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October 2005, Week 3

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Subject:
Re: My 2005-2006 Winter Outlook is done
From:
Scott Braaten <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sat, 15 Oct 2005 19:56:43 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (55 lines)
On Sat, 15 Oct 2005 14:44:21 -0600, Marc Chrusch <[log in to unmask]> 
wrote:

>So then why not use some good formatting to organize things. For 
example...
>
>
>In the Forces at Work section, for each one, you could have 3
>subsections (bold the titles and divide into paragraphs)
>Name and acronym:
>What it is:
>How it effects weather:

I considered this...and almost wished I did it now.  Kind of like a 
glossary for each of the oscillations/pattern indicators.  I'll remember 
that for next year.

>For each month - split out each geographic area as a separate section

Yes, also considered this.  I wanted the reader to get a general feel of 
what type of pattern I feel each month would feature over North America.  
I could've started off by giving my thoughts on a mean storm track for the 
month in a statement or two and then divulged into each region.  I do 
agree that part wasn't overly organized and I just ran with my ideas.

>Consider putting the regional summaries at the top like an executive
>summary or abstract.

Ahhh but if I did that, who would read the rest?  This way, it made them 
at least scroll through the other stuff.

While some of the organizational stuff might need some work, it was the 
first time I ever tried anything close to this; the chances of it 
verifying are very low as with any long range forecast but I think 
seasonal forecasting isn't about the exact numbers but the overall trend.  
One region that is forecasted to have 30% below normal snowfall might in 
fact be dry most of the season only to get one massive storm cycle that 
results in putting the overall numbers close to average.  But that won't 
accurately show how skiers suffered when it didn't snow for two months 
straight.  Last year in the east, we had above normal snowfall in 
Burlington.  Meanwhile, in early February the stake was stuck at 40" and 
there was still weeds and grass sticking out around the base.  It snowed 
for a month and the skiing was good then, but the season from Nov-Feb 11th 
had us grasping for ways to put a positive spin on the conditions.  

Anyhow, it is what it is...keep the feedback coming, especially criticism 
as that will only make next year's better.

-Scott

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