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COMMUNET Home

COMMUNET Home

COMMUNET  August 2005, Week 2

COMMUNET August 2005, Week 2

Subject:

What Can Google Learn From Netscape's Downfall?

From:

John Walker <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Community and Civic Network discussion list <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 12 Aug 2005 20:27:10 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (222 lines)

Excerpt the CSS Internet News.

See end of message for details.

---------------------------------------------------

Starting 1 September 2005...

The Online Learning Series of Courses presents...

How to Search the Internet, Level 1.

For details send an email to

[log in to unmask] with sendinfo search1 in the subject line.

----------------------------------------------------


What Can Google Learn From Netscape's Downfall?

Elizabeth Montalbano, IDG News Service
http://news.yahoo.com/s/pcworld/20050812/tc_pcworld/122199;_ylt=Ak2ELt9dPVxByUeqkxMqxzIjtBAF;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl

It's been 10 years since the initial public offering of ill-fated Internet 
pioneer Netscape Communications, and the often-told story of its rise and 
fall has inspired inevitable comparisons to the industry's current darling, 
Google.
ADVERTISEMENT

Like Netscape, Google had a wildly successful IPO, created a mainstream 
technology for optimizing Internet use and, as a result, has Microsoft 
gunning for them in the same way it went for Netscape's jugular.

And though the Internet landscape today is vastly different than the one 
that Netscape forged a decade ago, Google could learn a thing or two about 
how to do battle with the software giant in the coming years by taking a 
look back at the browser pioneer's defeat.

Microsoft Chief Executive Officer Steve Ballmer has made no bones about the 
software giant's quest to squash Google the way it buried Jim Clark and 
Marc Andreessen's baby in the 1990s. After the Netscape Navigator browser 
introduced millions of users to the Internet, Microsoft one-upped Netscape 
by integrating its Internet Explorer browser into its Windows operating 
system (OS), forcing the browser startup to scramble for a new business 
model. Eventually, America Online bought Netscape, and the Netscape browser 
technology now resides in the Mozilla Foundation project as the open-source 
Firefox browser, which, ironically enough, is making a comeback of sorts 
against Microsoft Internet Explorer.

"What do we want? More than anybody else has," Ballmer said recently about 
Microsoft's battle against Google in the search market. "We are going to 
invest: we'll invest in R&D, we'll invest in sales and marketing, we'll 
invest in advertising, we'll do what it takes [to win] on this front."
In the Search Space

It seems unlikely that Microsoft will usurp Google's position at the top of 
the search space anytime soon. New data released this week by Hitwise, an 
online market researcher, shows that Google claimed 59.2 percent of 
searches across all major search engines in July 2005, a 14 percent 
increase in share versus a year ago. On the contrary, MSN Search captured 
only 5.5 percent of searches in the same month, lagging far behind 
second-place Yahoo Search, which captured 28.8 percent of searches in July.

Still, there are lessons for the Mountain View, California, search company 
to learn from the demise of Netscape, whose browser laid the groundwork for 
Google's present success. And chief among them is that Microsoft, with its 
billions in the bank, deep talent pool, and reputation for trampling any 
company that threatens its core business, is not a force to be underestimated.

"Never take Microsoft for granted," says Joseph Laszlo, a research director 
at Jupiter Research. "Google is kind of a funny company in a lot of 
different ways, and one of them is it tries to run itself as if it's not a 
typical company. But I think where Microsoft is concerned, it's worth 
thinking as much like a big company as possible in order to understand why 
Microsoft does what it does and to effectively compete with them. [Google] 
should try to put itself in Microsofta??s head."

Microsoft's reasons for wanting to win the search engine wars are much the 
same as they were for winning the browser wars, according to another 
Jupiter analyst. Google's search technology, like Netscape's browser before 
it, threatens Microsoft's precious Windows operating system.

"Microsoft was worried about the World Wide Web [because] you had the 
browser and no Windows required," says Joe Wilcox, senior analyst for 
Jupiter Research. "Now we fast forward 10 years, and it's search coming 
from the Internet, and it's all about information and the extensibility of 
that information where Windows is not required. Microsoft is trying to deal 
with that problem."

Many feel Google also is better positioned than Netscape was to defend its 
turf against Microsoft because of its profitability and sound business 
model, two things the browser pioneer never had.
Strength of Its Software

But one thing that contributed to Netscape's downfall was Microsoft's 
incredibly well-oiled machine to develop its software, which makes them a 
staunch competitor once they commit to something for the long haul, says 
Haim Mendelson, professor at Stanford University's Graduate School of 
Business. This is something Google should be wary of as Microsoft plans to 
release a more robust version of its new MSN search engine around October, 
he says.

"Microsoft has put together a process for developing software that is 
difficult to beat in the long run," says Mendelson, who also directs 
Stanford's Center for Electronic Business and Commerce. "That's very, very 
powerful in the sense that you can develop the next version of your 
software in the way that is more effective than the competition, which is 
the reason you can look at things from a very long-term perspective. These 
development capabilities are something most people dona??t fully 
understand, and it's an important source of strength for Microsoft."

One former Netscape employee who asked not to be identified also warned 
that Google could fall victim to what might be called the four-year brain 
drain. In other words, after four years, Netscape employees were fully 
vested in their stock options and became millionaires, which gave them 
little incentive to work as hard as they had to ensure the company's 
initial success, he says.

He adds that encouraging employees to spend time working on projects 
outside of the company, as Google does, also could inspire some of its most 
talented engineers to use the money they earned at Google to start new 
companies.

One thing that Google does have going for it is that even as Microsoft is 
battling to emerge as a leader in the search space, it's also struggling to 
grow revenue by investing in new product development. Some analysts feel 
the company's core products, such as Windows and Office, can't sustain the 
kind of growth that made Microsoft the company it is today. As a result, 
Microsoft has been busy launching products in markets where it has not 
traditionally played, such as in the IPTV (Internet Protocol television) 
and game markets. Its entry into the search space is new as well, with its 
first MSN Search engine launching less than a year ago in November 2004.

It remains to be seen how much long-term revenue these new products will 
provide Microsoft. But Jupiter's Wilcox thinks it's likely that the company 
will use the trick that took down Netscape--integration with existing 
portfolio strongholds such as Windows and Office--to win in some of these 
emerging markets, particularly search.

"What it comes down to is Microsoft is betting big on integration," Wilcox 
says. "They have a very strong integration strategy with respect to the 
business market, and I see it opening up that strategy to the consumer 
market through different services."

Stanford's Mendelson, too, says integrating search into the next version of 
the Windows OS, Windows Vista, will be a key way Microsoft plans to win 
against Google, a fact that he's sure is not lost on the search engine 
company. Windows Vista is expected to ship toward the end of 2006.

"Microsoft has the advantage of integration... it's one they can build on," 
Mendelson says. "Desktop search will be a component of the next OS and it 
will be extended to the Internet. They're going to find a way that is legal 
to integrate it into the [OS], and it's a powerful advantage they have that 
Google will not have by virtue of their business model."

Chances appear slim right now that Google will fall from grace as quickly 
as Netscape did. But as tales of the browser wars continue to fascinate the 
industry, the stories that will be told 10 years after the search engine 
wars still have yet to be written.

----------------------------------------------

Also in this issue:

- New IE browser catches up with rivals
   Microsoft Corp.'s Internet Explorer browser has been showing signs of 
aging. Over the past   few years, the company has made security 
improvements and added a pop-up blocker but not   much else.
- Bored on the phone? Beware the Jerk-O-Meter
   Ever wonder if that spouse, friend or co-worker on the other end of the 
phone is really   paying attention? The "Jerk-O-Meter" may hold the answer.
- Google pauses online books plan
   Google has put the brakes on its programme to digitise the books in 
several major   university libraries. In its blog, the search giant said it 
would temporarily stop   scanning copyrighted texts until November to allay 
concerns about the plan.
- Cracking the code
   On the face of it, watching lines of code scroll down the monitor is a 
tedious pursuit.   Not this time. Each line reveals a dirty secret, a hole 
in my target's defences thanks to   a mistake by the gatekeepers of the 
network I want to penetrate.
- It's the System Stupid
   We need to stop thinking at the application level if we're going to 
build a wired world,   reckons technology analyst Bill Thompson. Even with 
an aggressive spam filter to get rid   of most of the rubbish the number of 
items, my e-mail inbox can, as regular readers will   know, sometimes go 
over a thousand.
- This week in open source
   The LinuxWorld conference is proving to be more than just a meeting of 
Linux fans and   sellers. It's now a venue for all sorts of open-source 
advocates.
- Builder of a better browser looks ahead
   (KRT) - Blake Ross is sprawled in a chair at a coffee shop near Stanford 
University, his   long legs, clad in baggy Tommy Hilfiger jeans, stretched 
underneath the table. He looks   like any other college student who 
happened to stroll off campus.
- What Can Google Learn From Netscape's Downfall?
   It's been 10 years since the initial public offering of ill-fated 
Internet pioneer   Netscape Communications, and the often-told story of its 
rise and fall has inspired   inevitable comparisons to the industry's 
current darling, Google.
- Big satellite launch helps boost Loral
   Loral Space & Communications got another big boost in its liftoff from 
bankruptcy when a   massive broadband-communications satellite built by its 
Palo Alto subsidiary for Asia   rocketed into space Thursday.


Member: Association for International Business
-------------------------------

Excerpt from CSS Internet News (tm)  ,-~~-.____
For subscription details email      / |  '     \
[log in to unmask] with              (   )        0
SUBINFO CSSINEWS in the             \_/-, ,----'
subject line.                          ====           //
                                        /  \-'~;    /~~~(O)
"On the Internet no one               /  __/~|   /       |
knows you're a dog"                 =(  _____| (_________|

-------------------------------

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