Hey Scott, will our group, GBarnett  and Dick C best avoid the freezing rain
by driving east up the I-90 or up the Canadian 401 tomorrow to get to Magog?

We're leaving about 3:30 pm or so
Leigh

----- Original Message -----
From: "Scott Braaten" <[log in to unmask]>
To: <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Wednesday, January 05, 2005 8:34 PM
Subject: [SKIVT-L] Last minute predictions (Was: Re: Killington 1/4-5 and
tomorrow anyone?)


> On Wed, 5 Jan 2005 16:53:14 -0500, Mike Bernstein <[log in to unmask]>
> wrote:
>
> >Scott -
> >
> >You chime in with this depressing report and don't offer up a few crumbs
> >of Wx info for this storm?  What gives?!  I don't even know who you are
> >anymore.
>
> I know, tell me about it.  I've been so busy lately and the weather really
> hasn't been that exciting so I haven't felt too bad.  But I just got a
> chance to look at storm, some models, and forecast products...
>
> Still looks like a moderate (for this season) snowfall across most areas.
> Snow's already moving into the Catskills as I type this and maybe even the
> southern Berkshires.  It should take most of tonight for this to finally
> push northward into central Vermont then move into northern Vermont around
> noon tomorrow.
>
> I'm going with a solid 5-6" of snowfall tomorrow during the day here at
> Killington, followed by another 2-3" after 4pm...snowfall should start
> near daybreak.  With that said, snowfall breaks out in Southern VT between
> midnight and 4am from south to north.  Looks like we could see a couple
> hours of decent snowfall as per BTV soundings and discussion.  It should
> come in quite a burst once it starts then snow slower but steady
> throughout the afternoon.
>
> I expect a change over to freezing rain from southern VT over to I90west
> in NY state.  Snow will change/mix with sleet through Rutland and Windsor
> counties in VT.
>
> I think there is a chance for some 10" snowfall amounts in the Catskills,
> Berkshires, and southern VT before the change over to mixed
> precipitation...especially if we get as much Omega lift as some of the
> models predict to move right over the Catskills into southern VT.
>
> For the cities...
> NYC: I'm going with 2" of snow and sleet on grassy surfaces with some
> minor icing just away from the immediate city.
> Boston: 4-6" of snow and sleet with some ice on top of that...changing to
> rain tomorrow afternoon while ending as drizzle.
> Albany: 4-6" of snow and sleet followed by some ice.  Changing to drizzle
> or light rain at the end of the storm.
> Binghamton: 4-8" of snow and sleet followed by significant freezing rain.
> Ending as plain rain.
> Burlington: 4-5" of fluffier snow.
>
> -Scott
>
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