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| Date: | Fri, 21 Oct 2005 14:46:33 -0400 |
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I just checked both 12z ETA/NAM and 12z GFS and both show significant
elevation snowfall on Sunday. I looked at the 12z NAM up close with the
BTV 5km grid and 850mb temps look good through 48hrs. It has 850's of 0
to -3 across most of the north country and snow levels are not that high
at all...maybe 2,000ft in the Adirondacks and Greens possibly lower. NAM
has precip type in the mountains as being in the form of frozen precip in
the grids. GFS has a similar solution with a low pressure system tracking
from NYC to BOS keeping BTV area in cold air region. Total precip on both
models is between .75 and 1.5". I do infact believe that the 12z models
show skiable snowfall in the Adirondacks and northern Green Mountains.
I'll be out of town from this afternoon through Sunday but will try to do
quick updates if it appears likely. Stay tuned to the NWS in Burlington
and read their discussions to get the real information.
-Scott
On Fri, 21 Oct 2005 14:09:08 -0400, Scott Braaten <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>Yep. Wilma will likely still move along the front on the eastern edge of
>the trough early next week, but by then it'll be further out to sea.
>Still energy roating around the trough after the Sunday event as depicted
>by the 500mb charts...I think that should pick up Wilma or whatever is
>left of her. That system is entirely different, like you said, but could
>throw some moisture back into at least eastern Northern New England in the
>form of snow. I still think moisture will spread further west of the
>track than models currently show once this thing opens up and loses
>tropical characteristics. One of this mornings (00z or 06z) GFS runs
>showed this a little.
>
>But for Sunday, GFS has been constantly tracking the low southeast of the
>north country possibly keeping 850's temps below freezing in the 'Dacks.
>Still could be some higher elevation snows this weekend...with chances
>shifting towards the east in NH and ME through the middle of next week
>depending on what happens with Wilma.
>
>-Scott
>
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