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SKIVT-L  December 2005, Week 2

SKIVT-L December 2005, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 13 Dec 2005 06:50:01 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (728 lines)

Expires:200512132215;;046333
FPUS51 KBTV 130737
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
237 AM EST TUE DEC 13 2005


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-016>018-132215-
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...STOWE...
ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON
237 AM EST TUE DEC 13 2005

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED FLURRIES THIS MORNING...THEN 
MOSTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS 10 TO 15. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. COLD WITH LOWS 5 TO 10 BELOW. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS 15 TO 20. LIGHT NORTH WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. COLD WITH LOWS 5 TO 10 BELOW. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT NORTH WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 10 ABOVE. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. 

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN has been proposed for termination. NOAA's NWS will be accepting
comments on the proposed termination until January 31, 2006. Please learn
more about the termination and how to leave a comment [2]here
   
          
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 130708
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
208 AM EST TUE DEC 13 2005

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
PRIMARY WX HIGHLIGHTS OVER COURSE OF SHORT TERM PORTIONS OF FCST
WILL BE COLD AND MAINLY DRY WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES LATER TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BY THURSDAY NIGHT INCREASING
MOISTURE/CLOUDS ALONG WITH INCREASING CHCS PRECIP WILL BEGIN TO
OVERSPRAD FA FROM THE SW.

LATEST SYNOPTIC MAP INDICATING FA UNDER INFLUENCE OF LARGE ARCTIC
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER CENTRAL ONT/QUE BORDER. LIGHT
NORTHWESTERLY/NORTHERLY FLOW OCCURRING ACROSS AREA ON FRONT SIDE OF
THIS FEATURE AND EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON.
FAVORABLE 333-350 BNDRY LYR FLOW COMBINED WITH 850 HPA/LK CHAMP
DELTA T VALUES IN EXCESS OF 20C THIS MORNING HAVE ENHANCED LK
CHAMPLAIN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY EAST OF
LAKESHORE...WITH LOCALIZED ACCUM OF 1-2 INCHES IN THE BTV VCNTY.
DESPITE FAVORABLE SHEAR/SNOW GROWTH/BNDRY LYR WIND FLOW...SYNOPTIC
INVERSION CONTINUES TO LOWER THROUGHOUT DAY...THUS WILL CARRY ONLY A
MORNING CHC OF SHSN NEAR THE LAKE...THEN END ACTIVITY THIS
AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE AWAY FROM THE LAKE...MAINLY DRY WITH A FEW
FLURRIES POSSIBLE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...THEN CLEARING SKIES. TEMPS
ON THE COLD SIDE...RUNNING SOME 12-17 DEG BELOW MID DEC NORMS AS
ARCTIC AIRMASS BECOMES FULLY ENTRENCHED ACROSS AREA.

BY TONIGHT THROUGH WED NT AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE SQUATS NEARLY
OVERHEAD...WITH CLR SKIES EXPECTED AND COLD TEMPS CONTINUING.
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL EFFECTS COMBINED W/DECENT SNOW COVER SUPPORTS
MIN TEMPS TONIGHT/WED NT GENERALLY BELOW AVBL MOS GUIDANCE...AND
WILL UNDERCUT ACROSS THE BOARD. THEN BECOMING PTLY SUNNY AND
SLIGHTLY MILDER BY THURSDAY AS INCREASING UPPER LVL/WAA RH BEGINS TO
OVERSPREAD REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE
THURSDAY NIGHT AS BROAD WAA PATTERN CONTINUES. OPERATIONAL SOLNS
CONTINUE TO PAINT SIMILAR SCENARIO DESCRIBED LAST NIGHT...WITH DEEP
CLOSED UPPER LOW AND ASSOC SFC REFLECTION ACROSS NRN PLAINS/WRN
LAKES TO EVOLVE DURING WED/THU TIME FRAME. AS THIS SYSTEM SLOWLY
PIVOTS EASTWARD THURSDAY NIGHT...STRONG SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROUNDING
BASE OF UPPER SYSTEM TO SPAWN CYCLOGENESIS ALONG MID ATLANTIC
SEABOARD. THIS SECONDARY SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY AS IT PUSHES NORTHEAST
TOWARDS AREA LATER THURSDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CHCS OF SNOW
OVERSPREADING REGION FROM SW BY FRIDAY MORNING.
&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
INHERITED FCST OF LIKELY POPS DURING FRIDAY STILL APPEAR REASONABLE
AS AFOREMENTIONED COASTAL SYSTEM PUSHES NORTHEAST INTO REGION.
UNCERTAINTY STILL ABOUNDS WITH EXACT TRACK OF SYSTEM SO PEGGING ANY
SNOWFALL AMTS AT THIS JUNCTURE PREMATURE AT BEST. MORE CERTAINTY
EXISTS IN THE FACT THAT EXCELLENT ISENTROPIC LIFT/QG FORCING/MID LVL
FGEN AND JET DYNAMICS WILL EXIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FA. THUS
INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT SIGNIFICANT ACCUM WILL OCCUR W/THIS
SYSTEM. SYSTEM THEN LIFTS NORTH OF REGION FRIDAY NIGHT W/WIDESPREAD
SNOWS SLOWLY TAPERING OFF AND REMAINING PRECIP TRANSITIONING TO MORE
MESOSCALE UPSLOPE/LAKE EFFECT PROCESSES. MEAN WSW BNDRY LYR FLOW
COMBINED W/AMPLE MOISTURE AND 850 HPA TEMPS IN THE -10 TO -15C RANGE
SUPPORTS PRIOR THINKING THAT WIDESPREAD LK ONTARIO LAKE EFFECT SHSN
WILL CONTINUE LATER FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUM LIKELY ACROSS DACKS/NRN GREENS.
&&

.AVIATION...
COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP SHOWING A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OVER
WESTERN VERMONT COMING OFF OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN AT THIS TIME. THIS BAND
OF SNOW SHOWERS/SNOW SQUALLS ARE PRODUCING LOCAL POCKETS OF IFR
CONDITIONS. THESE SNOW SHOWERS ARE THE RESULT OF VERY COLD AIR COMING
OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN...WITH THE WATER
TEMPERATURE OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN AROUND 40 DEGREES AT THIS TIME. EXPECT
THIS SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO COME TO AN END BY 18Z. MVFR
CEILINGS CONTINUE ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND THE WESTERN SLOPES OF
THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AT THIS TIME...WITH THE HIGHER TERRAIN OBSCURED
IN CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE...ACROSS VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW
YORK...CONDITIONS ARE VFR...WITH CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK AND ALSO ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT
VALLEY IN EASTERN VERMONT. EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION AFTER 18Z...AS SKIES CLEAR OUT. A HIGH PRESSURE AREA
WILL BUILD EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES TODAY AND BE CENTERED OVER THE
REGION TONIGHT...WITH CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...WGH









FXUS61 KBTV 130300
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1000 PM EST MON DEC 12 2005

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
THE COMBINATION OF COLD AIR FLOWING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM
WATERS OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN HAS RESULTED IN A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW...WHICH IS SLIGHTLY EAST OF THE LAKE AS THE VAD WIND PROFILE
FROM KCXX RADAR SHOWS A NORTHWEST COMPONENT TO THE WIND IN THE
LOWEST 4000 FEET. THIS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
NIGHT...BUT ONLY EXPECTING AN INCH OR LESS IN AND AROUND ROUTE 7
OF CHITTENDEN AND ADDISON COUNTIES. ELSEWHERE...VERTICAL DEPTH OF
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO DIMINISH AND THIS WILL LIMIT THE
PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL TO SOME SCATTERED FLURRIES THAT WILL BEGIN
TO TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. CLOUDS WILL ALSO DECREASE TOWARDS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS. OTHER THAN
SOME MINOR FIRST PERIOD CHANGES...REMAINDER OF FORECAST IN GOOD
SHAPE WITH PLENTY OF SUN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 435 PM EST MON DEC 12 2005)

SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
SENT QUICK UPDATE TO THE FORECAST TO ADD A THROUGH THIS EVENING
PERIOD FOR PORTIONS OF THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. STEADY LIGHT SNOW
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 700 PM OVER THE AREA UNTIL
PRECIPITATION BECOMES MORE DOMINATED BY LAKE EFFECT PROCESSES.
WILL MENTION LIGHT SNOW WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS.
REMAINDER OF FORECAST IN REAL GOOD SHAPE AND NO OTHER CHANGES
NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 300 PM EST MON DEC 12 2005)

SYNOPSIS...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS TO DEEPEN ACRS NE CONUS AS SEVERAL EMBEDDED
5H VORTS ROUNDING TROF BASE. PLENTY OF COLD DRY AIR NOTED ACRS
SOUTHERN CANADA THIS AFTN ADVECTING TOWARD NNY/VERMONT. VIS SAT PIC
SHOWS BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS NOW ACRS SLV WITH SOME CLRING DEVELOPING
ACRS THE NORTHERN CPV. TEMPS CONT TO FALL THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH
MSS AT 11 AND BTV AT 18. THESE COLD TEMPS COMBINED WITH NORTH WINDS
OF 10 TO 20 MPH HAVE CREATED WIND CHILL READINGS BELOW ZERO.
OTHERWISE...AS WINDS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY THIS
AFTN...EXPECT PRECIP ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS TO
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY. SFC ANALYSIS PLACES SECONDARY
ARCTIC FRNT ACRS SOUTHERN VT ATTM WITH RADAR/SFC OBS SHOWING THE
FRNT NEAR LEB TO TIC LINE.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS ACRS NE CONUS WITH LLVL CAA. PROGGED 85H
TEMPS DROP TO -18C...WHICH CREATES MODERATE TO HIGH LAKE INSTABILITY
OFF OF CHAMPLAIN TONIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH LIMITED SHEAR...LLVL
TEMP INVERSION AROUND 8H...AND FAVORABLE WIND DIRECTION (330-350)
SHOULD ENHANCE LAKE CHAMPLAIN EFFECT SNOW. THE 12Z WS-ETA SHOWS THIS
NICELY AND WL TRY TO INCREASE POPS/QPF ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. FEEL
LOCATIONS ALONG THE LAKE SHORE FROM DOWNTOWN BURLINGTON TO
SHELBURNE TO VERGENNES COULD SEE LOCALIZED SNOW AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1
AND 3 INCHES. OTHERWISE...UPSLOPE FLW COMBINED WITH SOME 1000-850MB
RH TO PRODUCE SOME SNOW ACRS THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS.
THE DEPTH OF MOISTURE AND LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE FAVORABLE SNOW
GROWTH AREA WL LEAD TO MINIMAL ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. WL MENTION 1
TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN FRANKLIN...CHITTENDEN...AND ORLEANS
COUNTY. THE NEXT BIG QUESTION WL BE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF CLOUDS ON
TEMPS HERE AT BTV. WL SPLIT THE MACHINE NUMBERS AND FCST LOW AROUND
7F BUT TREND TOWARD COOLER GUIDANCE NUMBERS FOR MSS/SLK. UPSTREAM
LOWS BTWN -5 AND -15F AND CRNT DWPTS SUPPORT LOWS WELL BELOW ZERO.
THINKING FOR SLK IS -10F AND -8F OR SO FOR MSS.

TUESDAY-WEDS...MID/UPPER LVL TROF SHIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO FA. WL MENTION MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES...EXCEPT FOR A FEW CLOUDS ACRS THE MTNS ZNS.
OTHERWISE...PROGGED 8H TEMPS BTWN -16 AND -18C SUPPORT HIGHS ONLY IN
THE TEENS MOST LOCATIONS. SOME WARMER TEMPS WL BE POSSIBLE WEDS.

THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT...SFC HIGH SHIFTS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
AND MID/UPPER LVL MOISTURE ADVECTS TOWARD OUR FA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM. MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH POSITION/STRENGTH OF MID/UPPER LVL SYSTEM ACRS THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES AND ASSOCIATED SECONDARY COASTAL DEVELOPMENT NEAR
HATTERAS BY 00Z FRIDAY. GIVEN AMOUNT OF SHORT WAVE RIDGING AHEAD OF
SYSTEM AND DEVELOPING LLVL SE FLW...THIS SYSTEM WL HAVE PLENTY OF
ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. WL INCREASE CLOUDS AND MENTION CHC
POPS FOR THURS NIGHT WITH HIGHEST PERCENTAGE ACRS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. OTHERWISE...PROGGED 85H TEMPS NEAR -10C SUPPORT HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
MOST SIGNIFICANT WX EVENT DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE EVENT
WHICH IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT REGION ON FRIDAY. LARGE CUTOFF LOW MOVES
SLOWLY EAST ACRS CNTRL GRTLKS ON FRIDAY...WHILE SECONDARY SFC LOW
PROJECTED TO MOVE FROM SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING INTO
MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. PLENTY OF COLD AIR IN PLACE AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOW TO RETREAT SO IT IS SHAPING UP AS A PRIMARILY SNOW EVENT. A
PERIOD OF STG WAA ALOFT COUPLED WITH GOOD FORCING/LIFT AND AMPLE
MSTR ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A POTENTAILLY SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL.
POTENTIAL DRY SLOT MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS SYSTEM EXITS NEW ENGLAND. WE REMAIN UNDER INFLUENCE
OF UPPER LOW DURING THE WEEEKEND AS IT GRADUALLY LIFTS NORTH ACRS
QUE. SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LOW...WITH LLVL
FLOW OCNLY FAVORABLE FOR LES SNOW OFF ONTARIO. EXPECT CHC OF SNOW
SHWRS...WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUM PSBL...MAINLY OVER ADRNDKS AND
HIR TRRN OF NRN VT.

AVIATION...
PREVAILING CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR THRU 00Z WITH SNOW SHWRS
CONTINUING AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT KMSS. DRIER AIR WILL GRADUALLY
RESULT IN IMPROVING CONDITIONS AFT 00Z WITH CONDITIONS GRDLY BCMNG
VFR AS SNOW SHWRS END AND CLDS DISSIPATE. EXCEPTION WILL BE IN VCNTY
OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN WHERE THERE WILL BE OCNL MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW
SHWRS. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VSBY LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY.


HYDROLOGY...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS ACRS THE HIGHER VALLEY LOCATIONS WELL BELOW
ZERO. THIS COLD SPELL WL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP RIVER ICE ON
MANY OF THE LOCAL WATERWAYS. THIS ICE DEVELOPMENT COULD PRODUCE
SEVERAL FREEZE UP JAMS ON LOCAL STREAMS AND RIVERS WITH THE
POTENTIAL OF RAPID RISES IN LVLS NEAR THE FREEZE UP JAMS.
HOWEVER...RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD STAY WITHIN THEIR BANKS...IF
THESE FREEZE UP JAMS OCCUR. IN ADDITION...STAY OFF THE ICE AS
TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT BEEN COLD ENOUGH FOR A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD OF
TIME TO DEVELOP ICE THICK ENOUGH TO HOLD A PERSON.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EVENSON








FXUS61 KBTV 122135
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
435 PM EST MON DEC 12 2005

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
SENT QUICK UPDATE TO THE FORECAST TO ADD A THROUGH THIS EVENING
PERIOD FOR PORTIONS OF THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. STEADY LIGHT SNOW
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 700 PM OVER THE AREA UNTIL
PRECIPITATION BECOMES MORE DOMINATED BY LAKE EFFECT PROCESSES.
WILL MENTION LIGHT SNOW WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS.
REMAINDER OF FORECAST IN REAL GOOD SHAPE AND NO OTHER CHANGES
NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 300 PM EST MON DEC 12 2005)

SYNOPSIS...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS TO DEEPEN ACRS NE CONUS AS SEVERAL EMBEDDED
5H VORTS ROUNDING TROF BASE. PLENTY OF COLD DRY AIR NOTED ACRS
SOUTHERN CANADA THIS AFTN ADVECTING TOWARD NNY/VERMONT. VIS SAT PIC
SHOWS BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS NOW ACRS SLV WITH SOME CLRING DEVELOPING
ACRS THE NORTHERN CPV. TEMPS CONT TO FALL THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH
MSS AT 11 AND BTV AT 18. THESE COLD TEMPS COMBINED WITH NORTH WINDS
OF 10 TO 20 MPH HAVE CREATED WIND CHILL READINGS BELOW ZERO.
OTHERWISE...AS WINDS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY THIS
AFTN...EXPECT PRECIP ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS TO
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY. SFC ANALYSIS PLACES SECONDARY
ARCTIC FRNT ACRS SOUTHERN VT ATTM WITH RADAR/SFC OBS SHOWING THE
FRNT NEAR LEB TO TIC LINE.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS ACRS NE CONUS WITH LLVL CAA. PROGGED 85H
TEMPS DROP TO -18C...WHICH CREATES MODERATE TO HIGH LAKE INSTABILITY
OFF OF CHAMPLAIN TONIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH LIMITED SHEAR...LLVL
TEMP INVERSION AROUND 8H...AND FAVORABLE WIND DIRECTION (330-350)
SHOULD ENHANCE LAKE CHAMPLAIN EFFECT SNOW. THE 12Z WS-ETA SHOWS THIS
NICELY AND WL TRY TO INCREASE POPS/QPF ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. FEEL
LOCATIONS ALONG THE LAKE SHORE FROM DOWNTOWN BURLINGTON TO
SHELBURNE TO VERGENNES COULD SEE LOCALIZED SNOW AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1
AND 3 INCHES. OTHERWISE...UPSLOPE FLW COMBINED WITH SOME 1000-850MB
RH TO PRODUCE SOME SNOW ACRS THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS.
THE DEPTH OF MOISTURE AND LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE FAVORABLE SNOW
GROWTH AREA WL LEAD TO MINIMAL ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. WL MENTION 1
TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN FRANKLIN...CHITTENDEN...AND ORLEANS
COUNTY. THE NEXT BIG QUESTION WL BE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF CLOUDS ON
TEMPS HERE AT BTV. WL SPLIT THE MACHINE NUMBERS AND FCST LOW AROUND
7F BUT TREND TOWARD COOLER GUIDANCE NUMBERS FOR MSS/SLK. UPSTREAM
LOWS BTWN -5 AND -15F AND CRNT DWPTS SUPPORT LOWS WELL BELOW ZERO.
THINKING FOR SLK IS -10F AND -8F OR SO FOR MSS.

TUESDAY-WEDS...MID/UPPER LVL TROF SHIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO FA. WL MENTION MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES...EXCEPT FOR A FEW CLOUDS ACRS THE MTNS ZNS.
OTHERWISE...PROGGED 8H TEMPS BTWN -16 AND -18C SUPPORT HIGHS ONLY IN
THE TEENS MOST LOCATIONS. SOME WARMER TEMPS WL BE POSSIBLE WEDS.

THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT...SFC HIGH SHIFTS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
AND MID/UPPER LVL MOISTURE ADVECTS TOWARD OUR FA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM. MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH POSITION/STRENGTH OF MID/UPPER LVL SYSTEM ACRS THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES AND ASSOCIATED SECONDARY COASTAL DEVELOPMENT NEAR
HATTERAS BY 00Z FRIDAY. GIVEN AMOUNT OF SHORT WAVE RIDGING AHEAD OF
SYSTEM AND DEVELOPING LLVL SE FLW...THIS SYSTEM WL HAVE PLENTY OF
ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. WL INCREASE CLOUDS AND MENTION CHC
POPS FOR THURS NIGHT WITH HIGHEST PERCENTAGE ACRS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. OTHERWISE...PROGGED 85H TEMPS NEAR -10C SUPPORT HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
MOST SIGNIFICANT WX EVENT DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE EVENT
WHICH IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT REGION ON FRIDAY. LARGE CUTOFF LOW MOVES
SLOWLY EAST ACRS CNTRL GRTLKS ON FRIDAY...WHILE SECONDARY SFC LOW
PROJECTED TO MOVE FROM SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING INTO
MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. PLENTY OF COLD AIR IN PLACE AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOW TO RETREAT SO IT IS SHAPING UP AS A PRIMARILY SNOW EVENT. A
PERIOD OF STG WAA ALOFT COUPLED WITH GOOD FORCING/LIFT AND AMPLE
MSTR ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A POTENTAILLY SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL.
POTENTIAL DRY SLOT MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS SYSTEM EXITS NEW ENGLAND. WE REMAIN UNDER INFLUENCE
OF UPPER LOW DURING THE WEEEKEND AS IT GRADUALLY LIFTS NORTH ACRS
QUE. SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LOW...WITH LLVL
FLOW OCNLY FAVORABLE FOR LES SNOW OFF ONTARIO. EXPECT CHC OF SNOW
SHWRS...WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUM PSBL...MAINLY OVER ADRNDKS AND
HIR TRRN OF NRN VT.

AVIATION...
PREVAILING CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR THRU 00Z WITH SNOW SHWRS
CONTINUING AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT KMSS. DRIER AIR WILL GRADUALLY
RESULT IN IMPROVING CONDITIONS AFT 00Z WITH CONDITIONS GRDLY BCMNG
VFR AS SNOW SHWRS END AND CLDS DISSIPATE. EXCEPTION WILL BE IN VCNTY
OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN WHERE THERE WILL BE OCNL MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW
SHWRS. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VSBY LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY.


HYDROLOGY...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS ACRS THE HIGHER VALLEY LOCATIONS WELL BELOW
ZERO. THIS COLD SPELL WL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP RIVER ICE ON
MANY OF THE LOCAL WATERWAYS. THIS ICE DEVELOPMENT COULD PRODUCE
SEVERAL FREEZE UP JAMS ON LOCAL STREAMS AND RIVERS WITH THE
POTENTIAL OF RAPID RISES IN LVLS NEAR THE FREEZE UP JAMS.
HOWEVER...RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD STAY WITHIN THEIR BANKS...IF
THESE FREEZE UP JAMS OCCUR. IN ADDITION...STAY OFF THE ICE AS
TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT BEEN COLD ENOUGH FOR A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD OF
TIME TO DEVELOP ICE THICK ENOUGH TO HOLD A PERSON.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EVENSON








FXUS61 KBTV 121958 RRA
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EST MON DEC 12 2005

FCST CHALLENGE IS COLD TEMPS AND POTENTIAL FOR UPSLOPE/LAKE
CHAMPLAIN EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS TO DEEPEN ACRS NE CONUS AS SEVERAL EMBEDDED
5H VORTS ROUNDING TROF BASE. PLENTY OF COLD DRY AIR NOTED ACRS
SOUTHERN CANADA THIS AFTN ADVECTING TOWARD NNY/VERMONT. VIS SAT PIC
SHOWS BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS NOW ACRS SLV WITH SOME CLRING DEVELOPING
ACRS THE NORTHERN CPV. TEMPS CONT TO FALL THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH
MSS AT 11 AND BTV AT 18. THESE COLD TEMPS COMBINED WITH NORTH WINDS
OF 10 TO 20 MPH HAVE CREATED WIND CHILL READINGS BELOW ZERO.
OTHERWISE...AS WINDS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY THIS
AFTN...EXPECT PRECIP ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS TO
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY. SFC ANALYSIS PLACES SECONDARY
ARCTIC FRNT ACRS SOUTHERN VT ATTM WITH RADAR/SFC OBS SHOWING THE
FRNT NEAR LEB TO TIC LINE.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS ACRS NE CONUS WITH LLVL CAA. PROGGED 85H
TEMPS DROP TO -18C...WHICH CREATES MODERATE TO HIGH LAKE INSTABILITY
OFF OF CHAMPLAIN TONIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH LIMITED SHEAR...LLVL
TEMP INVERSION AROUND 8H...AND FAVORABLE WIND DIRECTION (330-350)
SHOULD ENHANCE LAKE CHAMPLAIN EFFECT SNOW. THE 12Z WS-ETA SHOWS THIS
NICELY AND WL TRY TO INCREASE POPS/QPF ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. FEEL
LOCATIONS ALONG THE LAKE SHORE FROM DOWNTOWN BURLINGTON TO
SHELBURNE TO VERGENNES COULD SEE LOCALIZED SNOW AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1
AND 3 INCHES. OTHERWISE...UPSLOPE FLW COMBINED WITH SOME 1000-850MB
RH TO PRODUCE SOME SNOW ACRS THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS.
THE DEPTH OF MOISTURE AND LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE FAVORABLE SNOW
GROWTH AREA WL LEAD TO MINIMAL ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. WL MENTION 1
TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN FRANKLIN...CHITTENDEN...AND ORLEANS
COUNTY. THE NEXT BIG QUESTION WL BE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF CLOUDS ON
TEMPS HERE AT BTV. WL SPLIT THE MACHINE NUMBERS AND FCST LOW AROUND
7F BUT TREND TOWARD COOLER GUIDANCE NUMBERS FOR MSS/SLK. UPSTREAM
LOWS BTWN -5 AND -15F AND CRNT DWPTS SUPPORT LOWS WELL BELOW ZERO.
THINKING FOR SLK IS -10F AND -8F OR SO FOR MSS.

TUESDAY-WEDS...MID/UPPER LVL TROF SHIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO FA. WL MENTION MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES...EXCEPT FOR A FEW CLOUDS ACRS THE MTNS ZNS.
OTHERWISE...PROGGED 8H TEMPS BTWN -16 AND -18C SUPPORT HIGHS ONLY IN
THE TEENS MOST LOCATIONS. SOME WARMER TEMPS WL BE POSSIBLE WEDS.

THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT...SFC HIGH SHIFTS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
AND MID/UPPER LVL MOISTURE ADVECTS TOWARD OUR FA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM. MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH POSITION/STRENGTH OF MID/UPPER LVL SYSTEM ACRS THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES AND ASSOCIATED SECONDARY COASTAL DEVELOPMENT NEAR
HATTERAS BY 00Z FRIDAY. GIVEN AMOUNT OF SHORT WAVE RIDGING AHEAD OF
SYSTEM AND DEVELOPING LLVL SE FLW...THIS SYSTEM WL HAVE PLENTY OF
ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. WL INCREASE CLOUDS AND MENTION CHC
POPS FOR THURS NIGHT WITH HIGHEST PERCENTAGE ACRS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. OTHERWISE...PROGGED 85H TEMPS NEAR -10C SUPPORT HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
MOST SIGNIFICANT WX EVENT DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE EVENT
WHICH IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT REGION ON FRIDAY. LARGE CUTOFF LOW MOVES
SLOWLY EAST ACRS CNTRL GRTLKS ON FRIDAY...WHILE SECONDARY SFC LOW
PROJECTED TO MOVE FROM SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING INTO
MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. PLENTY OF COLD AIR IN PLACE AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOW TO RETREAT SO IT IS SHAPING UP AS A PRIMARILY SNOW EVENT. A
PERIOD OF STG WAA ALOFT COUPLED WITH GOOD FORCING/LIFT AND AMPLE
MSTR ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A POTENTAILLY SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL.
POTENTIAL DRY SLOT MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS SYSTEM EXITS NEW ENGLAND. WE REMAIN UNDER INFLUENCE
OF UPPER LOW DURING THE WEEEKEND AS IT GRADUALLY LIFTS NORTH ACRS
QUE. SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LOW...WITH LLVL
FLOW OCNLY FAVORABLE FOR LES SNOW OFF ONTARIO. EXPECT CHC OF SNOW
SHWRS...WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUM PSBL...MAINLY OVER ADRNDKS AND
HIR TRRN OF NRN VT.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR THRU 00Z WITH SNOW SHWRS
CONTINUING AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT KMSS. DRIER AIR WILL GRADUALLY
RESULT IN IMPROVING CONDITIONS AFT 00Z WITH CONDITIONS GRDLY BCMNG
VFR AS SNOW SHWRS END AND CLDS DISSIPATE. EXCEPTION WILL BE IN VCNTY
OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN WHERE THERE WILL BE OCNL MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW
SHWRS. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VSBY LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS ACRS THE HIGHER VALLEY LOCATIONS WELL BELOW
ZERO. THIS COLD SPELL WL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP RIVER ICE ON
MANY OF THE LOCAL WATERWAYS. THIS ICE DEVELOPMENT COULD PRODUCE
SEVERAL FREEZE UP JAMS ON LOCAL STREAMS AND RIVERS WITH THE
POTENTIAL OF RAPID RISES IN LVLS NEAR THE FREEZE UP JAMS.
HOWEVER...RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD STAY WITHIN THEIR BANKS...IF
THESE FREEZE UP JAMS OCCUR. IN ADDITION...STAY OFF THE ICE AS
TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT BEEN COLD ENOUGH FOR A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD OF
TIME TO DEVELOP ICE THICK ENOUGH TO HOLD A PERSON.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...TABER
SHORT TERM...TABER
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS
HYDROLOGY...TABER










FXUS61 KBTV 121958
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EST MON DEC 12 2005

FCST CHALLENGE IS COLD TEMPS AND POTENTIAL FOR UPSLOPE/LAKE
CHAMPLAIN EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS TO DEEPEN ACRS NE CONUS AS SEVERAL EMBEDDED
5H VORTS ROUNDING TROF BASE. PLENTY OF COLD DRY AIR NOTED ACRS
SOUTHERN CANADA THIS AFTN ADVECTING TOWARD NNY/VERMONT. VIS SAT PIC
SHOWS BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS NOW ACRS SLV WITH SOME CLRING DEVELOPING
ACRS THE NORTHERN CPV. TEMPS CONT TO FALL THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH
MSS AT 11 AND BTV AT 18. THESE COLD TEMPS COMBINED WITH NORTH WINDS
OF
10 TO 20 MPH HAVE CREATED WIND CHILL READINGS BELOW ZERO.
OTHERWISE...AS WINDS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY THIS
AFTN...EXPECT PRECIP ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS TO
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY. SFC ANALYSIS PLACES SECONDARY
ARCTIC FRNT ACRS SOUTHERN VT ATTM WITH RADAR/SFC OBS SHOWING THE
FRNT NEAR LEB TO TIC LINE.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS ACRS NE CONUS WITH LLVL CAA. PROGGED 85H
TEMPS DROP TO -18C...WHICH CREATES MODERATE TO HIGH LAKE INSTABILITY
OFF OF CHAMPLAIN TONIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH LIMITED SHEAR...LLVL
TEMP INVERSION AROUND 8H...AND FAVORABLE WIND DIRECTION (330-350)
SHOULD ENHANCE LAKE CHAMPLAIN EFFECT SNOW. THE 12Z WS-ETA SHOWS THIS
NICELY AND WL TRY TO INCREASE POPS/QPF ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. FEEL
LOCATIONS ALONG THE LAKE SHORE FROM DOWNTOWN BURLINGTON TO
SHELBURNE TO VERGENNES COULD SEE LOCALIZED SNOW AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1
AND 3 INCHES. OTHERWISE...UPSLOPE FLW COMBINED WITH SOME 1000-850MB
RH TO PRODUCE SOME SNOW ACRS THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS.
THE DEPTH OF MOISTURE AND LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE FAVORABLE SNOW
GROWTH AREA WL LEAD TO MINIMAL ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. WL MENTION 1
TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN FRANKLIN...CHITTENDEN...AND ORLEANS
COUNTY. THE NEXT BIG QUESTION WL BE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF CLOUDS ON
TEMPS HERE AT BTV. WL SPLIT THE MACHINE NUMBERS AND FCST LOW AROUND
7F BUT TREND TOWARD COOLER GUIDANCE NUMBERS FOR MSS/SLK. UPSTREAM
LOWS BTWN -5 AND -15F AND CRNT DWPTS SUPPORT LOWS WELL BELOW ZERO.
THINKING FOR SLK IS -10F AND -8F OR SO FOR MSS.

TUESDAY-WEDS...MID/UPPER LVL TROF SHIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO FA. WL MENTION MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES...EXCEPT FOR A FEW CLOUDS ACRS THE MTNS ZNS.
OTHERWISE...PROGGED 8H TEMPS BTWN -16 AND -18C SUPPORT HIGHS ONLY IN
THE TEENS MOST LOCATIONS. SOME WARMER TEMPS WL BE POSSIBLE WEDS.

THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT...SFC HIGH SHIFTS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
AND MID/UPPER LVL MOISTURE ADVECTS TOWARD OUR FA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM. MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH POSITION/STRENGTH OF MID/UPPER LVL SYSTEM ACRS THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES AND ASSOCIATED SECONDARY COASTAL DEVELOPMENT NEAR
HATTERAS BY 00Z FRIDAY. GIVEN AMOUNT OF SHORT WAVE RIDGING AHEAD OF
SYSTEM AND DEVELOPING LLVL SE FLW...THIS SYSTEM WL HAVE PLENTY OF
ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. WL INCREASE CLOUDS AND MENTION CHC
POPS FOR THURS NIGHT WITH HIGHEST PERCENTAGE ACRS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. OTHERWISE...PROGGED 85H TEMPS NEAR -10C SUPPORT HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
MOST SIGNIFICANT WX EVENT DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE EVENT
WHICH IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT REGION ON FRIDAY. LARGE CUTOFF LOW MOVES
SLOWLY EAST ACRS CNTRL GRTLKS ON FRIDAY...WHILE SECONDARY SFC LOW
PROJECTED TO MOVE FROM SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING INTO
MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. PLENTY OF COLD AIR IN PLACE AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOW TO RETREAT SO IT IS SHAPING UP AS A PRIMARILY SNOW EVENT. A
PERIOD OF STG WAA ALOFT COUPLED WITH GOOD FORCING/LIFT AND AMPLE
MSTR ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A POTENTAILLY SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL.
POTENTIAL DRY SLOT MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS SYSTEM EXITS NEW ENGLAND. WE REMAIN UNDER INFLUENCE
OF UPPER LOW DURING THE WEEEKEND AS IT GRADUALLY LIFTS NORTH ACRS
QUE. SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LOW...WITH LLVL
FLOW OCNLY FAVORABLE FOR LES SNOW OFF ONTARIO. EXPECT CHC OF SNOW
SHWRS...WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUM PSBL...MAINLY OVER ADRNDKS AND
HIR TRRN OF NRN VT.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR THRU 00Z WITH SNOW SHWRS
CONTINUING AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT KMSS. DRIER AIR WILL GRADUALLY
RESULT IN IMPROVING CONDITIONS AFT 00Z WITH CONDITIONS GRDLY BCMNG
VFR AS SNOW SHWRS END AND CLDS DISSIPATE. EXCEPTION WILL BE IN VCNTY
OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN WHERE THERE WILL BE OCNL MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW
SHWRS. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VSBY LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS ACRS THE HIGHER VALLEY LOCATIONS WELL BELOW
ZERO. THIS COLD SPELL WL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP RIVER ICE ON
MANY OF THE LOCAL WATERWAYS. THIS ICE DEVELOPMENT COULD PRODUCE
SEVERAL FREEZE UP JAMS ON LOCAL STREAMS AND RIVERS WITH THE
POTENTIAL OF RAPID RISES IN LVLS NEAR THE FREEZE UP JAMS.
HOWEVER...RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD STAY WITHIN THEIR BANKS...IF
THESE FREEZE UP JAMS OCCUR. IN ADDITION...STAY OFF THE ICE AS
TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT BEEN COLD ENOUGH FOR A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD OF
TIME TO DEVELOP ICE THICK ENOUGH TO HOLD A PERSON.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...TABER
SHORT TERM...TABER
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS
HYDROLOGY...TABER








   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://www.weather.gov/inlr.php
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

                                   Not Found

   The requested URL /text/obs/roundup/ASUS51.KBTV was not found on this
   server.
     _________________________________________________________________


    Apache/2.0.46 (Red Hat) Server at [1]twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu Port
    80

References

   1. mailto:root@localhost

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April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
December 2008, Week 4
December 2008, Week 3
December 2008, Week 2
December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
March 2006, Week 2
March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
February 2006, Week 3
February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
December 2005, Week 4
December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
November 2005, Week 5
November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
December 2004, Week 1
November 2004, Week 5
November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
March 2004, Week 5
March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
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November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
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October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
October 2003, Week 1
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June 2003, Week 1
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May 2003, Week 1
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April 2003, Week 3
April 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 3
March 2003, Week 2
March 2003, Week 1
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February 2003, Week 3
February 2003, Week 2
February 2003, Week 1
January 2003, Week 5
January 2003, Week 4
January 2003, Week 3
January 2003, Week 2
January 2003, Week 1
December 2002, Week 5
December 2002, Week 4
December 2002, Week 3
December 2002, Week 2
December 2002, Week 1
November 2002, Week 5
November 2002, Week 4
November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
October 2002, Week 5
October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
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August 2002, Week 3
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June 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
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November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
October 2001, Week 4
October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
September 2001, Week 5
September 2001, Week 4
September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
August 2001, Week 5
August 2001, Week 4
August 2001, Week 3
August 2001, Week 2
August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
June 2001, Week 5
June 2001, Week 4
June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
January 2001, Week 4
January 2001, Week 3
January 2001, Week 2
January 2001, Week 1
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October 2000, Week 3
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October 2000, Week 1
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August 2000, Week 3
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July 2000, Week 3
July 2000, Week 2
July 2000, Week 1
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June 2000, Week 4
June 2000, Week 3
June 2000, Week 2
June 2000, Week 1
May 2000, Week 5
May 2000, Week 4
May 2000, Week 3
May 2000, Week 2
May 2000, Week 1
April 2000, Week 5
April 2000, Week 4
April 2000, Week 3
April 2000, Week 2
April 2000, Week 1
March 2000, Week 5
March 2000, Week 4
March 2000, Week 3
March 2000, Week 2
March 2000, Week 1
February 2000, Week 5
February 2000, Week 4
February 2000, Week 3
February 2000, Week 2
February 2000, Week 1
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January 2000, Week 3
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December 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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