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SKIVT-L  February 2013, Week 4

SKIVT-L February 2013, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 27 Feb 2013 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (206 lines)

Expires:201302272115;;755941
FPUS51 KBTV 271129
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
629 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013

VTZ006-272115-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
629 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...
.TODAY...SNOW. RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO
2 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
30 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO
2 INCHES POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
$$

Expires:201302271200;;755969
ASUS41 KBTV 271130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-271200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    35  26  69 SE7       29.96F                  
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  30  27  86 S6        30.02F FOG              
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    33  25  72 CALM      30.01F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     30  27  88 MISG      30.01F                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A     32  21  64 E8        30.00F                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    32  28  86 SE12G21   29.92F                  
SPRINGFIELD    LGT SNOW  32  28  86 VRB5      30.01F FOG              
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    34  24  64 SE8       29.97F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      31  22  71 SE7       30.01F                  
BENNINGTON     FLURRIES  36  28  73 E21G36    29.83F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     30 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     30 N/A N/A E13         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
DANBY 4 CNRS*    N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     21 N/A N/A E43         N/A  WCI   0          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     36  32  87 SE6         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     34  30  86 SW6         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;756171
FXUS61 KBTV 271134
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
634 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL AFFECT THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS A SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED UPPER
LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVE INTO THE NORTHEAST TODAY. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A DUSTING TO SEVERAL SLUSHY INCHES
ACROSS THE VALLEYS AND BETWEEN 4 AND 10 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN
ADIRONDACKS AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. IN
ADDITION...GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
WESTERN SLOPES AND EXPOSED HIGHER TERRAIN. PERIODS OF RAIN AND
SNOW WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE...WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 20S IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND 30S TO NEAR 40 IN THE VALLEYS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 634 AM EST WEDNESDAY...BAND OF HEAVY SNOW GRADUALLY
DISSIPATING AS IT CONTINUES NORTH IN THE CPV AND SLV. WITH ITS
WEAKENING STATURE...ANY PRECIP THAT DOES FALL HAS BEEN TOO LIGHT
TO COOL TEMPS IN THE SLV FOR LONG. SO WHAT BEGAN AS SNOW HAS
CHANGED TO LGT RAIN. SIMILAR TRENDS WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE
VALLEYS THIS MORNING. OVERALL LGT REFLECTIVITIES HAVE MOVES
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AND PRECIP IS GENERALLY LGT.
PREVIOUS DISC FOLLOWS...BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MOVING NORTHWARD
INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY AT THIS TIME. OBS UPSTREAM HAVE THIS BAND
REDUCING VSBYS TO LESS THAN 1SM...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER
HOUR AND SNOWFALL RPTS OF 2+ INCHES. ALSO ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS
HAVE GENERALLY DROPPED TO BELOW FREEZING DUE TO INTENSE
SF...DIABATIC COOLING. NAM SHOWING FGEN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BAND
WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AROUND 18Z. THIS BAND
OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW COULD EASILY LAY DOWN 1-3 INCHES IN
AREAS BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA.
BEHIND THE BAND...MODELS SHOW BEST ISENTROPIC LIFT SOUTH AND EAST
OF THE AREA...BUT NORTH COUNTRY WILL STILL SEE SOME ISENTROPIC
LIFT INTO THE AFTN...BEFORE WEAKENING AND SLIDING EAST OF THE FA
THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.
OVERALL MODEL GUIDANCE AND FCST HAS HELD SOME CONSISTENCY TO
PREVIOUS FCST...THEREFORE HAVE NOT CHANGED ANY HEADLINES AT THIS
TIME. HEAVIEST QPF AMNTS WILL BE TO OUR SOUTH WHICH LINES UP WITH
BEST 700-500MB QVECTOR CONVERGENCE...850MB FGEN AND DEFORMATION
ZONE. NAM/GFS AND LOCAL HIRES MODELS SHOW ENHANCED QPF AMNTS DUE
TO UPSLOPE IN SE FLOW AND SHADOWING ON WESTERN SLOPES. HAVE
AROUND AN INCH OF QPF HIGHLIGHTED OVER THE EASTERN SLOPES OF ADKS
AND SRN GREENS WITH SHADOWING ACROSS THE NEK IN THE WAKE OF THE
WHITE MTNS AND CPV IN THE WAKE OF THE GREENS AND AGAIN IN THE
WAKE OF THE ADKS...ABOUT QUARTER TO THIRD OF AN INCH.
WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE...AND NO
CAA...EXPECTING MAINLY SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN. THIS ALSO MEANS
SNOW WILL BE WET...DENSE SNOWFALL WITH SN:LIQUID RATIOS OF 7-10
TO 1. NOT MUCH CHANGE TO EXPECTED SF AMTS: 6-10 INCHES IN UPSLOPE
AREAS OF GREENS AND ADKS...3-6 INCHES FOR N AND CENTRAL
GREENS...WESTERN CPV...AND SLV. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT 1-3 INCHES.
ANOTHER ISSUE WILL BE WINDS AS STRONG LLJ MOVES OVER THE REGION.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY...WITH 850MB JET AROUND 40KTS
THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO 55-65KTS BY THIS AFTERNOON/18Z TIME
FRAME. DOWNSLOPE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG SPINE AND WESTERN SLOPES OF
GREENS ESP IN THE AFTN. LL INVERSION WITH STEADY PRECIP SHOULD
HELP KEEP THESE WINDS FROM EXTENDING INTO THE VALLEYS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 451 AM EST WEDNESDAY...LOW CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE NORTH
COUNTRY INTO THURSDAY WITH GFS AND ECMWF SHOWING DRY SLOT
REMAINING SOUTH OF THE FA. EXPECTING MORE SHOWERY ACTIVITY ON
THURSDAY WITH LESS LIFT...FGEN ETC AVAILABLE. AS THE LOW PUSHES
EAST...ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF IT...STILL EXPECT SOME DEFORMATION
AND NRLY FLOW/CONVERGENCE TO PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS ON THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. ON FRIDAY UPPER LEVEL ENERGY CONTINUES TO
SUPPLY A CHANCE OF SNOW...WITH RAIN MIXING IN THE AFTNS.
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY WARMER THAN NORMAL WITH MAXES IN THE M30S-
L40S IN THE VALLEYS AND M20S-L30S IN THE HIGH TERRAIN AND MIN
TEMPS IN THE TEENS TO M20S.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 501 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER AN
UPPER TROUGH AND A CLOSED UPPER LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH JUST
A SLIGHT CHANCE OR LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THE REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
THE PERIOD AS WELL. NO MAJOR QPF EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD...WITH
MAINLY JUST SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY EXPECTED DURING
THE PERIOD. BECAUSE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND UPPER LOW OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD...EXPECT MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER EASTERN VIRGINIA
AT 06Z WEDNESDAY WILL MOVE NORTH AND BE OVER LAKE ONTARIO BY 06Z
THURSDAY. CEILINGS TO LOWER TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING WITH A MIX OF
PRECIPITATION TYPES EXPECTED FROM RAIN...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN. TIMING OF WHEN THESE VARIOUS PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL BEGIN
AND END IS DIFFICULT...BUT EXPECTING A MIX OF MAINLY RAIN AND SNOW
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH A MIX TO RAIN MORE LIKELY IN VALLEY LOCATIONS.
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...SO EXPECTING
SURFACE WINDS GUSTS AT OR ABOVE 20 KNOTS TODAY. A CLOSED UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...SO EXPECTING ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION
TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW AFTER 00Z THURSDAY...AS DYNAMICAL
COOLING ALOFT WILL BEGIN AS THE CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE
REGION TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
06Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY...AREAS MVFR/IFR IN RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS WITH RAIN SHOWERS MAINLY IN VALLEY LOCATIONS DURING
THE DAY. WHILE PRECIPITATION BECOMES MORE INTERMITTENT BY
FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR CEILINGS MAY PERSIST INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
12Z SATURDAY ONWARD...GENERALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES FROM
CANADA...WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS PSBL IN NRLY FLOW.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR VTZ003-
     006>008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR VTZ011-017>019.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR VTZ010-012-
     019.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ026>028-
     035-087.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ031-034.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KGM/TABER
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...WGH/JN

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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July 2011, Week 3
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July 2011, Week 1
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June 2011, Week 4
June 2011, Week 3
June 2011, Week 2
June 2011, Week 1
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May 2011, Week 3
May 2011, Week 2
May 2011, Week 1
April 2011, Week 5
April 2011, Week 4
April 2011, Week 3
April 2011, Week 2
April 2011, Week 1
March 2011, Week 5
March 2011, Week 4
March 2011, Week 3
March 2011, Week 2
March 2011, Week 1
February 2011, Week 4
February 2011, Week 3
February 2011, Week 2
February 2011, Week 1
January 2011, Week 5
January 2011, Week 4
January 2011, Week 3
January 2011, Week 2
January 2011, Week 1
December 2010, Week 5
December 2010, Week 4
December 2010, Week 3
December 2010, Week 2
December 2010, Week 1
November 2010, Week 5
November 2010, Week 4
November 2010, Week 3
November 2010, Week 2
November 2010, Week 1
October 2010, Week 5
October 2010, Week 4
October 2010, Week 3
October 2010, Week 2
October 2010, Week 1
September 2010, Week 5
September 2010, Week 4
September 2010, Week 3
September 2010, Week 2
September 2010, Week 1
August 2010, Week 5
August 2010, Week 4
August 2010, Week 3
August 2010, Week 2
August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
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December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 1
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October 2008, Week 1
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
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February 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
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April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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July 2002, Week 2
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June 2002, Week 3
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June 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
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October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
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August 2001, Week 4
August 2001, Week 3
August 2001, Week 2
August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
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June 2001, Week 2
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March 2001, Week 5
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