Expires:201212192115;;730087
FPUS51 KBTV 191135
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
635 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

VTZ006-192115-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
635 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012
.TODAY...CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY THIS
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLEET.
NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN OR SNOW. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
$$

Expires:201212191200;;729755
ASUS41 KBTV 191130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-191200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  34  31  88 NE3       29.64R                  
MONTPELIER     FLURRIES  32  31  96 NW8       29.61R                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  33  31  92 CALM      29.62R FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     32  32 100 MISG      29.56R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FLURRIES  33  30  88 W12       29.57R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    34  32  93 NW5       29.61R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    36  29  75 NW3       29.57R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    32  31  96 CALM      29.65R                  
NEWPORT*       LGT SNOW  35  31  85 NW3       29.60R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    36  32  85 SW7       29.61R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     30 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     32 N/A N/A W6          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
DANBY 4 CNRS*    N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A W7          N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     36  34  93 N6          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     36  34  93 NE12        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     37  32  81 N14         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;730198
FXUS61 KBTV 191144
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
644 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
LINGERING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF 
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING WITH ANY ADDITIONAL MINOR ACCUMULATIONS 
CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. A SHORT PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER IS 
EXPECTED BY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MAKES A BRIEF 
VISIT TO THE REGION. BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND NEXT WEEKEND 
DEEP LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING INTO THE REGION WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN 
AND MIXED PRECIPITATION. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE 
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH THIS SYSTEM.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 404 AM EST WEDNESDAY...FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK TODAY AS
SHEARING UPPER TROUGH TRANSLATES ENERGY FURTHER OFFSHORE AND IS
GRADUALLY REPLACED BY SHORTWAVE UPPER RIDGING BY THIS EVENING. IN
THE MEANTIME...SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON...THOUGH
BECOMING MORE AND MORE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OVER
TIME AS MODEST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DEEPENS. FAVORED LOCALES ABOVE
1500 FEET COULD SEE AN ADDITIONAL WET ACCUMULATION OF A DUSTING TO
PERHAPS 2 INCHES OF SNOW UNDER MORE PERSISTENT ACTIVITY...WITH
NEGLIGIBLE AMOUNTS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. HIGHS FAIRLY UNIFORM UNDER
VERY WEAK TO NEARLY NEUTRAL LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION AND GENERALLY
IN THE 33 TO 40 RANGE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 404 AM EST WEDNESDAY...ANY LINGERING EVENING NORTHERN
MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES TO END OVERNIGHT AS AFOREMENTIONED
SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION. FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL
BE THE DEGREE OF LINGERING RH IN THE 925 MB LAYER WITH LATEST
PROGS SUGGESTING A RATHER CLOUDY NIGHT DESPITE BROAD SUBSIDENCE
ALOFT. LEANED TOWARD THE MILDER END OF AVBL BIAS-CORRECTED
TEMPERATURE DATA HOLDING LOW TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE MID TO
UPPER 20S EAST...AND AROUND 20 WEST WHERE SOME PARTIAL CLEARING IS
POSSIBLE LATE.
BY THURSDAY AT LEAST SOME PARTIAL SUN IS EXPECTED IN THE MORNING AS 
RIDGING EXITS FAIRLY QUICKLY EAST BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND 
NORTHERLY FLOW TRENDS EASTERLY OVER TIME. HIGHS TO REMAIN 
SEASONABLY MILD GENERALLY IN THE 35 TO 40 RANGE. THE DIRECTIONAL 
WIND CHANGES BY LATER IN THE DAY WILL HERALD THE APPROACH OF THE 
NEXT STORM SYSTEM IN OUR CURRENT ACTIVE PATTERN WITH A BROAD 
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUD COVER TOWARD DAY'S END. THIS SYSTEM LIKELY TO 
BE THE MOST ENERGETIC OF OUR RECENT STRING OF STORMS...WITH THIS 
MORNING'S GUIDANCE CONTINUING TO SUGGEST INCREASING PROBABILITES OF 
OF A DOWNSLOPE HIGH WIND THREAT BY LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE 
FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY. MODELS IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT IN REGARD TO 
PCPN ARRIVAL/TIMING LATER THURSDAY NIGHT...AND ALSO SUGGEST AT 
LEAST SOME MIXED PTYPE ISSUES IN THE FIRST FEW HOURS AFTER PCPN 
ONSET ACROSS THE ERN DACKS/ERN VT SO WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS IDEA.
WITH THE STRENGHTENING SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...TEMPERATURES 
WILL REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY RISE HOWEVER...SO AS BOUNDARY LAYER 
WARMS BY LATER AT NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING PCPN SHOULD TRANSITION 
TO ALL RAIN FOR MOST OF THE REGION...TAKING ON THE CLASSIC 
UPSLOPE/DOWNSLOPE SHADOWING SIGNATURE WE OFTEN SEE DURING SUCH 
STRONGER WIND EPISODES. SPEAKING OF THOSE WINDS...HAVE BEGUN THE 
TREND UPWARD IN REGARD TO SPEED AND GUSTINESS ALONG OUR WESTERN 
GREEN MTN SLOPES...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT ACROSS THE WRN DACKS AND 
NRN CT RVR VALLEY IN FAR NERN VT...SUGGESTING GUSTS TO AT LEAST 40 
MPH POSSIBLE. PROBLEMATIC AS ALWAYS IN FORECASTING THESE WINDS WILL 
BE THE DEPTH OF THE PBL AND DEGREE TO WHICH STRONGEST LLJ CORE IS 
EMBEDDED WITHIN STABILIZING HEAVIER FRONTAL RAIN BANDS. NONETHELESS 
WITH MEAN FLOW FROM 120-140 DEG AND LAYER 925-850 MB ISOTACHS IN THE 
50 TO 65 KT RANGE FROM 06-18Z FRIDAY THIS IS CERTAINLY SOMETHING 
WE'LL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON. IN REGARD TO HIGHS...READINGS AGAIN 
REMAINING MILD AND MAINLY UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S FOR MOST SPOTS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 307 AM EST WEDNESDAY...ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THE
WEEKEND AS CLOSED LOW AFFECTS THE EAST COAST. THIS STACKED LOW
WILL BE NEAR THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW BRINGING WARM AIR NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY. WHILE PRECIP MAY HAVE BEGAN AS SNOW...THIS SURGE OF WARM
AIR WILL HAVE RAIN MIX WITH SNOW IN THE VALLEYS FRIDAY
NIGHT...BEFORE THE LOW MOVES EASTWARD...SHIFTING FLOW FROM THE
NORTH AND NORTHWEST...AND BRINGING A RETURN TO COLDER AIR. MIN
TEMPS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S. SATURDAY WILL BE
COOLER THAN FRIDAY...WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE U20S-M30S.
THE LOW WILL BE SLOW TO MAKE ITS WAY TO THE ATLANTIC...KEEPING
THE NORTH COUNTRY IN NW FLOW...AND CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS FOR
THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. THIS NW FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN
COLDER AIR AS WELL. SATURDAY NIGHT TEMPS WILL BE NOTICEABLY
COOLER IN THE TEENS AND L20S. THIS GENERAL COOLING TREND WILL
CONTINUE WITH MINS IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS AND MAX TEMPS
IN THE 20S.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AT THE SFC MONDAY INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...PROVIDING DRY CONDITIONS AND PARTLY SUNNY SKIES BEFORE
THE NEXT STORM. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM APPROACHING EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT DIFFER ON TRACK AND
EVOLUTION OF THIS LOW. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS STORM.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...SHOWERY ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SNOW
AND RAIN ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...RESULTING IN IFR AND MVFR
CONDITIONS...WITH KMSS EXPERIENCING LIFR CIGS. SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE...BUT LOW VFR/MVFR CLOUDS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
WINDS WILL PICK UP LATE THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS OF
15-2OKTS...SUBSIDING IN THE EARLY EVENING TO LGT TO CALM
CONDITIONS.
OUTLOOK 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...WEAK SFC HIGH PRES WL RESULT IN
CLEARING SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS.
06Z FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A WINTRY MIX EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT
SYSTEM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...CHANGING TO ALL RAIN...THEN
BACK TO SNOW BY FRIDAY EVENING...WITH PROLONG PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR
CIGS/VIS LIKELY. LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
IN NW FLOW. IN ADDITION...A DEVELOPING LLVL JET AT 85H OF 60 TO
70 KNTS WL INCREASE THE THREAT OF LLVL WS ON FRIDAY MORNING...AND
WL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SFC WIND GUSTS BTWN 35 AND 45
KTS AT RUT.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...KGM

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