On Sat, 15 Oct 2005 19:56:43 -0400, Scott wrote:

> While some of the organizational stuff might need some work,

You'll never satisfy everyone....get used to it.  Index & cross-ref it
every way known to the nerd-ville and still someone will be upset
because it doesn't call out specific snow totals for Starksboro, VT.

> it was the first time I ever tried anything close to this; 

And we hope not the last.

> the chances of it verifying are very low as with any long range forecast

Them's weasel words.  Tell us you're booking YOUR trips based on your
predictions....

Besides, unlike other sources, we have archives, so we can look back
and see how well you did.

> but I think 
> seasonal forecasting isn't about the exact numbers but the overall trend.  
> One region that is forecasted to have 30% below normal snowfall might in 
> fact be dry most of the season only to get one massive storm cycle that 
> results in putting the overall numbers close to average. 

Now wait just a minute.  I want...no, I NEED you to predict when that
storm will happen and tell me where to be, when.

> But that won't 
> accurately show how skiers suffered when it didn't snow for two months 
> straight.  

No, but the list remembers...

> Anyhow, it is what it is...keep the feedback coming, especially criticism 
> as that will only make next year's better.

The best feedback is for *you* to look back on your predictions in the
spring, see what was right, what was fiction, and figure out how to
get more of the former in '07.

Paul T.

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