT
FALL...WEATHER PATTERN BEGINNING TO LOOK MORE ACTIVE OVER THE NEXT
FEW WEEKS AS STRONG +PNA PATTERN DEVELOPS. OF MORE IMMEDIATE
CONCERN IS ROLLER COASTER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED OVER COURSE OF NEXT
72 HRS AND STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH WILL CROSS AREA DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. IMPRESSIVE 850 HPA CAA COMBINED WITH BLUSTERY WNW
WINDS BEHIND FRONT WILL ARGUE FOR MAX TEMPS THIS MORNING...WITH
SHARPLY FALLING READINGS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HAVE MAINTAINED
SCT MAINLY MTN SHSN THROUGH THE NOON TIME HOUR ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTH
WITH PASSAGE OF UPPER SHORTWAVE/FRONT. FAVORABLE UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GREENS WILL ENHANCE ACTIVITY ACROSS THIS AREA...AND
HAVE MAINTAINED MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES HERE. FRONT A
QUICK MOVER WITH ONLY NARROW RH COLUMN...SO EXPECT A GOOD DEAL OF
SUNSHINE FROM CHVLY WEST BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS IF NOT
SOONER. MAINLY CLEAR AND QUITE COLD TONIGHT AS NARROW SHORTWAVE
RIDGE AXIS TRAVERSES AREA. STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING EXPECTED
TONIGHT AS BNDRY LYR DECOUPLES AND WINDS BECOME LT...THUS HAVE
NUDGED MOS MINS DOWN SLIGHTLY ACROSS MANY LOCALES.

MAINLY SUNNY TO PTLY SUNNY ON SATURDAY AS RIDGE AXIS SLIPS EASTWARD
AND FLOW BACKS TO SOUTHERLY. SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES SAT NT...WITH
BROAD WAA PATTERN COMMENCING ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND CHC
SHSN ACROSS N NY AFTER MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN
NEARLY STEADY FROM CHVLY/RUTLAND COUNTY WESTWARD WITH COLDEST
READINGS EAST OF THE GREENS...TYPICAL WITH INITIAL RETURN FLOW.
SHARP AND DEEP MID TO UPPER LVL TROUGH THEN DIGS SOUTH AND EAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY...AND PUSHES ACROSS AREA BY LATER
SUNDAY NT INTO MONDAY. WEAKENING AND PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF TROUGH
CONTINUES TO ARGUE FOR DEEP CYCLOGENESIS OCCURRING WELL OFFSHORE SE
OF FCST AREA. HOWEVER...CHCS OF -SN STILL APPEAR REASONABLE AS
LATEST OP RUNS NOW ALL ON BOARD IN PUSHING ANOTHER ARCTIC BNDRY
ACROSS AREA DURING THIS TIME FRAME. AIR BEHIND THIS FEATURE APPEARS
EVEN COLDER THAN TODAY/S FRONT WITH 850 HPA TEMPS BELOW -20C PUSHING
INTO REGION. OF MORE INTEREST IS HI RES OP ETA RUN INDICATING
STRONG FGEN AND FLOW TURNING DUE NORTHERLY BEHIND FRONTAL BNDRY
LATER SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS TRAJECTORY WOULD FAVOR -SN
ACROSS MANY AREAS DURING THESE PERIODS INCLUDING THE CHVLY...WHERE
LOCAL MESOSCALE CONVERGENCE WOULD ACT TO ENHANCE ACTIVITY. HAVE THUS
NUDGED POPS UP TO HIGH CHC/LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL/NORTHERN FA LATER SUNDAY/SUNDAY NT AS A RESULT. MORE
NOTICEABLE WILL BE SHARPLY FALLING TEMPERATURES...WITH MANY LOCALES
NORTH AND WEST OF KBTV DROPPING BELOW ZERO SUNDAY NIGHT...AND MAXES
AREA WIDE MONDAY RANGING ONLY FROM 5 TO 15 ABOVE.
&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED PORTIONS OF FCST AT THIS TIME...THOUGH
POTENTIALLY ACTIVE WEEK STILL APPEARS REASONABLE. MAINLY CLR TO PC
TUE INTO EARLY WED...THEN INCREASING CLOUDS WITH CHC -SN OR MIXED
PRECIP LATER WED INTO THU WITH POTENT MID TO UPPER LVL TROUGHINESS
DIGGING WEST OF REGION AND GULF COASTAL SYSTEM RIDING NE INTO NE
CONUS. LATEST OP MEX RUN WOULD INDICATE POTENTIAL WINTRY MESS ACROSS
REGION WHILE ECMWF ARGUES FOR A MILDER/RANIER SOLN. WHAT APPEARS
MORE CERTAIN IS SYSTEM WILL BE ASSOC W/LG BAROCLINICITY...THUS
EVENTUAL SFC LOW TRACK WILL BE CRITICAL. PATTERN SO FAR THIS FALL
WOULD ARGUE IN FAVOR OF A MORE NORTHWESTERLY MEAN TROUGH POSN PER
THE 00Z ECMWF...BUT STAY TUNED.
&&

.AVIATION (06Z-06Z)...
SHARP COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.  FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BETWEEN 10Z AND 13Z AND
FROM 13Z TO 16Z ACROSS VERMONT.  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST ONCE THE FRONT PASSES AND WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS CAN
BE EXPECTED FOR A FEW HOURS AFTER THE FRONT PASSES.  THE FRONT WILL
ALSO BE THE FOCUS FOR LIGHT SNOW...WHICH WILL RESULT IN MVFR
CATEGORY CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES.  HOWEVER...VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS ALL AREAS AFTER 16Z.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT RESULTING IN
CLEAR SKIES AND A LIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JMG
AVIATION...EE









FXUS61 KBTV 170346
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1040 PM EST THU DEC 16 2004

.UPDATE...
UPDATED ZONES AND GRIDS SENT OUT WITH A FEW MINOR FIRST PERIOD
ADJUSTMENTS...AND TO KEEP FCST CURRENT. CLOUDS HAVE OVERSPREAD FA
AS OF LATE THIS EVENING. RADAR INDICATING SOME PCPN...ESPECIALLY
ACRS NRN NY...BUT IT RMNS ALOFT TO THIS POINT...AS SFC OBS NOT
INDICATING ANY PCPN ATTM. EXPECT CHC OF SNOW SHWRS TO INCREASE AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS GOING FCST INDICATES WITH APRCH OF STG CDFNT. HAVE
INCREASED WINDS FOR CHMPLN/ST LWR VLYS OVRNGHT. SOUTH WNDS ALREADY
GUSTY IN THE CHMPLN VLY. TEMPS SHOWING QUITE A RANGE THIS EVENING
ACRS FA...RANGNG FROM THE TEENS IN EASTERN VT TO 30S IN MUCH OF
CHMPLN AND ST LWR VLYS. HAVE LOWERED MIN TEMPS TONITE FOR LOCATIONS
EAST OF THE GREEN MTNS. HAVE NOT CHANGED MIN TEMPS FOR ANY OTHER
LOCATIONS.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FROM 105 PM...

...MORE WINTER WX AS THE WINTER SOLSTICE ARRIVES NEXT WEEK...

.SYNOPSIS...
THE OVERALL PATTERN OF +PNA GIVES THE NE CONUS/GRT LAKES THE FIRST
CONSISTENT THREAT OF WINTER CONDITIONS THIS 2004-05 SEASON. OUR
FA AS ALREADY SEEN SVRL BOUTS OF COLD AIR WITH SOME REINFORCING
CLIPPERS AND THIS TREND WL CONT...BCMG PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AND
STORMIER (NECONUS). THIS PATTERN LEADS TO INCRSG CHC OF WHITE XMAS
BUT IT MAY COME FM SVRL CLIPPER (LGT EVENTS) VS. "THE BIG ONE".

CLIPPER #1 IN THE FORM OF S/W MVG INTO NRN GRT LAKES THIS AFTN WL
MV ACRS FA OVRNGT/FRI MRNG WITH CHC/SCT -SHSN AND MUCH COLDER AIR
WITH H8 CRASHING FM -6C TO -16C DRG THE DAY.

THE NEXT IS COMBINATION OF ENERGY ROTATING ARD POLAR VORTEX AND
CRNT GULF OF AK WL PRODUCE A VRY DEEP TROF WITH -5 STD ACRS SE
CONUS AND THIS WL PRODUCE A STG CYCLONE LKLY FOR THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...NOVA SCOTIA AND PERHAPS THE OUTER CAPE. THE STG NEG STD
SO FAR S ACRS SE CONUS/ERN GULF DOESN'T BOLD TOO WELL FOR US BUT
STAY TUNED.

NONETHELESS...DEEP TROF WL BRG ABT BACKING FLOW AND THREAT OF -SN
LATE SUN/SUN NGT WITH ANTHR SHOT OF CD AIR ERLY NXT WEEK. ANTHR
SYSTEM IN THIS ACTIVE CHAIN FOR MID-WK AND PSBLY ANTHR FOR THE
HOLIDAY WKND. STAY TUNED!!!

WHAT'S FOR CERTAIN?!...THE WINTER SOLSTICE ARRIVES T 12/21 AT 1242
UTC (742 AM EST).


&&

.SHORT TERM DISCUSSION (TNGT-SUN)...

TNGT-FRI: CLDS ALRDY ADVANCING AHD OF GRT LAKES S/W AND CD FNT AS
ALL MDLS HAVE COME AROUND IN THEIR TIMING. BUFCAN SHWS DECENT SHSN
ACTVTY ALG FNTL BNDRY BUT LKLY MORE ORGANIZED DUE TO INTERACTION
OF LAKE WATERS BUT STL SELF-SUSTAINING FOR SCT VLY -SHSN AND -SHSN
LKLY IN NRN MTNS WITH INSTABILITY -SHSN THRU MRNG. CD FNT ARRIVES
KMSS-09Z...KBTV-12Z...KLEB-14Z WITH H8 TMPS DROPPING TO -16C AND
BLUSTERY THRU MIDDAY.

FRI NGT: HIGH PRS MVS INTO FA WITH MSTLY CLR...LGT/CALM WNDS AND
A LGT SNOWCOVER ACRS PTNS OF FA FOR A VRY COLD NGT.

SAT-SAT NGT: SFC HIGH MVS E OF FA AND MID/UPR LVL FLOW BACKS IN
RESPONSE TO APPRCHG/DVLPG NRN STREAM TROF MNTD IN ABV DISC. SOME HI
CLDS AND MILDER BUT DVLPG S GRADIENT WL STL PUT A CHILL TO THE AIR
SAT WITH GRDLLY INCRSG CLDS IN ADVANCE OF UPSTREAM.

SUN: THE CARVING OF DEEP LW TROF ACRS ERN CONUS OCCURS AT THIS TIME
WITH STL UNCERTAINTY ON STRENGTH/LOCATION BUT THE GRDL MVMNT OF THIS
TROF ACRS FA WITH LWRG HGTS WL LKLY YIELD INCREASE CHC -SN/-SHSN
AFTN ONWARDS.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NITE-THURSDAY)...
THE BIG QUESTION IS POSITION/STRENGTH OF MID/UPPER LVL TROF ACRS
EASTERN CONUS AND ASSOCIATED TRACK OF SFC LOW. THE LATEST MODELS AND
ENSEMBLE DATA CONTS TO PUSH 5H/7H TROF AND ASSOCIATED ENERGY FURTHER
SOUTH AND EAST...WHILE TRACKING SFC LOW SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF
THE COAST. MODELS CONT TO PUSH BEST LIFT/MOISTURE...ALONG WITH THE
HEAVIEST QPF WELL AWAY FROM OUR FA...THEREFORE WL TRIM BACK POPS
SOME WITH THIS PACKAGE. HOWEVER...WITH DEEP TROF AND SEVERAL PIECES
OF ENERGY ROTATING THRU EXPECT SOME LIGHT SNOW ACRS OUR FA SUNDAY
NITE INTO MONDAY...BUT NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH COASTAL SYSTEM.
OTHERWISE....WITH PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN -8 TO -10C MONDAY...EXPECT
HIGHS IN THE 20S. TUESDAY...LLVL CAA DEVELOPS ON NORTHERLY FLOW AS
SFC LOW DEEPENS ACRS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND 85H TEMP DROP TO
-14C. THE NEXT CLIPPER LIKE SYSTEM APPROACHES FA LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDS WITH ANOTHER CHC FOR -SW...OTHERWISE TEMPS WL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL WITH CHCS OF LIGHT SNOW EVERY COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z-18Z)
CRNT VIS SHOWS CLOUDS INCREASING AND THICKENING FROM SW TO NE ACRS
OUR FA THIS AFTN AS WEAK CLIPPER LIKE SYSTEM APPROACHES CWA. THE ETA
RH FIELDS OFF BUFKIT SHOW THIS TREND NICELY...THEREFORE HAVE USED
FROM TAFS THIS AFTN. CRNT THINKING CIGS AROUND 5KFT AT BTV BY 03Z
WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED AT MSS/SLK BTWN 04-06Z ASSOCIATED WITH
CLIPPER SYSTEM. HAVE USED PROB30 FOR BTV AS DOWNSLOPING WINDS WL
PREVENT MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION OR REDUCED VIS. EXPECT A
BRIEF BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACRS MTN ZNS WITH VIS BTWN
1/2-1SM AND CIGS AROUND 1FKT BTWN 10-14Z FRIDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...CONDITION SHOULD IMPROVE AFT FROPA FRIDAY AFTN.

&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM......SLW
LONG TERM/AVIATION....BOT






















FXUS61 KBTV 161804
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
105 PM EST THU DEC 16 2004

...MORE WINTER WX AS THE WINTER SOLSTICE ARRIVES NEXT WEEK...

.SYNOPSIS...
THE OVERALL PATTERN OF +PNA GIVES THE NE CONUS/GRT LAKES THE FIRST
CONSISTENT THREAT OF WINTER CONDITIONS THIS 2004-05 SEASON. OUR
FA AS ALREADY SEEN SVRL BOUTS OF COLD AIR WITH SOME REINFORCING
CLIPPERS AND THIS TREND WL CONT...BCMG PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AND
STORMIER (NECONUS). THIS PATTERN LEADS TO INCRSG CHC OF WHITE XMAS
BUT IT MAY COME FM SVRL CLIPPER (LGT EVENTS) VS. "THE BIG ONE".

CLIPPER #1 IN THE FORM OF S/W MVG INTO NRN GRT LAKES THIS AFTN WL
MV ACRS FA OVRNGT/FRI MRNG WITH CHC/SCT -SHSN AND MUCH COLDER AIR
WITH H8 CRASHING FM -6C TO -16C DRG THE DAY.

THE NEXT IS COMBINATION OF ENERGY ROTATING ARD POLAR VORTEX AND
CRNT GULF OF AK WL PRODUCE A VRY DEEP TROF WITH -5 STD ACRS SE
CONUS AND THIS WL PRODUCE A STG CYCLONE LKLY FOR THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...NOVA SCOTIA AND PERHAPS THE OUTER CAPE. THE STG NEG STD
SO FAR S ACRS SE CONUS/ERN GULF DOESN'T BOLD TOO WELL FOR US BUT
STAY TUNED.

NONETHELESS...DEEP TROF WL BRG ABT BACKING FLOW AND THREAT OF -SN
LATE SUN/SUN NGT WITH ANTHR SHOT OF CD AIR ERLY NXT WEEK. ANTHR
SYSTEM IN THIS ACTIVE CHAIN FOR MID-WK AND PSBLY ANTHR FOR THE
HOLIDAY WKND. STAY TUNED!!!

WHAT'S FOR CERTAIN?!...THE WINTER SOLSTICE ARRIVES T 12/21 AT 1242
UTC (742 AM EST).


&&

.SHORT TERM DISCUSSION (TNGT-SUN)...

TNGT-FRI: CLDS ALRDY ADVANCING AHD OF GRT LAKES S/W AND CD FNT AS
ALL MDLS HAVE COME AROUND IN THEIR TIMING. BUFCAN SHWS DECENT SHSN
ACTVTY ALG FNTL BNDRY BUT LKLY MORE ORGANIZED DUE TO INTERACTION
OF LAKE WATERS BUT STL SELF-SUSTAINING FOR SCT VLY -SHSN AND -SHSN
LKLY IN NRN MTNS WITH INSTABILITY -SHSN THRU MRNG. CD FNT ARRIVES
KMSS-09Z...KBTV-12Z...KLEB-14Z WITH H8 TMPS DROPPING TO -16C AND
BLUSTERY THRU MIDDAY.

FRI NGT: HIGH PRS MVS INTO FA WITH MSTLY CLR...LGT/CALM WNDS AND
A LGT SNOWCOVER ACRS PTNS OF FA FOR A VRY COLD NGT.

SAT-SAT NGT: SFC HIGH MVS E OF FA AND MID/UPR LVL FLOW BACKS IN
RESPONSE TO APPRCHG/DVLPG NRN STREAM TROF MNTD IN ABV DISC. SOME HI
CLDS AND MILDER BUT DVLPG S GRADIENT WL STL PUT A CHILL TO THE AIR
SAT WITH GRDLLY INCRSG CLDS IN ADVANCE OF UPSTREAM.

SUN: THE CARVING OF DEEP LW TROF ACRS ERN CONUS OCCURS AT THIS TIME
WITH STL UNCERTAINTY ON STRENGTH/LOCATION BUT THE GRDL MVMNT OF THIS
TROF ACRS FA WITH LWRG HGTS WL LKLY YIELD INCREASE CHC -SN/-SHSN
AFTN ONWARDS.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NITE-THURSDAY)...
THE BIG QUESTION IS POSITION/STRENGTH OF MID/UPPER LVL TROF ACRS
EASTERN CONUS AND ASSOCIATED TRACK OF SFC LOW. THE LATEST MODELS AND
ENSEMBLE DATA CONTS TO PUSH 5H/7H TROF AND ASSOCIATED ENERGY FURTHER
SOUTH AND EAST...WHILE TRACKING SFC LOW SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF
THE COAST. MODELS CONT TO PUSH BEST LIFT/MOISTURE...ALONG WITH THE
HEAVIEST QPF WELL AWAY FROM OUR FA...THEREFORE WL TRIM BACK POPS
SOME WITH THIS PACKAGE. HOWEVER...WITH DEEP TROF AND SEVERAL PIECES
OF ENERGY ROTATING THRU EXPECT SOME LIGHT SNOW ACRS OUR FA SUNDAY
NITE INTO MONDAY...BUT NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH COASTAL SYSTEM.
OTHERWISE....WITH PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN -8 TO -10C MONDAY...EXPECT
HIGHS IN THE 20S. TUESDAY...LLVL CAA DEVELOPS ON NORTHERLY FLOW AS
SFC LOW DEEPENS ACRS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND 85H TEMP DROP TO
-14C. THE NEXT CLIPPER LIKE SYSTEM APPROACHES FA LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDS WITH ANOTHER CHC FOR -SW...OTHERWISE TEMPS WL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL WITH CHCS OF LIGHT SNOW EVERY COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z-18Z)
CRNT VIS SHOWS CLOUDS INCREASING AND THICKENING FROM SW TO NE ACRS
OUR FA THIS AFTN AS WEAK CLIPPER LIKE SYSTEM APPROACHES CWA. THE ETA
RH FIELDS OFF BUFKIT SHOW THIS TREND NICELY...THEREFORE HAVE USED
FROM TAFS THIS AFTN. CRNT THINKING CIGS AROUND 5KFT AT BTV BY 03Z
WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED AT MSS/SLK BTWN 04-06Z ASSOCIATED WITH
CLIPPER SYSTEM. HAVE USED PROB30 FOR BTV AS DOWNSLOPING WINDS WL
PREVENT MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION OR REDUCED VIS. EXPECT A
BRIEF BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACRS MTN ZNS WITH VIS BTWN
1/2-1SM AND CIGS AROUND 1FKT BTWN 10-14Z FRIDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...CONDITION SHOULD IMPROVE AFT FROPA FRIDAY AFTN.

&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM......SLW
LONG TERM/AVIATION....BOT



















   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

699
ASUS51 KBTV 281918
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-282000-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  43  40 W10G16    30.00S
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   67  44  43 SW9       30.05S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    67  46  47 VRB6      30.01F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     70  46  42 VRB7      29.98F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    64  45  48 SW9       30.05S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    71  47  42 W9        30.04F
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  48  48 VRB7      30.05F

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
$$
NNNN



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