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SKIVT-L  July 2005, Week 2

SKIVT-L July 2005, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 8 Jul 2005 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (249 lines)

Expires:200507082200;;374762
FPUS51 KBTV 080745
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
343 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005


VTZ003-004-006>008-016>018-082200-
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...STOWE...
ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...
BRISTOL...RIPTON
343 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005

.TODAY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE THIS MORNING.
RAIN LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10
MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.SATURDAY...RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND WARMER. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN CLEARING. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 080940
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
530 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
REMNANTS OF T.S. CINDY WILL IMPACT FA OVER NEXT 36 HRS. MODELS IN
SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT...ALTHO GFS A BIT FASTER THAN NAM IN
ARRIVAL AND ENDING TIME OF PCPN...AND THIS SOULTION PREFERRED.
RAIN ADVANCING INTO SRN TIER OF NYS...AND WILL BE OVERSPRERADING
MUCH OF FA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE THIS AM THRU THE PM HRS. CENTER
OF THE LOW WILL BE MOVG UP INTO DELMARVA RGN THIS MORNING AND TO A
POSN OFF JERSEY CST LATER TDY. LARGE CUTOFF LOW ADVANCING EAST FROM
GRTLKS WILL EVENTUALLY CAPTURE THE SFC LOW AS IT MAKES ITS WAY
SLOWLY UP ALG THE NEW ENG CST TONITE THRU SATURDAY. PROLONGED PERIOD
OF RAIN EXPECTED. WHILE HEAVIEST AMTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR SOUTH
AND EAST OF FA...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AROUND AN INCH OF
RAIN...WITH UP TO 2 INCHES PSBL SE VT. VERTICALLY STACKED SYSTEM
WILL MOVE EAST OF NEW ENG LATER SAT NITE THRU SUNDAY. NW FLOW OF
WARMER AND DRIER AIR EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. HAVE GONE CLOSE TO MAV TEMP
GUIDANCE TDY THRU SAT NITE...AND ABOUT 5 DEGREES LOWER THAN MAV
GUIDANCE FOR SUNDAY. EXPECT HIGHS SUNDAY MOSTLY IN L-M 80S WITH AT
LEAST PRTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
HAVE NOT MADE ANY CHANGES TO EXTENDED PORTION OF FA ATTM. LATEST
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER CANADIAN MARITIMES
DURING THIS PERIOD WITH SHRTWVS ROTATING AROUND THE LOW. STILL
DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE HOW FAR WEST THIS FEATURE WILL EXTEND...BUT
IT STILL LOOKS AS IF WE WILL BE DRY MON THRU WED WITH MAX TEMPS
AROUND OR A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

AVIATION (06Z FRI - 06Z SAT)...
RMNTS OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY OVR VA ERLY THIS MRNG WL MOVE NE ACRS
SRN NEW ENG LATE TNGT AND ERLY SAT. MSTR SHIELD ASOCD WITH THIS SYS
WL OVRSPRD THE AREA TDY AND TNGT.

BKN-OVC AC CLDS ARND 10K FT ERLY THIS MRNG WL LOWER TO SCT-BKN SC
CLDS ARND 5K FT OVC CLDS 8K FT LATER THIS MRNG. RN WL OVRSPRD THE
AREA BY AFTN WITH CIGS LWRG TO ARND 3K FT AND VSBY 5 MI INITIALLY
BUT GRDLY LOWERING TO 15-25 HND FT AND VSBY 3-5 MILES IN RN AND FOG
BY EVE AND CONTG OVRNGT...WITH LCL IFR CONDS OVRNGT. HIR TRRN WL
FQTLY BE OBSCD IN CLDS AND PCPN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...SFH






FXUS61 KBTV 071910
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
310 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

WFO BTV APPEARS TO BE HAVING SOME PHONE LINE TROUBLE...IN CASE YOU
HAVE BEEN TRYING TO REACH US UNSUCCESSFULLY RECENTLY.

.SYNOPSIS...
SFC HI PRESS TO REMAIN ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION THROUGHOUT THE
SHORT-TERM PERIOD. STORM SYS TO MOVE UP ACRS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION
TONITE AND ON FRI...THEN ACRS NEW ENG ON FRI NITE AND SAT. UPR TROF
TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION TONITE AND THEN ACRS THE FA ON FRI
THRU SAT. HAVE BASICALLY GONE WITH THE LATEST GFS DEPICTION OF THE
NEXT STORM SYS...WITH MAYBE A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE WEST.

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
WK H85 CAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE THRU FRI AND AGAIN ON
SUN...WITH WK WAA ON FRI NITE THRU SAT NITE. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR
ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA ON FRI AND FRI NITE AND AGAIN ON
SUN. LOW-LVL MSTR TO LINGER ACRS THE FA TONITE THRU SAT. SOME MID-LVL
MSTR TO AFFECT THE FA ON FRI THRU SAT NITE. PW VALUES ACRS THE FA
LOOK TO BE AROUND AN INCH TONITE AND SAT NITE/SUN AND AROUND 1.25" OR
SO ON FRI THRU SAT.

88D MOSAIC SHOWS A FEW RETURNS MOSTLY ACRS THE NRN ADIRONDACKS ATTM.
WILL PLAN ON BASICALLY LEAVING THE EXISTING POPS FOR THE TONITE
PERIOD ALONE (HIGHEST ACRS MUCH OF THE SRN TIER ZONES). HAVE RAISED
POPS ACRS MUCH OF THE FA TO LIKELY FOR MUCH OF FRI AND FRI NITE. PCPN
EXPECTED TO LINGER ACRS MUCH OF THE FA (ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST) ON
SAT AND INTO EARLY ON SAT NITE. SUN LOOKS IFFY FOR ANY CLDS/PCPN...SO
HAVE GONE WITH SCHC POPS FOR THEN FOR NOW. T1MAX TEMPS ARE IN THE
U70S-L80S ON FRI AND IN THE M70S ON SAT. HAVE TRIED TO GO MOSTLY BLW
THESE VALUES BASED ON EXPECTED CLD COVER/PCPN THEN. FCST TEMPS FOR
THE SUN TIME-FRAME MAY NEED FURTHER ADJUSTMENT (COOLER?) BY LATER
SHIFTS BASED ON LATER MODEL TRENDS.

WRK ZONES AND PRELIM ISC GRIDS AVAILABLE. ALL FINAL PRODUCTS BY
AROUND 330 PM.

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT
TO BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. WILL GO WITH A DRY FORECAST
FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. GUIDANCE SHOWING CLOSED UPPER LOW
TO BE OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH WEAK
SHORTWVS TO ROTATE AROUND THE CLOSED UPPER LOW...WITH LATEST GUIDANCE
SHOWING LOWER 1000-500 MB THICKNESS VALUES OVER THE REGION. HAVE GONE
WITH HPC GUIDANCE AND HAVE LOWERED MAX TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. FEEL BEST CHANCE FOR ANY SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION.

.AVIATION...
VARIABLE CIGS CONTINUE ACROSS FA THIS AFTERNOON...AND EXPECT THIS
TREND TO CONTINUE OVER COURSE OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS BROAD
TROUGHINESS...AND REMNANTS OF "CINDY" APPROACH FROM SW. MAINLY VFR
CONDS EXPECTED THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE AFT/EVE HOURS...THEN SOME
MVFR CIGS TO DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT. THICKENING/LOWERING CIGS TO
THEN OCCUR TOMORROW...WITH BROAD RAIN SHIELD OVERSPREADING AREA FROM
THE SW DURING COURSE OF DAY...ESP SOUTHERN FA.

.HYDROLOGY...
24-HR QPE ACRS THE FA (THRU 14Z TODAY) APPEARED TO BE BLW 0.25" ACRS
THE NRN ADIRONDACKS/CHAMP VLY EASTWARD. LATEST NERFC 1HR FFG GUIDANCE
IS BASICALLY ABOVE 2". WITH EXPECTED PW VALUES AND QPF FOR THE FRI
THRU SAT TIME-FRAME...THE FA SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THE UPCOMING
PCPN OK.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/SHORT TERM/HYDROLOGY...MURRAY
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...JMG




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

699
ASUS51 KBTV 281918
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-282000-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  43  40 W10G16    30.00S
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   67  44  43 SW9       30.05S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    67  46  47 VRB6      30.01F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     70  46  42 VRB7      29.98F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    64  45  48 SW9       30.05S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    71  47  42 W9        30.04F
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  48  48 VRB7      30.05F

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
$$
NNNN

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November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
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September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
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August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
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September 2008, Week 3
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
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June 2008, Week 3
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
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August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
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December 1999, Week 5
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